Article

2026-10-02 Economy

Link to National Federation of Independent Business

This is a good place to look for signs of a coming recession. No such signs currently. Some decrease in small biz hiring but this is due to difficulty in finding employees.

Other places to look are from the BLS and the latest reports there:

09/29/2026 August job openings and hires change little; total separations unchanged

09/25/2026 Retirement benefits available to 72% of private industry workers in March 2026

09/24/2026 57% of workers have flexible schedules; 34% of workers sometimes work at home

09/24/2026 Median tenure with current employer increases to 4.1 years in January 2026

all show no recession in the near term

only real bad thing in the economy is gasoline price which will come down a bit as the winter blend (higher vapor pressure) fills tanks; however, existing gasoline in storage is down quite a bit and will require months to recover

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Posted by Lord Garth 2026-10-02 00:00|| E-Mail|| Front Page|| ||Comments [63 views ] Top

1 this morning's report from the BLS showed minimal job growth in Sept and also adjusted Aug and July employment downward. This relieves some of the pressure on interest rates and the initial response on the S&P, DJIA and NASDAQ was bullish for stocks.

Posted by Lord Garth 2026-10-02 09:07|| 2026-10-02 09:07|| Front Page || Comments Top

2 You find us such useful information on the subject, Lord Garth, then present it so we have exactly what we need to grasp your point. Thank you.

Posted by trailing wife 2026-10-02 12:11|| 2026-10-02 12:11|| Front Page || Comments Top

3 thx TW,

I find it annoying that mainstream reporting on the economy so often misses the point, misunderstands the data, and/or avoids the context. Even the WSJ does that sometimes which is truly awful.

Posted by Lord Garth 2026-10-02 12:56|| 2026-10-02 12:56|| Front Page || Comments Top

4 ^ Bloomberg and Yahoo Finance are prime partisans for that

Posted by Frank G 2026-10-02 14:32|| 2026-10-02 14:32|| Front Page || Comments Top

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