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2026-09-08 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
US wants the Ukrainian conflict to end by winter – media
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Posted by badanov 2026-09-08 00:00|| E-Mail|| Front Page|| [177 views ]  Top

1 Otherwise, the inevitable question arises: why did they fight for 4 years, having rejected the Russian Federation’s proposals in March 2022?

The bargaining model of war.

Wars and litigation are inefficient ways to resolve problems. They almost never end in a decisve victory. Instead, they usually end in a negotiated settlement. Both sides find a deal they could, in principle, have arrived at without all the costs that finally brought them to the negotiating table.
-- The Predictioner's Game, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita

I see two possible outcomes:
Either the Russians continue to grind away until they reach the Dniepr
or the Euros get tired of *bleep*ing with the Rus and they cut a deal.
At the moment, the Euros/NATO still appear enthusiastic, so the first option is more likely.

One complication for EU/NATO is running out of Ukrainians. A manpower shortage will create even more selective pressure for the evolution of autonomous war machines. Eventually, we will get Screamers.
Posted by SteveS 2026-09-08 21:35||   2026-09-08 21:35|| Front Page Top

22:21 trailing wife
21:35 SteveS
19:35 Abu Uluque
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