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India-Pakistan
Hafiz Gul Bahadur group extends ceasefire to June 20
2014-06-10
[DAWN] The North Wazristan Taliban Shura led by Hafiz Gul Bahadur
...a member of the Madda Khel clan of the Uthmanzai Waziris. Educated in a Deobandi madrassa located in Multan, he is affiliated with the Jamaat Ulema-e-Islam-Fazl (JUI-F) political party. Upon the formation of the Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) in December 2007, he was announced as the group's overall naib amir under Baitullah Mehsud, who was based in South Wazoo, but has largely distanced himself from the TTP due to rivalries with the Mehsuds and disagreements about the TTP's attacks against the Pak state..
has extended the ceasefire till June 20 and also assured the government to carry out probe into the Boya checkpost suicide kaboom which left at least three FC soldiers and a child dead earlier on Monday.

Ahmedullah Ahmedi, the front man of North Wazoo Taliban in a statement issued to the media said that after a meeting with the grand jirga of North Wazristan, the shura has decided to extend the ceasefire deadline by ten days.

Following massive Arclight airstrikes by Pak jet fighters that killed at least 60 gunnies in North Waziristan last month, Taliban capos met to reconsider a non-aggression treaty with the government. The Taliban group later warned the rustics to flee the area by June 10 and also warned to take up arms against the Pak security forces.

The front man also condemned the attack on Boya checkpost on Monday and said the Taliban Shura would probe into the incident and take action against the culprits.

Ahmedi further said that the Taliban shura would have more sittings with the jirga during this period to resolve the issue.

The statement came days after tribal elders from North Waziristan were asked by Governor Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa
... formerly NWFP, still Terrorism Central...
Sardar Mehtab Ahmed Khan and Corps Commander Beautiful Downtown Peshawar
...capital of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (formerly known as the North-West Frontier Province), administrative and economic hub for the Federally Administered Tribal Areas of Pakistan. Peshawar is situated near the eastern end of the Khyber Pass, convenient to the Pak-Afghan border. Peshawar has evolved into one of Pakistan's most ethnically and linguistically diverse cities, which means lots of gunfire.
Lt Gen Khalid Rabbani to oust foreign gunnies from their area.

The jirga was led by Utmanzai Wazir and Dawar tribal elders -- the two main tribes that inhabit North Waziristan -- and Haji Sher Mohammad Khan, a descendent of the famous anti-colonial rebel Faqir of Ipi.
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India-Pakistan
TTP Peace Talks: Facts and Fiction
2013-03-17
[Friday Times] A lot has so far been said and written by analysts about the peace talks offered by Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistain in a video message released to the media on February 3. So far the crux of all commentaries is that TTP is not serious about any peace talks and it is only interested in buying some time to reorganize itself and in the process also wants to send out a message to those within its ranks and files who want peace with the government that actually it's the government which is least interested. Nominating Adnan Rashid, a convicted murderer, with the precondition that talks will be only held within the parameters of constitution and law set by the All Parties Conference (called by ANP in Islamabad on 14 February) gives credence to the above mentioned arguments.

Notwithstanding, some very interesting developments have unfolded both within and outside the geographical borders of Pakistain and it seems that the impetus for the 'Peace Talks' offer extended by TTP owes much to these developments. Firstly Tehrik-e-Taliban Afghanistan has formally started negotiations with the US and Afghan government on the Afghan imbroglio. Both sides are showing the required flexibility by burying all preconditions which were previously attached to such dialogues. After this development TTP is haunted by the fear that if the Afghan Peace and reconciliation process succeeds it will certainly marginalize and isolate it on two accounts. Firstly the pretext on which the TTP are attracting recruits to its folds will diminish i.e. they claim that foreign forces are occupying Afghanistan and they have every right to wage jihad against US and its allies. And secondly TTP Mehsud group depends on others for its strength. For instance Hakimullah Mehsud and Wali-ur-Rehman both lost their area (South Wazoo Agency) to the Pak Army during operation Rah-e-Nijat. They are now operating from North Waziristan Agency where they are backed by Maulana Sadiq Noor of Khatti Kalai who is Dawar of the minority tribe of North Waziristan Agency. They also derive their strength from non-locals such as Punjabi Taliban, Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan, Arab, Chechen and other smaller groups. It is believed that if these groups relocate themselves to other fragile parts of the world if and when US and NATO
...the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. A single organization with differing goals, equipment, language, doctrine, and organization....
forces withdraw from the region, Mehsud group will obviously lose ground in North Waziristan, its operational base, as majority of locals are against them.

Similarly Hafiz Gul Bahadar the local Taliban capo of North Waziristan, Who is Utmanzai Wazir by tribe, has great reservations against Hakimullah Mahsud and Wali-ur-Rehman. So far Hafiz Gul Bahadr has exercised restraint perhaps because he lacks the required strength or will to compel TTP to accept his authority. He mainly draws his strength from sub tribes of Utmanzai Wazir; Mada Khel and Tori Khel whereas he has some pockets of strength in Kabul Khel, Bura Khel, Zoni Khel, Baki Khel and Datta Khel.

To avoid disrespect to Wazir families Hafiz Gul Bahadar is strongly against the military operation in North Waziristan Agency and in that regard he and his Shura have already signed a peace pact with the government which is often violated by Mehsud group (TTP) and its affiliates. Visibly perturbed with the activities of the TTP, who are not only targeting the security forces but also the local rustics in North Waziristan Agency in total disregard of the peace agreement which Hafiz Gul Bahadar has reached with the government, Gul bahadar convened Jirga of Bora Khel, Datta Khel and Darpa Khel at Anghar village located on the brink of river Tochi some two months back. This event went unnoticed in both print and electronic media yet it is a significant development which will have enormous impact on the events unfolding in the future.

It was decided in that Jirga that the local tribes i.e. Bora Khel, Datta Khel and Darpa Khel will form a joint lashkar to improve fragile security situation in Miranshah
... headquarters of al-Qaeda in Pakistain and likely location of Ayman al-Zawahiri. The Haqqani network has established a ministate in centered on the town with courts, tax offices and lots of madrassas...
Bazar, agency headquarter of North Waziristan Agency. As a result of this meeting joint laskhar was raised by these three tribes and within two months it has completely secured the Miranshah bazaar which was largely insecure due to the activities of TTP.

On account of these two events Hakimullah Mehsud group (TTP) has smelled the danger which the future holds for it. It would be indeed a nightmare for TTP in case Gul Bahadar and Utmanzai Wazir further extend the lashkar to Mir Ali, Razmak, Datta Khel, Esha, Spinwam, Shewa and Spulga areas of North Waziristan. Similarly if Afghan Taliban (TTA) reaches an agreement with United States of America and Afghan government then in such a situation non-local Taliban will certainly relocate themselves and so will the Haqqani Network which often plays role of mediator between different factions of Taliban in case of any differences. In such a scenario it would be very hard for Mehsud group (TTP) to survive and keep its structure intact. Therefore, it seems very sagacious on part of TTP to offer peace talks to the government of Pakistain and ultimately cut peace agreement before it gets late.

Whatever the case is it is good news for the people of Pakistain generally and for rustics specifically that at least both sides value the need to negotiate peace. It is pertinent to mention here that at the start of any negotiation opposing parties do come with an unrealistic list of conditions, however, their position dilutes with the passage of time which is evident from the case of US and Afghan Taliban dialogues. Therefore, the government should take the offer seriously as the people and the region deserves peace.
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Afghanistan
The changing face of the Taliban
2011-11-07
[Dawn] In June 2001, a couple of months before the infamous attack on New York which changed the world, I had traveled with a couple of colleagues from Kandahar to Kabul to do a series of reports on life under the Taliban for a foreign television channel.

It was there that, for the first time, I truly understood the tragedy that was Afghanistan and the circumstances that gave rise to the group whose name has now become shorthand for all that is myopic, literalist and bad boy for most on the one hand, and for a brave indigenous resistance to a foreign occupation to some on the other. No amount of prior reading had the same revelatory effect on my understanding of the nuances of the Taliban movement as that trip.

When NATO
...the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. Originally it was a mutual defense pact directed against an expansionist Soviet Union. In later years it evolved into a mechanism for picking the American pocket while criticizing the cut of the American pants...
attacked Afghanistan in October that year as a response to '9/11', one of the things that completely bewildered them was how the supposedly fierce and resilient Taliban seemed to have disappeared into thin air. For most outsiders it seemed to prove the dictum -- parroted by the Northern Alliance and 'security' pundits in India -- that the Taliban were some sort of foreigner force propped up entirely by Pakistain's ISI which had returned en masse to the foreign land it had come from.

The ISI certainly provided support and military know-how to the Taliban after Benazir Bhutto's government in 1994 saw them as a solution to internecine warfare and warlordism among the former anti-Soviet 'mujahideen'. But having interacted with most levels of the Taliban bureaucracy -- except for the reclusive 'Emir' Mullah Omar
... a minor Pashtun commander in the war against the Soviets who made good as leader of the Taliban. As ruler of Afghanistan, he took the title Leader of the Faithful. The imposition of Pashtunkhwa on the nation institutionalized ignorance and brutality already notable for its own fair share of ignorance and brutality...
-- it was clear to me even then that they were very much an Afghan force.

While the leadership might have decamped to Pakistain or elsewhere or while some commanders had opportunistically switched sides in the age-old tradition of the land, most Taliban fighters -- which included the former 'mujahideen' -- had simply melted away to their homes, indistinguishable from ordinary rural Pakhtun Afghans. Bizarrely, it seems it took NATO almost a further decade to understand this.

One of the people I got to know well on that trip was a senior member of the Taliban information ministry. He was only 24 then -- youthful like most Taliban I met (even Mullah Omar's right-hand man, Mullah Hasan Rehmani, the governor of Kandahar, was only in his early forties). A former law student at Kabul University, he had chosen to join the Taliban out of the necessity of choosing sides and in the naïve belief that they were actually a force for good compared to the warlordism he had seen growing up.

Now mortified by some of the Taliban's extremes, he chose to confide his secret dissent to me, and his own remarkable story as the unsung protector of Afghanistan's film heritage still remains to be told. When he decamped Afghanistan after the fall of Kabul (more out of notions of honour than necessity since two of his brothers who were also Taliban capos had simply switched sides), he landed up in Pakistain for a few months and I had the chance to interview him in a less guarded environment for the BBC Urdu Service. One of the questions I asked him was how it was that I had never seen any of the Arabs linked to Al Qaeda -- who the West considered the real string pullers of the Taliban -- in any government ministry during my time in Kandahar or Kabul. In fact, I don't think I saw a single Arab the entire time I was there. He replied that, while there were some Arabs in Afghanistan and they may have had access to Mullah Omar (he himself had met the late Osama bin Laden
... who has left the building...
once on the Kabul frontlines), they never interfered in the day to day running of government nor exerted any direct influence on the Taliban rank and file.

Most analysts with a far greater knowledge of Afghanistan than mine corroborated his words which pointed to the essential difference between the Al Qaeda Arabs and the Afghan Taliban: one had a global vision and "an agenda that stretches beyond borders", the other mainly localised interests. It's pertinent to remember that despite the fact that Al Qaeda had found refuge in Afghanistan, no act of international terrorism has ever involved an Afghan. In the heady days after driving the Taliban from power, NATO and its allies chose to ignore this distinction.

Syed Saleem Shahzad's book, at its most persuasive, is essentially an explanation of how that crucial mistake and its resultant hubris allowed Al Qaeda to make "blood brothers" of those lumped with them and weave itself into the fabric of the Taliban far more than it ever had before 9/11.

Shahzad's contention is that the West's initial myopia in Afghanistan has become a self-fulfilling prophecy which has made it now impossible to separate Al Qaeda from the Taliban insurgency and which will thus lead to the West's eventual defeat in that arena.

THIS review has been the most difficult one, by far, that I have ever had to write. And it is only very partially because of the denseness of the book under consideration. The author frequently uses the metaphor of the Arabic mythological epic, Alf Laila Wa Laila (A Thousand and One Nights), to give a sense of the multifarious interconnected stories of Al Qaeda, but the metaphor could as easily be used for this book itself. It is a series of stories about people who fought and died and were replaced, obscure histories and recent events that have ostensibly shaped the beast that is Al Qaeda.

In fact, the book would have benefited tremendously from some charts and diagrams to help readers keep track of the numerous jihadist characters and their often complicated and fluid relationships with various organizations without having to continuously flip backwards and retrace their steps.

But there are two far more primary reasons this has been a difficult book to review. The first has to do with the content. Most of the book is written without source citations and more often than not, assertions are made that are impossible to verify.

Obviously, one must take the author at his word if he asserts that Militant X or Al Qaeda Planner Y told him something in an exclusive interview; there is no way for a reader to corroborate or refute such information, especially if X and Y are now dead.

But as often, startling claims are made without reference to any information in the public domain that would substantiate them.

To give just a few examples of numerous such assertions, the book claims that after the 2003 military operation in South Wazoo, Al Qaeda leaders Osama bin Laden and Ayman Al-Zwahiri were separately holed up in various valleys in the far-flung area of Shawal which falls at the juncture of South and North Waziristan and Afghanistan (if true, Shahzad was far more knowledgeable about their whereabouts than any of the various intelligence agencies hunting for them); that the blowing up of the Bamiyan Buddhas was engineered by Al Qaeda in order to prevent an imminent recognition of the Taliban by China which, had it occurred, would have reduced the Taliban government's international isolation and thus have worked against Al Qaeda's "broader interests" to make the Taliban dependent on it; and that "Unlike [President] Musharraf, [General] Kayani
... four star general, current Chief of Army Staff of the Mighty Pak Army. Kayani is the former Director General of ISI...
was unconcerned about inflicting collateral damage" and was also unconcerned by the plight of millions of civilians made refugees in 2008 and 2009 in North and South Waziristan, Bajaur, Mohmand
... Named for the Mohmand clan of the Sarban Pahstuns, a truculent, quarrelsome lot. In Pakistain, the Mohmands infest their eponymous Agency, metastasizing as far as the plains of Beautiful Downtown Peshawar, Charsadda, and Mardan. Mohmands are also scattered throughout Pakistan in urban areas including Karachi, Lahore, and Quetta. In Afghanistan they are mainly found in Nangarhar and Kunar...
and Swat.

These are not small assertions for a journalist to make as throwaway "factoids". Yet the book is littered with such claims. What makes such assertions particularly problematic is that they are presented along with other verifiable facts about well known events, quite possibly lulling the ordinary reader, with little independent knowledge of the region's politics, into accepting them as the truth rather than highly contested 'facts'.

The second reason making this a difficult review are the circumstances in which the book was published. It was launched in London only a few days before the author, Syed Saleem Shahzad, a fellow journalist who worked with the same media house as myself at one time, was kidnapped and found brutally murdered with the finger of blame pointing squarely towards the state's intelligence outfits. The immediate assumption was that his senseless murder was connected in some way to his writings on the murky world of jihadist outfits and possibly to this very book.

This obviously attached a halo to his investigative pieces that he possibly never enjoyed in his lifetime. It is never easy to write critically of the work of a colleague (albeit a colleague I never met), but especially when that colleague has met such a horrific and thoroughly undeserved fate.

The Commission of Inquiry into Shahzad's murder has yet to make its findings known. But irrespective of the results of that inquiry, and indeed it remains a fervent hope that Shahzad's killers are identified and punished, the book must be judged on its content, which I have endeavoured to do with the caveats detailed above.

I have already pointed out one of the major issues with the content of the book being a lack of citations for rather startling claims. However,
there's no worse danger than telling a mother her baby is ugly...
there also numerous assertions in the text which can actually be called out for their own internal contradictions and even misstatement of known facts.

As examples of the latter, Shahzad claims at one point that Islamic Emirates of Afghanistan (Afghanistan under the Taliban) "is recognised by a majority of Moslem scholars as an Islamic state", which is just simply wrong. At another point he claims that General Tariq Majeed was General Musharraf's choice to succeed him as chief of army staff in 2007 but that Musharraf was forced to accept General Kayani since the latter was the US choice. This is contradicted by the recent WikiLeaks disclosures of secret US documents that show that General Musharraf played his cards close to his chest and that US diplomats were left to speculate on who Musharraf's successor might be.

As an example of the former, Shahzad claims at one point in the book that Al Qaeda's leadership had become quite upset with its man in Iraq, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, for his brutality and his policy of targeting Shias in Iraq since it felt this was alienating even moderate Sunnis from Al Qaeda. In fact, the author claims Al Qaeda was getting ready to quickly distance itself from Zarqawi before he was killed by US forces. Yet, at another point the author notes that Dr Ayman al-Zwahiri, who he calls the real founder of Al Qaeda, "awarded" Zarqawi the "Al Qaeda franchise for Iraq to stir up sectarian strife so that Iraq's theater of war would be more complicit" and to make Iraq ungovernable. His claims about Al Qaeda's alleged concern about Zarqawi's sectarianism are also belied by his own telling of Al Qaeda's intellectual lineage from the medieval ideologue Ibne Taymiyyah who declared Shias heretics, and how the virulently anti-Shia outfit, Lashkar-i-Jhangvi, was welcomed into Al Qaeda with open arms and allowed to carry on its targeting of the Shia in Pakistain.

But perhaps the book's greatest problem lies in Shahzad's interpretation of Al Qaeda itself. Contrary to every other scholarly dissection of Al Qaeda as a loose-knit group of radical jihadis worldwide bound by a common ideology, Shahzad paints an organization that seems not only to micromanage all affairs but which has a Nostradamus-like prophetic far-sightedness.

According to Shahzad, Al Qaeda not only "fashioned" the Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistain (TTP) in 2007-8 by spotting and nurturing young cut-throats such as Baitullah Mehsud, Qari Ziaur Rehman and Swat's Ibne Ameen (who was later notorious for his throat-slitting brutality) early on, it did so because it had foreseen that Pakistain's tribal areas would become the real battleground against the Americans.

Shahzad also claims that the Lal Masjid episode of 2007 was precipitated by Al Qaeda on whose advice Maulana Abdul Aziz, the mosque's infamous khateeb, had in 2004 issued a fatwa forbidding Moslem funerals for army personnel killed in the South Waziristan operation. Before the actual military operation against Lal Masjid, "The Al Qaeda shura (council) met in North Waziristan and, after prolonged discussion and debate, agreed that the high point of their struggle in Pakistain would come when the foreseeable military operation against Lal Masjid began," writes Shahzad. "Open war against the US-Pakistain designs was now unavoidable."

Al Qaeda also knew in 2006 (!) that Barrack Obama would be elected president of the US, according to Shahzad, and therefore the liquidation of Benazir Bhutto was timed to unsettle US plans for Pakistain during a transition phase from a Republican to a Democrat administration. And its 9/11 attacks were orchestrated knowing that the US would then attack Afghanistan, thereby "sucking the US into their trap" and leading to a Moslem backlash which would precipitate a confrontation between the West and the Moslem world. This supposedly fulfilled a Hadith about the beginning of "End of Times" battles in ancient Khurasaan comprising the current areas of Central Asia, Iran, Pakistain and India. The belief in this Hadith is explained as the motivator for bin Laden's decision to return to Afghanistan in 1996, even though the actual circumstances of bin Laden's flight of necessity from Sudan are well known.

It is one thing to disabuse some silly liberals of their notions of the jihadists as unthinking automatons. It is quite another to do what Shahzad seems to have done: delineate Al Qaeda as some sort of all-seeing, all-knowing entity that is able to plan far ahead of mere mortals. In fact, his far more credible focus on Al Qaeda's "uncanny ability to exploit unfolding events" is undercut by this constant awe at the 'prophetic' nature of the group's leadership. In all probability, many of these stories were probably revisionist takes on past events by jihadists Shahzad had access to, such as the notorious Ilyas Kashmiri (killed in a drone strike a few days after Shahzad's own murder). But for the author to take these at face value betrays a strange gullibility for a seasoned journalist.

The book is at its best where Shahzad clearly cites his sources of information, usually mid-tier and lesser known figures of this shadowy world that he personally met, and which then provide a fresh insight into the workings of terror outfits. Characters like the former army commandos turned jihadis, Captain Khurram Ashiq, Major Abdul Rehman and Khurram's brother, Major Haroon Ashiq are among the most fascinating to emerge from these stories.

Major Haroon, who the author claims personally killed the former SSG commander Major General (retired) Faisal Alavi in Islamabad in retaliation for the 2003 special forces operations in Angoor Adda, in particular, is singled out as one of the real architects of Al Qaeda's new military strategy. This included, among other things, the November 26, 2008 attack on Mumbai (Shahzad claims it was planned by Haroon who "cunningly manipulated" a "forward section" of the ISI and the Lashkar-i-Taiba and was designed to take pressure off gun-hung tough guys on the Afghan border by causing an India-Pakistain conflagration), the focus on cutting off NATO supply lines and the kidnapping-civilians-for-ransom strategy (including of the Bloody Karachi-based filmmaker, Satish Anand) to raise funds.

He also claims that the attack on the touring Sri Lankan cricket team in March 2009 was actually aimed to hold the team hostage to negotiate the springing from prison of Haroon, who had been tossed in the calaboose during a bungled kidnapping in Rawalpindi.

Incidentally, it should be noted that Carey Schofield in her recently published book Inside the Pakistain Army hints strongly that Alavi's murder may have been motivated by the personal animosity of two senior generals who Alavi felt had reason to hold a grudge against him, who poisoned his longtime supporter General Musharraf against him and against whom he had filed a formal complaint for misrepresenting facts that led to his dismissal from service. She also repeats Alavi's family's claims (which she could not verify) that Major Haroon, who was charged with Alavi's murder, was acquitted and walked out of prison in the summer of 2011.

Shahzad is also good where, through recounting his own experiences of navigating the difficult terrain of the Pak-Afghan border, he is able to convey how gun-hung tough guys are able to manoeuvre militarily undetected by both NATO and Pak forces.

And because of his wealth of information on mid-level jihadists, he is also able to provide a snapshot of the increasingly fluid membership structure of Death Eater outfits. With the book citing an estimated figure of 600,000 gun-hung tough guys trained between 1980 and 2000, it paints a grim picture for analysts who believe they can turn a blind eye to some groups while targeting others.

Most importantly, the book also details the nuances of the extremely murky fight against militancy and terrorism in which nobody has any roadmaps and there is a constant push-and-pull over whether to employ force or divide-and-conquer tactics.

Shahzad points out, for example, that NATO initially mis-assessed Sirajuddin Haqqani's loyalty to Mullah Omar, hoping to use him to displace Omar from the leadership of the Taliban (according to the book, the US also attempted, unsuccessfully, to set up the Jaishul Moslem, as a rival outfit to the Taliban). They did not realise, Shahzad says, that unlike his father Jalaluddin Haqqani, Siraj had become very close to Al Qaeda and, in fact, Al Qaeda's man in the Taliban shura, and would never betray Omar because this would jeopardise Al Qaeda's own interests. In fact, he had also assisted the TTP against the Pakistain army, which might explain recent rumours that the Paks were willing to help the US track him down in exchange for the Americans not touching the elder Haqqani.

Similarly, he also puts down the failed treaties between the Pakistain army and Death Eaters, such as those of Shakai (April 2004), Srarogha (February 2005) and with the Utmanzai Wazirs (September 2006, which also resulted in money being transferred to gun-hung tough guys as 'compensation' and other tossed in the calaboose gun-hung tough guys being freed) not so much as Pakistain playing double games with the US, as desperate tactical strategies to contain militarily untenable situations. In 2007, for example, the Pakistain army
also supported the TTP South Waziristan commander Mullah Nazir, with success, in order to wipe out the Al Qaeda-related Uzbek fighters, who Shahzad claims were the ones who introduced brutal tactics, such as the cutting of throats, to Pak Death Eaters.

The author also mocks those who allege any nexus between the ISI and Al Qaeda in the Mumbai attacks laying the blame unequivocally on Major Haroon, Major Abdul Rehman and their Al Qaeda cohorts. If anything, Shahzad accuses the army of creating more jihadis through the "unnecessary persecution" of gun-hung tough guys and through torture tactics, neither of which seems to fit into the current discourse of US allegations of double-dealing against Pakistain. If indeed state intelligence agents were

responsible for Shahzad's murder, the irony is that they have silenced a voice that could have bolstered their arguments against the American accusations.

IN early 2000, a few months after General Musharraf took power in a coup, he participated in a question and answer session with a large audience in Bloody Karachi. He was asked a question about the army's concept of "strategic depth" and whether it realised that its support for the Taliban in Afghanistan was encouraging similar literalist interpretations of religion and militancy in Pakistain. At that point, reports had just begun to filter in of bands of Pak gun-hung tough guys imposing Taliban-like strictures, such as banning television, music and girls' education, in parts of the tribal areas. His answer surprised many of those present. Musharraf spoke about how four years earlier, when his army officers used to visit the Taliban, they were forced to eat sitting on the ground, usually from one large communal plate. Now, he said, when they visit, they sit at tables and chairs with the Talibs and have separate plates and even cutlery.

Although his answer sounded absurd then, particularly in relation to the question that was asked, I suppose what he meant was that the Taliban were also 'evolving'.

If Syed Saleem Shahzad's hypothesis about Al Qaeda is correct, the Taliban have certainly changed, though not in the way General Musharraf envisioned. And the repercussions of their ideological influence can be felt all over Pakistain. While it is questionable whether Al Qaeda actually foresaw and pre-planned the so-called "Af-Pak" theatre of war or not, and the US may have taken too long to decide that a common strategy was called for, Pakistain's establishment it seems has yet to understand this fully. Whatever the merits of tactically supporting the Taliban as a hedge against a potentially hostile Afghanistan after NATO withdraws, the long-term strategic consequences for Pakistain's own social fabric are disastrous.

Even more ironically, while the Pakistain military may have officially abandoned their ideas of "strategic depth", Al Qaeda and the Taliban it seems are the ones who have managed truly to achieve "strategic depth." In Pakistain.
Link


India-Pakistan
Convoy attack leaves four soldiers dead in N. Wazoo
2009-06-28
[The News (Pak) Top Stories] Seven people -- four of them Armymen -- were killed and 33 others, including 21 soldiers, injured in attacks on a military convoy in North Waziristan Agency (NWA) and air strikes in South Waziristan Agency (SWA) on Friday.

The attack on security forces' convoy jeopardised the Feb 17, 2008 peace accord between the government and Hafiz Gul Bahadur-led Taliban militants in the volatile North Waziristan Agency, bordering Afghanistan's restive Khost province.

Military officials based in the North Waziristan Agency blamed the local militants for the attack. They claimed to have intercepted conversations of senior militant commanders, asking their fighters to continue attacking security forces and government installations, as their peace accord with the government had already been scrapped.

They said militant commanders, however, decided not to make public their decision of scrapping the peace deal, as they could lose sympathies of tribesmen. "We were aware of their terrorist activities and attacks on security forces but we kept silence in the larger interest of poor tribesmen. But now I must say the government might launch a full-scale operation in the North Waziristan Agency," said an official, wishing anonymity.

Official sources told The News a military convoy, which had left Miramshah, headquarters of the North Waziristan Agency, for Bannu came under attack near an abandoned flourmill in the town.

Militants had planted heavy explosives material close to the wall of the roadside factory, which went off when the heavily-guarded military convoy was passing through the area. Four soldiers died on the spot while 18 others were injured, some of them critically. The injured soldiers were later airlifted and shifted to a military hospital in Bannu.

Security forces immediately cordoned off the area and blocked the Bannu-Miramshah road for all kinds of traffic for four hours. Later in the day, security forces arrived in large numbers and started demolishing the factory building with the help of bulldozers so that the militants could not use it for terrorist acts in future.

The owner of the flourmill had closed it several years ago and portions of the building had been demolished by tribesmen. The same military convoy again came under attack when it reached the Naurak village in Mirali subdivision. Suspected militants attacked the military convoy through an improvised explosives device (IED). Three soldiers were injured in the blast, which caused damage to a few vehicles.

The military officials finally decided to stop their journey on the dangerous Bannu-Miramshah road when another IED was recovered near the Kajhori post in Mirali. The military convoy was then taken to a nearby FC camp and ordered not to leave the area till the situation became normal.

The violence-stricken Utmanzai Wazir tribesmen in the North Waziristan Agency were in great shock over the attack on the military convoy. They condemned the attack and termed it an invitation to disaster.

"Like the rest of the areas, the militants will remain safe but we will suffer in case of a military operation," a seemingly-terrified tribal elder remarked when approached by The News in Miramshah.

Sources close to the militants said though the Taliban in the North Waziristan Agency had not yet claimed responsibility for the attack, they were demanding an end to the ongoing military operation in Janikhel and Bakakhel villages of FR Bannu.

Meanwhile, three suspected militants, including an Uzbek national, were reportedly killed and 12 others injured in air strikes carried out by PAF planes and gunship helicopters on alleged hideouts of Baitullah Mehsud in the adjoining South Waziristan Agency.

Official sources, however, claimed higher death toll in the bombing and artillery shelling. Three fighter jets pounded suspected positions of the Taliban commander at Ladha, Seegagarai, Ladha Sarai, Ashanki Gudawai, Makeen, Dwatoi and Piaza villages.

According to the sources, the PAF planes after making a few rounds of flights over the region started heavy bombing on the militants' positions. The tribal region reportedly echoed with two dozen explosions. Tribesmen in Miramshah said they heard heavy explosions when the planes pounded Makeen in the South Waziristan Agency.

However, they were not aware of any human losses as communication to the area was suspended since the military operation was launched. Military officials said three militants, including an Uzbek, were killed in Makeen.

According to the sources, 12 injured militants were brought to a private health centre in Makeen, five of them in serious condition. The sources among the militants said they had now started burying their dead during night time after the recent drone attack on the funeral procession of slain militant commander Khwaz Wali Mehsud in Makeen. Tribal sources said several shops were destroyed in Shamankhel village of Ladha subdivision in the bombing.
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India-Pakistan
Wazir tribes ratify new militant bloc
2008-07-08
Ahmedzai Wazir tribes in South Waziristan on Monday formed a new militant bloc urging Taliban leaders to strengthen bonds with other groups to foil any bid by Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan chief Baitullah Mehsud to "re-impose Uzbek militants" on them.

"The grand jirga of the Ahmedzai Wazirs has approved the agreement between [Ahmedzai Wazir chief] Maulvi Nazir and [Utmanzai Wazir chief] Mullah Gul Bahadar, allowing the two leaders to forge a unity against Mehsud," a tribal elder told Daily Times as he emerged from the meeting held in Wana bazaar.

Nazir and Bahadar from South and North Waziristan respectively reached an understanding last month to strengthen bonds to defend the tribes' interest in the backdrop of the "threatening posture" of Baitullah from the rival Mehsud tribe.

Both Nazir and Bahadar oppose Baitullah for 'sheltering' Uzbek militants. Nazir had launched a drive against the Uzbeks in March last year to drive them out from strongholds in the Wana, Kaloosha and Azam Warsak areas.

Dissent: A tribal elder, Malik Bakhan, was fined Rs 500,000 for speaking against the agreement, said another tribal elder asking not to be named.

"We should not play into the hands of [Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam-Fazl chief] Fazlur Rehman or [President] Pervez Musharraf as they are following a divide-and-rule policy," Bakhan was quoted as telling the jirga.

Witnesses to the meeting said Bakhan was sent to a private prison and tortured. Other elders, however, reached a compromise with the Taliban for Bakhan's release in return for Rs 500,000 fine.

The Uzbek militants killed Malik Bakhan -- Nazir's close commander, not the dissenting tribal elder -- on June 1 near Dera Ismail Khan district. The killing was a major reason for Nazir to reach a defence pact with Gul Bahadar.

It was decided at the meeting that taxes would be levied on government contactors and fruit exporters to finance the Taliban's bill for securing peace in the Wazir-dominated areas.

"Government contractors and fruit and vegetable exporters will pay a small percentage of their revenue to shoulder the 'peace bill'," said the elder.
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India-Pakistan
Baitullah challenged by new militant bloc
2008-07-02
Conflicts surfaced within the ranks of militant leaders on Tuesday when Taliban commanders from the Ahmedzai and Utmanzai Wazir tribes announced the formation of a bloc against Baitullah Mehsud.

“We have formed a bloc to defend the Wazir tribes’ interests in North and South Waziristan,” Taliban commander Maulvi Nazir told Daily Times in Wana. He said the bloc was established on Monday. Nazir joined hands with Haji Gul Bahadar, a Taliban chief from North Waziristan, after several weeks of discussions.

Differing views: “The two Taliban commanders do not have good relations with Baitullah Mehsud, and both Gul Bahadar and Maulvi Nazir disagree with Baitullah’s methods of conducting jihad inside Pakistan,” the analysts said.

Meanwhile, Baitullah Mehsud distributed pamphlets in Miranshah on Tuesday, proclaiming that he would never fight Gul Bahadar or his men. Mehsud also demanded of mujahideen in the pamphlet to prove that he had ever said he would fight Gul Bahadar. Analysts claim that Bahadar’s ‘control’ of border areas in North Waziristan will make Baitullah’s passage through “enemy territory” difficult.
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India-Pakistan
Army operations suspended in North Waziristan
2006-02-24
Military operations against militants in North Waziristan were suspended and tribesmen given charge to flush out foreign terrorists, NWFP Governor Khalil-ur-Rehman told a Jirga. The governor, however, set no timeframe for tribal elders to purge North Waziristan of foreign militants.
Comes as a surprise, huh?
“The government has suspended operations in North Waziristan because it believes that the tribesmen are able to restore peace and normalcy through their own customs and traditions,” Rehman told Utmanzai Wazir and Daur tribes in Miranshah, regional headquarters of North Waziristan. Khalil’s visit to Miranshah follows last month disturbing images when local Taliban “mutilated” corpses after killing who they said were bandits. The announcement also comes days after Afghanistan delivered Pakistan a list of wanted Taliban leaders for their handover to Kabul. “It doesn’t mean that the government has backed out of its earlier determination rather we want to show that the tribesmen can improve the situation themselves,” the governor told the Jirga elders.
I thought they'd already shown they either can't or won't?... Oh. Wait. I understand. That was in South Wazoo. Sorry for the mistake.
“However, if there is no improvement (in the ground situation), the (military) operations would be resumed with full vigor and severity” Governor Rehman warned the tribesmen. “The tribesmen should realize the gravity of situation and discharge their responsibilities to evade further operations.”
I'm sure they will do just as they always have.
The governor said the government was taking action against the elements that were “our foes as well as enemies of the entire world and humanity. If we do not fix them up, others are ready to follow them till total elimination.”
"Eventually the Americans will lose patience and do it for us. We'll bitch, of course, and probably ally with the Chinese."
Rehman lauded the tribesmen for their patriotic sentiments and loyalty to the country saying, “Now again the time has come that the tribesmen should demonstrate the same spirit to uphold the dignity and prestige of the country.”
The same spirit as what?
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