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Recent Appearances... Rantburg

Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Thousands Rally in Azerbaijani Capital
2005-09-12
More than 2,000 orange-clad opposition members rallied in the Azerbaijani capital Saturday, demanding that President Ilhan Aliev resign and that authorities ensure that parliamentary elections in November are free and fair. Mounting pressure on authorities has led some observers to predict the oil-rich Caspian nation could see a popular uprising similar to those that have taken place in the former Soviet republics of Ukraine, Georgia and Kyrgyzstan.

Yelling "Resign" and carrying orange flags and banners in Russian and English, the government opponents railed against Aliev. "We have shown our strength and this is only the beginning," said Sardar Jalaloglu, a top leader with the opposition Democratic Party of Azerbaijan, which is one of three parties making up the opposition Azadlig bloc alliance. The crowds responded, yelling: "Tents on the Square" — a reference to the tent camp that sprang up in the Ukrainian capital of Kiev during the mass demonstrations last year that came to be known as the Orange Revolution. Azadlig has borrowed its campaign color from Ukraine.

Azerbaijan formally launched the election campaign Wednesday after authorities registered more than 2,000 candidates running for 125 parliament seats in the Nov. 6 vote. Of 2,059 candidates registered, 432 belong to the ruling Yeni Azerbaijan party that controls parliament. Azadlig and the Yeni Siyaset party are seen as the leading challengers. Opposition parties have rallied almost weekly amid fears that Aliev's government could try to rig the vote. The October 2003 presidential vote, in which Aliev succeeded his late father, Geidar Aliev, was widely alleged to have been fraudulent, triggering clashes between police and demonstrators.
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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Azerbaijanis Demanding Vote Are Beaten
2005-05-22
Azerbaijani protesters demanding free elections were beaten back Saturday by police, who arrested dozens as they broke up a banned rally in the oil-rich former Soviet republic on the Caspian Sea four days before the inauguration of a new pipeline. Tension between the government and the opposition in the tightly controlled country has increased since an October 2003 election in which Ilham Aliev replaced his late father, Geidar Aliev, as president in a vote the opposition said was marred by fraud. A parliamentary vote is scheduled for November.

Officials had forbidden the opposition to protest, citing security concerns four days ahead of the visit of foreign leaders who will attend a ceremony marking the opening of Azerbaijan's portion of the U.S.-backed Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline. Norwegian Ambassador Steinar Gil criticized Aliev for the "crude violence" and said it damaged the government's reputation.
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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Rally in Azerbaijan Capital Broken Up
2004-12-22
Police on Tuesday broke up a rally in the Azerbaijani capital of Baku that had been called to protest official restrictions on freedom of assembly.
I guess that makes sense. It was predictable, but it makes sense...
About 50 members of the Popular Front gathered near a subway station and shouted slogans including "Resign!" "Freedom!" and "Return the freedom of assembly to the people!" They began moving toward City Hall but were met by police, who dispersed the picketers and detained more than 15 of them. They did not have the permission required to hold a demonstration. Tension between the government and the opposition in tightly controlled, oil-rich Azerbaijan has increased since an October 2003 election in which Ilham Aliev replaced his father, longtime leader Geidar Aliev, as president in a vote the opposition said was marred by fraud. Thousands rioted in Baku for two days after the vote. One person died, and 25 civilians and 163 law enforcement officials were injured. Authorities charged about 120 people, more than 40 of whom have been sentenced to prison terms. Seven opposition leaders were sentenced to up to seven years in prison.
Azerbaijan is another hereditary presidency. But it's not seriously troubled by Islamism and markedly non-truculent in its relations with the U.S., so we don't pay it much attention. I suppose that'll change if it explodes, but I doubt Aliev will let it explode for awhile.
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Caucasus
Geidar Aliev Kicks The Bucket
2003-12-12
Former Azerbaijani President Geidar Aliev, a former KGB general and Communist Party chief who brought stability to a nation plagued by insurgencies, died Friday at the Cleveland Clinic. Aliev had been admitted to the hospital Aug. 6 for treatment of congestive heart failure and kidney problems. Hospital spokesman Cole Hatcher declined to provide details of the cause of death Friday.
"One or the other, flip a coin"
His son, Ilham Aliev, succeeded him in office following Oct. 15 presidential elections in what many claimed was the first dynastic handover of power in a former Soviet country.
Ilham is already grooming his son to succeed him.
The elder Aliev stifled dissent, censored news media and enforced a blockade on archrival Armenia. But he remained widely popular in Azerbaijan, where he cultivated the image of a wise grandfather who is not to be crossed, and decorated the streets with his portraits and slogans.
They’ll be painting icons with his face on them now.
In the 1940s and 1950s, Aliev rose through the ranks of the Soviet secret police under dictator Josef Stalin and became head of the Azerbaijani KGB in 1967. He was a protege of former Soviet leader Leonid Brezhnev. From 1969 to 1982, he ran Azerbaijan as the republic’s Communist Party leader. He became a candidate member of the national party’s Politburo in 1976 and a full member in 1982, reaching the pinnacle of Soviet power. Aliev returned to his native Nakhichevan, an autonomous region on the border with Iran and Turkey that is separated from the rest of the nation by a long strip of Armenian territory. In 1990 he became chairman of Nakhichevan’s legislature and deputy chairman of the national legislature. Two years earlier, fighting had broken out in Nagorno-Karabakh, an ethnic Armenian enclave inside Azerbaijan. Armenian fighters drove Azerbaijani forces from the disputed region and seized nearby areas of Azerbaijan proper.
This was after the Azeris had swooped down on N-K to do a little ethnic cleansing in the military equipment they'd looted from the Soviets. Since the Armenians had done a little looting, too, the results were pretty tragic for the Azeris...
In 1993, humiliated by their battlefield losses, some 45,000 soldiers seized control over about half the country and demanded the ouster of President Abulfaz Elchibey.
It was easier to get rid of Elchibey than it was to get rid of the Armenians, even after they cut off the electricity to N-K in the winter time...
Aliev became parliament speaker in a government reshuffle forced by the rebels. Elchibey fled, and Aliev took his place. "If I were not here (in 1993), I do not know what would have happened with the republic," Aliev later told the Russian newspaper Komsomolskaya Pravda. "After all, no one was found besides me who could save the people. ... Azerbaijan would have split into several parts."
Just a kindly grandfather type, he’ll be missed. Hey, some people still miss Joe Stalin.
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Caucasus
Azerbaijan President’s Son Wins Election
2003-10-16
The son of Azerbaijan’s ailing president won an overwhelming victory in elections to choose his father’s successor, according to returns Thursday.
The surprise! Quick, Ethel! My pills!
But western observers and the opposition alleged massive voting irregularities.
Wonder if Jimmah Carter made an appearance?
One observer said there were so many problems with Wednesday’s election — among them ballot-box stuffing and unmonitored voting — that he stopped trying to record them all.
Idjit — what good is an observer who doesn’t do his job? Tourist!
Violence flared during the vote, with police clashing with protesters twice during an hours-long standoff in the capital, Baku. With more than two-thirds of Azerbaijan’s 5,111 districts reporting, President Geidar Aliev’s son, Ilham Aliev, had nearly 80 percent of the votes, according to preliminary results posted by the Central Election Commission. His closest rival, Isa Gambar, had about 11 percent.
Only 80%? Guess his advisors had long discussions about the exact amount of fraud to commit to have a "believable" result.
As the count progressed, Aliev cleared a majority of the votes cast, meaning there would be no runoff with any of the other seven candidates, the commission said.
Wotta surprise.
Aliev stood for the ruling Yeni Azerbaijan party after his father — hospitalized in the United States — pulled out of the race less than two weeks ago. More than 71 percent of the former Soviet republic’s 4.4 million electorate voted, election commission chairman Mazahir Panahov said.
The other 29% will be jugged shortly.
Gambar, leader of the opposition party Musavat, or Equality, claimed that he won a majority, charging that there were irregularities that favored Aliev. Many in Baku complained that they were prevented from registering and that others cast multiple votes. Inside his party headquarters, Gambar waved a stack of ballots marked for Aliev that he claimed had been filled out before the election, and claimed he soundly beat the president’s son in districts monitored by international observers. ``This is the beginning,’’ protester Majif Mammedalizade, 37, said of the demonstration. When voters wake up Thursday and ``everyone knows the vote is false, Ilham Aliev has no chance,’’ he said. One OSCE observer, Ivan Lozowy, said he eventually stopped recording irregularities because he saw so many at the 35 polling places he visited Wednesday. He said violations included multiple voting, falsified ballots, and ballot counting in absence of observers.
Thanks Ivan, I’m sure the International Criminial Court will consider your testimony someday far in the future.
Even before election day, international organizations reported widespread irregularities, including biased media coverage, violence against opposition protesters ignited by police or pro-government provocateurs, and intimidation of opposition sympathizers. Ilham Aliev has threatened decisive action against anyone who resorts to violence over the election results.
Like father, like son!
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Caucasus
Azerbaijani PM Pledges Free Elections
2003-10-14
Hereditary Prime Minister Ilham Aliev pledged Monday that this week’s presidential election will be free and fair, warning that authorities will deal sternly with anyone who resorts to violence other than police and poll watchers of course.
He’ll still insist that they were free and fair after he gets 95% of the vote.
The New York-based Human Rights Watch said Monday that the presidential campaign had been manipulated to favor Aliev, who is seeking to succeed his ailing father Geidar Aliev. The 80-year-old leader appointed his son prime minister in August after dropping out of the race after blotting half his brain in a stroke for health reasons. The group said election commissions were stacked with Aliev’s supporters and non-governmental organizations were prevented from monitoring the vote.
That’s so unusual in that part of the world, too.
It also accused officials of obstructing opposition rallies and said police had detained and beaten hundreds of opposition activists. ``The direct result of the government-sponsored campaign against the opposition is that ... elections in Azerbaijan will be of questionable legitimacy, regardless of the fairness and transparency of the election-day procedures,’’ Human Rights Watch said.
"Cheez, you’d think this is Burma or something!"
Voters in this oil-rich Caspian Sea coast nation will decide Wednesday on a successor to Aliev’s father who has ruled for the last decade since taking power after a military coup.
Does this election count as a peaceful transfer of power?
Aliev told a news conference that election rules and procedures had been established to make falsification impossible. ``These elections will be held democratically ... they will be transparent and free,’’ Aliev said, adding that ``if someone wants to destabilize the situation, he will get a corresponding response. We will not allow a riot or military coup.’’
"One coup every hundred years is enough, and we had our one thanks to dear old dad!"
Also Monday, two members of a pro-government party suffered second and third-degree burns after setting themselves on fire outside the Central Election Commission headquarters in Baku to protest against opposition candidate Isa Gambar’s participation in the race.
Idiots. Obviously they hadn’t been let in on the true score.
Link


Caucasus
Azerbaijan Leader Cynical of Democracy
2003-08-15
Azerbaijan's newly appointed prime minister and the man expected to be its next president said Friday it would be ``naive'' to believe his country could be a perfect democracy, but vowed the government will do its best to ensure upcoming presidential elections are free and fair.
"Nope. Nope. Just can't do it. Don't even try..."
In an interview with The Associated Press, Ilham Aliev said the health problems of his father, President Geidar Aliev, could catapult him to the presidency sooner than he would like. Both Alievs are on the ballot for October's election, but Ilham Aliev says he registered as a candidate only to assist in the campaign of his 80-year-old father, who has been hospitalized in Turkey and then in Cleveland since July 8. On Friday, the younger Aliev said he would remain on the ballot and his father would withdraw his candidacy ``only if his physical condition will not allow him to run.''
"He's gonna try to break Strom's record..."
However, Aliev said he was optimistic his father would emerge victorious from both his illness and the election. This month, Geidar Aliev signed a decree making his only son prime minister — the person who becomes acting president if the president dies. If Geidar Aliev does make it through another term, the ruling party says Ilham Aliev will be its candidate in 2008.
So the fix is in, no matter what happens...
If expectations are fulfilled, it will fall to Ilham Aliev — until this month, first vice president of the state oil company and a leading lawmaker — to guide the country as it learns to live without Geidar Aliev. Before the former KGB general and Soviet-era leader of Azerbaijan returned to power in 1993, this oil-rich Caspian Sea nation suffered from a separatist war and lawlessness.
"Oh, what will we ever do without Geidar?"
Link


Caucasus
More Protests Over Azerbaijan Appointment
2003-08-09
Police in the Azerbaijani capital dispersed a rally Friday by government opponents protesting the appointment of President Geidar Aliev’s son to the prime minister post, participants said.
Meet the new boss, same as the old boss.
"Dad? Can I run the country for awhile?"
"Okay. Here's the keys. But try not to hit nothin'."
The protests have become a daily event in the run-up to the Oct. 15 presidential elections in this former Soviet republic. Aliev is hospitalized with heart and kidney problems at the Cleveland Clinic in Ohio. His supporters insist he is improving and still plans to seek re-election.
"He’s not dead yet!"
Aliev’s son, Ilham, was named prime minister Monday — making him the country’s second-highest ranking leader and first in the line of presidential succession. Opposition officials claim that Ilham Aliev is maneuvering to take over leadership of the tiny, oil-rich Caucasus nation if his father dies. Opposition parties gathered outside the Constitutional Court on Friday to criticize Ilham Aliev’s appointment and to call for clear information about Aliev’s health.
"He’s get-ting better!"
Police broke up the rally and arrested seven participants, all members of the opposition party Musavat. Aliev, a former KGB official and Soviet-era leader of Azerbaijan, was elected president in 1993, two years after the nation became independent. Meanwhile, another rally by the Democratic Party of Azerbaijan was broken up by police carrying truncheons. Authorities detained 10 participants as they attempted to march near the Central Election Commission to demand free and fair elections.
Link


Caucasus
Azerbaijani President Collapses at Event
2003-04-22
President Geidar Aliev collapsed and reportedly struck his head during a televised speech Monday, alarming many in the audience and bringing some to crocodile tears. The presidential press service said in a brief statement that Aliev ``lost his balance as a result of a severe drop in blood pressure,'' which stabilized after a few minutes. ``At present, the president's health is fine,'' it said.
Sorta like General Franco: stable but slowly deteriorating.
The former KGB general and Communist Party chief has twice won elections criticized as fraudulent, but has also brought stability to Azerbaijan, which has been plagued by insurgencies and a punishing war over the enclave of Nagorno-Karabakh.
Other than that, rock solid stability!
State television twice interrupted the broadcast of Aliev's speech during a celebration of the 30th anniversary of a military academy. The broadcast was first cut after Aliev suddenly clutched his chest and complained of pain. ``Something has struck me,'' he said. Witnesses in the hall said Aliev stumbled backward and looked as if he were about to fall, and aides rushed to support him. People surrounding him called for a doctor before he was led away. About 15 minutes later, Aliev reappeared, looking pale but in control of himself. ``Don't worry, I guess my ill-wishers put the evil eye on me,'' Aliev joked when the live broadcast resumed. ``But they won't be able to hurt me.'' The broadcast was cut again a few minutes later. A witness who agreed to be identified by only his first name, Yalchin, said Aliev fell backward and hit his head on the floor with a thud.
Sounds like the ill-wishers came back with an evil ear, two evil teeth and an evil uvula.
Another audience member, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said Aliev looked cheerful and alert as he spoke the second time, and his sudden fall was unexpected. Only after his head hit the floor did guards in the wings and plainclothes security agents sitting in the audience rush to assist him. During both episodes, a hush fell over the audience of more than 2,000, the witnesses said. Cabinet members could be seen nervously smoking in the lobby. A few minutes later, the station returned to the live broadcast again and showed a smiling Aliev congratulating the military cadets and officers on the anniversary. He then ducked behind the curtains, and the celebration continued with a concert. Aliev, who turns 80 next month, had a heart attack in 1987 and underwent bypass surgery at a Cleveland clinic in 1999. He underwent prostate surgery at the same clinic in February 2002. Earlier this year, he underwent a hernia operation there.
There's just gotta be a buxom, blonde Las Vegas showgirl who wants to marry this man for his money.
He has announced his intention to run again in presidential elections this October, but many critics say he is actually paving the way to turn over power to his son Ilkham.
Ilkham? Cheeze, who names these kids anyway?
Link


Iraq
White House: U.S. Could Target Saddam
2003-02-26
Saddam Hussein is being threatened with trial as a war criminal if the United States goes to war with Iraq. If the Iraqi president and his generals "take innocent life, if they destroy infrastructure, they will be held accountable as war criminals," President Bush said Tuesday.
And since we've been calling you at home for the past 3 months telling you to not fight when we come in, that should be a pretty clear message that we know who you are and where you live.
The White House spokesman Ari Fleischer offered a grimmer scenario. Saddam and his inner circle would be legitimate targets for U.S. forces, he said.
"Grimmer" - Who's the editor at AP? is that a real word?
"If we go to war in Iraq, and hostilities result, command and control and top generals, people who are in charge of fighting the war to kill the United States' troops, cannot assume they will be safe," Fleischer said.
In fact, its best to remind yourself that you are the target this time. We're not after territory or oil here, we're after your ass.
"If you go to war, command and control are legitimate targets under international law," the spokesman said. Asked whether that could mean Saddam, Fleischer replied, "Of course."
Once again the White House Press Corps stupidity phasers are on on "stun"
A 1976 ban on assassinating foreign leaders was put into place by President Ford in response to criticism of CIA backed plots in the 1960s and 1970s. President Reagan extended the executive order in 1981 to include hired assassins. Bush could overturn the ban by signing a document, but Fleischer declined to say whether he is considering doing so.
No since tipping our hand. Now, the last thing lots of people think of before they go to sleep is "man, whats going to happen if the Americans decide to get back into the clandestine killing business?"
Bush plans a speech on Iraq late Wednesday at the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative Washington think tank from which he drew many of his aides. He is expected to argue that Saddam is a menace to the Iraqi people and getting rid of him would make the Middle East more stable.
Once again, pointing out the obvious for those people who still dont get it.
Offering Congress and the American public a peek into war and postwar preparations, the Army's top general said Tuesday that a military occupying force could total several hundred thousand soldiers. Iraq is "a piece of geography that's fairly significant," Gen. Eric K. Shinseki said at a hearing of the Senate Armed Services Committee. Any postwar occupying force, he said, would have to be big enough to maintain safety in a country with "ethnic tensions that could lead to other problems." Shinseki said he couldn't give specific numbers of the size of an occupation force but would rely on the recommendations of commanders in the region.
Those are plans that will be modified according to the ground realities. At this point they're overviews...
"How about a range?" asked Sen. Carl Levin of Michigan, the senior Democrat on the committee.
"Tell us what the future holds, oh Gypsy!"
"I would say that what's been mobilized to this point, something on the order of several hundred thousand soldiers," the general said. "Assistance from friends and allies would be helpful."
And hey since were over there, if we, say have to go into Syria or Iran (for example) we wont have to go through all that messy UN stuff to get permission to set up bases.
Afterward, Levin called Shinseki's estimate "very sobering."
It's nice to see Levin sober, I guess, but the answer's also pretty vague. It depends on what we want to do in the wake of Sammy falling, and it depends on how the occupation goes. Troops in Japan were drawn down fairly quickly under McArthur, and the large number of troops we maintained for years and years in Germany were in response to the Russians, not the Germans. But if Iraq gets swarmed by exploding Paleos in the wake of the war, or my screaming combat ayatollahs across the other border, or the Turks and Kurds fall upon each other with cudgels, then the numbers and missions may vary. And if we have to go into Soddy Arabia to, ahem, "restore order," then the figure's still different. I guess Levin will just have to have a drink and wait to see what happens.
In a speech prepared for Wednesday delivery to the Council on Foreign Relations, Sen. Joe Lieberman, D-Conn., is calling on the Bush administration to work with the United Nations to name an international administrator to oversee reconstruction of Iraq.
Well, my ideal candidates would be Condoleeza Rice, Margaret Thatcher or Ann Coulter.
The UN could maybe run the whorehouses, I guess. They've got experience at that...
A U.S. civilian administrator "would put America in the position of an occupying power, not a liberator,"
How being viewed as a "liberator" is somehow bad is beyond my little peabrain.
says Lieberman, who is running for the Democratic nomination for president in 2004. "And it may well widen the gulf between the United States and the Arab world."
Gosh, we woundn't want to make them mad at us, they might commit acts of terror against us here at home (oops, too late!)
In northern Iraq, which was pried from Saddam's control to protect Kurdish civilians after the 1991 Persian Gulf war, White House and State Department officials were holding a meeting with political opponents of Saddam's government. Zalmay Khalilzad, of the National Security Council staff, and David Pearce, who is in charge of the Iraq desk at the State Department, were helping to plan the kind of government that would take over in Baghdad after an ouster of Saddam. The anti-Saddam Iraqis are a diverse group, with sometimes conflicting interests. Kurdish leaders, for example, are uneasy with U.S. plans to station troops in northern Iraq in the event of war.
Thought they said U.S. forces were welcome, just not the Turks?
To Iraq's north, Turkey fears that Iraqi Kurds would try to create their own state if Saddam was overthrown, encouraging secession by Turkey's own Kurdish minority. State Department spokesman Philip Reeker said the Bush administration supports the territorial integrity of Iraq — meaning it was opposed to the country's breakup — and multiethnic rule in Baghdad.
So now can we move on to the next problem?
Bush, meanwhile, predicted Saddam would try to "fool the world one more time," by disclosing some weapons that he had previously denied having. But the president insisted the only way the Iraqi leader could avoid war was "full disarmament. The man has been told to disarm. For the sake of peace, he must completely disarm." On Wednesday, continuing his talks with world leaders, Bush was due to meet with President Geidar Aliev of Azerbaijan, which is 250 miles northeast of Iraq and has backed the U.S. call for Iraq's disarmament.
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