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2026-04-23 Home Front: WoT

Finish the job: Why a half war with Iran is the most dangerous outcome

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Posted by Skidmark 2026-04-23 08:34|| E-Mail|| Front Page|| [1791 views ] Top
File under: Govt of Iran

1 Hannity says this is a 'nightmare scenario' for Iran

Fox News host Sean Hannity said the situation in Iran is a "nightmare scenario" for the country's government and its people.

"According to the White House, a beaten, a battered, now near close to bankrupt Iran and government there will have no more than 3 to 5 days to present what would be a unified response to the president's peace proposal, let me make this very simple. If anyone in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard or any other faction of Iran's well remaining government is watching or you hear about this, your unified response, it better look like this: no nukes, no terrorism, no attacks on the straight of Hormuz. And yeah, nuclear dust, you can't have it. This is not a crazy list. Not that complicated. And it's not too much to ask. In return, in return, you will get to live. In return, your own people will have a shot at an economy that is not destroyed. Not the radical Islamists who for 47 years have been terrorizing their very own people," he said on his show, "Hannity."

"In 3 to 5 days, Iran will cease hostilities, agree to the president's terms, come to a negotiated settlement, or they will face total destruction. Now, if they are foolish, for those of you in Iran tonight, you might hear about this. If you're foolish enough to think the president working at the request of Pakistan's prime minister to exhaust every possible path to peace and a negotiated settlement is just another opportunity to stall. Well, you're clearly the dumbest people on the planet, especially after Midnight Hammer and Epic Fury, he continued.

Hannity added: "Now, Kharg Island is already largely defenseless, responsible for 90% of Iran's oil exports. And in just, well, frankly, less than an hour, the U.S. military could level the entire island, obliterate Iran's oil industry, and with it their entire economy. In about the same amount of time, the U.S. military can level critical infrastructure all across the country, force what's left of the regime to have to rebuild everything without almost any revenue. Remember, they're losing four to 500 million a day right now."

He went on to say that "it is a nightmare scenario for both the people and the government of Iran."

"But President Trump is prepared to act if the regime will not commit to opening the straight of Hormuz, giving up their nuclear material," he said. "Though time will tell. We will wait. We will all hope for peace. Although all hope for a negotiated settlement. Frankly, you have to expect the worst. They have made one dumb decision after another. But as President Trump has stated, America's military, they are locked. They are loaded. They're ready to go."

Posted by Skidmark 2026-04-23 08:38|| 2026-04-23 08:38|| Front Page Top

2 What Hannity and many people aren't taking into account is the religious fanatics currently running Iran don't share the same world view as those in other parts of the world.
Japan in WWII is a good example of this, there were elements in the military that were ready to die as a country and as a people rather than surrender.

See John Toland's The Rising Sun (2 books) and Vice Admiral Natome Ugaki's Final Victory.

Posted by Chantry 2026-04-23 10:12|| 2026-04-23 10:12|| Front Page Top

3 But are they willing to work and fight without pay with the people willing to assassinate them when possible?

Posted by Frank G 2026-04-23 10:51|| 2026-04-23 10:51|| Front Page Top

4 "But are they willing to work and fight without pay with the people willing to assassinate them when possible?"

Yes. I would argue: Inshallah.

Posted by mossomo 2026-04-23 14:02|| 2026-04-23 14:02|| Front Page Top

5 The nightmare scenario is possible come April 28th when ostensibly the War Powers Authorization deadline takes effect. It would take very little to push the Senate RINOs off to the left and Trump must either deescalate or face impeachment for real. Just sayin...

Posted by NoMoreBS 2026-04-23 14:31|| 2026-04-23 14:31|| Front Page Top

6 Israeli assessment: Approaching a renewal of fighting with Iran

Posted by Grom the Affective 2026-04-23 14:33|| 2026-04-23 14:33|| Front Page Top

7 The longer we delay using nuclear weapons, the longer the war goes on, the worse it is for everyone including Iran. We need to get over this ridiculous squeamishness before the East Coast gets hit by an Iranian ICBM.

Posted by Gephids Wheasing9964 2026-04-23 14:41|| 2026-04-23 14:41|| Front Page Top

8 The Alex Jones in me secret wonders if Iranian sleeper agents are killing off our scientists.

Posted by Besoeker 2026-04-23 14:52|| 2026-04-23 14:52|| Front Page Top

9 Or possibly Chinese sleeper agents, Besoeker.

Posted by trailing wife 2026-04-23 15:06|| 2026-04-23 15:06|| Front Page Top

10 Wouldn't be Russians they'd already be bragging about it.

Posted by Besoeker 2026-04-23 15:12|| 2026-04-23 15:12|| Front Page Top

11 The longer we delay using nuclear weapons, the longer the war goes on, the worse it is for everyone including Iran.

It's the Prisoner's Dilemma. First one to nuke the other one wins. But there is also an equilibrium where nobody nukes nobody. Getting there is the problem. In the opinion of this junior analyst, that is where Trump is heading, through a combination of threats and signs of being agreeable.

Unless the other Iranian factions can get the IRGC under control (doubtful), there will be at least one more round of "negotiations". (cue the Korben Dallas clip)

Posted by SteveS 2026-04-23 15:50|| 2026-04-23 15:50|| Front Page Top

12 Actually it is sort of interesting in watching everyone suspecting everyone else of 'turning a deal'. In this case ratting out the locations of your problem and allowing the Americans or Israelis to do the dirty work.

Posted by Procopius2k 2026-04-23 18:06|| 2026-04-23 18:06|| Front Page Top

13 Via Clarice on FB:
Tousi TV
@TousiTVOfficial
·
31m
🚨 BREAKING: Islamic Republic’s Ghalibaf has resigned
The regime in Iran is falling apart.

Posted by Frank G 2026-04-23 18:45|| 2026-04-23 18:45|| Front Page Top

14 In this case ratting out the locations of your problem and allowing the Americans or Israelis to do the dirty work.

Yeah, the temptation to drop a dime on anyone you ever had a beef with. I'm not sure my Islamic revolutionary zeal could hold me back. What was the number of the Mossad tip line again?

RUMINT says the IRGC leaned on Gollybaf to bail. Probably not a good sign, but not unexpected either.

Posted by SteveS 2026-04-23 19:20|| 2026-04-23 19:20|| Front Page Top

23:55 Skidmark
23:50 Skidmark
23:45 Skidmark
23:41 Skidmark
21:52 trailing wife
21:28 trailing wife
19:20 SteveS
18:53 swksvolFF
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18:32 EMS Artifact
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18:18 trailing wife
18:06 Procopius2k
17:57 BlackLungUltimate04
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17:29 Mercutio
17:28 Neville Glusorong4662
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15:50 SteveS
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