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Recent Appearances... Rantburg

Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Russia 'behind Georgia's unrest'
2007-11-07
An emboldened Russia is making more moves in the Caucasus. Beware.
Georgia's President Mikhail Saakashvili has accused "Russian special services" of stirring up the civil unrest in the capital, Tbilisi.

Mr Saakashvili was speaking after riot police used tear gas and water cannon to disperse opposition demonstrators staging a sixth day of protests. The health minister said 250 people had been admitted to hospital.

Mr Saakashvili has rejected the protesters' accusations of corruption and says he will not quit. In a televised address, Mr Saakashvili said his country faced "a very serious threat of unrest". "High ranking officials in Russian special services are behind this," he said, adding that he had evidence.
The background is this: once Saakashvili's party won in 2003, the opposition, mostly pro-Russian, was too disorganized to do much about it. Russia helped them out and they're now united in a common front. Plus, Russia has been egging problems on in the breakaway provinces of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, which Georgia would like to reclaim. Now that Putin's about solidified his hold on his own parliament and has his feet on the Euros' natural gas pipelines, he's moving to fix his problems in the south.
He said several Russian diplomats would be expelled from Georgia for engaging in "espionage". Earlier he had recalled Georgia's ambassador to Moscow for "consultations".

Police used tear gas and water cannon after several thousand protesters tried to occupy Rustaveli Avenue - Tbilisi's main thoroughfare. The BBC's Matthew Collin in Tbilisi says the police action provoked chaos among the demonstrators, sending them running for cover.
Excellent!
The protesters had been regrouping after police forced them off the city's main street in front of parliament. The protesters say the police response demonstrates Mr Saakashvili's authoritarian tendencies.
Nary a word about Vlad's authoritarian tendencies.
The opposition said police had arrested two of its leaders and beaten several of its supporters during an earlier raid.

The authorities said they had to act to unblock the city's main thoroughfare and stop protesters from setting up a tent camp there. A government official said the rally could continue on the pavement.

Opposition supporters have been gathering outside parliament every day since Friday, when 50,000 people attended the largest street protest seen since the 2003 "Rose Revolution" that brought pro-Western Mr Saakashvili to power.

The protesters accuse him of corruption and of not doing enough to tackle poverty. They are calling for the president's resignation and want a fresh election.

Many of the protesters back the president's former ally, Irakli Okruashvili, who was arrested last month. Mr Okruashvili was detained shortly after he said Mr Saakashvili had plotted to kill a top businessman. He was later released on a multimillion-dollar bail and went to Germany. The government says Mr Okruashvili's accusations are "false and baseless".
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Europe
Georgia considers a return to monarchy
2007-10-15
The Georgian Parliament is to discuss the possibility of restoring the monarchy in the country. The idea was floated by the Head of the Georgian Orthodox Church and has been warmly greeted by opposition parties.

With no end in sight to Georgia's political turmoil, the country's top religious religious leader has proposed a radical solution - bringing back the country's royal family. Catholicos-Patriarch of All Georgia, Ilia II, says putting the Bagrationi family back on the throne could end the nation's political woes. “This is not a matter to be decided by others. It is we who should decide this. The Georgian people and the people living in Georgia have to decide this. You know that the rule of the Bagrationi Dynasty was terminated in 1801, and since then Georgian people have nurtured a dream to restore the ancient, divinely blessed dynasty,” he said.

The Bagrationi Dynasty is the longest serving royal house in Europe. They ruled Georgia in one form or another for over a thousand years, until Georgia was absorbed into the Russian Empire and the monarchy was abolished.
Seem to have survived better than the Romanoffs.
Today, the main branches of the family live in Spain and Italy, but they remain popular in Georgia. And after the Patriarch’s statement, they could be coming home at last.

The idea has been greeted with jubiliation by the Georgian opposition - newly united following the arrest last month of former Defence Minister Irakli Okruashvili on corruption charges. That was just two days after making a series of scandalous allegations against President Mikhail Saakashvili. Earlier this week, the former minister was released on $US 6 million bail after repudiating his allegations against the President.

The opposition say they will nonetheless continue their protests against the Government, and one of their main demands is a reduction in the powers of the President. For the opposition, the Patriarch’s statement seems like a blessing.

"I'm for a parliamentary republic. I'm also for the possibility of restoring the constitutional monarchy here. A constitutional monarchy is also a kind of a parliamentary republic and this was the principle idea of our Patriarch,” says Freedom Party leader Koka Gamsakhurdia.

The Patriarch’s is thinking long-term. His idea is to groom someone from the Bagrationi clan from childhood. This means the opposition are unlikely to get their king or queen any time soon. For its part, the Government isn’t ruling out the idea for the future.

Mikhail Machavariani Deputy Speaker of the Georgian parliament thinks, “At this stage it is not possible for Georgia to become a constitutional monarchy”. “If we, Georgians, make this decision, a monarch must be raised from childhood,” he added.

Ordinary Georgians also seem prepared to at least consider restoring the monarchy after more than 200 years. “The idea of having a constitutional monarchy is of course lovely, but I’m afraid it’s absolutely unrealistic,” one of the citizens says.

Another local believes, “The restoration of the monarchy will happen in the future, it will be the best path to follow for the next generation.”

The Patriarch’s idea is an appeal to Georgians' sense of history and unity at a time when the county is gripped by a political crisis. And because Georgians respect the Patriarch, the idea is likely to be taken seriously.

The idea of bringing back Georgia's royal family will get its first test in parliament shortly, when MPs discuss the proposal.
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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Georgia's former minister detained
2007-09-28
Georgian police have arrested an ex-minister for corruption charges after he accused the president of ordering him to kill a businessman. Deputy Prosecutor General Nika Gvaramiya said that Irakli Okruashvili - a former defense minister- had been detained on charges of extortion, money laundering, and abuse of power.

Opposition figures said the real reason behind Okruashvili's arrest were his accusations against the president made in televised remarks late on Tuesday. Okruashvili accused Georgia's President Mikhail Saakashvili of corruption and discussing the possibility of eliminating a businessman, although he had no evidence to support his accusations.

Leaders of Georgia's fractured opposition called on their supporters to protest in front of the parliament building against what one of them described as "political terror." President Mikhail Saakashvili sacked Okruashvili, a member of his inner circle in 2006 after the minister made hawkish statements. He attacked Russia for propping up the separatist regions of South Ossetia and Abkhazia, and lobbied for tougher action to re-establish Tbilisi's control there.
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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Georgia Official Says He Was Attacked
2006-09-04
TBILISI, Georgia (AP) - Georgia's defense minister said a helicopter in which he was riding came under fire Sunday as it flew over the separatist province of South Ossetia, but it landed safely and nobody was hurt. Defense Minister Irakli Okruashvili spoke hours after South Ossetian officials said their forces shot down a Georgian government helicopter that invaded the breakaway region's airspace. Georgian military officials swiftly denied it was shot down.

Georgia's Interior Ministry also said Sunday that in a similar incident last week, a surface-to-air missile was fired at a helicopter escorting a U.S. Senate delegation led by Republican Sen. John McCain of Arizona. The aircraft was not damaged and U.S. authorities had been notified, the ministry said. In Washington, State Department spokeswoman Joanne Moore said she had no information about the incident.

Speaking to reporters in Gori, a town near South Ossetia, Okruashvili said the Mi-8 helicopter came under large-caliber machine-gun fire from a forested area during a flight to a base in western Georgia. He said the craft was hit and the pilots struggled to control it and keep it flying for 15 minutes, but were able to land safely with no casualties. He showed reporters a helicopter with several bullet holes in its body.
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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Russia to be involved in new war between Georgia and Abkhazia
2005-02-16
It’s time for another nutritious Pravda McNuggetTM.

Georgia’s new Defense Minister is known for his extremely tough approach to the problem with Abkhazia

The new President of the unrecognized republic of Abkhazia, Sergei Bagapsh, took the office on Saturday. The ceremony, which was held in the republic’s capital, Sukhumi, marked the end of the political opposition that lasted for several months. Now the new president of Abkhazia will have to face numerous social and economic problems. The political problem - Abkhazia’s relations with Georgia - is the most important one of them.

Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili said at the end of January, before his departure to the PACE session, that Georgia would return to Abkhazia. The head of state did not specify, how exactly Georgia was intended to do it. During his speech at the PACE session, Saakashvili presented a plan to regulate relations with South Ossetia by means of granting the status of a wide autonomy to it. The Georgian president did not offer anything similar to Abkhazia - it was simply said that one should resume negotiations on the matter. Abkhazia is ready to talk, although things will most likely be left as they are. The new Georgian administration perceives Abkhazia as an integral part of Georgia. The Abkhazian administration, in its turn, agrees to negotiate only if Georgia acknowledges the independence of the republic.

So in short, the Abkhazian administration is willing to talk with Georgia about anything but what Georgia wants to talk about. Let me guess, someone’s going to write an Abkhazia Is From Mars, Georgia is from Venus book?

Seriously, I find myself wondering if perhaps Georgia would be better off letting Abkhazia gain independence and concentrate instead on real security issues, such as preventing another occurance of the Beslan tragedy? Might this also be good advice for Russia and Abkhazia as well? I suspect that Russia and Abkhazia’s main problem at the moment is neither Georgia, Ukraine, nor (as some say) the United States, but rather non-indigenous terrorist movements?


It is not ruled out that Georgia may try and use a military way of solving the problem. Georgia’s new Defense Minister, Irakli Okruashvili, is known for his extremely tough approach to the problem with South Ossetia and Abkhazia - a conflict is more than just possible. It was Okruashvili, who incited armed clashes in South Ossetia last summer. The official was not dismissed from the position for those actions afterwards - he chaired the Georgian Department of Defense instead. Okruashvili believes that his prime goal of the post is to run a profound army reform. The events in South Ossetia proved that Georgia was not ready for the conflict despite the ongoing army reform with the USA’s active participation in it.

The new administration of the unrecognized republic of Abkhazia is ready to face any development of events, according to President Sergei Bagapsh. The president obviously hopes that Russia will come to help the republic in the event a military conflict with Georgia occurs. "Do not forget that 80 percent of our people are citizens of the Russian Federation. Like any other superpower, Russia must defend its citizens, if their lives are engendered," Sergei Bagapsh said in an interview with the Rossiiskaya Gazeta.
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Caucasus
US ambassador's comments ruffles feathers in Tbilisi
2004-09-15
On September 13, US Ambassador Richard Miles unexpectedly stated that "few international terrorists" are still present near Georgia's north-eastern mountainous Pankisi gorge at the Russian border. The statement was later denied by the spokesperson of the U.S. Department of State, but it caused confusion among the Georgian officials. Speaking at the joint news briefing with the Georgian Interior Minister Irakli Okruashvili on September 13, Richard Miles surprised the reporters by his critical remarks towards the Georgian government on Pankisi gorge issue.

Miles stated that there are "some arguments" with the Georgian side over this issue. "I don't want to get into that big argument here today, but the short answer is yes, there are still a few international terrorists in the vicinity of the Pankisi Gorge," Ambassador Miles said, while answering the journalist's question whether there are terrorists in Pankisi.

The U.S. Ambassador's statement dealt a diplomatic blow to the Georgian officials, which maintain that following the anti-criminal operation that started in 2002 the gorge was cleansed of the Chechen fighters and foreigners suspected of terrorism links. The sensitivity of Tbilisi to the statement increased in the light of the Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's announcements made earlier last week, in which he linked the North Ossetian hostage tragedy and Georgia. In the wake of this statement the Russian media speculated that one of the terrorist suspects, allegedly behind the hostage-taking in Beslan school, is hiding in Kodori gorge, which is the only territory of breakaway Abkhazia under the Georgian authorities' control, or in Pankisi.
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Caucasus
Georgia reclaims Ajaria
2004-05-06
President Mikheil Saakashvili of Georgia reclaimed control of the breakaway region of Ajaria on Thursday, making a dramatic announcement in the middle of the night that its rebellious leader had fled the country after months of threatening a civil war. Just hours earlier, Aslan Abashidze had vowed on television not to leave his post. But he relented after a negotiating session at his residence with a Russian envoy who was dispatched to defuse the crisis, according to accounts from Georgia.
"Lookee here, Aslan: You gave a war and nobody came. Y'remember Ceaucescu?"
"Ceaucescu?... Ceaucescu?... Hmmm... Romanian guy, right?"
"Dead Romanian guy."
"I'll start packing now."
By 2:30 a.m. Thursday, Abashidze had left Ajaria without making a public statement, after thousands of opponents turned out on the streets of Batumi, the regional capital, and some members of his police and military joined their side. "Georgians: Aslan has fled! Ajaria is free!" Saakashvili said on Georgian television, according to reports from Tbilisi, the national capital. "I congratulate everyone on this victory, on the beginning of Georgia's unification," he said, alluding to two other breakaway regions he has pledged to take back under his control.
What does the well-dressed warlord wear into exile these days?

Leftist dictator --> green military fatigues.
South American dictator --> dress military uniform with lots of gold braid.
East Asian dictator --> beige military fatigues with funny-looking collar.
Arab dictator --> Seville Row suit.
African dictator --> Seville Row suit.
Russian dictator --> Seville Row suit.
The standoff over Ajaria began as soon as Saakashvili came to power last fall in a peaceful street revolution and vowed to regain control over the autonomous region on the Black Sea coast. In recent days, the dispute escalated sharply when Abashidze's forces blew up bridges connecting Ajaria to the rest of Georgia and thousands of anti-Abashidze protesters took to the streets in Ajaria hoping to repeat Saakashvili's revolution in their province. Both sides had troops near their border, but there were no armed clashes. Saakashvili did not wait for Abashidze's exit before declaring victory. As Russia's national security council chief, Igor Ivanov, was en route to Ajaria on Wednesday, Saakashvili announced on television that evening that he was introducing direct presidential rule in the province until elections could be held. Saakashvili also said that he had offered Abashidze and his family safe passage out of the country if he would quit.
"And if I don't?"
"Remember Ceaucescu?"
"There are only a few hours to go until our final victory arrives," Saakashvili said at the time. He also exultantly compared the street protests in Batumi to the mass rallies he led in November that resulted in the toppling of Eduard Shevardnadze, who had been in power nearly since the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991. "The world is amazed by the accomplishment of two bloodless revolutions in Georgia," he said in footage aired on Russian television. Earlier Wednesday, other Georgian officials were more belligerent, warning Abashidze that he had just a few hours left to resign or face a bloody end like that Nicolae Ceausescu, the Romanian dictator executed in 1989 after a street uprising. "Abashidze has the right to choose: He can share the fate of Ceausescu or Shevardnadze," the Georgian prosecutor general, Irakli Okruashvili, said in televised remarks.
"He can count muzzle blasts or he can get out with an unperforated skin and maybe a few bucks..."
Several times on television before his exit, Abashidze exhorted his backers to defend him. But early Thursday morning, the Reuters news agency reported from Batumi that his plane had left the airport and that protesters were attempting to enter his empty residence. It was unclear whether Abashidze would seek asylum in Russia or elsewhere.
I think Chuck Taylor has a spare bedroom...
Abashidze, a former Soviet official whose family claims to have ruled Ajaria since the 15th century, had run the province as an independent fiefdom for more than a decade, relying on his close ties to Russia and the weakness of the Georgian central government under Shevardnadze to secure his autonomy. During the revolution that brought Saakashvili to power last fall, he bet on the losing side, and Saakashvili has since made reestablishing control of Ajaria a key test of his new administration. "Abashidze was ruling his fiefdom and creating problems for this country, and he was nurtured by the Russians always," said Alexander Rondeli, president of the Georgian Foundation for Strategic and International Studies. "Now our relationship with Russia is better, and they understand now he is finished." In Batumi, television crews captured scenes of celebrations reminiscent of the Georgian revolution, as thousands of people took to the streets, dancing, brandishing Georgian and U.S. flags and urging Abashidze to go. Roses, the symbol of the uprising that Saakashvili led, were also much in evidence, and several of the Georgian president's allies, including his prime minister, Zurab Zhvania, traveled to Batumi and addressed the protesters Wednesday night as Abashidze huddled in his residence with Ivanov. "This is a moment to solve everything, bloodlessly," Katiya Dekaniodze, an aide to the Georgian national security adviser, said by phone from Tbilisi. "We'll not make any provocations."
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