Syria-Lebanon-Iran |
Syrian Interior Ministry: Clashes are still ongoing in some neighborhoods of Suwayda |
2025-07-16 |
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Syria-Lebanon-Iran |
At least 30 people killed in armed clashes in Syria's Sweida, says interior ministry; IDF shoots down HTS tanks to protect Druze |
2025-07-15 |
[GEO.TV] At least 30 people were killed and 100 injured in a preliminary count in armed clashes between local military groups and tribes in Syria's predominantly Druze city of Sweida, Syria's interior ministry said early on Monday. Sweida sounds like an artificial sugar substitute The ministry said that its forces will directly intervene to resolve the conflict and halt the clashes.
IDF strikes several tanks in south Syria as regime forces, Bedouin clash with Druze [IsraelTimes] Army says it hit tanks to ‘prevent their arrival’ at sites of fighting against Druze, in rare occurrence of Israel targeting forces of Syria’s new government; no injuries reported The Israeli military on Monday carried out a strike against several tanks near the southern Syrian village of Sami’, in the Sweida area, where Syrian government forces and Bedouin tribes have clashed with Druze militias in recent days. It said the move was aimed at protecting the Druze and thwarting any threat to Israel. The military released footage of the strike, and said the tanks were struck after they were identified heading toward Sweida, and that “the IDF struck the tanks to prevent their arrival to the area.” The footage indicated that a small munition was launched from an Israeli Air Force drone in the strike, to “disrupt” the arrival of the tanks in the area. There were no reports of injuries in the incident. “The presence of these assets in southern Syria may pose a threat to the State of Israel. The IDF will not allow the establishment of a military threat in southern Syria and will operate against it,” the statement said, adding that “the IDF continues to monitor the developments in the area.” The strike marks an apparent rare occurrence of Israel striking military forces of Syria’s new government. Israeli officials have said that they seek to completely demilitarize the southern Syria area, and not allow any armed groups to enter it and gain a foothold, including those of the new Syrian government. Hours after the strike, Defense Minister Israel Katz said its purpose was to send “a message and a clear warning to the Syrian regime. We will not allow harm to the Druze in Syria.” “Israel will not stand idly by,” he added. In the same area, there have been deadly clashes between Bedouin tribes and Druze fighters in recent days. Israel has previously vowed to protect members of Syria’s Druze community. Dozens of people have been killed in the fighting, and government security forces that were sent to restore order Monday also clashed with local armed groups. Syria’s Interior Ministry has said more than 30 people have died and nearly 100 others have been injured. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a UK-based war monitor, reported at least 89 dead, including two children, two women, and 14 members of the security forces. The clashes in Syria initially broke out between armed groups from the Druze and Sunni Bedouin clans, the observatory said, with some members of the government security forces “actively participating” in support of the Bedouins. Rami Abdurrahman, who heads the observatory, said the recent conflict started with the kidnapping and robbery of a Druze vegetable seller, leading to tit-for-tat attacks and kidnappings. Interior Ministry spokesperson Noureddine al-Baba said government forces entered Sweida in the early morning to restore order. “Some clashes occurred with outlawed armed groups, but our forces are doing their best to prevent any civilian casualties,” he told the state-run Al-Ikhbariya TV. After IDF strikes tanks, Syrian FM condemns outside interference in internal affairs Related: Sweida: 2025-07-14 IDF seizes 3 tons of arms from ex-Assad regime sites; violence flares in southern Syria: 30 toes up, HTS vows to intervene Sweida: 2025-05-31 ISIS claims first attack on Syrian government forces since Assad’s fall Sweida: 2025-05-28 Israel and Syria holding face-to-face meetings at border to calm tensions |
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Syria-Lebanon-Iran |
IDF seizes 3 tons of arms from ex-Assad regime sites; violence flares in southern Syria: 30 toes up, HTS vows to intervene |
2025-07-14 |
[IsraelTimes] Troops locate explosives, rockets at ‘key’ commando bases in operation aimed at keeping arms from being smuggled to Lebanon; deadly clashes break out in Druze area Israeli troops found more than three tons of weapons while raiding military facilities inside Syria. The sites had been maintained by the deposed Bashir Pencilneckal-Assad Trampler of Homs... regime, the Israel Defense Forces said Sunday. In the raids, which took place over the past week, reservists of the 810th Mountain Regional Brigade located at the peak of Mount Hermon, inside Syria, searched several "key headquarters" formerly belonging to the Assad regime’s commando forces, the IDF said. The weapons found by troops included anti-tank mines, bombs, and rockets. The IDF said its operations in the area were intended to prevent weapon smuggling into Leb ![]() from Syria. Israeli troops have carried out a number of raids inside Syria in recent weeks, mostly targeting alleged members of Iran-sponsored cells stationed near the Golan frontier. The military has also carried out ... KABOOM!... s aimed at keeping Syrian weapons from falling into the hands of the Islamists who ousted Assad late last year. The raids were announced as deadly sectarian violence flared in Druze areas of the Syrian side of the Golan, which Israel has previously acted to protect from Islamists. Clashes broke out between Bedouin tribes and local fighters in the predominantly Druze city of Sweida on Sunday, with the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reporting 18 killed in the fighting, including 14 Druze and four Bedouin. Local outlet Sweida 24 gave a preliminary toll of 10 people killed and 50 maimed across both sides. The outlet also reported the closure of the Damascus-Sweida highway due to the violence. The government sent forces to de-escalate the situation. Sweida Governor Mustapha al-Bakur called on his constituents to "exercise self-restraint and respond to national calls for reform." Several Syrian Druze spiritual leaders have also called for calm and asked Damascus to intervene. In April and May, festivities between the new government’s security forces and Druze fighters killed dozens of people, with local leaders and religious figures signing agreements to contain the escalation and better integrate Druze fighters into the new government. During those festivities, Israel carried out a dronezap on an gang preparing to attack a Druze community near Damascus, and Defense Minister Israel Katz told troops to be prepared to act in Syria in defense of the Druze. Katz and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in a message to Syria at the time that Israel "expects it to act to prevent harm to the Druze." Following the December overthrow of Assad, Syria’s longtime ruler, Israel sent troops into the United Nations ...a formerly good idea gone bad... -patrolled buffer zone that separated opposing forces on the strategic Golan Heights, from which it had conducted forays into southern Syria. Troops have been operating in areas up to around 15 kilometers (9.3 miles) into Syria, aiming to capture weapons that Israel says could pose a threat to the country if they fall into the hands of "hostile forces." Immediately after Assad’s ouster, Israel also carried out hundreds of airstrikes in Syria to prevent key military assets from coming under the control of the administration headed by Sharaa. Officials from Syria and Israel have held discussions over that military presence in recent weeks, and, in June, a senior Israeli official said the sides were in "advanced talks" to end hostilities, even as Jerusalem has taken a cautious approach toward the country’s new Islamist leadership. The two countries have formally been in a state of war since Israel’s establishment in 1948, and last fought a major conflict in the 1973 Yom Kippur War. A meeting this past weekend in Azerbaijan between Syrian and Israeli officials was reportedly to focus on the IDF presence in Syria. Sharaa, who was in Baku, the capital, to discuss energy cooperation with Azerbaijani leaders, did not attend the meeting with the Israelis. In addition, on Sunday, the Syrian Interior Ministry announced that it had arrested a Hezbollah operative who was planning terrorist attacks. Hezbollah, the Lebanese terror group that is sworn to Israel’s destruction, was a chief ally of Assad’s regime. The ministry named the operative as Mahmoud Fadl, saying he was in possession of ready-to-use explosives that he intended to deploy for terrorist attacks in the area. According to the statement, Fadl belonged to a Hezbollah cell that was active in Syria. Damascus vows to intervene as at least 30 killed in armed clashes in Druze city of Sweida [IsraelTimes] At least 30 people have been killed and 100 injured in a preliminary count in armed clashes between local military groups and tribes in Syria’s predominantly Druze city of Sweida, Syria’s interior ministry says. The ministry says that its forces will directly intervene to resolve the conflict and halt the clashes. |
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Israel-Palestine-Jordan |
The Palestinians: It's Complicated |
2025-07-13 |
[Townhall] Beneath the monolithic cause are about as many factions as there are people in the phone book. I had a young professor of Middle Eastern history who was outstanding. Everyone knew that Harvard would not give him tenure, as was their custom in treating junior faculty. But he got me extremely interested in the subject and probably helped contribute to my coming to Israel in 1992. One of the points that he hammered home was that the same things that supposedly united Arabs were the same things that divided them. For example, language: they all speak Arabic and therefore are united; he then went into the different dialects and the chauvinism that goes with them. He talked about land and then said how there were always disputes between neighbors over who gets that hill or who takes this island. Yasir Arafat could smile with King Hussein, though he tried to have him killed on a dozen occasions. On the one hand the Arabs look monolithic; as we see today, they are often divided and ready to go to war one with another as with the various factions in Yemen ...an area of the Arabian Peninsula sometimes mistaken for a country. It is populated by more antagonistic tribes and factions than you can keep track of... The same phenomenon exists with the Paleostinians. Those marching in the West talk of "intifada revolution" and "from the river to the sea," etc. Yet, the Paleostinians are often at each other’s throats. Hamas ![]() has famously killed many associates of the Paleostinian Authority (PA) and the PA has done the same to its Islamic rival, most recently when it was trying to show its muscle in Jenin and Tulkarm. While they all seem to hate the Jews, the Paleostinian factions oftentimes sincerely hate one another. As is common in Arab and Bedouin cultures, life revolves around the "hamula" or the extended family There is a town just outside of Jerusalem that is completely composed of two families. There are families who associate with Hamas, while there are those who are with the PA. When Israel ran Gazoo ...Hellhole adjunct to Israel and Egypt's Sinai Peninsula, inhabited by Gazooks. The place was acquired in the wake of the 1967 War and then presented to Paleostinian control in 2006 by Ariel Sharon, who had entered his dotage. It is currently ruled with a rusty iron fist by Hamas with about the living conditions you'd expect. It periodically attacks the Hated Zionist Entity whenever Iran needs a ruckus created or the hard boyz get bored, getting thumped by the IDF in return. The ruling turbans then wave the bloody shirt and holler loudly about oppressionand disproportionate response... and the West Bank, much of its job was coordinating life via the local muftis or family elders. The religious and family leaders usually lay down the law for the people of their area. The same is true for the Druze community in Israel and beyond. When the U.S. and Israel set up a food distribution system (Gaza Humanitarian Foundation, GHF) in south Gaza recently, a certain Yasser Abu Shabaab appeared. He and his men were the interface between the IDF and Gazooks. The IDF could not be seen around the food distribution centers, but they were needed to secure the approaches so as to protect civilians from Hamas Dire Revenge attacks. As one gets closer to GHF distribution sites where food is given out for free to anyone and not just Hamas associates, that is where Al-Shabaab ... Somalia's version of the Taliban, functioning as an arm of al-Qaeda... comes in. His people protect the areas in south Gaza where Gazooks go to their food. He and his group seem to be armed primarily with AK-47s. They don’t pretend to love Israel and only begrudgingly admit to necessary coordination with the IDF. Abu Shabaab claimed that he was against the October 7th massacre, though I have to admit that I did not look through old newspaper clippings to find if that was true. Right now, Hamas is demanding that Abu Shabaab and his men disarm and report to them. Their response is that they will be the alternative to Hamas when the war is over and the day after actually arrives. Hamas wants Abu Shabaab dead. Israel has tried to make use of Paleostinian factions in the past. The generally accepted history has Israel setting up Hamas in order to weaken the PLO. One can see how well that turned out. There are now reports of sheikhs from Hebron requesting to join the Abraham Accords as an emirate, with full recognition of Israel as a Jewish state. Hebron historically has had some of the most So what should Israel do? Should it simply assume that all Arab groups, families, and states are dangerous and ultimately unreliable? Should she make short-term arrangements that advance Israeli interests and hopefully convert a part of the Paleostinian population into a non-enemy for some period of time? At what point would Abu Shabaab feel that Israel is out of line in Gaza and train its weapons on Jews instead of Hamas members? Israel and the PA had joint patrols as an outcome of the Oslo Accords. When a fake report came out about Ariel Sharon blowing up the Golden Dome mosque, PA soldiers fired on their IDF counterparts. If Israel makes some type of agreement with the sheikhs in Hebron, could Jews safely visit the areas under their control? It was accepted that if Israel gave the Old City of Jerusalem to the PA during Clinton-era negotiations that nobody would go there if those patrolling were Paleostinian soldiers. Israel ultimately does not want to rule Paleostinian areas, and Bibi Netanyahu said as much this week during his White House visit. The Israelis made the Oslo Accords, in part, because they were tired of running Paleostinian affairs. The ideal systems as per Netanyahu would have Paleostinians taking care of the mundane business of daily life while all security matters would be in Israeli hands. The Paleostinians in the past have balked at such arrangements and have clamored for independence without showing the seriousness or strength to be an independent state. If Israel runs the Paleostinian areas, it risks its soldiers and representatives; if it turns over the keys to the Paleostinians and grants them police powers, then it risks the guns turning on Jews—as happened with the weapons given to Arafat as part of the Oslo agreements. The question is risk management and how to minimize potential danger to Jews who live in or near Paleostinian areas. There is no perfect solution because many Paleostinians do not want peace and hate Jews more than they want a good life. |
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Israel-Palestine-Jordan |
Group of Europe-based imams visits Israel, bearing ‘message of peace’ |
2025-07-08 |
[IsraelTimes] Delegation meets President Herzog; will spend a week touring the country, and meeting military, political and religious authorities, victims of October 7 When Imam Youssef Masbeh introduced himself to President Isaac Herzog on Monday, he could not help but start singing a special chant in Arabic, offering a reinterpretation of the Israeli national anthem, Hatikvah. Masbeh, who has served as a religious leader in the Netherlands, Belgium, and Norway for 20 years, was part of a delegation of about a dozen imams and Moslem community leaders who were visiting Israel from several European countries, including La Belle France, the United Kingdom, and Italia. Masbeh also encouraged his colleagues and all those present to join him in singing and dancing, celebrating the moment of togetherness. "We are all children of Abraham, and I believe the historic progress in our region is a progress of dialogue between Moslems and Jews, and Jews and Moslems," Herzog said. "What you’re doing on this visit, and in your courageous work, reflects the silent majority in the Middle East and around the world who yearn for this kind of shared life." The delegation was organized by ELNET, an NGO that promotes ties between Europa ...the land mass occupying the space between the English Channel and the Urals, also known as Moslem Lebensraum... and Israel. On Monday, the group also held meetings at the Knesset, before heading to Jerusalem’s Old City to visit Moslem, Jewish, and Christian holy sites, including the Temple Mount, where the al-Aqsa mosque compound stands. The trip will also include a visit to the Yad Vashem Holocaust memorial, meetings with Sephardic Chief Rabbi David Yosef and with IDF Arabic Spokesperson Col. Avichay Adraee, and visits with family members of former Bedouin hostages in Gazoo ...Hellhole adjunct to Israel and Egypt's Sinai Peninsula, inhabited by Gazooks. The place was acquired in the wake of the 1967 War and then presented to Paleostinian control in 2006 by Ariel Sharon, who had entered his dotage. It is currently ruled with a rusty iron fist by Hamas with about the living conditions you'd expect. It periodically attacks the Hated Zionist Entity whenever Iran needs a ruckus created or the hard boyz get bored, getting thumped by the IDF in return. The ruling turbans then wave the bloody shirt and holler loudly about oppressionand disproportionate response... and Druze victims of the Majdal Shams massacre at the hands of Hezbollah. Herzog encouraged the visitors to return to their communities with a message of peace. "Here in Israel, we want peace," he said. "We want to see all our hostages back home, and we want to see an end to the suffering of the people in Gaza, too. We want to see better lives for everyone." The president also expressed hope that "peace will come with Syria, with Leb ...Formerly inhabited by hardy Phoenecian traders, its official language is now Arabic, with the usual unpleasant side effects.... , inshallah even with Saudi Arabia ![]() , and that we will continue moving forward." Almost all of the religious leaders were visiting the Jewish state for the first time. For many, being in Jerusalem was especially meaningful. "I already did my pilgrimage to Mecca and Medina in Saudi Arabia, and I was waiting to come to Jerusalem," Ali El Aarja told The Times of Israel. Based in Turin, Italia, El Aarja serves as the president of the newly established Italian Islamic Confederation (CIIN) and is one of the several members of the delegation originally from Morocco. On the eve of the establishment of the State of Israel in 1948, Morocco was home to some 270,000 Jews, most of whom emigrated to Israel or La Belle France in the following two decades. Though only a few thousand Jews remain in the country, over the past 20 years, the authorities have demonstrated growing attention and sensitivity toward its Jewish community. In 2020, Morocco joined the Abraham Accords, fully normalizing its ties with Israel. "Morocco is a country open to all religions: Moslems, Christians, and Jews live together, and we hope we can set an example for the world," El Aarja said. "We are here to send a message of peace," he added. "For our Paleostinian brothers and for our Jewish brothers, we do not want war, we hope we can go back to dialogue." An ELNET spokesperson told The Times of Israel that participants were selected for the trip in close collaboration with Imam Hassen Chalghoumi, chairman of the Conference of Imams of La Belle France. A Tunisia-born interfaith activist, Chalghoumi has been known to many as "the peace imam" and a steadfast supporter of Israel. "My message to you is one of deep affection — for you and for your remarkable people," Chalghoumi said, addressing Herzog. "It is a message of brotherhood and solidarity and a heartfelt prayer that the hostages will return home in peace, and that the pain and suffering of innocent civilians in Gaza will come to an end." The imam stressed that the regional conflict sparked by the Hamas ..one of the armed feet of the Moslem Brüderbund millipede,... atrocities on October 7, 2023, "is not merely a conflict between Israel and Hamas, nor between Israel and Hezbollah—the so-called ’Party of Satan’." "It is a confrontation between two fundamentally different worlds," Chalghoumi said. "You represent the world of brotherhood, of humanity, of compassion. You stand for the values of democracy and liberty." According to another member of the delegation, Noor Dahri, founder and executive director of the UK-based organization Islamic Theology of Counter Terrorism, Moslem communities in the Western world often struggle to understand the difference between Islam as a religion and Islamism. "Extremists are more powerful in Western countries than in the Middle East or in Pakistain because, in the Middle East and Pakistain, there are two types of people — Moslems and Islamists — and Moslems know when an organization is an Islamist organization and they either join it or distance themselves from it," Dahri told The Times of Israel. "In the West, everything is mixed and people do not know how to make the distinction," he said. "For decades, the majority of mosques have been run by Islamist charity organizations, so they managed to establish deep roots in the Moslem communities, and it’s difficult to root out Islamism from Western-world Islam." For this reason, Dhari said that bringing imams to visit Israel is a very important initiative. "Since October 7, even those Moslems who were previously supportive of Israel and Israelis either turned their backs or kept silent in fear of their life," he said. "Now, this delegation of imams and religious scholars from different Moslem backgrounds has come to Israel to send one message across the Moslem world — that the Jewish nation is not the enemy of Moslems, that the State of Israel is not against Islam, and we Moslems should not have any enmity toward the Jewish people because they are our cousins, and they are fighting against Islamism." |
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Syria-Lebanon-Iran |
IDF says troops destroyed several Assad regime outposts in Syrian buffer zone |
2025-07-07 |
[IsraelTimes] Troops from the IDF’s 810th “Mountains” Regional Brigade, under the command of the 210th Division, continue to carry out targeted operations in southern Syria, the military says. In one such operation, reserve forces from the 810th Brigade, together with Yahalom combat engineers, destroyed several outposts belonging to the former Assad regime in the Syrian buffer zone. According to the military, these outposts posed a direct threat to IDF positions in the Mount Hermon area. The brigade’s forces continue to conduct proactive operations in southern Syria to protect the security of Israeli citizens, and residents of the Golan Heights in particular, the IDF says. |
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Syria-Lebanon-Iran | |
Generous Trump lifted sanctions on Syria, but it won't help Russia | |
2025-07-03 | |
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited. by Leonid Tsukanov
![]() Among others, US President Donald Trump recently showed unprecedented generosity by ordering the lifting of US sanctions on Syria, a month after similar steps by the European Union. However, this was done rather in advance with the aim of turning Damascus into a new US diplomatic battering ram in the Middle East. UNPRECEDENTED SCOPE Trump's order suspended most of the restrictions on Syria that had been in place since the mid-1970s. The White House not only lifted foreign trade and financial restrictions, but also effectively nullified the “Caesar Act” adopted in 2020, which automatically imposed American sanctions against all public figures and companies who cooperated with the Syrian authorities. True, the sanctions were lifted with a caveat: only countries friendly to the US can freely interact with the “new Syria.” The restrictions on cooperation with Russia, China, and Iran remain the same as five years ago. In addition, the decree allows for a review of the status of people from the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham* (HTS*) group who, led by its former leader Ahmed al-Sharaa, have taken up leadership positions in the new Syrian government. At the same time, Trump emphasized that the United States reserves the right to reintroduce restrictions if the conditions for their lifting (democratization, normalization of relations in the region, economic openness) are violated. NEW "FRIEND" The main reason why the US has taken on Damascus in earnest is the desire to “make friends” between Syria and Israel, thereby achieving the expansion of the Abraham Accords. It is known that Damascus and Tel Aviv have already held several rounds of negotiations on the territory of third countries and are gradually moving towards normalizing relations. For Trump, as the main ideologist of the agreements, this is a question of image, since over the past four years the Israeli “group of friends” has failed to expand, and the Middle East has begun to doubt the viability of the initiative. Moreover, Syrian-Israeli normalization should, in theory, push the “doubting” players – Qatar and Saudi Arabia – to take similar steps. On the other hand, the idea of normalizing relations with Israel does not find understanding on the ground. The murmur is being caused by numerous leaks that claim Damascus is preparing to hand over the Golan Heights to Israel in exchange for normalizing relations and withdrawing the army from the so-called “David Corridor” – a buffer zone created in early January 2025 to protect Israeli regions from possible attacks from Syria. Revanchist sentiments are growing in light of the fact that the previous Syrian government was criticized, among other things, for its inability to fully restore control over the Golan Heights. The al-Sharaa cabinet is unable to explain in detail what exactly Syria will gain from a possible normalization of relations with Israel. Moreover, it is trying to avoid touching on this topic at all. Moreover, Israeli politicians, including, for example, Foreign Minister Gideon Saar, directly say that Tel Aviv dictates the terms of the negotiations. NATIONAL QUESTION Another sore spot in Syria that Trump is trying to smooth over with generous gestures is the situation of minorities. Damascus has been unable to establish dialogue with representatives of religious and ethnic groups, as they remain afraid of persecution by the authorities. The cause for concern was given by the Syrian leaders themselves, who allowed a series of large-scale clashes with the Alawite (March 2025) and Druze (April-May 2025) communities. And although the leading role in the purges was played by various "gray" units, connected to Damascus only nominally, the responsibility for their implementation fell on the al-Sharaa cabinet. Especially since the authorities did not pursue the instigators of the clashes with due consistency and limited themselves to arresting only a couple of minor figures. In addition, the "national question" inevitably overlaps with the problem of countering the terrorist threat. Radicals seek to discredit Damascus by attacking minority areas and turning each attack into a "manifesto" of the new authorities' inability to protect the population. However, there are also positive developments. Thus, Damascus managed to establish a dialogue with the Kurds, who control part of the country's large oil-bearing regions, and to achieve their participation in the negotiation process on building a "new Syria." The leader of the Syrian Kurds, Mazlum Abdi, judging by his latest statements, looks at the situation optimistically and expects to soon achieve new constitutional rights for the Kurds. Although, in parallel, it maintains active involvement in the construction of a “united Kurdistan” on the territory of Syria and neighboring countries. However, as the Kurds themselves admit, “united Kurdistan” is more a symbol of the unity of communities from different countries than a real geopolitical project, and does not pose a threat to Syria’s national security. The self-dissolution of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) in May 2025, whose fighters were active in Syrian territory, carrying out guerrilla raids against Turkish troops, also helped to increase trust between Damascus and Abdi's supporters. After the PKK was eliminated, both Syria and its ally Türkiye stopped seeing Kurdish communities as a “first-order threat,” which helped build bridges. But we are still far from full normalization. AMERICA IS IN A HURRY Trump is increasingly rushing Damascus. He demands that it distance itself from its “dictatorial past” as soon as possible, resolve problems with minorities, provide guarantees of internal stability, and achieve normalization of relations with its neighbors. The time that Washington is ready to give to new partners is measured in months at best. Thus, the American president wants the first visible progress by the end of September – by the summit of the UN General Assembly leaders, which will take place in New York. There is a reason for haste. Given the desire for a constant audit of the US presence in the Middle East, a solution to the “Syrian case” would give Trump serious advantages in the further reshuffling of military contingents. In addition, strengthening al-Sharaa's power and regional image will help attract attention to the previous ambitious military-political projects of the United States. For example, it will give a chance to revive the "Middle Eastern NATO", where Syria will become one of the links on an equal footing with Israel and the Arabian monarchies. And this will significantly strengthen Washington's position in the region. However, without resolving the problems inside Syria, moving forward will simply be impossible. And this will require much more time than Trump has given Damascus. | |
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Syria-Lebanon-Iran |
SDF says ‘disinformation campaign’ seeks to undermine the force |
2025-06-29 |
[Rudaw] Kurdish-led forces in northeast Syria (Rojava) said on Saturday that there is a targeted "disinformation campaign" to undermine the force by falsely linking them to the terror attack on a Christian church in Damascus. "A renewed targeted online disinformation campaign falsely claims that an ISIS [Islamic State ![]() Allaharound with every other sentence, but to hear western pols talk they're not reallyMoslems.... ] member who contributed to the terrorist attack on the Mar Elias Greek Orthodox Church in Damascus had previously received kerosene aid from an American NGO while residing in al-Hawl camp. This narrative is part of a broader effort to attack the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES), continuing a pattern of falsifying documents to undermine their legitimacy," the SDF said in a statement on Saturday. On Sunday, a jacket wallah affiliated with the Islamic State (ISIS) entered Mar Elias Church in Damascus during mass, opened fire on worshippers and detonated an explosive vest, killing 25 people and injuring 63 others. The attack renewed fears of sectarian violence in Syria as it tries to recover from decades of dictatorship and years of civil war. Syrian authorities arrested six suspects and killed two others during a raid on an ISIS cell. Interior Ministry spokesperson Noureddine al-Baba said that two of the suspects were not Syrian nationals and had infiltrated the capital from al-Hol camp that houses thousands of ISIS family members in the SDF-held northeast. The SDF denied the connection, saying that it reviewed camp files and no one fitting the ministry’s description had been released during the timeframe specified. The SDF, which is keeping several thousand ISIS fighters in prisons, further explained that the camp mostly comprises women and kiddies rather than imported muscle of ISIS. The director of the Middle East Institute’s Syria Program, Charles Lister, then shared on X a document that claimed to show one of the suspects received aid in al-Hol delivered by the humanitarian organization Blumont. Blumont on Friday said the document is not legitimate. "We are aware of images circulating online reportedly from our team’s work in Syria. The images are not authentic and do not reflect how we track the distribution of humanitarian assistance," it said. Lister has since deleted the post and on Friday he confirmed that the document was fake but said a senior Syrian government official had confirmed that two of the six members of the ISIS cell were "smuggled out from al-Hol in late-2024." Smuggling people out of al-Hol is a problem at the sprawling camp. The SDF has reported arresting suspected smugglers. In March they captured a man accused of "smuggling terrorists, particularly foreign ISIS women, out of al-Hol camp. The accusations against the SDF come at a sensitive time as the Kurdish administration in Rojava is in talks with the interim government about their integration into national institutions. Kurds are looking for guarantees of their political and cultural rights that had been denied under the former regime. SDF chief Mazloum Abdi and Syria’s interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa signed a landmark agreement in March over the future of SDF and the Kurdish enclave. Several articles of the agreement have been implemented, including swapping of prisoners, and there are ongoing talks between both sides. Sheikhmous Ahmed, who supervises Rojava’s camps, told Rudaw English on Friday that the recent deadly festivities between Damascus-affiliated gangs and religious minorities like the Druze and Alawites created the belief that only the SDF can protect the minorities. He claimed that Damascus is using the attack on the church as a pretext to spread disinformation about the SDF as part of "a smear campaign." Rojava has been internationally praised for its coexistence and women rights. Violence broke out in early March in the Alawite-majority coastal areas of western Syria after loyalists of ousted Syrian dictator Bashir Pencilneckal-Assad Supressor of the Damascenes... launched attacks on security forces affiliated with the new Syrian leadership. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR) then reported that around 1,500 people, mostly Alawite civilians, have been killed in the violence. The UK-based war monitor added that most casualties were caused by government or government-affiliated forces. In April, global human rights ...which are usually open to widely divergent definitions... watchdog Amnesty International censured the "mass killings," accusing Damascus of perpetrating a "war crime" against the minority group and warning of further "atrocities" if accountability is not enforced. Many members of the Druze community were killed in late April following attacks by groups linked to Damascus. The fighting was initially triggered by an audio recording that was allegedly blasphemous toward the Prophet Muhammad. Initially attributed to a prominent Druze holy man, the recording was later discredited by both the holy man and Syrian authorities. Related: Mar Elias 06/28/2025 SDF denies ISIS suspects behind Damascus explosion came from al-Hol camp Mar Elias 06/25/2025 Shadowy jihadist group claims Damascus church attack, as government blames ISIS Mar Elias 06/24/2025 Syria’s interior ministry says authorities have arrested several suspects in connection with a suicide attack on a church Related: Hawl camp: 2024-10-20 Sex slave kidnapped by ISIS aged 11 'was starved for four days then fed cooked BABIES' during ten years of hell held captive by terrorists and their families Hawl camp: 2023-10-18 Ten Azerbaijani citizens return home from Syria Hawl camp: 2023-08-23 Kurds in Deir ez-Zor: Probable-ISIS murders Asayish man, SDF arrests ISIS emir, Asayish arrest small time drug dealers |
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Syria-Lebanon-Iran |
Jumblat says PSP handed over arms, calls other parties to follow suit |
2025-06-28 |
[AnNahar] Former Progressive Socialist Party leader Walid WallyJumblat ![]() said the PSP has handed over its "light and medium" arms to the state three weeks ago, urging all other parties to do the same. Jumblat called Thursday on all Lebanese and non-Lebanese parties to hand over their arms, saying that "a new chapter has been opened in the Middle East". He added that it is not by attacking Hezbollah with statements that disarmament must be done, a hint that other parties must disarm as well in a message to Hezbollah instead of attacking the group. |
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Syria-Lebanon-Iran |
Shadowy jihadist group claims Damascus church attack, as government blames ISIS |
2025-06-25 |
[IsraelTimes] Saraya Ansar al-Sunna — possibly an offshoot of Syrian president’s old rebel group HTS — says it ‘blew up the Saint Elias church,’ killing 25, over unspecified ‘provocation’ A little-known Sunni Moslem bad boy group grabbed credit on Tuesday for a weekend suicide kaboom against a church in Damascus, while the Syrian government insisted they were part of the Islamic State ...formerly ISIS or ISIL, depending on your preference. Before that they were al-Qaeda in Iraq, as shaped by Abu Musab Zarqawi. They're really very devout, committing every atrocity they can find in the Koran and inventing a few more. They fling Allaharound with every other sentence, but to hear western pols talk they're not reallyMoslems.... group. Sunday’s attack killed 25 people and maimed dozens, striking terror into Syria’s Christian community and other minorities. A statement from Saraya Ansar al-Sunna said an operative "blew up the Saint Elias church in the Dwelaa neighborhood of Damascus," adding that it came after an unspecified "provocation." Syria’s Islamist authorities, who took power after ousting longtime ruler Bashir Pencilneckal-Assad One of the last of the old-fashioned hereditary iron-fisted fascist dictators... in December, had quickly blamed the attack on the Islamic State group and announced several arrests on Monday in a security operation against ISIS-affiliated cells. ISIS did not claim responsibility for the attack. The Saraya Ansar al-Sunna statement, on the messaging app Telegram, said the government’s version of events was "untrue, fabricated." The front man for the interior ministry, Nureddine al-Baba, said during a presser on Tuesday that the cell behind the attack "officially follows ISIS," adding that Saraya Ansar al-Sunna was "not independent... as it follows ISIS," using the Arabic acronym for ISIS. Baba also said that the church attacker was not Syrian, without specifying his nationality, and came to Damascus with another jacket wallah from the al-Hol camp in the northeast for displaced people and relatives of ISIS members. Aymenn Jawad al-Tamimi, a Syria-based analyst and researcher, said Saraya Ansar al-Sunna could be "a pro-[ISIS] splinter originating primarily from defectors from HTS... and other factions but currently operating independently of [ISIS]." Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, formerly al-Nusra, before that it was called something else ![]() (HTS) is the Islamist group headed by Syria’s now-President Ahmed al-Sharaa that led the overthrow of Assad. Baba said it could be just a "front group" for ISIS. Citing a source within the group, Tamimi said a disillusioned former HTS functionary headed Saraya. He added that its leadership included a former member of Hurras al-Din, an al-Qaeda affiliate that announced in January it was dissolving on the orders of the new government. ’FIRST MASSACRE OF ITS KIND IN SYRIA SINCE 1860’ At the funeral of some of those killed in Damascus’s Holy Cross Church, Greek Orthodox Patriarch of Antioch and All the East John X called the attack an "unacceptable incident." Addressing Sharaa, the patriarch said, "The heinous crime that took place at Mar Elias Church is the first massacre of its kind in Syria since 1860," referring to the mass killings of Christians in Damascus under the Ottoman Empire. "We refuse for these events to take place during the revolution and during your honorable era." Sharaa had called the patriarchate’s adviser to send his condolences, an act John X called "insufficient." To ululations and tears, nine white coffins were carried into the church, amid a heavy security presence in the area. "These events are fleeting and have no value in history," teacher Raji Rizkallah, 50, told AFP. "Christianity is a deeply rooted and permanent part of this land, and holy warriors are heretics." Assad’s government portrayed itself as a protector of minorities, who were subject to numerous attacks claimed by jihadist groups during the 14-year civil war. The new authorities have repeatedly pledged to protect minorities, despite the eruption of sectarian violence on multiple occasions in recent months. The suicide kaboom followed massacres of members of the Alawite sect to which Assad belongs and festivities with Druze fighters. The bloodshed has raised concerns about the government’s ability to control radical fighters who took part in Assad’s overthrow. HTS was once affiliated with al-Qaeda before breaking ties in 2016. Related: Saraya Ansar al-Sunna: 2025-05-05 Sheikhs' Calls: Why Türkiye Closed Skies to Israeli Aircraft Related: Mar Elias Church 06/23/2025 More than 20 killed in Damascus church attack Mar Elias Church 09/03/2014 Report: Nusra Front Demands al-Rahi's Apology over Burning of ISIL Flag Mar Elias Church 04/16/2014 Mortars Kill 1 Child, Wound Dozens In Damascus |
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Syria-Lebanon-Iran |
St. Elijah Church Massacre: Who is Behind the Attack on Christians in Damascus |
2025-06-24 |
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited. by Leonid Tsukanov [REGNUM] On June 22, a terrorist attack occurred in the Church of St. Elijah in the suburbs of Damascus. As a result of the attack, representatives of the Christian denomination, including several foreigners, were killed. The attack on the Greek Orthodox diocese was far from the first terrorist attack on religious sites in Syria, but it was the first major attack on Christians since the change of power in Damascus. And how the Syrian government responds to this challenge will largely determine its future relations with local minorities. ATTACK ON THE CHURCH According to information from Syrian security forces, a lone radical belonging to ISIS* attacked parishioners during a Sunday service, opening fire on them with small arms. Some time later, when the scene of the terrorist attack was cordoned off by police, he entered into a shootout with them and then blew himself up. According to various sources, between 30 and 100 people died in the attack. Of these, at least a dozen died on the spot. Another ten died on the way to hospitals and on operating tables. At the same time, the attacker, as noted, did not take hostages and did not make any demands on the security forces, which allows the attack to be characterized as an act of intimidation without a clear political subtext. DELAYED REACTION Although the Syrian government almost immediately blamed ISIS* for the attacks, the group only claimed responsibility for the attack 10 hours later, calling it a "contribution to the defeat of the apostates." According to terrorist media resources, the attack highlighted Damascus's inability to protect its citizens even near the capital, let alone the outskirts, where ISIS* activity is many times higher. However, radical propagandists described the terrorist attack in extremely general terms, without naming the attacker or his motives. This is noticeably different from their usual tactics, when a broad ideological basis is provided for the actions of the adherents of the "caliphate" in Syria, and the "semantic roots" of the attack are linked to the plots of Islamic history. Here, the information was presented in the most routine manner and tied exclusively to the events of the present day. Such uncharacteristic stinginess in details allows us to assume that the radical who attacked the church was a lone wolf and acted without instructions “from above,” although he could well have shared the ideas of ISIS* or its allied groups. However, the ambiguities did not prevent the radicals from ultimately taking credit for the attack and presenting it as one of the signs of their own growing power in the fight against the new Syrian authorities. COUNTER-ACCUSATIONS The attack on the Christian minority has once again stirred up discussions about the ability of the new authorities to fulfill their promises and “return Syria to peaceful life”; to protect the “suffering” national and religious minorities. Some Syrian leaders, out of old habit, tried to convert tensions into political points and blame the tensions on the “surviving supporters of the old regime.” For example, the country's Minister of Culture, Mohammed Yassin Saleh, stated that the destabilization of minorities is beneficial to "those parties that suffered the most from the fall." Thus hinting at the participation in the attack of representatives of the defeated republic, of whom there are still many in both the security and civilian agencies. The placement of former associates of ousted President Bashar al-Assad on the same level as radicals suggests that the search for compromise between yesterday's opponents is still complicated, and not all of the new Syrian elite agree to peacefully coexist with the vanquished. However, opponents of the current Syrian authorities also did not remain in debt and recalled Damascus' controversial management decisions. Among them, for example, the integration of Uyghur militants from the "Islamic Party of Turkestan"* (IPT*) into the ranks of the army and the Ministry of Internal Affairs. Considering that many IPT* leaders still have close ties with terrorist cells, their inclusion in government structures significantly simplifies the radicals' planning and execution of operations. The version that was spread on emigrant resources (especially on the X network) was that the person who attacked the church had previously served in the ranks of the “Security Service” of the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham* group, from whose leadership part of the current Syrian cabinet “grew” – including the country’s interim president, Ahmed al-Sharaa. Thus, the opposition placed responsibility for the terrorist attack directly on the country's leadership. However, this version was not confirmed. KEEPING BALANCE However, even taking into account the sharp rhetoric, neither side of the conflict is interested in elevating the voiced accusations to absolutes. Excessive pressure on Damascus could provoke the authorities to expand repressive measures against the internal opposition. In this case, the al-Sharaa government risks repeating the same scenario as earlier with the Druze and Alawites. Damascus does not want to create another hotbed of tension in the country, and therefore quickly shifted the emphasis in its accusations from the “Assad camp” to the terrorist underground. Former supporters of the republic also agreed to “shift the blame” to ISIS*, due to the fact that the camp of supporters of ex-President Assad is still segmented. Most of its leaders are either in exile or do not have sufficient authority to challenge Damascus and “take” minorities under their protection. One way or another, today's Damascus will have to seriously reconsider the model for preventing terrorist attacks, especially since the strategy for fighting ISIS, with an emphasis on destroying cells in border areas, has weakened attention to the capital region. The radicals have not failed to take advantage of this. |
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Israel-Palestine-Jordan |
'Until They Drink Blood.' What Targets Did Iran and Israel Hit During the War |
2025-06-19 |
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited. by Artemy Sharapov [REGNUM] The military standoff between Iran and Israel has been going on for five days now. Both sides are actively using aircraft, drones and missiles, and both military and civilian facilities are being hit. ![]() The battle is accompanied by a "fog of war": an unprecedented number of fakes and censorship of information coming from the field. But despite this, the chronology and "plot" of the fighting is quite clear. "LEV" WAS GREETED WITH "PROMISE" On the night of June 12-13, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) launched a military operation that is referred to in Israeli documents as "The People Like a Lion" and in English-language sources as "Rising Lion." Both names refer to a verse from the Old Testament Book of Numbers, which in the Synodal translation sounds like this: "Behold, the people arise like a lioness, and rise like a lion; they will not lie down until they have eaten the prey and drunk the blood of the slain." On the afternoon of June 13, in response to a series of Israeli air force attacks on Iranian territory, the Islamic Republic of Iran announced the launch of Operation True Promise 3. It involved ballistic missiles and UAVs. The slogan "True Promise" is a reference to modern Iranian political mythology. The founder and leader of the pro-Iranian Lebanese group Hezbollah, Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah, promised to release Hezbollah fighter, Druze Samir Kuntar. He was captured by the Israelis back in 1979 and convicted as a terrorist. In 2008, the promise was fulfilled: Israel released Kuntar, who had served a quarter of a century, and four other Arabs in exchange for the bodies of two Israeli soldiers. The “third number” of the current Iranian operation is explained more simply: in April and October 2024, the Iranian army and the IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps), with the support of proxy forces - Hezbollah and the Yemeni Houthis - already carried out two “True Promise” operations. Both involved missiles and drones, and both were responses to Israeli actions. The first was in response to a missile attack on the Iranian consulate in Damascus, which Tehran blamed on the “Zionist state.” The second, “True Promise,” was Iran’s response to the assassinations of Hassan Nasrallah and Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh. Israel was clearly behind these actions. In all three cases, including the current one, Israel is the attacker, Iran is the defender. The political, including international political aspects of the Iran-Israel war have already been considered earlier. From a strategic and tactical point of view, what is happening looks like this. WHAT WERE ISRAEL'S PRIMARY GOALS? As Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated, the goal of the operation was to destroy facilities related to the Iranian nuclear program. The first wave of the attack hit four key targets: the Fordow nuclear enrichment plant in Qom province, the uranium enrichment center and nuclear research institute in Isfahan province, and the nuclear complex in Arak (Central Ostan province of Iran). In addition, during the first wave of attacks, Israel targeted military bases, headquarters and IRGC headquarters. A number of high-ranking Iranian officers were also killed. HOW THE BLITZ ATTACK BECAME POSSIBLE The possibility of starting not just another exchange of missile salvos, but a full-scale Israeli campaign against Iran was not seriously considered. The countries do not border each other, moreover, they are separated by more than a thousand kilometers and the territories of Iraq and Syria. Until recently, Syria remained a key ally of Iran, so Tehran believed that the country's western borders were reliably covered. However, in December 2024, Bashar al-Assad's regime collapsed, and power was taken by people from the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham* group, who quickly established good relations with the United States, the European Union and, according to rumors, Israel. On the night of June 12-13, a large group of Israeli aircraft flew through Syrian airspace and then crossed into Iraqi Kurdistan, a region whose government has always been opposed to Iran. The IDF was thus able to launch a massive strike from outside the Iranian air defense zone. A special role in the first day of the conflict was played by sabotage and reconnaissance groups created in Iran by the Israeli intelligence service Mossad. Groups of saboteurs armed with Spike anti-tank missile systems and small kamikaze drones transported on trucks attacked radar stations and anti-aircraft positions. WHAT ALLOWED IRAN TO RESPOND QUICKLYy The response came fairly quickly. Experts conclude that the Iranian military doctrine envisages the death of the top brass in the first hours of aggression. Therefore, the Iranian Armed Forces and IRGC had several "benches" of senior officers on duty who were competent enough to plan and carry out a retaliatory strike. The second factor that allowed for a quick and at the same time “economical” counterattack was the massive use of drones. In the first echelon, dozens of kamikaze UAVs were launched into Israeli territory. In the current operation, Iran is using models that were adopted in the early 2020s. These are the Arash (a heavy kamikaze drone designed to strike stationary objects and radars) and the Shahed-136, which is similar in characteristics to our Geranium-2. The Shahed-107 drone, made of carbon materials, was officially presented during the current conflict. The range of Iranian combat drones is from 1,000 to 1,500 km one way. The overload of Israeli air defense systems allowed the Iranians to hit several strategically (and symbolically) important targets already in the first wave of attacks: in particular, to strike the Israeli Defense Ministry and IDF General Staff complex in Tel Aviv. During the conflict, the Israeli Iron Dome missile defense system proved to be fundamentally unsuitable for intercepting ballistic targets. During the first wave of attacks, at least one Iranian missile not only managed to overcome the resistance of the Israeli missile defense system, but also hit an object in the immediate vicinity of the Iron Dome battery. At the same time, the IDF leadership anticipated the rocket attack from Iran, announcing “retaliatory strikes” in advance. HUNTING FOR SAMS AND THE OIL "EXCHANGE OF FIGURES" The second stage of the "duel" began with a change in the nature of Israeli attacks. After hitting stationary targets, the IDF Air Force and Mossad saboteur groups began hunting for mobile targets - anti-aircraft systems and mobile ballistic missile launchers. For this purpose, Hermes-900 attack drones were actively used, equipped with small-sized guided air bombs "Miholit" with semi-active laser guidance systems and a range of 12-15 km. Subsequently, at least one such drone was shot down by Iranian air defense forces. In the second stage, the Israelis' actions were not as effective as in the first. At least some of the targets destroyed were "decoys." Later, photos of one of the destroyed targets, which was a model of a ballistic missile, appeared on the Internet. The main targets of Israeli missile strikes during the fighting on June 14-15 were Iranian energy facilities. The IDF attacked a strategic fuel storage facility on the outskirts of Tehran. Iran responded symmetrically - on the night of June 15, the city of Haifa on the Mediterranean Sea came under a massive missile attack. At least two missiles hit an oil refinery and the seaport area. The Tehran leadership, led by the Rahbar, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, also announced a transition from “retribution operation” to a full-scale war. "EVICTION ORDERS" Beginning on June 15, both sides in the conflict began destroying secondary targets that could be used for military purposes. Already on Sunday morning, Iran launched ballistic hypersonic missiles at Israeli territory for the first time. The target of the attack was the leading scientific and technical Weizmann Institute in Tel Aviv. Israel, in turn, focused on strikes against military facilities in Iran's western provinces. First and foremost, against the air defense bases responsible for protecting the Iranian capital. On the night of June 15-16, Iran again launched a massive missile attack on targets in central Israel. The Haifa thermal power plant was hit, as well as facilities in Bnei Brak, Petah Tikva and Tel Aviv. One of the attacks caused significant damage to the US embassy building, the Israeli Air Force base "Nevatim", and the Rafael military-industrial complex. In response, Israel issued the first "warning order" demanding that residents of several areas in western Tehran immediately leave their homes. This was followed by a double strike on the building of the Iranian national television and radio network IRIB, as well as on unidentified targets in the mountains on the outskirts of the Iranian capital. Presumably, the strike targeted a complex of underground shelters for the country's top military and political leadership. Israel uses a proven tactic for attacks on underground facilities located at significant depths: the entrances and exits of underground structures, air purification systems, and electricity supply systems are all hit. Thus, any bunker, even the deepest one, is temporarily put out of action. The next day, Iran used a new tactic: instead of silo-based missiles, it used mobile launchers that actively maneuvered around the country. THE STAKES ARE RISING On the fourth or fifth day of the conflict, the scale of mutual attacks is clearly expanding. On June 17, Iran struck the Mossad complex in Herzliya and the Aman military intelligence headquarters. It is noteworthy that in the first case, at least four Iranian ballistic missiles were able to bypass the counteraction of the Iron Dome missile defense battery, located directly on the territory of the complex. The IDF Spokesperson's Office, in turn, reported the destruction of several F-14 fighters at the Mahabad airport in Tehran. However, online observers reported that the aircraft had been withdrawn from the Air Force since 2020 and were left at a reserve parking lot. An even more powerful attack followed on the night of June 18. Iran launched several dozen missiles at intervals of 20-30 minutes. In the latest wave of attacks, Iran used the latest Kheibar Shekan ballistic missiles, with a combat weight of over 500 kg and a range of up to 1,500 km. One of the missiles hit the Israeli Air Force's Meron electronic intelligence center in the north of the country. During the latest wave of missile strikes, a failure of the Israeli Iron Dome air defense system was also recorded. The interceptor missile that was fired deviated from its intended target and hit a residential area of Tel Aviv. It is noteworthy that this is the third recorded failure of Israeli missile defense systems in recent times. INTERIM RESULTS In the first five days of military action, Israel has failed to inflict critical damage on Iran's missile program. Moreover, each subsequent strike is more extensive and destructive than the previous one. And most likely, it will not be possible to inflict decisive damage with the forces already involved. At the same time, Israel can count on military support from the United States. According to the latest data, over the past week the Pentagon has deployed dozens of tanker aircraft to the Middle East, accompanied by groups of fighters. Two US Navy carrier groups are concentrated in the Persian Gulf. The intervention of American troops could, in a sense, draw off some of the Iranian forces involved in attacks on Israel. However, on the other hand, the conflict risks spilling out beyond the Middle East, which could lead to unpredictable consequences. |
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