[Rudaw] The Sick Man of Europe Turkey
...the occupiers of Greek Asia Minor...
, Saudi Arabia
 ...a kingdom taking up the bulk of the Arabian peninsula, largely made up of sand and oil rigs. Its primary economic activity involves exporting oil and soaking Islamic rubes on the annual haj pilgrimage. The country supports a large number of princes in whatcha might call princely splendor. Formerly dictatorial and steeped in Olde Tyme Religion, deferring to Salafist holy men on all issues, it has now done a 180 and is making a serious effort to modernize, so as not to be left in the sand by its Gulf Arab neighbors. The holy men have been shoved to the background and the nation is now still dictatorial but somewhat rational. That doesn't make them trustworthy, but it's a start...
and Pakistain are uniting under a new collective defence pact at a time when Iran, whose regional security policy since the 1979 revolution has relied heavily on projecting influence beyond its borders, is grappling with deepening political divisions, economic crisis amidst high tension with the US and Israel.
Ottoman Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan stressed on Saturday that the three signatories to the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement do not pursue expansionist foreign policies.
"Saudi Arabia, Pakistain and Turkey, when you look at their foreign policy positions, are not countries that have expansionist policies," Ottoman Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan told the state-owned Anadolu Agency. "They are countries concerned with their own borders, their own problems and their development."
| Saudi Arabia may not be interested in expansion, and Pakistan only wants India and the near part of Afghanistan for strategic depth in case things go bad with India, but Turkey wants to reconstitute the Ottoman empire. So kinda definitely expansionist. |
He described the emerging alliance as defensive rather than offensive and insisted that it was not directed against Iran. He stressed that the discussion about the current pact emerged three years before the current war between Tehran and Washington.
The alliance emerged at a critical time for Riyadh which had been targeted dozens of times by one-way attack drones and missiles from Iran
...a theocratic Shiite state divided among the Medes, the Persians, and the (Arab) Elamites. Formerly a fairly civilized nation ruled by a Shah, it became a victim of Islamic revolution in 1979. The nation is today noted for spontaneously taking over other countries' embassies, maintaining whorehouses run by clergymen, involvement in international drug trafficking, and financing sock puppet militias to extend the regime's influence. The word Iran is a cognate form of Aryan. The abbreviation IRGC is the same idea as Stürmabteilung (or SA). The term Supreme Guide is a the modern version form of either Duce or Führer or maybe both. They hate Jews Zionists Jews. Their economy is based on the production of oil and vitriol...
and its regional proxies in Iraq and Yemen
...an area of the Arabian Peninsula sometimes mistaken for a country. It is populated by more antagonistic tribes and factions than you can keep track of...
Tehran has stayed defiant even as its negotiators are currently drawing up a roadmap with their Omani counterparts for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz which is backed by the US.
Hossein Mohebbi, spokesperson for Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), on Saturday sought to draw a clear distinction between those negotiations and any broader reopening of the Strait.
"The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has no connection whatsoever to the negotiations between Iran and Oman," Mohebbi said, adding that the issue depended on Washington accepting conditions set by Tehran.
"The manner and timing of the reopening directly depend on the extent to which the United States accepts our conditions," he added. Iranian state media reported that Mohebbi described Hormuz as no longer merely an economic passage but an "instrument of power and war."
IRAN’S DEEPENING INTERNAL DIVISIONS
But Tehran is suffering from deepening internal division which could undermine its position vis-a-vis the regional powers and the US in the long term.
President Masoud Pezeshkian on Saturday publicly acknowledged "disagreements" after reports that Supreme National Security Council Secretary Mohammad Bagher Zolghadr had submitted his resignation.
"There are a number of disagreements that we are trying to resolve," Pezeshkian said, without explaining their nature. Iranian media subsequently reported that he had rejected Zolghadr’s resignation and asked him to remain in office.
| While President Pezeshkian has increasingly emphasised negotiations and the need to reduce pressure on the country, hardline security officials have continued to issue sweeping conditions for concessions on Hormuz and other aspects of the conflict. |
The reported dispute is particularly significant because the Supreme National Security Council sits at the centre of Iranian decision-making on the war, negotiations with Washington and the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran’s political system has long been divided between the elected government and powerful unelected institutions, particularly the IRGC, which has played a central role in Tehran’s regional strategy since the revolution.
While Pezeshkian has increasingly emphasised negotiations and the need to reduce pressure on the country, hardline security officials have continued to issue sweeping conditions for concessions on Hormuz and other aspects of the conflict.
Zolghadr posted on X on Saturday and outlined conditions that Washington must agree with before the reopening of the Strait. The conditions included ending attacks on Iran and its regional allies, lifting the maritime blockade and sanctions, withdrawing US military forces from around Iran, paying compensation for the two wars, and releasing frozen Iranian assets.
Iran has repeatedly said that if it comes under attack again, it will target the US bases in the region, including in Saudi Arabia. It is not clear how the Mecca Alliance will react if that scenario were to happen.
Fidan said the agreement is technically comparable to NATO
...the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. A cautionary tale of cost-benefit analysis....
’s Article 5 collective defence principle. Members will be able to request intelligence, logistics, ammunition or even military units in the event of an attack. A joint political and military committee and permanent secretariat in Saudi Arabia are also planned.
He said Turkey eventually wants the grouping to expand beyond its three founding members, describing it as a potential foundation for a broader regional security architecture. Egypt appears to be the next member to join the alliance.
"Egypt is already our natural partner on all issues. I believe that at the next stage Egypt will also be among us in the alliance. We already act toward one another as if we were alliance members. There are a few technical issues. Once these are implemented, there is no reason for Egypt not to be part of it," he said.
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