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2026-04-29 Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Reuters: Political and military power in Iran has effectively passed into the hands of the IRGC
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited
[Regnum] Political and military power in Iran has passed into the hands of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) amid conflict with the United States and Israel and the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Reuters reported this on April 28.

It is noted that under wartime pressure, power has become concentrated within a small, inner circle of high-ranking officials from the Supreme National Security Council (SNSC), the Office of the Supreme Leader, and the IRGC. The IRGC effectively dominates military strategy and key political decisions.
The better to kill you with, my dears. It’s not paranoia if we really are out to get you…
It is clarified that the current Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, is at the helm of Iran's power system. However, his role is to legitimize the decisions made by IRGC generals, rather than to issue his own orders.

Earlier, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said the US believed Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei was alive, but it was unclear whether he had the same authority as his father, Ali Khamenei, and who was running the country.

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei died on February 28 as a result of Israeli and US airstrikes against Iran.
A roundabout way to say they found him, they killed him.
His son, Mojtaba Khamenei, has been Iran's new supreme leader since March 8. According to The New York Times, Khamenei was injured in the attack on Ayatollah Mojtaba's residence, including severe burns to his face. The newspaper's sources claim that Khamenei requires serious medical attention. He has not spoken publicly because the burns make it difficult for him to speak, and he is awaiting plastic surgery. He has also undergone several surgeries on an injured leg.

In early April, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei said Khamenei's health was fine and he would soon be able to appear in public.

On April 27, Russian President Vladimir Putin asked Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi to convey his best wishes to Khamenei.


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Posted by badanov 2026-04-29 00:00|| E-Mail|| Front Page|| [1832 views ]  Top
 File under: Govt of Iran 

1 Elimination of the old guard has brought to power Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Speaker of the Iranian Parliament Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and CINC of the IRGC Ahmad Vahidi. All of these individuals fought (not served as REMFs) in the Iran-Iraq war of 1980-1988. They are all combat veterans with first hand knowledge of "consequences" of peer-to-peer conflict. With that experience, they are electing to continue to resist the Israeli and US forces attacking and blockading Iran.

US military leaders have not been engaged in peer-to-peer conflict for 60+ years (and Israel for 40 years). The US political side of the house has not even had personal significant experience in the GWOT or DS/DS operating "outside the wire." The mindset of the two sets of leaders is worlds apart when recognizing the "on the ground" implications of political / military decisions.

These two sets of attitudes are shaping the course of the war.
Posted by Clem+Elmish4239 2026-04-29 05:51||   2026-04-29 05:51|| Front Page Top

2 [Reuters]Iran's Guards seize wartime power, weakening Supreme Leader's role

[Tehran Times]
The Strait of Hormuz and Iran at the Forefront of West Asian Geopolitics
Posted by Skidmark 2026-04-29 07:19||   2026-04-29 07:19|| Front Page Top

3 As opposed to what??

Seems to me that the IRGC has been in control for a long time already.
Posted by alanc 2026-04-29 08:22||   2026-04-29 08:22|| Front Page Top

4 It was always going to come down to this.
The bureaucrats and their enforcers have fundamentally different goals.
Posted by ed in texas 2026-04-29 12:36||   2026-04-29 12:36|| Front Page Top

5 This is a new round of Byzantine politics where any player can snitch the location of an antagonist to a third party (US or Israel) for elimination.
Posted by Procopius2k 2026-04-29 17:13||   2026-04-29 17:13|| Front Page Top

6 With that experience, they are electing to continue to resist the Israeli and US forces attacking and blockading Iran.

Experience teaches that logistics wins wars, not religious fervor. Resistance is continuing because the IRGC are running the show at the moment.

I expect Iranian political dynamics to change soon, partly thru the 1-800-MOSSAD target sharing program and partly thru some renewed bombing because the IRGC can't stop themselves. Time is not on Iran's side, despite the woofing about midterm elections.

The bureaucrats and their enforcers have fundamentally different goals.

This is a key point. Players don't necessarily have the same payoff matrix. Differing payoffs means differing deals are possible.
Posted by SteveS 2026-04-29 17:40||   2026-04-29 17:40|| Front Page Top

7 any player can snitch the location of an antagonist to a third party (US or Israel) for elimination.

Ali the Weasel™
Posted by Frank G 2026-04-29 18:06||   2026-04-29 18:06|| Front Page Top

8 The Borg are in charge.
Posted by Bobby 2026-04-29 20:06||   2026-04-29 20:06|| Front Page Top

19:25 Silentbrick
19:08 Frank G
18:42 NoMoreBS
18:28 Mercutio
18:10 Chantry
17:38 Seeking Cure For Ignorance
17:24 Seeking Cure For Ignorance
17:12 Seeking Cure For Ignorance
16:49 trailing wife
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16:21 Gloluter Phavick7614
16:18 Gloluter Phavick7614
14:46 NN2N1
14:13 Rambler
14:09 trailing wife
13:26 Mercutio
12:59 Skidmark
12:39 Skidmark
12:34 mossomo
12:30 mossomo
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11:56 Procopius2k
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