Article

2025-06-23 Syria-Lebanon-Iran

No nuclear contamination or risks to civilian caused by US airstrikes, Iran confirms; sat. images indicate severe damage to Fordo

Archived material is restricted to Rantburg regulars and members. If you need access email fred.pruitt=at=gmail.com with your nick to be added to the members list. There is no charge to join Rantburg as a member.

Posted by Fred 2025-06-23 00:00|| E-Mail|| Front Page|| [288 views ] Top
File under: Govt of Iran

#1

SOME THINGS TO THINK ABOUT.

1.UN nuclear watchdog chief Rafael Grossi slipped up and tells us. IAEA inspectors known IRAN already has 4,400 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60%. BUT! For an extended time, the UN IAEA inspectors have not known where it is stored.

2. A simple gun-type fission bomb, like the one dropped on Hiroshima, required 64+/- kg of highly enriched uranium. However, modern weapons use much less, thanks to advanced leaked designs.

3. Iranian Centrifuge farms show ready supply and certain important key equipment has been set up, so it can be quickly moved. Then set back up at a pre-build alternate location and be back in operation in as little as 21 days.

4. Uranium in the Hiroshima bomb was about 80 percent uranium 235. Of the 64 kilograms of uranium in that bomb, less than one kilogram underwent actual fission.

5. The entire energy of the Hiroshima explosion came from just over half a gram of matter that was converted to energy. That is about the weight of a butterfly.

6. Technically, a nuclear weapon can be made with as little as 20% enriched uranium-235.

7. So the missing 4,400 KG of Uranium enriched at 60, could be used to make a dozen or so low yield, or as many dirty bombs.

8. Imagine popping a dirty bomb over the NYC business district, or Times Sq. on New Year Eve.

9. now use "https://nuclearsecrecy.com/nukemap/" and detonate a small 10 KT over your chosen target

Posted by NN2N1 2025-06-23 04:34|| 2025-06-23 04:34|| Front Page Top

#2 THINGS TO THINK ABOUT

Midnight Hammer is 'mission accomplished' but there's one big red flag

Posted by Skidmark 2025-06-23 05:37|| 2025-06-23 05:37|| Front Page Top

#3 Caine said initial assessments indicated that the sites suffered extremely severe damage, but declined to speculate about whether any nuclear facilities remained intact.

Security source: We struck the access road to Fordow nuclear facility—not the site itself

Posted by Grom the Affective 2025-06-23 06:55|| 2025-06-23 06:55|| Front Page Top

#4 Not sure why Americans keep looking for simple solutions to this. We don’t want Iran to have nukes; we don’t want to be embroiled in another foriegn war with boots on the ground; we don’t want the mullah in charge; we don’t want Hormuz closed to shipping by mines, Boghammers, and drones. Nor do we want Iran to descend into another hell state like Libya, Syria or Afghanistan. Mostly, we don’t want to miss Dancing With the Stars. Living in an adult world is tough.

Posted by Super Hose 2025-06-23 07:07|| 2025-06-23 07:07|| Front Page Top

#5 @1 The entire energy of the Hiroshima explosion came from just over half a gram of matter that was converted to energy.

That's Einstein's mass defect E=mc**2 which applies to all physical processes including chemical explosions.

The only known process that could release this energy is matter antimatter annihilation.

A gram of highly enriched Uranium poses no threat beyond that of a radioactive alpha emitter with a half-life in the hundreds of millions of years.

This stuff shouldn't be inhaled or ingested but it can not cause a nuclear explosion.

Posted by Elmerert Hupens2660 2025-06-23 09:37|| 2025-06-23 09:37|| Front Page Top

#6 8. Imagine popping a dirty bomb over the NYC business district, or Times Sq. on New Year Eve.
I can and I am underwhelmed. Two factors: dosage and half-life make the 'dirty bomb threat' a boogie man story. Dosage is the problem that bedevils the users of chemical weapons: how do you get the payload to spread efficiently? Half-life means that the longer the half-life the less radioactive the isotope is in practice and Uranium has a half-life of millions of years(!). Uranium and Plutonium are toxic chemically but not as dangerous as many other poisons.

Posted by magpie 2025-06-23 09:57|| 2025-06-23 09:57|| Front Page Top

#7 Scientific American did an analysis of this maybe 30 years ago, including areas uninhabitable for various periods. They surmised the deaths from the panic to get out of town would be much worse than the radioactive effects.

Posted by Bobby 2025-06-23 10:33|| 2025-06-23 10:33|| Front Page Top

#8 There are nonradioactive chemicals (not traditional chemical weapons agents) that would have a far more devastating impact if they were used in an attack.

This is no secret. Reports on these chemicals have appeared in popular science media for decades, which is how I learned about this.

Uranium per se is not much of a danger.

Posted by Elmerert Hupens2660 2025-06-23 10:56|| 2025-06-23 10:56|| Front Page Top

#9 Biggest bang for the buck would be a high altitude nuclear explosion(s) causing EMP & widespread electric blackouts over thousands of square miles of territory.

Posted by Anguper Hupomosing9418 2025-06-23 12:25|| 2025-06-23 12:25|| Front Page Top

#10 Off topic,
Qutar just closed their air space.

Posted by The Walking Unvaxed 2025-06-23 12:58|| 2025-06-23 12:58|| Front Page Top

#11 Qatar

Posted by The Walking Unvaxed 2025-06-23 12:59|| 2025-06-23 12:59|| Front Page Top

#12 Explosions in Doha: Iran launches 11 missiles at Qatar, Iraq | Live updates

Posted by Grom the Affective 2025-06-23 13:28|| 2025-06-23 13:28|| Front Page Top

#13 ^It was on US base - Iran coordinated with Qatari officials the attack on the US. Air Force base Al-Udeid in Qatar to minimize the number of casualties..
All missiles intercepted.
This was reported by The New York Times, citing three Iranian sources familiar with the details, who added that Iran needed to strike back at the U.S. "symbolically," but at the same time carried out the attack in a way that would allow all parties to "climb down the tree" - similar to Iran's retaliatory action at the American base in Iraq after the assassination of Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani.

Posted by Grom the Affective 2025-06-23 13:44|| 2025-06-23 13:44|| Front Page Top

#14 Fred put up a post on the situation in Qatar here.

Posted by trailing wife 2025-06-23 14:04|| 2025-06-23 14:04|| Front Page Top

23:54 EMS Artifact
23:09 Rambler
22:24 Anguper Hupomosing9418
22:17 Grom on palmtop
21:56 DooDahMan
21:16 Glenmore
21:14 Glenmore
20:15 NN2N1
19:47 trailing wife
19:33 3dc
19:31 Skidmark
19:29 3dc
18:43 Skidmark
18:40 Skidmark
18:33 Skidmark
18:31 Skidmark
18:28 Skidmark
18:14 NN2N1
17:09 Glenmore
17:06 Grom the Affective
17:04 Glenmore
16:59 Glenmore
16:32 lord garth
16:28 Secret Master
Merry-Go-Blog