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Home Front: Politix
Obama, McCain Dead Even In Minnesota
2008-09-14
H/T Powerline. If this is true, the SS Obama is sinking faster than I thought. And I thought it was sinking pretty fast.
A new Star Tribune Minnesota Poll shows that the race is now a dead heat between Barack Obama and John McCain, each supported by 45 percent of likely voters in the state. The new poll likely will stoke both sides' efforts during the final 51 days until the election, triggering a barrage of advertising, grass-roots politicking and, potentially, stepped-up visits by the candidates.
And, of course, a barrage of anti-Palin hit pieces in the Strib.
They'd do that anyway ...
The poll found that McCain has made gains across the board since a May Minnesota Poll that showed him trailing by 13 points. Part of the rise in McCain's fortunes nationally has been attributed to his choice of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate, a move that has energized his party's conservative base.
Palin has energized the "conservative base", whatever that is. And, oh, about twenty million American women from Bangor to Honolulu.
But the Minnesota Poll found that the choice of Palin was essentially a wash among the state's voters. While 30 percent said it made them more likely to vote for the Republican ticket, 26 percent said it made them less likely to do so. For the rest, it didn't make much difference.
If your poll shows that Palin isn't making a difference, you need to hire a new pollster.
Posted by:Matt

#8  Maybe Minnesotans realize that a vote for Obama is a vote for carbon taxes. Makes a difference in a cold winter.
Posted by: DoDo   2008-09-14 23:55  

#7  whoo!
Posted by: 3dc   2008-09-14 23:46  

#6  I'm still not putting a lot of stock in the polls. They could be cooking them to make a Obama "comeback" all that more exciting.
Or they could just be plain stupid.
Either way, the fact that tons of people have been re-energized for McCain/Palin and are lukewarm or over Obama/Biden does not bode well for the dhimocrats.
Posted by: DarthVader   2008-09-14 23:16  

#5  I hope so - but let's not get cocky. A lot can happen between now and the election. I'm hopeful but we have a lot to do between now and then to make this happen.
Posted by: lotp   2008-09-14 20:15  

#4   Alternate title :
Obama campaign dead, McCain draws even in Minnesota.
GOP has not carried this state in Prez Election since 1972, and before that - 1956...
Posted by: BigEd   2008-09-14 20:09  

#3  A lot of the gain may be backlash against the percieved press pushgin Obama on the public and slamming (unjustly) Palin.
Posted by: OldSpook   2008-09-14 19:21  

#2  The American owmen thing is over played. Would people have been this enthusiastic if he'd chosen K. Bailey Hutchison? I think it's more the Beer issue.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble   2008-09-14 19:02  

#1  If your poll shows that Palin isn't making a difference, you need to hire a new pollster.

Well, it is the Strib, they've always needed new pollsters.
Posted by: Mike N.   2008-09-14 18:40  

00:00