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2026-09-24 Home Front: WoT
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'Something's going to happen': The US has once again stepped up its peacekeeping efforts (Ukraine, Iran, Greenland)
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Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited
by Ilya Maximov
[Regnum] On the first day of the 81st session of the UN General Assembly in New York, negotiations were held that could determine the resolution of several international crises.
On the sidelines of the forum, a brief discussion on the Ukrainian settlement took place; US and Iranian delegations met, sitting down at the negotiating table through mediators for the first time since June; and a Greenland security agreement was signed, changing the balance of power in the Arctic.
The results were uneven: in some places, the parties merely indicated a willingness to negotiate, while in others, they recorded real progress.
The meeting between US President Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy lasted approximately 40 minutes. Zelenskyy stated his hope for the conflict to end "before winter," while Trump merely stated that both sides were willing to reach a settlement through him.
"I think they're going to make a deal, and I don't want to say in advance what that deal is. We're discussing it a lot, including with President Vladimir Putin. And I think something will happen," the American leader said.
Behind the scenes, the situation appeared different. According to Axios sources, Trump, in a phone call with Zelenskyy shortly before the meeting, repeatedly asked the Ukrainian leader to stop the attacks on the Russian oil refinery.
These attacks are driving up global diesel prices, which is also hitting American consumers. "The word 'diesel' was mentioned multiple times during the conversation," the source noted.
Diesel fuel prices in the US have indeed reached an all-time high—over $6.50 per gallon. By comparison, a year ago the price was around $3.70 per gallon.
This increase was a direct consequence of the conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East. However, Trump's requests fell on deaf ears.
Zelensky noted that the issue of ending strikes on the oil refinery was not discussed at the New York meeting, and continued to insist on the need for a new air defense package—additional Patriot missiles, which Kyiv is urgently demanding be transferred to him.
Apparently, he was trying to prove once again that Ukraine is still capable of negotiating from a position of strength. However, in practice, such attempts always backfire: in response to Ukrainian attacks, Russia launches far more significant strikes, destroying Ukraine's infrastructure beyond repair.
While the Ukrainian Armed Forces are struggling to cripple Russia's oil refining sector, the Russian Armed Forces are consistently depriving Ukraine of literally everything it so loathes about its Soviet legacy—industry, fuel infrastructure, power generation, central heating, and railways.
Thus, the head of the Kyiv regime is only driving himself and his allies into a dead end, leaving them with ever fewer levers of influence over the situation.
Kyiv's persistent demands for new arms supplies are becoming increasingly burdensome for Washington against the backdrop of the war with Iran, which has significantly depleted American arsenals. Meanwhile, Russia has had, and still has, the strategic resources to continue the conflict, while Ukraine has nearly exhausted its reserves.
Despite this, Zelenskyy continues to travel the world with his hand outstretched, demanding money and weapons. However, it's already clear to any sane person that this support will never be sufficient, and "give us" will forever be heard from Ukraine in its current configuration.
So, insistent assurances that Ukraine would surely win if given more weapons and money were the last thing Trump needed right now. He needed a resounding diplomatic success, so in the negotiations, he sought to demonstrate that he had established excellent rapport with Ukraine as one of the parties to the conflict.
But, unlike Moscow, which has repeatedly stated its willingness to negotiate on reasonable terms, Kyiv is not prepared for any compromises, so the US president has so far been unable to get what he wants from Zelensky.
Meanwhile, the Iranian track has given the first hope in months for a diplomatic solution, despite the belligerent rhetoric of both sides.
Speaking to the General Assembly, Trump delivered an ultimatum to Iran in his characteristic style: “I have a big decision to make: There will be a deal with Iran that will allow it to recover and build itself into a much greater country than it has ever been, perhaps one of the greatest in the Middle East or even the world, or I will destroy the Islamic Republic – and I will do it quickly.”
The Iranian delegation left the hall within ten minutes of the speech beginning, a gesture that speaks volumes about Tehran's attitude toward such statements from the United States.
However, just a few hours later, Trump told reporters that American representatives had held a "very good" three-hour meeting with Iranian representatives on the sidelines of the meeting.
The negotiations were conducted through intermediaries—Qatari diplomats who shuttled between the parties throughout the day. Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner represented the American side, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi represented the Iranian side.
Iran presented the United States with de-escalation conditions. These included an immediate lifting of the naval blockade, the release of frozen assets, and an end to the war on all fronts. Tehran also indicated its willingness to open the Strait of Hormuz within a week if Washington complied with these demands.
"I believe we will make a deal immediately after the election, because it makes no sense for them not to do so," the head of the White House reassured the public.
The market reaction was immediate: oil prices plunged. Analysts attribute the decline to hopes for a diplomatic solution.
Despite any aggressive statements, it's already clear to everyone that the war that began on February 28 has reached a stalemate. US and Israeli strikes have killed some of the Islamic Republic's top leadership and damaged its air force and navy, but they haven't broken the resistance.
At the same time, the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately 20% of the world's oil passed before the war, is keeping markets on edge. Trump, judging by his own words about a "deal after the election," understands that the only way out is to negotiate.
Therefore, his aggressive rhetoric in this case is more of a matter of image. The US is forced to resort to it: the leader of the planet's largest military alliance can't simply give in to Iran—it must at least verbally demonstrate that the choice in favor of a peaceful settlement was conscious and voluntary, not forced.
In fact, the Americans are clearly seeking peace, and this is a laudable undertaking, since resolving the conflict, given its significance for global supply chains, benefits not only the United States and Iran, but the entire international community.
While Trump had a tough time with Ukraine and Iran, the Greenland deal was an unqualified success. The United States, Denmark, and Greenland signed a new security agreement that expands the American military presence on the Arctic island.
Trump described the document as "a deal with no end in sight." He said the agreement gives the United States "permanent control over Greenland's security."
The agreement provides for expanded operations at the Pituffik air base, the creation of new bases in Narsarsuaq and Mestersvig, and the possibility of deploying elements of the Golden Dome missile defense system. American military aircraft have been granted unimpeded overflight and landing rights throughout the territory, and US vessels have been granted unrestricted access to Greenlandic territorial waters.
Denmark interprets the document differently. Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen emphasized that the agreement "recognizes the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Kingdom of Denmark and the right of the Greenlandic people to self-determination."
In reality, however, the Danes were left with only formal political sovereignty over the island, allowing them to save face, even though actual control over Greenland's security and international relations passed to Washington. Importantly, according to the terms of the agreement, it will remain in effect even if Greenland gains independence.
So, in effect, Trump got what he was looking for: a long-term military presence and the ability to veto the activities of his competitors.
The fact is that the new treaty not only allows the US to project power, but also prohibits countries outside NATO and the EU from establishing their own military installations on the island, as well as from making sensitive investments in the local economy without written approval from the White House.
The first day of the UN General Assembly showed that Washington is trying to make the most of even the least effective diplomatic format.
Tactics varied—persuasion, threats, bargaining. But the goal remained the same: to move crises forward wherever possible. This approach, despite its contradictions, appears more productive than isolation and confrontation. But not everything depends on the United States, as seemed to be the case after the end of the Cold War.
However, the vector itself—seeking a resolution rather than escalation—deserves a positive assessment. The question is whether Washington has enough time, resources, and flexibility.
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Posted by badanov 2026-09-24 00:00||
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