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2026-03-31 Economy
Iran blows hole in US aluminum supply chain with strikes on Gulf smelters
[IsraelTimes] The US imports 60% of its aluminum annually, prompting concerns that strikes on aluminum facilities in the UAE, Bahrain could see supply‑chain risks turn into reality

With attacks on the two biggest aluminum smelters in the Middle East over the weekend, Iran
...a theocratic Shiite state divided among the Medes, the Persians, and the (Arab) Elamites. Formerly a fairly civilized nation ruled by a Shah, it became a victim of Islamic revolution in 1979. The nation is today noted for spontaneously taking over other countries' embassies, maintaining whorehouses run by clergymen, involvement in international drug trafficking, and financing sock puppet militias to extend the regime's influence. The word Iran is a cognate form of Aryan. The abbreviation IRGC is the same idea as Stürmabteilung (or SA). The term Supreme Guide is a the modern version form of either Duce or Führer or maybe both. They hate Jews Zionists Jews. Their economy is based on the production of oil and vitriol...
struck at major suppliers to the United States of a strategic metal that the world’s biggest economy does not produce nearly enough of domestically, analysts said.

Before the weekend, disruption from the Iran war centered around the difficulty of shipping aluminum and raw materials through the Strait of Hormuz, which has been effectively closed by Tehran.

But on Saturday, Emirates Global Aluminium said its roughly 1.5 million metric ton per year Al Taweelah site in Abu Dhabi, in the United Arab Emirates, had sustained significant damage from Iranian attacks. Aluminium Bahrain said its 1.6 million ton per year plant was targeted on the same day.

Neither company has since provided an update on operations. But the attacks have abruptly shifted concerns from temporary shipping snarls to a potentially more serious threat to production in the region.

"That changes the nature of the risk," Paul Adkins, head of aluminum consultancy AZ Global, wrote on LinkedIn.

London Metal Exchange aluminum prices reacted on Monday, leaping 6% to $3,492 a ton, close to a four-year high.

"In this sort of market, when you suddenly take out 3 million tons of capacity, it cannot be replaced," said Panmure Liberum analyst Tom Price.

US DOMESTIC PRODUCTION DWARFED BY MIDDLE EAST
Aluminum — widely used in cars and packaging and named on the list of 60 minerals the US government deems critical — is now seeing supply‑chain risks turn into reality.

The US has a 60% net reliance on aluminum imports, according to the US Geological Survey. It produced just 660,000 tons of primary aluminum itself in 2025, or less than half the output of Alba alone.

Of the 3.4 million tons of total US imports of primary and alloyed aluminum last year, supplies from the Middle East accounted for nearly 22%, according to information provider Trade Data Monitor.

The UAE and Bahrain, which, through EGA and Alba, make up more than two-thirds of the Gulf region’s aluminum production, were the United States’ second- and fourth-biggest suppliers, respectively.

Iran said both EGA and Alba were linked to US military industries, and the attacks followed Israeli strikes on two Iranian steel operations.

Analysts, however, are skeptical.

"There’s no direct link to the US military other than that some of their metal might eventually go into military application through a long chain of changing hands and processing," said Wood Mackenzie senior research manager Uday Patel.

Wood Mackenzie estimates the US military and defense industries consume 450,000 tons of aluminum annually.

Price said he believed the US military sources most of its aluminum from Canada.

But while the US military may not be directly impacted, that does not mean Iran’s targeting of Gulf output and a potential deepening of the conflict are not inflicting damage on the US and other major economies.

"The stresses are already starting to show in terms of industrial activity and further hampering planning, which was already struggling on high levels of uncertainty," StoneX analyst Natalie Scott-Gray wrote in a note. # id) ?>
Posted by trailing wife 2026-03-31 2026-03-31 04:57|| E-Mail|| Front Page|| [1856 views ]  Top
 File under: Govt of Iran 

1 Appears we've not hit them hard enough.
Posted by Besoeker 2026-03-31 05:47||   2026-03-31 05:47|| Front Page Top

2 Recycle those beer cans!
Posted by Bobby 2026-03-31 08:36||   2026-03-31 08:36|| Front Page Top

3 "Drink faster, boys! America needs aluminium."
Posted by SteveS 2026-03-31 08:39||   2026-03-31 08:39|| Front Page Top

4 Guess maybe the super-duper AI should be put to task identifying and scoring US target risks in the region.

I wonder who might have suggested targeting aluminum smelters.

Russian aluminum

**Russian aluminum** is primarily produced by **Rusal (United Company RUSAL)**, the world's second-largest aluminum company by primary production output, with headquarters in **Moscow, Russia**, and operations in 13 countries.

* **Market Impact & Sanctions**: In **March 2023**, the **U.S. imposed a 200% tariff** on Russian aluminum and all products containing Russian aluminum, followed by a ban on imports of Russian-origin aluminum produced on or after **April 13, 2024**, which slashed U.S. imports by over 90%.
* **Recent Developments**: As of **2025**, Russian President Vladimir Putin has proposed supplying up to **2 million metric tons** of aluminum annually to the U.S. market and suggested joint hydropower and aluminum production projects, though current trade flows remain heavily restricted.
* **Production Scale**: Rusal accounts for approximately **9% of the world's primary aluminum output** and **6.5% of alumina production**, with 2025 financials showing revenue of **$14.8 billion** and 64,000 employees.
* **Key Assets**: The company operates **eight aluminum smelters** and **four alumina refineries** in Russia, including the **Krasnoyarsk** and **Boguchansky** facilities, and is expanding into rare earth metals like **scandium**.
Posted by Skidmark 2026-03-31 09:31||   2026-03-31 09:31|| Front Page Top

5 In 2025, Jamaica accounted for approximately 89.6% of the total bauxite imports to the United States.
Posted by Procopius2k 2026-03-31 09:33||   2026-03-31 09:33|| Front Page Top

6 Aluminum products? or Bauxite? The UAE is the second largest aluminum products exporter to the US, but it's like 300k tons versus 3.5M tons of product from Canada. And domestic production from recycled aluminum almost exactly matched that 3.5M tons from Canada. As for Bauxite, that's almost exclusively Jamaica and Brazil, with almost all of it from Jamaica. It's a Western Hemisphere supply chain. Bauxite imports have been dropping year over year due to all that recycling, and sooner or later domestic production of aluminum from bauxite (which is 100% imported material) will be negligible, right now it's about 500k tons. I'm pretty sure this story is just BS PR from a financial analyst looking for war profits.
Posted by Lost My Cookies 2026-03-31 12:08||   2026-03-31 12:08|| Front Page Top

7 I've finally been called up for the duty I was made for! I won't disappoint you guys!
Posted by chris 2026-03-31 12:20||   2026-03-31 12:20|| Front Page Top

8 America can manufacture everything we need.
If we dont make it, there's probably a law or regulation that gives the competitive advantage to a foreign power or foreign transnational corporation.

We have a major 500,000-ton-per-year alumina refinery in Burnside, LA, has been sitting idle since August 2020.
Posted by mossomo 2026-03-31 12:21||   2026-03-31 12:21|| Front Page Top

9 #7 - Help us Obi Wan Chris! You're our only hope!
Posted by Frank G 2026-03-31 12:32||   2026-03-31 12:32|| Front Page Top

10 Much-missed Rantburg moderator Sherry grew up in the small, former mining town of Bauxite, so we can definitely produce the stuff from native materials…
Posted by trailing wife 2026-03-31 14:23||   2026-03-31 14:23|| Front Page Top

11 It is pretty abundant stuff and we can get it from Canada, Mexico, South America, Australia, etc.

Also we can refine it here, especially in Texas as it requires a lot of cheap energy and Texas has that from the natural gas from fracking with new gas power plants coming online.
Posted by DarthVader 2026-03-31 14:33||   2026-03-31 14:33|| Front Page Top

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