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Recent Appearances... Rantburg

Afghanistan/South Asia
Will Musharraf ban Jamaat-e-Islami and JUI?
2005-08-29
My guess is no. The important people like to keep their options open by having all sorts of political groups hang around in case they prove useful in the future.
Following widespread allegations that some elements within the Jamaat-e Islami and Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam may have links with Al Qaeda, Pakistani intelligence agencies have been spurred into action. If these allegations are proved, they could lead to a worldwide ban on the two parties.
That would be a reasonable course, but I can't see it happening, either. They have too much power in Pakland to allow themselves to be suppressed — at least for now. I think Perv has succeeded in weakening them, with their own assistance.
The development could also mean the end of the MMA government in the NWFP and the falling out of the ruling Pakistan Muslim League-Q with the MMA in Balochistan where the two share a coalition government. For their part the JI and JUIF leaders have lashed out at the government.
But since they've made a career of that, how much notice is actually being taken?
The two parties say the government has mischievously spread the word that religious parties may be banned the world over if their links with Al Qaeda and terror activities are proven. However, leaders of the two parties say the claims of terror links are nothing but “rumours” and are a part of the government’s drive against the religious parties.
JI's involvement with Hizbul is mere rumor. The fact that many Qaeda thugs have been extricated from safe houses belonging to JI members is mere rumor. Sami's involvement with the Talibs is mere rumor.
Sources also say these allegations against religious parties could be a result of the Mutahidda Qaumi Movement’s constant demand that the JI be banned and leaders of Islami Jamiat-e-Tulaba be arrested. “JI should have been banned long ago because it is responsible for introducing the culture of terrorism in Pakistan,” MQM leader Dr Farooq Sattar told TFT. “We [MQM] have been demanding a ban on JI and other extremist parties for a long time now and will welcome such moves.”
In a world built on logic and reason that'd be a mere statement of the obvious.
Sources say the recent deportation of JUI leader Maulana Fazlur Rehman from Dubai had much to do with reports of his party’s alleged links with terrorist organisations and investigations into JUI-backed madrassahs. Rehman, however, blames the Pakistan government for the deportation and says he is only keeping silent about the issue because he does not want to harm the national interest, though he did come up with allegations about how Islamabad was backing the Taliban and launching them into Afghanistan.
It's amazing what slips out when the Lord High Fundos are in a fit of high dudgeon...
“If a ban is placed on the JI and JUI, their leaders will be completely prohibited from travelling abroad,” said a government source. “The government has also ordered a separate inquiry into JUI’s links with Tripoli. Fazlur Rehman and his party have age-old links with Libya whose nature Rehman now has to explain.
I'd guess his response will consist of bluster and walkouts. That does explain why he hasn't stayed bought, though...
Leaders from Lashkar-e-Taiba, Hizb-ut Tahrir, Jaish-e Mohammad and Tableeghi Jamaat could also be banned from travelling abroad,” he added.
That would certainly be a relief for the rest of the world. But I can't see it happening. Pakland has nothing else to export.
Reports available with TFT say that in the late 1980s, government security agencies conducted investigations into the alleged funding of the JUP and JUI from elements in Iraq and Libya respectively. The investigation was started after JUI and JUP leaders made a number of “suspicious” trips to these countries but nothing became of the probe which was conducted at a time when the regime was pro-religious and openly backed the mujahideen.
But I notice they didn't throw the records away.
Now, following the recent bombings in London, Pakistani, British and American intelligence agencies have started investigating all organisations that have been sending religious students to Islamic seminaries abroad. In the last three years, thousands of madrassah students, including Pakistanis, have travelled to madrassahs around the globe.
There is actually more of this sort of movement, I'd guess, than the combined intel agencies can keep up with. Probably the majority of the movement consists of drones, with no significance. Maybe 20 to 30 percent will be various levels of bad guys, moving for nefarious purposes.
As for the recent LB polls, sources say President Pervez Musharraf is likely to reach an understanding with the Awami National Party (ANP) in NWFP and with the nationalist parties in Balochistan to replace the MMA in the two provinces. However, Musharraf’s failure to reach a compromise with mainstream liberal and secular parties like the Pakistan Peoples Party Parliamentarians and Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz may push these two parties closer to the JI and JUI. In fact, the Alliance for Restoration of Democracy (ARD) comprising the PPPP and PML-N as well as several other smaller parties recently reached an agreement with the MMA to launch a combined movement against Musharraf’s government.
The Awami National Party is a Pashtun leftist party, one opposed to Talibanisation and the Jihadis and close to America. It seems likely to be in the new Peshwar government. The Baluchi nationalists are also leftists opposed to Talibanisation, but they are also hostile to the Pak military so palms will probably be greased to make that work.
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Afghanistan/South Asia
Karachi: A history of it’s politics and violence
2004-05-21
EFL
Karachi has gone from bad to worse. There is no other way to describe the city’s woes and its downslide since 1984. Foreigners are generally advised by their governments to “avoid visiting Karachi” Recently, the Indian cricket team refused to play a Test match here, as did South Africa and New Zealand. A Dutch company, which has been working in Karachi for the past few years, has decided to ‘pack-up’ and leave. The Dutch company’s decision came a week before a suicide bomb attack in an imambargah killed 19 people and injured around 80. The suicide bomber has since been identified as a ‘policeman’. A few days later, 10 people were killed and 20 others injured in an armed attack allegedly involving the activists of Muttahida Qaumi Movement (MQM), Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal (MMA) and the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP). The growing violence threatens to plunge Karachi back to the eighties and early nineties when the city was on fire.
MMA is mostly Pashtun based, the PPP is a secular party appealing to Sindhis, and the MQM is the party of Indian migrants to Pakistan.

Karachi, the city of 14-million people, has witnessed constant bloodshed since 1984. An estimated 5,000 people have been killed in political, ethnic and sectarian violence. The violence has resulted in sharp decline in foreign and local investment. Many believe the decision to shift the capital to Islamabad from Karachi contributed to an emphasis away from Karachi. Even so Karachi retained it pride of place as the melting pot of Pakistan and as its financial capital. Karachi remained the city of colour and culture till the mid 70s. The city once had some 70 cinema-houses, nightclubs, bars and other entertainment outlets. Today, the city hardly has 10 cinema-houses and, of course, no nightclubs or bars since they were banned by Mr Bhutto in 1977. Over the years the city has also seen a rise in the population of aliens. It started with the Afghan refugees but now includes Bangladeshis, Sri Lankans, Burmese and even some Africans. This has resulted in higher crime rates and slum dwellings. Karachi today houses thousands of slum-cities including Asia’s biggest slum-city, the Orangi Town. There are some 0.5 million Bengalis, one million Afghans and some 0.5 million other foreign nationals like Burmese, Palestinians, Jordanians etc. Police sources, however, say the aliens are not involved in terrorist attacks, which are mounted by either the locals or Pakistanis from Punjab, Frontier or Hazara. The Baloch and Sindhis are primarily into car-lifting and kidnapping for ransom. Even so, some intelligence officials believe hired killers could possibly be drawn from among the aliens.
These foreigners make a fertile recruiting ground for Jihadis, especially Laskar-e-Taiba, allowing them to extend their reach to countries like Burma and Bangladesh that have little Pakistani presence.

Karachi has been caught in the grip of sectarian violence since the early days of former military ruler General Zia-ul-Haq. In 1978, some 14 people were killed in sectarian riots after a dispute broke out on the procession of a mosque in Golimar. House to house fighting was witnessed following mass attacks on mosques and imambargahs; some of these prayer places were set on fire. Into the fray entered organisations like the Shia Tehreek-e-Nifaz-e-Fiqah-e-Jafria (TNFJ), later rechristened the Tehrik-e Jafaria Pakistan and Swad-e-Azam. Though the leaders of both these groups belong to the people from Hazara or NWFP, they have established their bases in Karachi. This has led to an intensification of sectarian clashes in the city.
Ethnic, Political and religous groups with their own militias aren’t exactly a good recipe for peace.

The Zia era also saw increase in campus violence in Karachi. JI, which supported Zia till he banned the students unions, used its student-wing, the Islami Jamiat-e-Tulaba (IJT) to control the colleges and universities in the city. There is no doubt that the IJT was the most organised student group. It also had a militant streak. It could not be challenged by any other group except the Nationalist Students Federation (NSF). But the NSF faded in the face of IJT until a small student group representing Mohajir students and calling itself the All Pakistan Mohajir Student Organisation (APMSO) came on the scene. The IJT got its first real challenge at the hands of the APMSO. The APMSO exploited the issue of injustice meted out to the Urdu-speaking students: quota-system, admissions and lack of employment opportunities were some of the issues it raised. They soon attracted many ethnic Mohajir IJT students, who joined the APMSO. The IJT retaliated by using strong-arm tactics to put down the APMSO. This did not diminish the popularity of the APMSO but led to armed clashes and violence on the campuses. In 1986, the founder members of the APMSO launched the Mohajir Qaumi Movement (now Mutahidda Qaumi Movement). A pharmacy student, Altaf Hussain, from the University of Karachi led the MQM. Hussain was earlier sentenced to nine months in prison by a military court for allegedly burning a Pakistani flag.
The MQM were able to eject the JI from Karachi for a time, by being more violent than them, but the Pak establishment declared war on them which diverted their attention and resources. The JI has made a big come back in Karachi of late.

But the watershed year was 1984. In that year Karachi took a violent turn and life has never been normal in the city since then. It all started with a simple road accident in which a bus overran a college girl, Bushra Zaidi. This led to Mohajir-Pashtun riots since the city transport was mostly run by Pashtun companies while the girl who got killed was a Mohajir. The accident provided the pretext for long simmering tensions to come out in the open. Despite Zia’s utmost efforts to finish off the PPP, including murdering its founder-chairman Mr Bhutto through a judicial process, the party remained the most potent threat to his regime. At first Zia wanted to divide the PPP but failed in that venture. He and his cronies then changed the tactic and planned to divide Sindh, the PPP’s stronghold.
Ironically, the Army has continued to be tight with Fazl and the Jihadi groups at least in part to weaken the PPP. The increasing fundamentalism in the country has certainly ejected the PPP from the NWFP.

This led to his courting the MQM in urban Sindh and Sindhi nationalists in rural Sindh. The MQM and the Jeay Sindh founder G M Syed had one thing in common: a hatred for the PPP. MQM blamed Mr Bhutto for the injustices to the Mohajirs while Syed always termed the PPP as the agent of Punjab. Syed was also opposed to the Movement for the Restoration of Democracy. Indeed, some observers say in the initial days of the MQM, the party workers were given arms and training by Jeay Sindh activists. However, very soon the establishment started feeling the threat from a strong Sindhi-Mohajir axis. The rise of the MQM was also seen as a threat to Punjab. In circumstances that still remain mysterious, the MQM procession was first fired at near Sohrab Goth and then a clash was orchestrated between the Mohajirs and Sindhis in Hyderabad on the petty issue of changing the name of Hyder Bux Jatoi chowk in that city. Both events led to a schism between the two ethnic communities. Zia’s death on August 17, 1988 in a plane crash changed the political scenario in the country. Elections were announced, but just a month before the polls the country saw the worst terrorist attack. Some 200 people were killed in merely ten minutes in Hyderabad, mostly Mohajirs after unidentified gunmen opened fire on them. The next day some 150 people, this time mostly Sindhis, were killed in Karachi. Until today, the massacres remain a big mystery. However, all sides are convinced that the attacks were orchestrated by intelligence agencies.

MQM swept the polls in urban Sindh while the PPP secured the most seats in rural Sindh. The province was polarised and remains so until the writing of this report. The polls also allowed the MQM to flex its muscles and the party began to run Karachi and Hyderabad as its fiefdoms. Since then all political opponents have complained of MQM’s Dr Jekyll-Mr Hyde character. However, the agencies then split the MQM in 1991 and created another, Haqiqi group, which they supported from the eve of the military operation in 1992 until the original MQM was declared a patriotic party once again and, today, enjoys the fruits of its rapprochement with the establishment. But the intervening years saw infighting between the two groups that generated much violence in Karachi with both sides targeting each other’s activists, killing them mercilessly and dumping the chopped bodies on the streets in gunny bags. It also give rise to militancy in the MQM because of its strong power. The army operation in 1992 and the agencies’ naked backing of the Haqiqis also did much to revive the waning fortunes of the MQM. Indeed, while the establishment kept supporting the Haqiqis until as recently as 2002, the group could never emerge as a viable political force to challenge the MQM.
All the police officers in Karachi who were encouraged to summarily execute members of the MQM during the 90’s now find themselves in a city run by the party, which has reduced their life expectancy somewhat. The Haqiqi’s have been dumped by the establishment, so they have made contacts with the Jihadis, and have offered their death sqauds to them.

The post 9/11 years have added the element of religious terrorism to Karachi’s woes. The city hit international headlines when Al Qaeda activists were caught from here and after a Wall Street Journal reporter Daniel Pearl was kidnapped and then beheaded by religious militants. The city has also seen increased activity by religious terrorist groups, suicide bombings and other attacks, including sectarian killings. As things stand, Karachi is poised to go from bad to worse. To this situation everyone has contributed: from political parties to the religious groups to the establishment and even the citizens themselves. But its troubles do not just stop here. Its infrastructure is creaky and about to wither off. It is controlled by mafias of every conceivable type and denomination. Its parks, roads and buildings have been destroyed and the powerful, both political and criminal (sometimes it means the same), have broken every law in the book to put scars on Karachi’s face. It may be Pakistan’s commercial hub but it is calling out for help. General Musharraf belongs to this city. He has a vision for Pakistan: a modern, progressive and economically viable city. Without Karachi, that vision cannot come to fruition. Can he do something to restore this city to its old peace and glory?
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India-Pakistan
Jamaat’s immoderate worldview
2003-10-22
The Islami Jamiat-e Tulaba (IJT) is the powerful ‘student wing’ of the Jamaat-e-Islami. It held its ‘mammoth’ international march in Lahore last Monday, from its seat of power at the Punjab University New Campus to the headquarters of the JI at Ichchra. The chief of the Jama’at-e-Islami, Qazi Hussain Ahmad, delivered the keynote address. He said that his party wanted a Pakistan with a ‘sovereign’ parliament out of the stranglehold of the generals. He also wanted a united country to confront India as the next door enemy and the United States as the global imperialist enemy. The biggest challenge, he admitted, was unemployment in the country, which was exacerbated by terrorism. He said that Pakistan was under attack from terrorism like other Islamic states and its ulema were being killed. He condemned the trend of blaming Islamic movements for such terrorism.
Despite the fact that he's one of the bigger supporters of terrorism...
The firebrand secretary general of the Jamaat-e-Islami, Munawwar Hassan, then went on to announce that America and Europe were scared of Islam as a global power. He believed that America was particularly frightened after seeing the jihad in Afghanistan from close quarters. He concluded that the Islamic world was clearly divided into two parts: the rulers were all slaves of the West and the masses who were angry because their dreams had been smashed to pieces. A representative of Turkey’s Saadat Party repeated the charge that the entire world was under threat from the Zionists, and the Muslims were bearing the brunt of their secret plans. He said the leadership of the Islamic world against this evil had fallen to Pakistan, the only state capable of accomplishing the job.
Pakistan, of course, being the light of the Islamic world...
Fiery anti-West speeches were also delivered by representatives of religious parties from Bangladesh, Bosnia, Uganda, South Africa, Malawi, Kenya, Sri Lanka, Zambia, etc. The third three-day grand congregation of IJT was held at the Punjab University New Campus, proving once again that the university was completely controlled by the ‘student wing’ while its ‘general’ vice chancellor looked on. Clearly, the message delivered by the ‘international’ congregation of religionists was extremely isolationist. It sought to inculcate alienation from the rest of the world because it was dominated by the West. The youth that had gathered at the IJT rally was regaled to a frightening vista: the West-dominated world was against the ‘umma’ and the ‘umma’ was helpless because it was ruled by ‘slaves of the West’. The agenda was set somewhat like this: by next year let us give a heave-ho to the government in Islamabad, then call India to account through some more jihad and, after that, somehow wage war against the evil of the United States and the Jews.
That's pretty much Qazi's plan of action in a nutshell. JI, along with JUI and JUP and a few other grups of lesser importance, make Pakistan unique in the world, in that the country's effective rulers are now the leaders of these religious parties and their (deniable) militia arms. Perv and the military "control" them only to the extent of keeping them out of formal power, where they could actually try to put their plans for khilafa into effect, instead indulging an incremental approach that they hope isn't going to result in open warfare with the West before the Islamic world is ready for it. Qazi, Fazl, Sami, Noorani, and their creations — Hafiz Saeed, Masood Azhar, Syed Salahuddin, and all the other jihadi leaders — make their money (and they make a good living, indeed) by being indignant, by being "fire-breathing", by delivering stem-winders and over-the-top rhetoric, rather than by thinking. To me, they represent even more of a threat than the Soddies, because they're exporting Pakistanis all over the world, carrying with them the seeds of that unreasoning hatred and desire for confrontation.
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India-Pakistan
Clashes between JeI and MQM to worsen
2003-04-25
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CLASHES BETWEEN ETHNIC MUTTAHIDA Qaumi Movement (MQM) and Jamaat-e-Islami for control of Karachi have spread out to the city’s over 30 educational institutions, drawing in their student cadres. Violence, in the past two weeks, has resulted in injuries to dozens of student-activists on both sides, many of whom have had to be hospitalised. Violence began April 14-15 following attempts by activists of Islami Jamiat-e-Tulaba, JI’s student wing, to set up an office on the premises of Sir Syed University of Engineering and Technology. This got the All Pakistan Mohajir Students Organisation (APMSO) going, which came out in force to prevent the IJT from establishing its formal presence on the campus.

Similar skirmishes between the two groups were later reported at the University of Karachi, NED University of Engineering and Technology, Urdu University and Islamia College, among other institutions. The rising level of violence forced senior police officers to hold a meeting with leaders of the two student parties as well as the JI and the MQM. But while police sources claimed the two sides had reached a modus vivendi, violence erupted again on April 20. Both sides have accused the other of breach of agreement reached at the meeting. Most analysts are agreed the student wings are clashing because the parties are egging them on and using them to establish control over educational institutions.

This reminds observers of the early eighties when the Mohajir party rose up to challenge the domination of the JI-IJT combine. The JI and the MQM were the main rivals in last October’s elections. While the MQM has seen some erosion in its vote-bank, the JI has witnessed an incline in its fortunes. Both are now fighting turf battles, the MQM to regain the space it might have lost, the JI to press its advantage and reclaim what was its territory until the MQM came along and decimated it. “We had hinted earlier that the Jamaat will disturb Karachi’s tranquillity,” says Kunwar Khalid Younus, an MQM’s member of national assembly. “They [JI] are desperate to create chaos in the educational institutions, just the way they did during General Zia’s regime,” he said. Younus’ concern refers to the time when the IJT ruled the universities and colleges of the city and the APMSO activists were routinely beaten up by IJT cadres.

“The MQM hooligans attacked our workers because we propagate Islamic values and talk of the Muslim ummah,” Mairajul Huda Siddiqui, city amir of Jamaat-e-Islami, told TFT. Siddiqui admits clashes in the city’s educational institutions are related to the political situation. “The MQM is not happy to see the city government run by us. Soon after they came to power, their minister tried to destabilise the devolution plan,” says Siddiqui.

Tension between the two parties has been running high for many months. The city government is run by the JI while the MQM is the dominant component in the provincial coalition. The MQM ministers, particularly the local government minister, have been trying to make it rough for the city government. For its part the JI accuses the provincial government and MQM ministers of supporting the APMSO. “The APMSO cadres are fully supported by Governor Ibad and other MQM ministers,” accuses Mairajul Huda Siddiqui. In the last elections JI won four national assembly seats from areas considered secure for the MQM. The situation worsened on January 15, when during by-elections for a Karachi seat, two MQM activists were shot dead. The MQM accused Siddiqui and Jamaat’s secretary general Syed Munawwar Hasan of the murders. Both parties also put out press releases during the Iraq War. While the MQM’s self-exiled chief Altaf Hussain told the Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal to go to Iraq, the MMA termed the MQM the B team of American FBI.
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