Rantburg

Today's Front Page   View All of Tue 11/03/2026 View Mon 11/02/2026 View Sun 11/01/2026 View Sat 10/31/2026 View Fri 10/30/2026 View Thu 10/29/2026 View Wed 10/28/2026
2026-11-03 Syria-Lebanon-Iran
At Fordo in Iran: GBU-57 or nukes?


Translated Text:

#Iranian Nuclear Facility at Fordo, buried tens of meters deep into the heart of the mountain, out of reach of bunker-busting bombs like the GBU-57 weighing 13 tons and capable of penetrating up to 60 meters.. It might succeed if the dropping operation is repeated with successive penetrations and explosions—not simultaneous ones—coordinated with strikes on the facility's entrances and exits and ventilation openings....Therefore:

1- Either a #Landing_Operation with specialized special units onto this facility, which is fraught with risks and requires, prior to execution, area bombardment, air superiority, and scorching of the surrounding miles, as it also demands specialized paratrooper forces to occupy the mountaintops and surrounding hills to secure support and defense for these units during their operation to extract the enriched uranium if possible, or to plant explosives then withdraw and completely demolish the facility.

2- Or resorting to the use of the #B61-12_Tactical_Nuclear_Bomb, which is a smart precision bomb with explosive yields starting at 7 kilotons, designed to penetrate deep then detonate catastrophically inside the mountain, leading to collapses and fractures that keep the radiation resulting from it confined underground without rising to the surface, thereby achieving the objective of destroying all nuclear activity there.

- The probability of success for GBU-57 bombs through successive penetration and multiple explosions exists but is slim and not guaranteed with a high success rate.

The probability 1 (landing operation, planting explosives, and demolition) is possible but not guaranteed with a reasonable success rate, and it poses greater danger to the attacker.

- The probability 2 (tactical nuclear bomb) is highly feasible, poses no risk to the attacker, and its results are assured, with radiation concerns from it remaining present but at low levels that can be contained.
# id) ?>
Posted by badanov 2026-11-03 00:00|| E-Mail|| Front Page|| ||Comments [71 views ]  Top
 File under: Govt of Iran 

1 Sounds like a fairly obvious solution to that little problem...?
Posted by Oregon Dave 2026-11-03 00:29||   2026-11-03 00:29|| Front Page || Comments   Top

2 Successive The GBU-57's as a form of maintenance medication until the desired effect is achieved and verified.
Posted by Besoeker 2026-11-03 05:07||   2026-11-03 05:07|| Front Page || Comments   Top

3 The GBU57 won't penetrate Pickaxe Mountain to the depth required. The B61-11 nuke can only be delivered by the B2 which is unlikely to survive the attempt (the best stealth can be defeated when the defenders are expecting you at an extremely specific location). The B61-12 nuke is deliverable by F15E, F16 and F35A, which is most likely. However this bomb is not technically earth penetrating and so can't guarantee reaching deep enough into the mountain. If the plan is to use a nuke, then it needs to be 100% successful to sell the result to the public. Otherwise, a Rubicon has been crossed that can't be uncrossed.
Posted by Dopey Photch2701 2026-11-03 05:38||   2026-11-03 05:38|| Front Page || Comments   Top

4 
Posted by Snesing Schwarzeneggar8998 2026-11-03 05:58||   2026-11-03 05:58|| Front Page || Comments   Top

5 RE #4: Enough of them used repeatedly will solve the problem for all eternity. Remember, you're dealing with psychopathic madmen here, not sane individuals that make logical decisions. Sometimes, the "insane" solution is the only one that will work.
Posted by Old Patriot 2026-11-03 07:23||   2026-11-03 07:23|| Front Page || Comments   Top

6 #4 had to "go away" for excessive drooling and other behavior scaring the wymyns, kids, and small animals
Posted by Frank G 2026-11-03 07:47||   2026-11-03 07:47|| Front Page || Comments   Top

07:47 Frank G
07:26 Old Patriot
07:23 Old Patriot
06:55 NN2N1
06:54 NN2N!
05:58 Snesing Schwarzeneggar8998
05:38 Dopey Photch2701
05:30 Dopey Photch2701
05:07 Besoeker
04:29 NN2N1
04:19 NN2N1
04:04 NN2N1
02:18 Besoeker
02:03 Besoeker
01:57 Besoeker
01:18 Skidmark
00:56 Skidmark
00:39 Skidmark
00:29 Oregon Dave
Merry-Go-Blog










Paypal:
Google
Search WWW Search rantburg.com