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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Ukrainian Perspective: Invasion of Ukraine: December 31, 2023
2024-01-01
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.

Worth noting, korrespondent.net has compiled its Invasion of Ukraine series into separate months, beginning May 9th, 2023. Linked in the title.

[Korrespondent] 20:32 Commander of the Air Force of the Ukrainian Armed Forces Nikolai Oleshchuk cited statistics for the time of the full-scale Russian invasion. Since February 24, 2022, the Ukrainian Defense Forces have destroyed 1,709 missiles of various types. Among them:
  • X-101/555/55: produced - 1360, destroyed - 1045;

  • Caliber: released - 834, destroyed - 397;

  • Iskander-K: released - 154, destroyed - 62;

  • attack UAV Shahed-136/131: released - 3940, destroyed - 3095.

Thus, the shoot down rate of air attack weapons (cruise missiles and attack UAVs) is currently about 85%.

In addition, at the beginning of 2023, Ukraine received the first Patriot air defense systems and the ability to destroy ballistic missiles. To date, 15 aeroballistic Kh-47M2 Kinzhal and dozens of enemy ballistic missiles have already been destroyed. Several operations were also carried out to destroy Russian aircraft that were terrorizing Ukrainians with guided bombs and other means of destruction. In total, 329 Russian aircraft and 324 helicopters have been destroyed since the beginning of the invasion.

During this time, Air Force aviation made more than 16,000 sorties: 7,600 for fire engagement and 8,600 for fighter air cover.

18:41 The Russian Army launched attacks with S-300 missiles on the city of Chuguev in the Kharkov region - civilian non-residential infrastructure was damaged, including warehouses, no people were injured, said Oleg Sinegubov, head of the OVA.

18:34 Patriot air defense systems in Ukraine have already shot down 15 Russian Kinzhal missiles, said Air Force spokesman Yuri Ignat. He recalled that for the first time such a missile was destroyed on May 4. At the same time, Ignat emphasized that Ukraine has few Patriot systems: “A few batteries are not enough.” He also said that during the full-scale war, Russia used more than 7,500 thousand missiles of all types against Ukraine.

18:30 Journalists of the German ZDF came under fire at a hotel in Kharkov, the TV channel reported. The reporters said that they had been covering the events of the Russian war against Ukraine for about two years. Three team members were in rooms on the fifth floor, another in the lobby and the last on the 11th floor of the hotel. The channel's employees, with the exception of the translator, remained unharmed. The translator was injured in the hotel lobby.

18:01 The Russians shelled Nikopol, Dnepropetrovsk region, three people were wounded. A pharmacy, an office building, and cars were damaged, said the head of the OVA, Sergei Lysak.

16:47 The Russian army shelled Kherson - a 14-year-old teenager was killed, a nine-year-old child was wounded and is in critical condition. Two more adults were injured, said the head of the OVA, Alexander Prokudin.

14:54 Russia attacked the Kirovograd region and practiced air defense. In the Kropyvnytskyi district, a power line and a utility building were damaged, but no people were injured, said Andrei Raikovich, head of the OVA.

13:06 As a result of yesterday’s missile strike on Kharkov, “not a single employee of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Moscow Defense Ministry, as well as not a single soldier of the special forces of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Moscow Defense Ministry Kraken, was injured,” said the representative of the Ukrainian military intelligence Andrey Yusov, commenting on the fakes of the Russian Defense Ministry. He emphasized that Russia had once again attacked civilian targets in the center of Kharkov.

12:55 In Kiev, the number of people killed as a result of a missile attack on December 29 has increased to 23 people, said the head of the KGVA Sergei Popko.

12:53 In Smela, Cherkasy region, where eight people were injured as a result of a rocket attack on December 29, one of the wounded died in the hospital, said the head of the OBA Igor Taburets.

12:30 In Selidovo, Donetsk region, as a result of yesterday evening’s shelling, one person was killed and six were wounded, the prosecutor’s office reported.

12:04 Since September last year, Russia has launched more than 3,800 kamikaze drones across Ukraine, said Air Force spokesman Yuri Ignat. According to him, about 3,000 thousand of them were destroyed.

11:57 The Russian Army shelled Kherson with artillery, three people were injured, OVA reported. Over the past 24 hours, two people have died as a result of Russian shelling in the region.

11:18 Air Force Speaker Yuriy Ignat noted that the Russians changed their emphasis when attacking: “The enemy used 49 attack UAVs this night. Most of the attack drones were aimed at the front-line territory, that is, the defense line and front-line territories of the Mykolayiv and Kherson regions. This is a change of emphasis. attacks, because previously drones flew inside the country. It is clear that it is much more difficult to shoot down this way."

11:15 The Russian Ministry of Defense stated that in response to the “terrorist attack in Belgorod”, “decision-making centers and military facilities” in Kharkov were hit. In particular, Moscow claims that the strike on the Kharkov Palace complex allegedly killed “representatives of the Main Intelligence Directorate and the Armed Forces of Ukraine who took part in the planning and execution of the terrorist attack in Belgorod.” Belgorod authorities report that 24 people have already died as a result of the shelling.

11:09 In Kiev, the number of deaths as a result of the Russian attack increased to 21 - rescuers recovered two more bodies from the rubble, said the head of the KGVA Sergei Popko.

11:04 The American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reports, citing Ukrainian security sources, that Ukrainian drones hit many of their intended targets in Russia on the night of December 29-30. More than 70 drones were launched at Russian military infrastructure and military-industrial facilities near Moscow, Belgorod, Tula, Tver and Bryansk. Then the Russian Ministry of Defense announced that Russian forces intercepted 32 Ukrainian drones in the Bryansk, Oryol, Kursk and Moscow regions. Analysts suggest that the discrepancy between Russian and Ukrainian figures may indicate that drones hit many of their intended targets.

09:31 The General Staff announced the estimated losses of the Russian Federation as of the morning of December 31:

  • personnel - about 359,230 (+960) people,

  • tanks - 5977 (+8),

  • armored combat vehicles - 11,070 (+17),

  • artillery systems - 8464 (+30),

  • MLRS - 943 (+4),

  • air defense systems - 623 (+2),

  • aircraft - 329 (+0),

  • helicopters - 324 (+0),

  • UAV of operational-tactical level - 6591 (+37),

  • cruise missiles - 1709 (+1),

  • ships/boats - 23 (+0),

  • submarines - 1 (+0),

  • automotive equipment and tank trucks - 11,292 (+48),

  • special equipment - 1268 (+8).

09:20 During a night attack by drones in the Khmelnitsky region, a fire occurred at a critical infrastructure facility, which was promptly extinguished. There were no reports of casualties, the OVA reported.

09:16 In Dnieper, the number of victims of the missile attack on December 29 has increased to seven people, 18 patients remain in hospitals, said the head of the OVA Sergei Lysak.

08:51 At night, air defense destroyed 21 of 49 Shahed attack UAVs , which Russia attacked from three directions: Cape Chauda (Crimea), the Primorsko-Akhtarsk area and the Kursk region. The enemy also struck Kharkov with six S-300 anti-aircraft guided missiles.

The enemy sent most of the strike drones to the front line of defense, as well as to civilian, military and infrastructure facilities in the front-line territories, in particular in the Kharkov, Kherson, Nikolaev and Zaporozhye regions.

08:45 On the evening of December 30, the Russian army fired at least six missiles at Kharkov, law enforcement officers seized the wreckage of the Iskander, said the head of the OVA Oleg Sinegubov. As a result of the shelling of Kharkov, 28 people were injured , 12 of them are in hospital. Among the patients are two teenagers, 14 and 16 years old, and a foreign citizen. Residential buildings, hotel buildings, and health care institutions were damaged: the Regional Clinical Hospital, the Regional Dental Clinic, two city hospitals, and transport.

In addition, at night the enemy attacked Kharkov with Shahed drones. Bank branches, the Institute of Metrology, residential buildings, administrative buildings, and cafes were damaged. No people were hurt. Also at night, the Russians fired at the village. Borovaya, Izyum district, two people died.

08:19 At night, the Russians attacked the Kiev region with attack drones. As a result of falling debris at one of the critical infrastructure facilities, a fire broke out in an open area, it was promptly extinguished, said the head of the fire department, Ruslan Kravchenko. According to operational information, no residential infrastructure was hit and no people were injured.

08:01 In Kiev, 19 people have already died as a result of the Russian missile attack on December 29. The search and rescue operation continues around the clock, said the head of the KGVA Sergei Popko.

07:48 Over the past 24 hours, 54 military clashes took place at the front, the General Staff reported in its morning report . In the Avdeevsky direction, the Defense Forces repelled five enemy attacks near Stepnoye, Avdeevka and another 13 attacks near Pervomaiskoye and Nevelskoye, Donetsk region. Eight attacks were repulsed in the Maryinsky direction in the Krasnogorovka, Maryinka and Novomikhailovka areas of the Donetsk region.

Also, eight enemy attacks were repelled in the Kupyansky direction (in the Sinkovka area of ​​the Kharkov region); in the Liman direction - two attacks near Makeyevka, Lugansk region; on Bakhmutskoye - nine attacks near Bogdanovka, Kleshcheevka and Andreevka, Donetsk region; on Shakhtarsky - two attacks near Priyutnoye, Zaporozhye region; on Zaporozhye - four attacks west of Verbovoy and east of Kopani, Zaporozhye region. In the Kherson direction, the enemy carried out 13 unsuccessful assault operations on the positions of the Defense Forces, which continue to expand the bridgehead.

06:26 Governor of the Belgorod region Vyacheslav Gladkov announced that 22 people were killed as a result of the shelling of Belgorod, 109 people were injured.

Posted by:badanov

#3  Quantity is a quality of its own.
Posted by: Abu Uluque   2024-01-01 12:35  

#2  winter will mostly be a war of drones vs drones

And the weather forecast calls for lots of winter.

I know the news cycle must be fed and the talking heads need something to talk about, but IMAO, way too much is made of the intercept rate. The important metric is how many get through.
Example: Bad Guy launches two, you shoot down one. 50% intercept rate. Not bad. But the one that gets thru blows everything to hell and gone.

For round two, Bad Guy launches 100. You shoot down 99. Woo woo, that's 99 percent! But the one that gets thru blows everything to hell and gone. Nice intercept percentage, though.
Posted by: SteveS   2024-01-01 10:39  

#1  winter will mostly be a war of drones vs drones

however, I don't understand the Ukraine math at the beginning of the perspective - my calculations are that the intercept rate is more like 65% than the 80% that Ukraine claims (although if they
count the crashes as shoot downs that may account of the difference)

Posted by: lord garth   2024-01-01 01:39  

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