[Ammoland - HT Knuckledragging] This writer has been interested in the percent of fatalities of people who are deliberately shot, for decades. It is not an easy number to quantify. The inverse of that number is the percent of those shot who survive.
According to Battle Casualties and Medical Statistics: U.S. Army Experience in the Korean War, 13.5% of troops shot with bullets in Korea, died. Most of those were from rifle and machine gun fire, hit with full metal jacketed bullets.
In 2014, this correspondent looked at numbers from Wisconsin (young, black, males) and Chicago. The Wisconsin numbers were from 2010, Chicago numbers were from 2013 and 2014.
In Wisconsin, in 2010, the number was 11.4% fatalities for young, black, males. Source: Lethality of shootings in Wisconsin, 2014, Ammoland,
In Chicago, for part of 2014, it was 14.8%. For 2013 it was 17.1 %. Those numbers looked reasonably similar to the casualty statistics for the Korean War.
A 2017 study reveals that is happenstance.
Information collected by Jeff Asher at fivethirtyeight.com shows a significant difference in the lethality of shootings per city. Jeff did a good job in collecting data from different cities over several years.
Asher analyzed 14 cities to determine the percentage of shootings which resulted in death. These numbers were for 2016. In the cities Asher tabulated, the three highest were Baltimore Maryland, 29%; New Orleans, Louisiana, 27.9%; and Newark, New Jersey, at 25.3%. The three lowest cities were Boston, Massachusetts, at 15.3%; Charlotte, North Carolina, at 12.5%; and Cincinnati, Ohio, at 12.2%.
In the middle, were Milwaukee, Wisconsin at 17.6%, San Francisco, California, at 17.1%; and Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, at 16.8%. Chicago and New York are 16.3% and 16.5%; Detroit, Michigan, Louisville, Kentucky, and Nashville, Tennessee are:
20.7%
20.2%
19.7%.
The numbers did not vary much by year, for each location. Consider the numbers in Chicago from HeyJackass.com:
Numbers calculated from the site, for year through July, percent killed:
The significant variation in the numbers by the city can be the result of many factors. Asher noted a large percentage of the casualties in Baltimore, the city with the highest fatality rate, are very close to one of the most advanced trauma centers in the nation. He suggests access to advanced trauma care is not a major factor.
The suspicion of this author is the intention, formed by local culture, is very significant. If the local culture and mythos promote the death of the adversary as the ideal goal, more people will be killed.
If the local culture and mythos promote shooting as a means of avoiding danger and escaping a situation; there will be a lower percentage of fatalities.
Many other factors are difficult to take into account. Everything from population density to age distribution, to the number of shots fired, to police response times and percent of cleared homicides could make significant differences.
These numbers only represent those who are hit. Victims which were missed are not counted. It is nearly impossible to define a miss which was intended to hit separate from a miss by intention or happenstance. In some locations, minor wounds may not be reported, so as to avoid official notice. Such avoidance could make a significant difference in percentages. It is possible a significant number of shots fired in anger are passed off as accidents.
Posted by: Frank G ||
09/17/2021 00:00 ||
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#3
Many of us having studied the FBI Crime Tables for Assailant vs. Victim. Understand the shooter and victim all too often shared the same Racial and Color Demographics.
Even Rev. Jesse Jackson said it as far back as 1993 "There is nothing more painful to me at this stage in my life than to walk down the street and hear footsteps and start thinking about robbery. Then (I) look around and see someone white and feel relieved."
However, when the shooting is a Drive-By or related to gang, or surprise criminal activities the tendency is SPRAY not Aim.
Moral of the Story
Head shots and Hip Shots are kill shots.
One is just much quicker than the other.
#4
It's not so much a gun culture so much as an aiming culture. Take that extra half second, think "front sight, squeeze".
Posted by: ed in texas ||
09/17/2021 15:04 Comments ||
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#5
This problem with placement of holes
Is aimlessness, absence of goals:
"Fo' whom those bells tolls,
Only rich folks and proles?"
Yo, they're tolling for thee! [ducks and rolls]
#6
I wonder if what we are seeing is not (just) appalling marksmanship, but an alternative judicial system in action. You and I, we have a beef, we have recourse to a legal system. But if Demetrius shorted you on your last purchase, you can't exactly take him to Small Claims Court, so Demetrius gets shot in the ass. More serious transgressions are punished by removal from the board.
Asher noted a large percentage of the casualties in Baltimore, the city with the highest fatality rate, are very close to one of the most advanced trauma centers in the nation. He suggests access to advanced trauma care is not a major factor.
Permit me to suggest that an advanced trauma center is a result of high injury rates locally and not the other way around. One way to test this would be to shut down the hospital and see if people stop killing each other.
[IAN] One of the most consistently repeated trends of COVID has been the premature declarations of victory from areas with a perceived level of "success" in "controlling" the pandemic.
It’s happened in countries all over the world — Vietnam, Japan, Taiwan, Australia, Mongolia — just to name a few examples. They all have been praised for their ability to "control" the virus with masks and public health measures, only to then see cases invariably skyrocket.
Incompetent media reporting and dangerously ignorant "expert" pontifications have been an infuriatingly persistent aspect of COVID messaging, with their incoherent ravings becoming increasingly desperate as time wears on.
On the flip side to inaccurate praise, the incomprehensible inability of experts to get anything right is perhaps best exemplified by Sweden.
"Experts" and the media declared Sweden was the world’s cautionary tale, a dangerous outlier who shunned The New Science™ of masks and lockdowns and stuck to established public health principles and pre-pandemic planning.
Over much of 2020 and into 2021, Sweden was persistently criticized by the media and on Twitter arguments due to comparisons to their neighbors, a standard curiously not applicable to most other countries around the world. Yet as we’ve progressed further into 2021, those same media outlets have suddenly gone quiet as their chosen victors have flailed unsuccessfully against ever increasing outbreaks.
So let’s see what’s transpired recently which resulted in the deafening silence, and examine what that means for The Science™, shall we?
Posted by: M. Murcek ||
09/17/2021 8:01 Comments ||
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#2
Sweden 1,446 deaths per million. Better than most USA states, but - considering:
Characteristic Number of households
Single without children 1,925,939
Cohabiting/married without children 1,145,562
Cohabiting with children aged 0-24 984,390
Single with children aged 0-24 285,733
hardly a success story
#3
Sweden as a society gave up on having kids well before COVID. It probably doesn't bother them much that suppressed rates of childbirth is one of COVID's most "successful" side effects.
Posted by: M. Murcek ||
09/17/2021 8:30 Comments ||
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#6
Yeah, and I didn't comment to attack G. Just said it as I see it. The two-sided coin of non-mathematical language. Anyone can read anything into it they want. But that's on them, not me.
Posted by: M. Murcek ||
09/17/2021 9:20 Comments ||
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#8
It's a valid approach. Deciding to not commit crimes has totally kept me out of jail for 62 years, though the authorities are working overtime to chance that.
Posted by: M. Murcek ||
09/17/2021 9:34 Comments ||
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#9
#8 There is difference between censorship on inappropriate language, and censorship on ideas. Of course, some people find some ideas a lot more offensive than (rather feeble I must say) profanity.
#10
COVID's other major side effect is making people stupid. I've never tested positive, both naturally immune and vaccinated and I've had that side effect anyway.
Posted by: M. Murcek ||
09/17/2021 9:36 Comments ||
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#11
/\ JAB side effects? Would an escalating disdain for the our government qualify ?
I didn't think it could get any worse. I was wrong again.
#12
^ It's a vaccine! It's a way to curtail your rights! It's a way to fix all future elections! Comint soon, the booster will also be a floor polish and a dessert topping!
Posted by: M. Murcek ||
09/17/2021 10:11 Comments ||
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#13
We need a word like rayciss to describe being insensitive to Covidians' religious beliefs. Let the entries begin!
Posted by: M. Murcek ||
09/17/2021 10:13 Comments ||
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#20
I'm afraid the article make Israel look bad (in my eyes) compared to Sweden.
Since the article (is a piece of agitprop is really an article?) doesn't actually mention Israel, I'm surprised.
Just kidding, just kidding. Dimona association of mushroom growers is a great comfort to every Jew who remembers.
#25
Since the article (is a piece of agitprop is really an article?) doesn't actually mention Israel, I'm surprised.
Just kidding, just kidding. Dimona association of mushroom growers is a great comfort to every Jew who remembers.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru
Are you actually making the argument that the infection numbers in Israel look good?
#27
The infection numbers look horrendous anywhere that positive test results are the sine qua non of "battling COVID."
Posted by: M. Murcek ||
09/17/2021 14:05 Comments ||
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#28
Are you actually making the argument that the infection numbers in Israel look good?
No unvaxxed, I'm making an an argument that the only connection to Israel in that tread is me. But nevertheless your fellow traveler Bobby immediately extended the argument to Israel (i.e. all Jewish people). Think about this, I'm sure it'll come to you - eventually.
#29
A new bug blows through a population. It stresses the system. Over time natural immunity builds up, treatment improves and the whole thing becomes part of the natural background. No surprises here. The only way to really f*^k it up is -- well, you've all seen it.
#35
So to answer the question, why does no one talk about Sweden anymore? It’s because it’s no longer useful for the media to promote their agenda.
When Sweden’s numbers looked disproportionately bad, it was a valuable tool in the media playbook of masks, lockdowns and endless, condescending fear-mongering. “Look at what happens if you don’t do what we tell you, peasants.”
Now that Sweden has dropped to 40th in COVID mortality rate, and continued to report extremely low recent rates of both cases and deaths, they’re suddenly uninterested.
It’s a microcosm of the disastrous, indefinite mess we’re living through — experts incorrectly, hysterically screeched that masks and business closures and capacity limits were absolutely necessary to keep COVID “under control,” and the media immediately assumed their role as promoters of incompetent groupthink and professional scolds of any who disagreed.
[FoxNews] Ex-Google consultant Joe Toscano blasted Facebook for putting profits ahead of people after a pair of "catastrophic" reports indicate the tech giant allows celebrities to break the platform’s rules and executives recognize its photo-sharing app can be harmful to teenage girls.
"The reality is Facebook's just doing business as usual, right? What's Facebook's product? We always got to keep going back to that. What’s their product? The reality is their product is outrage, its scandal, its sex. It's anything that will get you to click," Toscano said in an interview with Fox News Digital.
The Wall Street Journal reviewed documents that prove Facebook has privately "built a system that has exempted high-profile users from some or all of its rules" using a program that was "initially intended as a quality-control measure for actions taken against high-profile accounts, including celebrities, politicians and journalists."
[Intel Hub] Why are companies all over the world suddenly desperate for workers? In my entire life I have never seen anything like this. When the labor shortage started in the United States, a lot of people blamed overly generous government handouts, but that doesn’t explain why the exact same thing is happening in nation after nation all over the globe. There aren’t enough factory workers, there aren’t enough truck drivers, there aren’t enough port workers, there aren’t enough employees to properly staff our stores, and the shortage of doctors and nurses is becoming a major crisis in some areas. During normal times, we were always told that the global economy was not producing nearly enough jobs for everyone, but now for the very first time we are facing an enormous worldwide labor shortage. It is almost as if millions upon millions of people suddenly disappeared from the system.
#2
Cause the people at the top don't understand the intricacies of a market system anymore than a child understands what it takes to flip a switch and the light goes on. They make decisions that have catastrophic effect on that system and then think it can be turned on by a simple decree. How long did it take Europe to recover from WW2 because when you shut down a system as big as our economies, that is what its going to take to 'put things back together'. At least we have the advantage of most of the infrastructure being intact.
#4
Well, as good as Hayek and Friedman were, I think Buckley's "rather be ruled by the first 100 names in the Boston phone book" principle is still sound.
Posted by: M. Murcek ||
09/17/2021 10:16 Comments ||
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[Just The News] Austin's note comes at a time when he and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Mark Milley are under scrutiny over numerous recent events that they personally have been involved in.
As lawmakers demand answers from the two top Pentagon leaders on issues ranging from the botched U.S. exit from Afghanistan to surreptitious direct contact with an adversary, U.S. defense chief Lloyd Austin shifted focus toward what one insider terms a "convenient fakeout."
Austin on Wednesday sent a memo to all Department of Defense personnel, advising them to be on the lookout for Anomalous Health Incidents (AHI), otherwise known as Havana Syndrome.
A 2020 report by the National Academies of Science found "directed, pulsed, radiofrequency energy" was the most plausible explanation for the symptoms, which first were reported by American government personnel stationed in Havana, Cuba.
Although some 200 American officials have reported since 2016 that they were hit with the syndrome, Austin's note comes at a time when he and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Mark Milley are under scrutiny over numerous recent events that they personally have been involved in.
#3
Put him under oath. Let him know things were recorded by foreign allies. Let him either lie and be arrested, or tell the truth and be arrested. Easy-peazy.
#4
^Austin will have no trouble as long as NSA and CIA support him; however, it still appears that the Intel community is at odds with the Military over who will take the fall for Afghanistan.
A multi-volume chronology and reference guide set detailing three years of the Mexican Drug War between 2010 and 2012.
Rantburg.com and borderlandbeat.com correspondent and author Chris Covert presents his first non-fiction work detailing
the drug and gang related violence in Mexico.
Chris gives us Mexican press dispatches of drug and gang war violence
over three years, presented in a multi volume set intended to chronicle the death, violence and mayhem which has
dominated Mexico for six years.
Rantburg was assembled from recycled algorithms in the United States of America. No
trees were destroyed in the production of this weblog. We did hurt some, though. Sorry.