Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited
by Malek Dudakov
[REGNUM] The current escalation against Iran is exacerbating the acute political rift within the United States.
The first to speak out against the war were the Democrats, hoping to exploit the conflict's unpopularity in the upcoming congressional elections. But very soon, the White House began to receive fierce criticism from the most prominent opinion leaders on the right of American politics.
And in the future, the threat of impeachment, which is no longer an abstract one, is hanging over Donald Trump.
| Meh. He was impeached repeatedly by the Democrats during his first term with great drama and at great expense, to no avail. Should the Democrats win control of both houses of Congress in November they may try again, but it still won’t work. If they don’t win both houses, they won’t be able to impeach. But even talking about it drives more Democrat and Undecided voters into the Trump camp, because Americans really care about blatant double standards. |
In the initial stages of every war the United States has waged in the modern era, there has always been a rallying effect of Americans around their own flag and at least some public consensus on the need to escalate.
There's nothing even close to that now. The war with Iran was extremely unpopular from the start.
| Among the bots, certainly. Not with American voters — see tweet appended to the bottom of this piece. |
Two weeks into the conflict, a clear majority of Americans have a negative view of Trump's performance as commander-in-chief and are demanding a swift end to the standoff.
| Take a look and then come back. We'll wait. |
US military casualties are mounting.
| True. More than doubled from six to thirteen, as I recall. Heartbreaking, but still less than a hot Chicago summer night. |
Fuel prices within the US have already soared by an average of 30-40%. The White House is rushing to mitigate the effects of the energy crisis by dumping the remaining strategic oil reserves onto the market.
However, they're literally scraping together the last straw. After all, during Joe Biden's presidency, the US oil reserve was half depleted, and they couldn't replenish it. There was no money to be found.
Images of burning American bases throughout the Middle East are a serious blow to militaristic sentiment in the United States. This hasn't happened since at least World War II.
The costs of the conflict already amount to tens of billions of dollars, and it is impossible to continue it for a long period of time, if only due to the acute budget crisis and a two trillion dollar deficit.
The anti-war effect is already influencing electoral processes in the United States.
| Very true, though prhaps not in the direction Mr. Dudakov had hoped. |
The conflict's onset coincided with the start of the first rounds of party primaries in several American states. Some very curious results emerged in Texas. There, the incumbent senator, hawkish neocon John Cornyn, found himself on the brink of defeat. He is known for his ardent support of Ukraine, Israel, and all current wars involving the United States.
| Neocon but not MAGA, unlike his primary opponent… |
In the second round of the primaries, Cornyn could easily be defeated by current Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, an isolationist who has been vocal in his criticism of the Ukrainian lobby. During the election, Paxton referred to Cornyn as "the senator from Ukraine." This rhetoric helped him gain over 40% of the vote. Now both candidates have advanced to the second round, and their battle vividly illustrates the deepening divisions within the Republican camp.
In the same Texas election, another hawk, retired Marine Dan Crenshaw, who lost an eye in Afghanistan, suffered a sensational defeat. During his years in politics, he was remembered for his eye patch and radical militancy. Crenshaw faced a humiliating defeat in the Republican party standoff.
Lindsey Graham* could also face problems ; he faces a highly competitive primary in South Carolina. Residents of his home state have long been fed up with Graham's fixation on foreign policy and his lack of interest in addressing local issues.
But that will be in the summer, and right now a sensation has occurred in neighboring Georgia.
Special elections were held in the 14th Congressional District in the northwest of the state. This is one of the most resolutely Republican districts in all of America. Elephant Party candidates have traditionally garnered two-thirds or more of the vote in this district.
Until recently, the district was represented in Congress by the notorious Trump supporter Marjorie Taylor Greene. She recently announced her retirement from politics amid her disillusionment with Trump and his administration.
Greene was initially outraged by the shoddy handling of the Jeffrey Epstein pedophile scandal. Then came the Iran escapade, which provoked extreme outrage among many MAGA supporters and isolationists in Congress.
Moreover, many understand that nothing good awaits the Republicans in the upcoming elections. Therefore, it makes sense to resign early, to avoid ending up on the sinking Titanic with other party members.
Several Republican candidates entered the Georgia race, and they became spoilers for each other. The Democratic candidate, Sean Harris, a retired US Army general and war critic, unexpectedly won first place.
A runoff awaits, in which the Republicans still have a chance of success. But even if they win, it will only be by the narrowest of margins.
Even in the safest districts, Republicans are now barely able to win, let alone anywhere else. A sense of fatigue and fatalism is emerging among Trump's base, who don't understand what the current administration is doing or where it's headed.
But among the Democrats, on the contrary, the level of enthusiasm is off the charts, and the turnout of their supporters continues to set records time after time.
In Texas, nearly 1.5 million people voted in the Democratic primary. Political strategists are hoping to pull off what was previously considered impossible—winning the Senate race in Texas for the first time since 1988, taking advantage of the chaos and division within the Republican camp.
This will bring them very close to securing a majority in the Senate. Democrats will almost certainly take control of the lower house.
And a Republican loss of both houses of Congress would instantly turn Trump into a lame duck for the final two years of his presidency. He wouldn't even be able to appoint anyone to Cabinet positions without the Democrats' go-ahead.
J.D. Vance was tasked with overseeing the Republicans' preparations for the congressional elections. For him, it immediately seemed like a death sentence.
However, against the backdrop of the war with Iran, Vance has quite skillfully implemented an "exit strategy." He is trying to distance himself from the Middle East escalation by all means possible and is clearly hinting that he does not support it.
In the event of the expected Republican defeat, all responsibility can be placed on the "hawks." These are Pete Hegseth and Marco Rubio, who are forced to justify all the failures in the war.
The latter, in turn, will likely blame the artificial intelligence that was actively used in developing the operation.
Sometimes it seems as if even the basic plan was dictated by AI. It was so primitive, as if it were simply a response to a chatbot query: "How do we defeat Iran?"
He then developed a step-by-step plan to attack the top leadership and attempt to destabilize the country. When the war reached a stalemate, the AI was no longer able to come to the rescue.
No one on Trump's team will take responsibility for, for example, the attack on a girls' school.
| The girls school on the IRGC military base next door to a military target? Who thought that was a clever decision? |
So we'll likely see her testifying at the impeachment hearings next year, blaming everything on artificial intelligence errors.
Trump managed to do the impossible: turn almost everyone against himself.
Not just Democrats, who already hate Trump, but also the lion's share of swing voters and many members of the MAGA coalition.
| Again, see the tweet below. |
The most prominent American podcasters— Joe Rogan, Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly —are now actively criticizing the Iran adventure.
| That is absolutely fascinating to watch, though he forgot Candace Owens. It’s really sad when even the Russian commentator rejects one as too mad to even be an Awful Warning. |
Only the neocon hawks remain with Trump, but they may face a sad fate in the upcoming elections.
| Goodness no — the neocon hawks loathe President Trump. Bunches of them actually voted Democrat in the last election |
Everyone else is trying to distance themselves from the consequences of the failed war with Iran in advance.
| At last, the legendary tweet we’ve been waiting for. Republican voters aren’t fleeing. Quite on the contrary, in fact: |
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