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India-Pakistan
Senior TTP leader still alive? Drone 'targeting' Sajna kills 18 militants
2016-02-04
[DAWN] Eighteen Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistain (TTP) Death Eaters of the banned
...the word banned seems to have a different meaning in Pakistain than it does in most other places. Or maybe it simply lacks any meaning at all...
organization
's Sajna group were killed in a drone strike in Afghanistan's Paktika
...which coincidentally borders South Wazoo...
province on Monday night, security sources said.

Members of the TTP offshoot were holding a meeting in Paktika's Birmal area during which its leader Khan Said Sajna was expected to appear, sources said.

It is pertinent to mention that Sajna was reported killed in a drone strike last year, but the information had not been independently verified. The Mehsud tribal faction, which Sajna heads, had not denied claims of Sajna's death at the time.

Of the TTP men killed today, 14 belong to the Mehsud tribe and four to the Wazir tribe.

Claims relating to the strike and the deaths could not be independently verified.

Khan Said Sajna became TTP's deputy leader following the death of Wali-ur-Rehman in May 2013. He fought in Afghanistan and is believed to be involved in the attack on a Naval base in Bloody Karachi
...formerly the capital of Pakistain, now merely its most important port and financial center. It is among the largest cities in the world, with a population of 18 million, most of whom hate each other and many of whom are armed and dangerous...
Sajna is credited with criminal masterminding a 2012 jailbreak in which the Taliban freed 400 inmates from a prison in Bannu.

Khan Said Sajna leads the Mehsud faction, which split from TTP in May 2014 after former TTP leader Hakimullah Mehsud was killed in a United States (US) drone strike.

In a public statement following the split, he stated his continued commitment to terrorist activity. The US designated Sajna a global terrorist in Oct 2014.
Link


India-Pakistan
Eleven member jirga to hold talks with Mehsud Taliban
2014-10-27
[DAWN] A Mehsud tribal jirga, likely to be headed by the father-in-law of the slain Taliban leader Baitullah Mehsud, will negotiate for peace talks between the Taliban's Mehsud faction led by Khan Said 'Sajna' and the government, sources said.

Well placed sources confirmed that the jirga will comprise of eleven key Mehsud tribal elders and that a consensus has been reached on its name.

The sources also said that a secret meeting was held on Saturday by the Mehsud tribal jirga in Tank, where they agreed to negotiate between the government and the Mehsud Taliban.

Khan Said became Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistain (TTP) deputy leader following the death of Wali-ur-Rehman in May 2013.

He is believed to be involved in the attack on a Naval base in Bloody Karachi
...formerly the capital of Pakistain, now merely its most important port and financial center. It is among the largest cities in the world, with a population of 18 million, most of whom hate each other and many of whom are armed and dangerous...
, and is also credited with criminal masterminding a 2012 jailbreak in which the Taliban freed 400 inmates from a prison in Bannu.

The Mehsud faction, which Said leads, split from the TTP in May 2014. In a public statement following the split, Said had stated his commitment to continue carrying out terrorist acts in the country.
Link


India-Pakistan
Tepid outrage over terrorism
2014-01-18
[Pak Daily Times] Bloody Karachi
...formerly the capital of Pakistain, now merely its most important port and financial center. It is among the largest cities in the world, with a population of 18 million, most of whom hate each other and many of whom are armed and dangerous...
's tough cop Chaudhry Aslam Khan, a leader of the terrorist-battered Awami National Party (ANP) Mian Mushtaq, several security personnel guarding the Pakistain Mohammedan League-Nawaz (PML-N) leader Amir Muqam and, of course, the hero of Hangu, young Aitzaz Hassan were all martyred at the hands of the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistain (TTP) in the past several days. Elsewhere in the world such attacks would have triggered a swift and befitting response by the state, but not in Pakistain. Why would it be any different now?

Had this country not opted for inaction when Benazir Bhutto
... 11th Prime Minister of Pakistain in two non-consecutive terms from 1988 until 1990 and 1993 until 1996. She was the daughter of Zulfikar Ali Bhutto, founder of the Pakistain People's Party, who was murdered at the instigation of General Ayub Khan. She was murdered in her turn by person or persons unknown while campaigning in late 2007. Suspects include, to note just a few, Baitullah Mehsud, General Pervez Musharraf, the ISI, al-Qaeda in Pakistain, and her husband, Asif Ali Zardari, who shows remarkably little curiosity about who done her in...
was martyred? Did it move at all when the lionhearted Bashir Bilour was slain? Before that, did the state not fail to budge after the deaths of the Inspector General Police (IGP) Malik Saad, Superintendent Police (SP) Khan Raziq and scores of ANP workers in one bombing? Pakistain, it seems, has a remarkably high pain tolerance. Every time agony is inflicted on its people by the terrorists, the Pak leadership squanders the opportunity to build consensus for decisive action. Choosing dithering and confusion over resolve and clarity has become the hallmark of the Pak state.

Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif
... served two non-consecutive terms as prime minister, heads the Pakistain Moslem League (Nawaz). Noted for his spectacular corruption, the 1998 Pak nuclear test, border war with India, and for being tossed by General Musharraf...
's timely but tepid recognition of the sacrifice rendered by the 15-year-old Aitzaz and Mr Imran Khan
... aka Taliban Khan, who ain't the sharpest bulb on the national tree...
reprimanding his own government in Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa
... formerly NWFP, still Terrorism Central...
for failing to reach out to the young hero's family is somewhat of a departure from the past but why could Mr Sharif not be his usual magnanimous self in honouring Aitzaz? The boy rendered the ultimate sacrifice -- his conscious decision by all accounts -- laying down his life to save his schoolmates from a terrorist maniac. What more could he do to earn the Nishan-e-Shujaat, the top civilian award for gallantry? Why did the prime minister settle for the third highest award, the Sitara-e-Shujaat, is better known to him and is his prerogative. However,
a lie repeated often enough remains a lie...
he may wish to consider that if only the Pak state had the guts to grapple with gunnies like Aitzaz did, things may have been different today.

Mr Imran Khan's statement is welcome but, yet again, he condemned only the murder and not the murderers whom he calls his brothers and 'our people'. His coalition partner, the Jamaat-e-Islami
...The Islamic Society, founded in 1941 in Lahore by Maulana Sayyid Abul Ala Maududi, aka The Great Apostosizer. The Jamaat opposed the independence of Bangladesh but has operated an independent branch there since 1975. It maintains close ties with international Mohammedan groups such as the Moslem Brotherhood. the Taliban, and al-Qaeda. The Jamaat's objectives are the establishment of a pure Islamic state, governed by Sharia law. It is distinguished by its xenophobia, and its opposition to Westernization, capitalism, socialism, secularism, and liberalist social mores...
's (JI's) Liaquat Baloch called Aitzaz a shaheed (martyr). Just months prior, the JI's chief had called the TTP ringleader, Hakeemullah Mehsud, a martyr. Mr Khan and his JI partners cannot have their jihadist cake and eat it too. They will have to choose sides. Aitzaz is a martyr and Hakeemullah was a merciless killer and thug. The TTP may be Mr Khan's 'own people' but they are enemy number one of the Pak people. Mr Khan and the JI types cannot have it both ways -- they must come clean on terrorism. The opium of negotiations that they have been peddling has paralysed the Pak state. Mr Khan, with massive help from the media, has reduced the complex issue of jihadist terrorism to merely a reaction to the drone attacks. His solution is fantastically simple too: talk to what is the lunatic fringe even among the terrorists. The Pashtuns are facing an existential threat: families are moving out of Beautiful Downtown Peshawar
...capital of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (formerly known as the North-West Frontier Province), administrative and economic hub for the Federally Administered Tribal Areas of Pakistan. Peshawar is situated near the eastern end of the Khyber Pass, convenient to the Pak-Afghan border. Peshawar has evolved into one of Pakistan's most ethnically and linguistically diverse cities, which means lots of gunfire.
in droves, the jihadist extortion is rampant and the TTP is encroaching upon the outskirts of the city. It is no different in Charsadda, Mardan and Nowshera. The people do not have the luxury to wait for Mr Khan's experiments in governance.

However,
a lie repeated often enough remains a lie...
the ultimate responsibility to pull the country out of this morass still rests with Mr Nawaz Sharif. His interior minister, Chaudhry Nisar Ali Khan, has been shooting -- or more accurately talking -- in the dark. It seems that he has ghost emissaries reaching out to ghost Taliban and conducting ghost negotiations. The process that Chaudhry Nisar has been promising for six months never did take off. There were no talks before the TTP honchos Wali-ur-Rehman and Hakeemullah Mehsud were killed and none whatsoever afterwards. The interior minister owes the people a candid explanation. Someone recently wrote that the interior minister is leaning towards a Plan B, i.e. military action against the TTP. The fact is that the PML-N government is merely plodding along and has no comprehensive plan whatsoever to tackle the militancy nationwide.

Whatever the PML-N's understanding with the Punjab-based jihadists is, it seems to be working. Nawaz Sharif's government appears in no hurry to take the terrorism bull by the horns so long as the beast remains in FATA and Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa. The PML-N's cavalier attitude to even its preferred solution of talks is reflected by reportedly asking Maulana Samiul Haq
...the Godfather of the Taliban, leader of his own faction of the JUI. Known as Mullah Sandwich for his habit of having two young boys at a time...
to act as an intermediary with the Taliban. It cannot be lost on the government that, as recently as a few weeks ago, the Haqqani network men were conducting prayer services for their assassinated leader Nasiruddin Haqqani in the vicinity of Maulana Samiul Haq's Haqqaniyah Madrassa in Akora. The PML-N has to get its act together, and soon. Relying on Samiul Haq types is a recipe for bigger disasters.

The Taliban are trying to project power but, by all accounts, still remain on the ropes. There is bickering among various TTP factions and with their transnational jihadist cohorts. A spike in extortions -- including in Islamabad -- and new recruitment videos indicate an element of desperation in the TTP. The Mehsud faction apparently is refusing to share the kitty left behind by Hakeemullah. This is when the state has its chance to assert its power instead of the interior minister's wishy-washy statements about how difficult it is to fight terrorism. Mr Nawaz Sharif must put his house in order if he wishes to do something meaningful about the TTP hordes. Given the abysmal performance of some of his lieutenants, he may even have to consider a cabinet reshuffle. He simply cannot afford to have his ministers waffling at such critical junctures.

The military seems inclined to take on the TTP and General Raheel Sharif's tribute to the hero of Hangu was perhaps the most unequivocal one in Pakistain. Whether the military will abandon its Afghan proxies is highly suspect but, unless it cuts them loose, it may just be chasing its tail. However,
a lie repeated often enough remains a lie...
for all of that to happen, the narrative has to be wrestled back from the jihadists' advocates in the political parties and the media. This is where Mr Sharif will have to take charge, pronounce his vision clearly, set the goals and cut through the confusion spread by TTP apologists. Things as they stand are untenable but is Mr Sharif up to the task? Unfortunately, his tepid outrage over terrorism suggests otherwise.
Link


India-Pakistan
Despite talks offer, Nawaz gets tough on militants
2013-07-25
Long piece that is mostly 'inside cricket', as Nawaz learns that just because he stamps his feet he doesn't get his way. He's going to get deposed by the military when he over-steps, just like last time.
Months after promising peace talks with militants, Pakistan’s new prime minister appears to be backing down and accepting that the use of military force may be unavoidable in the face of escalating violence across the country.

Almost 200 people have been killed in rebel attacks in Pakistan since Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif came to power last month, advocating peace talks with the Pakistani Taleban. Sharif’s tougher line signals that Pakistan’s powerful military still has the upper hand in policy-making, despite hopes that the government would have a larger say after he came to power in the country’s first transition between civilian administrations.

“Of course we want to try talks but they are a far off possibility,” said a government official, who has knowledge of discussions between civilian and military leaders on how to tackle the Taleban. “There is so much ground work that needs to be done. And when you are dealing with a group as diverse and internally divided as the Pakistani Taleban, then you can never be sure that every sub-group would honour talks.”

The military has ruled Pakistan for more than half the 66 years it has been independent.

Seeking to dispel a view that he is losing the momentum, Sharif, who once said that “guns and bullets are not always the answer”, has promised to come up with a new security strategy. But progress has been painfully slow, blighted by infighting and the army’s long-standing distrust over the civilian leadership.

An official report into the killing of Osama bin Laden by US forces in Pakistan in 2011, leaked this month, offered striking insights into just how deep this distrust runs. In the document, the former chief of the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) agency, which is dominated by the military, was quoted as saying bluntly that the country’s political leadership was “unable to formulate any policy”.

In the meantime, attacks continue unabated.

“They (the Pakistani Taleban) see this as an opportunity. They want to send a message to Nawaz Sharif of their strength and his relative weakness,” said Ahmed Rashid, an author and expert on the Taleban. “The army is against the talks right now. They want to hammer these guys a little bit more.”

Yet, the military and the ISI are in favour of talks involving the Taleban in neighbouring Afghanistan. Although the Pakistani Taleban accept the leader of the Afghan faction as their own leader, the two groups operate separately.

Pakistan’s military leaders are at pains to distinguish between the Afghan Taleban, which they argue can be seen as fighting against occupation, and its local imitators who they see as domestic terrorists.

The United States, Pakistan’s biggest donor, wants Islamabad to come up with a clear plan and step up its campaign against groups such as the Haqqani network which regularly attacks US forces in Afghanistan from hideouts in Pakistani border mountains. The Haqqani network is allied to the Afghan Taleban, but has bases in the rugged borderland between Afghanistan and Pakistan where other militant groups are also based.

“The hardball talk (from the government) has only come because the militants have shown that they really don’t care (who is in power),” said Samina Ahmed, South Asia Project Director for the International Crisis Group. “(The Taleban) are willing to take them on regardless.”

Known as the Tehreek-e-Taleban, the Pakistani Taleban is a loose alliance of Al Qaeda-linked militants fighting to topple the government and to enforce austere Shariah law. The army says talking to them is meaningless unless they lay down their arms.

But the Taleban themselves, enraged by a May 28 drone strike that killed their deputy chief, Wali-ur-Rehman, are in no mood for negotiations either.

“We have authorised our people all over Pakistan to fully react if the government and security forces conduct operations against them,” said one Taleban commander in the tribal western region of South Waziristan. Indeed, ceasefire deals have failed in the past, only allowing militants to regroup and strike again.

Sharif’s plan sees a shift from the previous government’s 3D policy of “deterrence, development, democracy” to “dismantle, contain, prevent, educate and reintegrate”.

It’s unclear what this means in practice, and there is still no consensus. An all-party conference, designed as a step in adopting the new security plan, has been postponed indefinitely.

One stumbling block is the military — Pakistan’s army largely has a free hand regarding internal security. It is the army, its intelligence agencies and the Taleban themselves who will decide whether to talk or fight.

Politicians hope that may be changing.

“The army also understands that it can’t go it alone any more and for the sake of domestic stability and for its own survival, it may just relent,” said a source in Sharif’s ruling PML-N party. For now, Sharif, who has twice been prime minister and was ousted in a 1999 military coup, is manoeuvring carefully.

He has made a rare visit to the ISI headquarters to confront the generals face-to-face, while also ordering to set up a working group to initiate peace talks with militant groups. His main idea is to establish an independent body above the government to coordinate intelligence-sharing and correct what is known in Pakistan as the “civilian-military imbalance”. Some in the military believe the ball is in his court.

“Today it would be incorrect to say that the army has full control over policy-making,” said one retired senior army officer. “It is just fashionable to say the army doesn’t let civilians work. Question is, do they want to work?”
Link


India-Pakistan
Taliban kills foreign climbers
2013-06-23
Gunmen stormed a camp on Pakistan’s second largest mountain on Sunday, killing nine foreign climbers in a brazen assault that could deal a blow to the country’s efforts to jumpstart its tourism industry.

Pakistan’s Taliban claimed responsibility for the attack, calling it retribution for a suspected U.S. drone strike last month that killed Wali ur-Rehman, the second highest-ranking leader of the terrorist group.

“Through this killing we gave a message to international community to ask U.S. to stop drone strikes,” said Ehsanullah Ehsan, a Taliban spokesman.

The attack in northern Pakistan at Nanga Parbat, the world’s ninth tallest mountain, occurred around 1 a.m. as the climbers and their guides were at a camp at about 4,000 feet above sea level. According to local and regional officials, about a dozen gunmen tied up the climbers’ Pakistani guides before shooting the climbers as they slept in tents.

The attackers reportedly wore police uniforms, an increasingly common tactic Taliban militants have used to evade scrutiny.

In all, 11 people were killed, including five from Ukraine, three from China and one from Russia. Two Pakistanis were also reportedly killed. At least one Chinese tourist survived and was later rescued from the area, known as Ferry Meadows, officials said.

The assault occurred in the picturesque Gilgit Ballistan area, a popular tourist area in the Himalayan Mountains near the country’s border with China. Nanga Parbat rises to an elevation of 26,660 feet. The world’s second largest mountain, K2, with an elevation of 28,251, straddles Gilgit Ballistan's border with China.
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India-Pakistan
Seven killed in suspected U.S. drone strike in Pakistan
2013-06-07
A suspected U.S. drone strike killed seven people Friday night in northwest Pakistan, two days after the country’s new prime minister vowed to stop such attacks.

Pakistani intelligence officials said the attack occurred shortly after sunset in a forested tribal area that straddles North and South Waziristan, not far from the border with Afghanistan. Four people were seriously hurt, said the officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity.

It was not immediately known who was targeted, but the region is a stronghold of the Pakistani Taliban, blamed by U.S. officials for unrelenting violence on both sides of the Afghan border.

The strike came a little more than a week after a suspected U.S. drone in the same region killed Wali ur-Rehman, second in command of the Pakistani Taliban, which is linked by officials to a 2009 attack that killed seven Americans at a CIA facility in Afghanistan.
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India-Pakistan
First U.S. drone strike under new Pakistan prime minister kills seven
2013-06-08
[REUTERS] A U.S. drone strike killed seven people and maimed three in northwest Pakistain late on Friday, security officials said, in the first such attack since the swearing-in of Nawaz Sharif
... served two non-consecutive terms as prime minister, heads the Pakistain Moslem League (Nawaz). Noted for his spectacular corruption, the 1998 Pak nuclear test, border war with India, and for being tossed by General Musharraf...
as prime minister this week.

In his inaugural address to parliament, Sharif called for an immediate end to U.S. drone strikes on bully boys, which many view as a breach of Pakistain's illusory sovereignty.

The bombing comes 10 days after a similar U.S. drone attack killed the Pak Taliban's second-in-command, Wali-ur-Rehman, and six others in a major blow to the bully boy group.

President Barack Obama
If you have a small business, you didn't build that...
said last month the United States would scale back drone strikes, only using them when a threat was "continuing and imminent".

Friday's attack was on a compound near the Afghan border in North Wazoo region, 45 km (25 miles) west of the regional capital Miranshah
... headquarters of al-Qaeda in Pakistain and likely location of Ayman al-Zawahiri. The Haqqani network has established a ministate in centered on the town with courts, tax offices and lots of madrassas...
. At least two missiles were fired from the unmanned aircraft and the corpse count could rise, the sources said.
Link


India-Pakistan
Pakistan's Taliban rejects peace talks, citing Wally's death in drone strike
2013-05-31
[Washington Post] Pakistain's Taliban said Thursday that it will not participate in peace talks with the country's new government and will extract "Dire Revenge™ in the strongest way" after one of its top leaders was killed in a suspected U.S. drone strike.

Confirming the death of Wali ur-Rehman, the second-ranking leader of the myrmidon group, the Taliban's chief front man blamed Pakistain's government for not doing more to prevent CIA-launched drone strikes on Pak soil.

"The government has failed to stop drone strikes, so we decided to end any talks with the government," Ehsanullah Ehsan, the front man, said in a phone interview. "Our attacks in Pakistain will continue."

U.S. officials had blamed Rehman, who was the chief deputy to Pak Taliban leader Hakimullah Mehsud, for a series of bloody cross-border attacks against U.S. and NATO
...the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. A single organization with differing goals, equipment, language, doctrine, and organization....
personnel in Afghanistan, including a 2009 assault that killed seven Americans at a CIA facility.

In a move that appeared to test President B.O.'s revised policy for the use of unmanned drones, two missiles were fired into a house Wednesday in Pakistain's North Wazoo tribal region. Rehman was killed along with at least three other myrmidons.

Pakistain's national government condemned the strike, but it comes less than a week before the swearing-in of a new national assembly that is expected to install Nawaz Sharif
... served two non-consecutive terms as prime minister, heads the Pakistain Moslem League (Nawaz). Noted for his spectacular corruption, the 1998 Pak nuclear test, border war with India, and for being tossed by General Musharraf...
as prime minister. Sharif, who twice held the post in the 1990s, campaigned against continued U.S. drone strikes in the May 11 national elections, as did numerous Pak politicians.
Link


India-Pakistan
Pakistan: Wali ur-Rehman killed by US drone strike
2013-05-30
[GUARDIAN.CO.UK] Just days after Barack Obama announced new restrictions on the use of drones, one of the CIA's unmanned aircraft is reported to have killed the deputy leader of the Pakistani Taliban -- one of the most significant strikes for the controversial programme in months.

It was the first drone strike since Pakistanis voted overwhelmingly on 11 May for political parties strongly opposed to the US use of drones.

It could complicate the first days in office of Nawaz Sharif, the incoming prime minister who has vowed to open peace talks with insurgents and is due to assume office on 5 June.

Pakistani security officials claimed Wali ur-Rehman was among the four people killed when a missile launched in the early hours of Wednesday from a drone struck a house in Chamsa, a village a mile from Miranshah, the political capital of North Waziristan, a Taliban stronghold.

However, the Taliban refused to concede the death of Rehman, the most senior military commander of the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP). A man claiming to be Rehman's driver also vociferously denied that the leader had been killed, but admitted other militants had died in the missile strike.

In recent years, militants, particularly senior leaders, have taken great pains to avoid congregating in houses, in efforts to protect themselves from strikes in North Waziristan. However, in 2013 the number of strikes has steeply declined.

Information about drone strikes is notoriously hard to verify. The Pakistani military and insurgent groups prevent journalists and investigators from visiting attack sites. Claims by intelligence sources can be inaccurate or deliberately designed to deceive.

Despite media reports suggesting Obama intended to severely rein in the use of lethal drone strikes, the president made clear in an address at the National Defence University last week that they would have to continue in Pakistan in the runup to the end of the Nato combat mission in Afghanistan next year.

He said drones were needed to kill senior al-Qaida leaders who could not be captured, but also "against forces that are massing to support attacks on coalition forces" in Afghanistan.

Pakistan's foreign ministry released a statement repeating a familiar stance on drone attacks that the government has long publicly opposed, despite considerable evidence of past complicity in the programme.
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India-Pakistan
TTP Peace Talks: Facts and Fiction
2013-03-17
[Friday Times] A lot has so far been said and written by analysts about the peace talks offered by Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistain in a video message released to the media on February 3. So far the crux of all commentaries is that TTP is not serious about any peace talks and it is only interested in buying some time to reorganize itself and in the process also wants to send out a message to those within its ranks and files who want peace with the government that actually it's the government which is least interested. Nominating Adnan Rashid, a convicted murderer, with the precondition that talks will be only held within the parameters of constitution and law set by the All Parties Conference (called by ANP in Islamabad on 14 February) gives credence to the above mentioned arguments.

Notwithstanding, some very interesting developments have unfolded both within and outside the geographical borders of Pakistain and it seems that the impetus for the 'Peace Talks' offer extended by TTP owes much to these developments. Firstly Tehrik-e-Taliban Afghanistan has formally started negotiations with the US and Afghan government on the Afghan imbroglio. Both sides are showing the required flexibility by burying all preconditions which were previously attached to such dialogues. After this development TTP is haunted by the fear that if the Afghan Peace and reconciliation process succeeds it will certainly marginalize and isolate it on two accounts. Firstly the pretext on which the TTP are attracting recruits to its folds will diminish i.e. they claim that foreign forces are occupying Afghanistan and they have every right to wage jihad against US and its allies. And secondly TTP Mehsud group depends on others for its strength. For instance Hakimullah Mehsud and Wali-ur-Rehman both lost their area (South Wazoo Agency) to the Pak Army during operation Rah-e-Nijat. They are now operating from North Waziristan Agency where they are backed by Maulana Sadiq Noor of Khatti Kalai who is Dawar of the minority tribe of North Waziristan Agency. They also derive their strength from non-locals such as Punjabi Taliban, Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan, Arab, Chechen and other smaller groups. It is believed that if these groups relocate themselves to other fragile parts of the world if and when US and NATO
...the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. A single organization with differing goals, equipment, language, doctrine, and organization....
forces withdraw from the region, Mehsud group will obviously lose ground in North Waziristan, its operational base, as majority of locals are against them.

Similarly Hafiz Gul Bahadar the local Taliban capo of North Waziristan, Who is Utmanzai Wazir by tribe, has great reservations against Hakimullah Mahsud and Wali-ur-Rehman. So far Hafiz Gul Bahadr has exercised restraint perhaps because he lacks the required strength or will to compel TTP to accept his authority. He mainly draws his strength from sub tribes of Utmanzai Wazir; Mada Khel and Tori Khel whereas he has some pockets of strength in Kabul Khel, Bura Khel, Zoni Khel, Baki Khel and Datta Khel.

To avoid disrespect to Wazir families Hafiz Gul Bahadar is strongly against the military operation in North Waziristan Agency and in that regard he and his Shura have already signed a peace pact with the government which is often violated by Mehsud group (TTP) and its affiliates. Visibly perturbed with the activities of the TTP, who are not only targeting the security forces but also the local rustics in North Waziristan Agency in total disregard of the peace agreement which Hafiz Gul Bahadar has reached with the government, Gul bahadar convened Jirga of Bora Khel, Datta Khel and Darpa Khel at Anghar village located on the brink of river Tochi some two months back. This event went unnoticed in both print and electronic media yet it is a significant development which will have enormous impact on the events unfolding in the future.

It was decided in that Jirga that the local tribes i.e. Bora Khel, Datta Khel and Darpa Khel will form a joint lashkar to improve fragile security situation in Miranshah
... headquarters of al-Qaeda in Pakistain and likely location of Ayman al-Zawahiri. The Haqqani network has established a ministate in centered on the town with courts, tax offices and lots of madrassas...
Bazar, agency headquarter of North Waziristan Agency. As a result of this meeting joint laskhar was raised by these three tribes and within two months it has completely secured the Miranshah bazaar which was largely insecure due to the activities of TTP.

On account of these two events Hakimullah Mehsud group (TTP) has smelled the danger which the future holds for it. It would be indeed a nightmare for TTP in case Gul Bahadar and Utmanzai Wazir further extend the lashkar to Mir Ali, Razmak, Datta Khel, Esha, Spinwam, Shewa and Spulga areas of North Waziristan. Similarly if Afghan Taliban (TTA) reaches an agreement with United States of America and Afghan government then in such a situation non-local Taliban will certainly relocate themselves and so will the Haqqani Network which often plays role of mediator between different factions of Taliban in case of any differences. In such a scenario it would be very hard for Mehsud group (TTP) to survive and keep its structure intact. Therefore, it seems very sagacious on part of TTP to offer peace talks to the government of Pakistain and ultimately cut peace agreement before it gets late.

Whatever the case is it is good news for the people of Pakistain generally and for rustics specifically that at least both sides value the need to negotiate peace. It is pertinent to mention here that at the start of any negotiation opposing parties do come with an unrealistic list of conditions, however, their position dilutes with the passage of time which is evident from the case of US and Afghan Taliban dialogues. Therefore, the government should take the offer seriously as the people and the region deserves peace.
Link


India-Pakistan
Head Of Pakistan Taliban: We Will Negotiate, But Not Disarm
2012-12-28
The head of Pakistain's Taliban said his militia is willing to negotiate with the government but not disarm, a message delivered in a video given to Rooters on Friday.

"We believe in dialogue but it should not be frivolous," Hakimullah Mehsud said. "Asking us to lay down arms is a joke."

In the video, Mehsud sits cradling a rifle next to his deputy, Wali ur-Rehman. Military officials say there has been a split between the two men but Mehsud said that was propaganda.
Link


India-Pakistan
A new Pakistani Taliban chief emerging?
2012-12-07
[Dawn] The Pak Taliban, one of the world's most feared bully boy groups, are preparing for a leadership change that could mean less violence against the state but more attacks against US-led forces in Afghanistan, Pak military sources said.

Hakimullah Mehsud, a ruthless commander who has led the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistain (TTP) for the last three years, has lost operational control of the movement and the trust of his fighters, said a senior Pakistain army official based in the South Wazoo tribal region, the group's stronghold.

The organization's more moderate deputy leader, Wali-ur-Rehman, 40, is poised to succeed Mehsud, whose extreme violence has alienated enough of his fighters to significantly weaken him, the military sources told Rooters.

"Rehman is fast emerging as a consensus candidate to formally replace Hakimullah," said the army official, who declined to be identified because of the sensitivity of the matter. "Now we may see the brutal commander replaced by a more pragmatic one for whom reconciliation with the Pak government has become a priority."

The TTP, known as the Pak Taliban, was set up as an umbrella group of beturbanned goons in 2007.

Its main aim is to topple the US-backed government in Pakistain and impose its austere brand of Islam across the country of 185 million people, although it has also carried out attacks in neighbouring Afghanistan.

The beturbanned goons intensified their battle against the Pak state after an army raid on Islamabad's Red Mosque in 2007, which had been seized by allies of the group.

Mehsud, believed to be in his mid-30s, took over the Pak Taliban in August 2009. He rose to prominence in 2010 when US prosecutors charged him with involvement in an attack that killed seven CIA employees at a US base in Afghanistan.

His profile was raised further when he appeared in a farewell video with the Jordanian jacket wallah who killed the employees.

Rooters interviewed several senior Pakistain military officials as well as tribal elders and locals during a three-day trip with the army in South Waziristan last week, getting rare access to an area that has been a virtual no-go zone for journalists since an army offensive was launched in October 2009.

Three senior military officials said informers in the Pak Taliban told them Mehsud was no longer steering the group.

Pak Taliban capos did not respond to repeated requests for comment on the possible leadership change.

US officials said that while Rehman was Mehsud's natural successor, they cautioned about expecting an imminent transition. Mehsud's standing in the Pak Taliban might have weakened, but he still had followers, they said.

Washington has offered a reward of $5 million for information leading to the capture of either Mehsud or Rehman.

One Pakistain military official, who has served in South Waziristan for more than two years, said his Pak Taliban contacts first alerted him to Mehsud's waning power six months ago, when constant pressure from the Pakistain military, US drone strikes and poor health had hurt his ability to lead.

"Representing the moderate point of view, there is a probability that under Rehman, TTP will dial down its fight against the Pak state, unlike Hakimullah who believes in wanton destruction here," said the military official based in the South Waziristani capital of Wana.

The official said this might lead to more attacks across the border in Afghanistan because Rehman has been pushing for the group's fighters to turn their guns on Western forces.

Other factions within the Pak Taliban such as the Nazir group in South Waziristan and the Hafiz Gul Bahadur faction in North Waziristan have struck peace deals with the Pak military while focusing attacks on Western and Afghan forces in Afghanistan.

A change in the Pakistain Taliban's focus would complicate Western efforts to stabilise Afghanistan before most NATO
...the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. A collection of multinational and multilingual and multicultural armed forces, all of differing capabilities, working toward a common goal by pulling in different directions...
troops leave by the end of 2014, said Riaz Mohammad Khan, a Pak diplomat who has held several posts dealing with Afghanistan.

The United States is already fighting the Afghan Taliban and the Haqqani network, which is based along the unruly frontier between Afghanistan and Pakistain and which is perhaps Washington's deadliest foe in Afghanistan.

The last thing US-led NATO troops need is a new, formidable enemy in the approach to 2014.

Such a shift in emphasis, however, could reduce the number of suicide kabooms that have plagued Pakistain in recent years, scaring off investment needed to prop up an economy that has barely managed to grow since 2007.

At each other's throats

The Pak Taliban, who are close to al Qaeda, remain resilient despite a series of military offensives. They took part in a number of high-profile operations, including an attack on army headquarters in 2009, assaults on military bases, and the attempted liquidation of Pak schoolgirl Malala Yousufzai in October, who had campaigned for girls' education.

The Pak Taliban were also blamed for the 2008 bombing of the Marriott Hotel in Islamabad which killed more than 50 people.

Under Mehsud, the organization formed complex alliances with other bully boy groups spread across Pakistain.

But it has long been strained by internal rivalries over strategy. Mehsud has pushed the war with the Pak state, while others such as Rehman want the battle to be against US and allied forces in Afghanistan.

"Rehman has even held secret negotiations with the Pak government in the past but Hakimullah always stood in his way, wanting to carry on fighting the Pak military," a second Wana-based military official said.

The two were at each other's throats earlier this year and hostilities were close to open warfare, Taliban sources said.

"Differences within the ranks have only gotten worse, not better, rendering the TTP a much weaker force today than a few years ago," the second military official said.

A source close to the Taliban told Rooters there had been months of internal talks on the Pak Taliban's decreasing support among locals and fighters in tribal areas where the group has assassinated many pro-government elders.

"The Taliban know they are fighting a public relations war, and under someone like Hakimullah, they will only lose it," added the source who declined to be identified because he was not authorized to speak to the media.

It isn't clear whether Mehsud will hand over the leadership to Rehman without a fight.

A power struggle could split the group, making it more difficult to recruit young fighters and also disrupt the safe havens in Pakistain used by Afghan bully boys.

According to accepted practice, a leadership council, or shura, will ultimately decide whether to formally replace Mehsud with Rehman.

Intelligence officials said Mehsud had not commanded any recent operations, including an Aug 16 attack on the Minhas Airbase in Pakistain and a suicide kaboom on a street market in May that killed 24 people.

Military sources said Rehman planned the April 15 jail break in Bannu in Pakistain that freed 384 prisoners, including an estimated 200 Taliban members and an al Qaeda-linked bully boy who had attempted to assassinate former president Pervez Perv Musharraf
... former dictator of Pakistain, who was less dictatorial and corrupt than any Pak civilian government to date ...
.

Fall from grace

Intelligence officials in the area said Mehsud's brutality had turned his own subordinates against him, while the more measured Rehman had emerged as the group's primary military strategist.

"If a leader doesn't behave like a leader, he loses support. For the longest time now, Hakimullah has done the dirty work while Wali-ur-Rehman is the thinker. Taliban fighters recognise this," said the first Pak military source.

A local elder described Mehsud as "short-tempered and trigger-happy".

"(Mehsud) used to work 24 hours a day, tirelessly. But he would also put a gun to anyone's head and kill them for his cause," said a local shopkeeper who has family members involved in the Pakistain Taliban.

Mehsud gained his reputation fighting with the Afghan Taliban against US and allied forces in Helmand
...an Afghan province populated mostly by Pashtuns, adjacent to Injun country in Pak Balochistan...
province in Afghanistan. He was later given command of Taliban factions in the Bajaur, Orakzai, Khyber and Kurram regions.

He took over the Pak Taliban after a weeks-long succession battle with Rehman following the death of Baitullah Mehsud in a drone strike. The two Mehsuds were not related.
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