Archived material Access restricted Article
Rantburg

Today's Front Page   View All of Wed 12/10/2025 View Tue 12/09/2025 View Mon 12/08/2025 View Sun 12/07/2025 View Sat 12/06/2025 View Fri 12/05/2025 View Thu 12/04/2025
1
2025-12-10 Economy
The U.S. Economy Was 'Fake' for 2 Years: Here's Why Edward Dowd Says It Collapses Now
Archived material is restricted to Rantburg regulars and members. If you need access email fred.pruitt=at=gmail.com with your nick to be added to the members list. There is no charge to join Rantburg as a member.
Posted by Threrens Thraise6909 2025-12-10 06:55|| E-Mail|| Front Page|| [1797 views ]  Top

1 Two years? The entire fed reporting system has been compromised for several decades. Federal payment programs are tied to inflation and they can't report real numbers for the effect on what they would have to pay out. What you put in your shopping basket isn't covered in their bean counting. The unemployment metric has been manipulated for pure political propaganda and graft.
Posted by Procopius2k 2025-12-10 07:44||   2025-12-10 07:44|| Front Page Top

2 ...I think the only one he may have accurately called will be the housing market - prices are far, far too high, and this one won't be a 'correction' as much as an 'execution'.

Mike
Posted by MikeKozlowski 2025-12-10 12:34||   2025-12-10 12:34|| Front Page Top

3 I don't see how housing inventory can spike.

It takes quite a while to buy land, get approvals and then build a dwelling unit.

Also both housing starts and housing completions this year are running behind 2024.

If we could get back to 4% mortgages we could be doing a lot better.
Posted by Lord Garth 2025-12-10 20:49||   2025-12-10 20:49|| Front Page Top

4 Available inventory can spike if occupancy drops.
Posted by KBK 2025-12-10 21:32||   2025-12-10 21:32|| Front Page Top

5 Given two million illegals have already left that we’re aware of, that is heading toward meaningful occupancy, mostly at the lower price points, both rented and owned.

Something like what happened in 2002-2003 after President Bush ordered all 18+ Moslem males to register, and an unknown number walked away, some to Canada, others back to India and Pakistan, leaving a bunch of 7/11s deserted. As I recall, it was thought most had overstayed student and tourist visas rather than crossed the border illegally. Unlike the current lot, many of whom are single males, at that time most had married and had families — there was a great deal of fuss then about the anticipated suffering of their Americanized kids who knew nothing about living in the Olde Countrie, though I don’t recall concern that an MS-13 situation would develop.
Posted by trailing wife 2025-12-10 22:01||   2025-12-10 22:01|| Front Page Top

23:43 Skidmark
23:43 Skidmark
22:14 trailing wife
22:11 trailing wife
22:07 Knuckles Grundy1702
22:01 trailing wife
21:54 Woodrow
21:50 Woodrow
21:32 KBK
21:03 Elmerert Hupens2660
20:52 Elmerert Hupens2660
20:49 Lord Garth
18:31 Frank G
18:26 Frank G
18:24 Frank G
18:13 Chantry
17:45 trailing wife
17:36 Lord Garth
17:33 trailing wife
17:18 Grom the Affective
16:21 Cured Romantic
15:33 Cesare
15:13 trailing wife
15:07 trailing wife
Merry-Go-Blog










Paypal:
Google
Search WWW Search rantburg.com