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2023-10-13 Syria-Lebanon-Iran

Palestinian gambit. Who plays the Middle Eastern kings

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Posted by badanov 2023-10-13 00:00|| E-Mail|| Front Page|| [19 views ] Top
File under: Govt of Iran

#1 The first is that the conflict was orchestrated by Iran and the Palestinians find themselves as bargaining pawns in Tehran’s gambit combination.

I believe that the following applies.
(a) The attack was organized by Iran.
Years of preparation, technical complexity, the combination with a massive rocket attack - all point to IRGC.
(b) Iran was surprised
I believe that they planned is to take huge number of Israeli hostages. The inevitable surrender of Israeli Government would be a smarting defeat for Israel and yield substantial benefits to Iran. However, they underestimated Gazan blood lust (even the west bank Palestinians consider Gazans to be savages).

(c) In recent years, Israeli intelligence services have killed a lot of Iranian officers, as well as nuclear physicists. Organized a number of cyber attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities. Iranian convoys and bases in Syria were bombed.

That's nothing compared what'll happen to Iran in near future.

Posted by Grom the Reflective 2023-10-13 03:35|| 2023-10-13 03:35|| Front Page Top

#2 I suspect this is a second attempt by Iran at catching Israel in a pincer between the West Bank and Gaza, with Hezbollah’s vaunted 150,000 missiles coming in over the Lebanese border for emphasis' and Iran’s army as a distant overseeing threat to remind Israel that her job is to surrender.

And just like last time, Hezbollah baulked, the West Bank’s plots were spiked by extensive IDF raids removing their men and materiél, leaving Gaza to rise up all on its own — and reap the pleasures of concentrated IDF attention all on its own as well.

Posted by trailing wife 2023-10-13 05:22|| 2023-10-13 05:22|| Front Page Top

#3 ^It would seem that, as TW said, the West Bank/FATAH bureau and the Lebanon/Hezbollah Shin Bet bureaus did their jobs. Was the Gaza/HAMAS Bureau so busy distracted about Netanyahu that they could not discern that this was a 'Big One' and not the the endemic plots and schemes?

Of course Iran/HAMAS could have been unusually competent this time --that's why the enemy is called 'the enemy' because they too get a vote in how things turn out.

Posted by magpie 2023-10-13 18:08|| 2023-10-13 18:08|| Front Page Top

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