[News With Views] In the Common Wealth of Virginia, Governor Abigail Spanberger guaranteed and created the death of fellow Virginian citizens.
"A 19-year-old illegal immigrant has been arrested after a woman was found stabbed to. Death and doused with gasoline near her car in Great Falls earlier this week. Fairfax County police said detectives arrested Alexis Antonio Cedillos-Campos, 19, in connection with the homicide of 42-year-old Carmen Lizet Puch.
"The U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) confirmed to 7 News that the illegal alien Cedillos-Campos is from El Salvador. He was arrested by border patrol agents in April 2024 after illegally crossing into the U.S. near El Paso, Texas, under the Biden administration. He was later released back into the country," DHS said.
"Biden and Mayorkas hand-delivered alleged killer Cedillos-Campos to the streets of Fairfax County. They recklessly unleashed millions of unvetted illegal aliens into American communities and abused the law to do so," DHS told 7News.
At what point will sitting mayors and governors who sponsor illegal aliens in their Sanctuary Cities or States, be prosecuted for murder? Whether you look at Sheridan Gorman, college coed, killed by an illegal alien Jose Medina, while she was walking along the lake in Chicago, or you watch in horror while another illegal alien killed Laken Riley, a University of Georgia coed out for a run, or Rachel Moorin, mother of five children, killed by an illegal alien named Victor Martinez-Hernandez, after he raped her—their deaths are the direct result of Joe Biden’s open borders, and Governor Pritzker of Illinois, Governor Hochul of New York, Governor Spanberger of Virginia, and another dozen governors and mayors who support and maintain Sanctuary Polices for illegal aliens—who, by the way, are all Federal criminals subject to arrest and deportation—before they kill American citizens.
The latest victim, Carmen Puch is from Reston, Virginia, and a mother to a 3-year-old girl.
Puch was found by a jogger just before 7 a.m. Monday in the parking lot of Difficult Run Park along Georgetown Pike and Old Dominion Drive near her 2011 Honda Civic. Police said she had multiple stab wounds and had been doused in gas.
[Rooters] More than 150 wallets on Polymarket International may have traded on inside U.S. military information, attracting copycat bets and raising concerns that the market could broadcast signals exploitable by foreign adversaries, according to research published on Thursday.
The analysis by the nonprofit research group Anti-Corruption Data Collective, first reported by Reuters, sheds new light on likely military insider trading on the prediction market and the broader risks such activity may pose.
It comes as policymakers increase scrutiny of the booming industry following bets ahead of U.S. military actions, including that of a U.S. soldier charged in April with using classified information to bet on the removal in January of Venezuela President Nicolas Maduro, which lawmakers have said could hurt national security.
Spokespeople for Polymarket, which was founded in 2020, did not respond to requests for comment. Polymarket says it has strict controls, closely monitors for suspicious activity and has referred dozens of trader wallets to the authorities, including the Maduro case.
Polymarket's international platform settles trades on a blockchain, meaning wagers are public, although traders remain anonymous. ACDC analyzed all settled markets through May 5 to identify "long-shot" bets, which it defines as wagers of at least $2,500 placed cumulatively in an hour or less on an outcome with odds of 35% or less.
Within that universe, ACDC found 556 wallets it dubbed "Orcas," a nod to the killer whale's precise and selective hunting tactics. These traders typically opened an account and quickly placed a highly successful long-shot bet in niche markets where insiders may have an informational edge, before in many cases cashing out and disappearing.
Of those, there were 152 exceptionally successful wallets that bet on military and defense markets, making $8 million collectively, with an average win rate of 97.2%.
Orca traits may have other explanations, including pure luck, ACDC said. Likewise, not all potential insiders are Orcas. Gannon Ken Van Dyke, the soldier who prosecutors say made $400,000 betting on Maduro's ouster, built his position more slowly and is therefore not among the 152 military Orcas identified. Van Dyke has pleaded not guilty.
Still, those wallets are the most likely to be trading on military secrets, according to the report. While some of those 152 wallets have previously been flagged by other researchers and the media, ACDC says it has discovered dozens more previously unreported wallets.
The Department of Defense does not comment on intelligence‑related matters or the findings of third-party research, a spokesperson said.
COPYCATS MAY AMPLIFY INSIDER SIGNALS
Profiting from confidential government information is generally illegal, but of greater concern is evidence that military Orca trades appear to attract copycat bets from deep-pocketed "Whales" and automated trading bots, ACDC said.
Although copycat trading itself is legal and has previously been documented on prediction markets, ACDC found signs that it may amplify Orca signals and broadcast them more widely.
When an Orca bet on U.S. military action in Iran hours before the June 2025 strikes, for example, a Bot and a Whale made copycat wagers of $200,000 and $100,000, respectively. Similar Orca bets before February U.S.-Israeli air strikes on Tehran also appeared to spark a flurry of first-time long-shot bets by Bots and Whales wagering on the same outcome, the research found.
"Most people vastly underestimate how observable unusual betting activity actually is on Polymarket. It's all right there on the internet, and we can see clear signs that big traders and bots are copying potential insider trades," ACDC co-founder David Szakonyi said. "It would be naive to think foreign-intelligence agencies aren't monitoring these markets."
Polymarket has said its public ledger allows for greater scrutiny. A spokesperson for the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which is pushing for jurisdiction over prediction markets, did not comment on the findings. The regulator has said that it will strictly police misconduct in the space, and has brought charges in at least three cases so far.
ACDC comprises academics and investigators with expertise in illicit finance and aims to push anti-corruption reforms.
#2
AI Overview
Polymarket is the world's largest decentralized prediction market platform. It allows users to trade shares on the outcomes of real-world events—such as elections, sports, economics, and pop culture—
#3
...another way of polling, except you put your money into the game. Not to be confused with 'professional pollsters' who get paid by people to give them the answers they want to hear.
[BBC] There is growing evidence that weather patterns around the world are already being affected, with below-average monsoon rains in India and suppressed hurricane activity in the Atlantic Ocean.
El Niño could put the UK at greater risk of a wet, stormy autumn with signs of a very unsettled spell already showing up in long-range forecasts.
"We should be clear that this is an unprecedented event," said Prof Adam Scaife, head of long-range forecasting at the UK Met Office.
"I have never seen an El Niño signal this intense in our forecasts."
There is no clear evidence that climate change is making El Niño events more likely, but its weather impacts are likely to be more extreme in a warming world.
The **heat index** (HI) is a measure of how hot the air feels to the human body, combining **actual air temperature** with **relative humidity** to account for reduced sweat evaporation in moist conditions. Developed in 1979 by Robert G. Steadman, it estimates perceived temperature in **shaded areas** with light wind, noting that direct sunlight can increase the felt heat by up to **15°F**.
The **National Weather Service** classifies heat risk into four zones based on Fahrenheit values:
* **Caution (80–90°F):** Fatigue possible with prolonged exposure.
* **Extreme Caution (90–103°F):** Heat cramps and exhaustion possible.
* **Danger (103–124°F):** Heat exhaustion likely; heat stroke possible.
* **Extreme Danger (125°F+):** Heat stroke highly likely.
Current forecasts indicate dangerous conditions across the **Southeast** and **Texas**, with **Houston** and **Central Florida** (including **Walt Disney World**) experiencing heat indices between **108°F and 112°F**. **Northeast Florida** and **Southeast Georgia** are facing peak indices up to **115°F**, while **New York City** sees advisories for indices reaching **104°F**.
An interesting post from Instapundit. If true Trump is succeeding and the MSM doesn't want to tell us.
Related note 1: X posters who post about Iran are saying that blockade is working and the IRGC are losing lots of money every day.
Related note 2: Given the average (gullible) voter believes much of what the MSM is spouting, I think Trump is waiting until after the mid terms to take major steps regarding Iran, DOJ arrests and otherwise dealing with things & people who are trying to undermine or stop what he wants to do.
[Instapundit]
Something big is about to happen with deportations in America. You should be ready for this…
I just spoke with a senior DHS official. They shared deportation numbers with me that frankly stunned me.
Key bit: “DHS tells me blue states are quietly and very secretly working with the Trump administration to assist in the mass deportation of criminals. The criminal alien issue has become so “politically toxic” and “costly” that Democrat Governors have given the green light to Sheriffs and Police Chiefs in major blue cities to drop their illegals off with undercover ICE for removal. It’s happening. You just don’t see it.”
Related:
The Clinton Gun ban was just 22 years ago. Pistol brace BS is dead. Tax stamps are dead. FRTs are plentiful and legal. The NFA is hanging by a thread. The border is on absolute lockdown. We’re deporting ~50,000 illegals a month. And now TPS is gone. And you’re blackpilling?
[IFA] For decades, the Horn of Africa was interpreted through the map of sovereign states: military balances between capitals, disputes traced along recognized borders. That framework remains necessary but is no longer sufficient. Across the region, the decisive contest increasingly concerns not only who controls territory, but who can produce authority within it. DEFINING AUTHORITY PRODUCTION
Authority production is the practical capacity to tax movement, recruit forces, regulate trade, and settle disputes. In parts of the Horn, these functions have become partially detached from formal sovereignty as armed groups, militias, and commercial networks increasingly perform tasks once associated with the state. The map is not being redrawn through new borders; it is being reshaped through competing systems of authority operating inside and across them.
SUDAN AND SOMALIA: TWO VERSIONS OF THE SAME MECHANISM
The Africa Center for Strategic Studies identifies roughly 150 militias and armed formations influencing Sudan's political and military outcomes, many administering checkpoints and taxing transport routes. Sudan's fragmentation is institutional as well as territorial. Somalia shows a related pattern: military operations may clear territory, but the effect is rarely durable when state institutions cannot quickly replace the administrative functions previously exercised by insurgents. Al-Shabaab's use of mobile courts and systematic transit taxation demonstrates that authority is built through predictability as much as coercion.
A NECESSARY DISTINCTION
A fair objection is that describing armed groups as producing "authority" risks equating illegitimate coercion with legitimate governance, and that the analytical framing could inadvertently launder the standing of actors like Al-Shabaab or Sudanese militias. The distinction holds if stated precisely: the claim is not that these actors possess legal or moral legitimacy, which they plainly do not, but that they can acquire functional authority — the practical capacity to shape behaviour and extract compliance — even without legitimacy in law. Ignoring this distinction because it is uncomfortable would leave policymakers unable to explain why purely kinetic responses against these actors so often fail to produce durable order.
ETHIOPIA'S COUNTER-TREND
Ethiopia's central challenge is different from its neighbours': not the replacement of state authority by parallel armed administrations, but the need to strengthen the legitimacy and reach of its own formal institutions. The National Dialogue is best understood in this light — a state-led effort to keep dispute resolution within constitutional institutions rather than outsourcing it to informal or armed structures.
MAPPING THE REAL MAP
Ethiopia should establish an interagency authority-mapping function linking foreign affairs, border administration, and customs institutions to maintain a continuously updated picture of formal and informal authority near its frontiers, and use it to inform corridor agreements with practical risk assessments of local gatekeepers and informal taxation systems, not only sovereign-level agreements with partner governments. Borderland policy should combine security presence with local administration and lawful commerce, so border communities experience the state as the most reliable provider of order, while Ethiopia encourages AU and IGAD mediation frameworks to treat authority restoration — taxation, justice, service delivery — as a core measure of implementation rather than a secondary post-conflict concern.
CONCLUSION
The central strategic question is no longer only who holds the border. It is who governs the systems through which people, goods, and legitimacy move. Ethiopia's advantage will depend on recognizing that shift earlier than others and shaping its regional posture accordingly.
NOTES
1. Africa Center for Strategic Studies, Mapping the Armed Actors in the Sudan Conflict.
2. International Crisis Group, New Chapter, Same Stalemate: Somalia's War with Al-Shabaab.
3. Ethiopian News Agency, reporting on Ethiopia's National Dialogue and consensus-building process.
4. African Arguments, What Al-Shabaab Understands About Somali Authority.
[FOX] Two nonprofits subpoenaed in a House Ways and Means Committee investigation into communist tech tycoon Neville Roy Singham's funding network have formally objected to the congressional subpoenas, accusing lawmakers of reviving "Red Scare" tactics to target them because of their political views.
In letters from their attorneys to the committee, New York City-based BreakThrough News, a pro-China media outlet, and Peoples Forum Inc., a socialist activist group, argued the subpoenas violate the First Amendment.
They claim lawmakers are targeting their free speech, journalism and political advocacy rather than conducting a legitimate tax-law investigation.
In a statement to Fox News Digital, House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Jason Smith, R-Mo., defended the investigation and criticized the organizations' refusal to comply with the July 21 subpoenas.
"Make no mistake: Compliance with a congressional subpoena isn't optional, and the Committee will use all tools it has available to investigate whether foreign actors are exploiting our tax code to sow chaos and create division," Smith said.
[News With Views] Tina Peters is to be the new deputy registrar of voters in Shasta County, California, according to a report at the Hill, published by World New Daily!
Tina Peters was put through literal hell in Colorado, the deep blue state who coddles criminals and tries to kill Conservatives who expose their election fraud.
"In an appearance on ’The Northstate Breakdown,’ Clint Curtis, a Shasta County clerk and registrar of voters, stated that he planned to hire Peters to replace Brent Turner, his top deputy, who has been on medical leave," the report said. I find it reassuring to know that there exist sane officials in that state, who have the courage to bring on someone who is committed to honest elections. Thank you to Mr. Curtis!
Of course lots of Californians are messing in their designer jeans, screaming that Tina Peters belongs in jail, not in their state! Guess they are afraid of the amount of malfeasance she might find there!
Both Gov. Gavin and Sen. Alex Padilla demanded that Tina be fired immediately! It doesn’t get better than this, folks.
Remember, that during the 2020 election, Trump was leading Joe Biden in multiple states, all of which "stopped" counting votes for the night, then resumed the next day to count literal boxes and boxes of ballots — virtually all for Joe Biden.
Don’t forget, too, that Mark Zuckerberg handed out some $400 million to local election officials who often used the cash windfall to recruit voters in Democrat districts, The mess, with Hunter’s laptop also was wiped clean about that same time.
More than enough to infuriate most of us who care about honesty.
Peters’ sentence also stood our for its harshness. One of Gov. Jared Polis’ friends had been convicted of similarly trying to "interfere"with an election BUT was given probation.
All praise to Ms. Peters. She is a Gold Star Mom, 73 years old, and has cancer. Most in her situation would have sat down, stepped back from life and/or given up entirely. Tina Peters, instead, is taking a new job in a strange state (for sure!) because she is committed to our Republic and its very survival.
Tina Peters has a vision for free and fair elections, which includes security, transparency and complete integrity and a lot of reforms to bring those about, including paper ballots and voter verification (SAVE ACT!).
We wish Tina the best in her new job and new home, and thank her for the great news that American Patriots needed, in the face of the newly formed Socialist/Communist/Muslim alliance that has shown itself in this primary season.
A multi-volume chronology and reference guide set detailing three years of the Mexican Drug War between 2010 and 2012.
Rantburg.com and borderlandbeat.com correspondent and author Chris Covert presents his first non-fiction work detailing
the drug and gang related violence in Mexico.
Chris gives us Mexican press dispatches of drug and gang war violence
over three years, presented in a multi volume set intended to chronicle the death, violence and mayhem which has
dominated Mexico for six years.
Rantburg was assembled from recycled algorithms in the United States of America. No
trees were destroyed in the production of this weblog. We did hurt some, though. Sorry.
