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2026-11-03 Syria-Lebanon-Iran
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At Fordo in Iran: GBU-57 or nukes?
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Translated Text:
#Iranian Nuclear Facility at Fordo, buried tens of meters deep into the heart of the mountain, out of reach of bunker-busting bombs like the GBU-57 weighing 13 tons and capable of penetrating up to 60 meters.. It might succeed if the dropping operation is repeated with successive penetrations and explosions—not simultaneous ones—coordinated with strikes on the facility's entrances and exits and ventilation openings....Therefore:
1- Either a #Landing_Operation with specialized special units onto this facility, which is fraught with risks and requires, prior to execution, area bombardment, air superiority, and scorching of the surrounding miles, as it also demands specialized paratrooper forces to occupy the mountaintops and surrounding hills to secure support and defense for these units during their operation to extract the enriched uranium if possible, or to plant explosives then withdraw and completely demolish the facility.
2- Or resorting to the use of the #B61-12_Tactical_Nuclear_Bomb, which is a smart precision bomb with explosive yields starting at 7 kilotons, designed to penetrate deep then detonate catastrophically inside the mountain, leading to collapses and fractures that keep the radiation resulting from it confined underground without rising to the surface, thereby achieving the objective of destroying all nuclear activity there.
- The probability of success for GBU-57 bombs through successive penetration and multiple explosions exists but is slim and not guaranteed with a high success rate.
The probability 1 (landing operation, planting explosives, and demolition) is possible but not guaranteed with a reasonable success rate, and it poses greater danger to the attacker.
- The probability 2 (tactical nuclear bomb) is highly feasible, poses no risk to the attacker, and its results are assured, with radiation concerns from it remaining present but at low levels that can be contained.
# StarringRoles($srow->id) ?>
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Posted by badanov 2026-11-03 00:00||
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