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2022-09-09 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Most senior Russian General since WW-II captured.
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Posted by 3dc 2022-09-09 00:00|| E-Mail|| Front Page|| [1801 views ]  Top
 File under: Tin Hat Dictators, Presidents for Life,  

1 Hope it is true, but no confirmation from any Ukrainian gov sites or news sites. Though FWIW, Wikipedia claims his capture.

If so, the boy is in a lot of trouble. He oversaw the destruction of Mariupol and the deportation of its citizens. War crime galore.
Posted by Snash Shairt9621 2022-09-09 01:27||   2022-09-09 01:27|| Front Page Top

2 Did the Ghost of Kiev capture him?
Posted by DooDahMan 2022-09-09 02:23||   2022-09-09 02:23|| Front Page Top

3 The shoulder boards in the field uniform is that of a major general.

And the reporting is for by/on behalf of the Ukrainians so there is every reason to doubt the story.
Posted by badanov 2022-09-09 03:25||   2022-09-09 03:25|| Front Page Top

4 "I am going to Kharkiv to fight an army without a general, and thence to Kherson to fight a general without an army.”

Paraphrasing Julius Caesar.
Posted by ACA JOE  2022-09-09 04:47||   2022-09-09 04:47|| Front Page Top

5 Ukrainian military reportedly captured Senkove village of Kharkiv region
Posted by DarthVader 2022-09-09 10:23||   2022-09-09 10:23|| Front Page Top

6 Senkove is the first bridge across the Oskil River south of Kupyansk. Bridge in Kupyansk reported by Russian sources to have been blown up. Unconfirmed reports that Ukes are now in Horokhovatka, which is on the main supply line to Izium. If that's true and they are in force, the only remaining way for supply or escape of Izium forces is a secondary road running East to the Donetsk front.
Posted by Nero 2022-09-09 10:54||   2022-09-09 10:54|| Front Page Top

7 Ukrainian military reached Kupiansk
Posted by Snash Shairt9621 2022-09-09 11:12||   2022-09-09 11:12|| Front Page Top

8 One question answered: Can the Ukes break the stalemate? Yes.

Next questions: Do the Russians have a theater reserve worthy of the name? Can the Ukrainians manage their logistics better than the Russians?

This is signifiant movement, but the Russians have a LOT of geographical depth. East of the Oskil is territory that was rapidly overrun by Russia in late February, so it hasn't been beat to **** like Luhansk and Donetsk fronts. Apparently Russia didn't spend any time fortifying it, so it's a mobile fight now.
Posted by Nero 2022-09-09 11:18||   2022-09-09 11:18|| Front Page Top

9 the only remaining way for supply or escape of Izium forces is a secondary road running East to the Donetsk front

Even that route has to go over a bridge that can be blown at any time w/ Himars or Excalibur arty.
Posted by Snash Shairt9621 2022-09-09 11:18||   2022-09-09 11:18|| Front Page Top

10 Do the Russians have a theater reserve worthy of the name?

The Russians are training a new "army" in Milirovo Russia. Reports are armor and personnel moving in Svatove Ukraine.
Posted by Snash Shairt9621 2022-09-09 11:23||   2022-09-09 11:23|| Front Page Top

11 Even that route has to go over a bridge that can be blown

Already destroyed, back in March? That's BOTH the bridge across the Oskil Reservoir at Horokhovatka and the sole bridge across the Oskil River just south of the reservoir east of the settlement of Oskil. There, the Russians put in a single lane dirt/pipe berm at river level.
Posted by Snash Shairt9621 2022-09-09 11:44||   2022-09-09 11:44|| Front Page Top

12 Footage from Russian official sources:
https://nitter.net/tinso_ww/status/1568187754894315521#m
These are fairly light forces, mech infantry. We don't really know what the Ukrainians have on the ground - they've been pretty careful to show posed shots of just guys in front of town signs or buildings. The only heavy armor I've seen is captured Russian; a few trashed Uk BMPs have shown up in posts, IIRC.
Posted by Nero 2022-09-09 12:23||   2022-09-09 12:23|| Front Page Top

13 I'd give it 72 hours - fog of war.

Only Woke American Propaganda outlets like Reddit report this as fact. Russia media hasnt commented. Foreign fairly independent sources like DailyMail, Express UK and even Kyiv Post use the words Likely, Possible, and Speculation.

And if I followed this thing correctly, all cites and references of the capture leads back to a single journalist quote.
Posted by mossomo 2022-09-09 13:21||   2022-09-09 13:21|| Front Page Top

14 These are fairly light forces, mech infantry.

That is what I have seen too. Mostly BMPs and even M113s with infantry and a shit ton of anti-armor weapons. Seen a few Ukraine tanks, but mostly mechanized infantry.

But at this point that is Ukraine's bread and butter. They have well trained units and know how to use them.
Posted by DarthVader 2022-09-09 13:28||   2022-09-09 13:28|| Front Page Top

15 Confirmed the Kupiansk bridge is blown:
https://nitter.net/visegrad24/status/1568285577111273474#m
Posted by Nero 2022-09-09 13:49||   2022-09-09 13:49|| Front Page Top

16 Videos show mechanized Ukrainian forces crossing the T0514 bridge (near Slovyansk) over the Siverskyi Donets River, reportedly heading towards Lyman.
Posted by Snash Shairt9621 2022-09-09 14:39||   2022-09-09 14:39|| Front Page Top

17 ^^^ Probably old video.
Posted by Snash Shairt9621 2022-09-09 14:41||   2022-09-09 14:41|| Front Page Top

18 Seen a few Ukraine tanks

Would be concentrated at the spearhead. There are plenty of videos of destroyed and captured Russian tanks along the line of advance. M-113s didn't do that.
Posted by Snash Shairt9621 2022-09-09 14:47||   2022-09-09 14:47|| Front Page Top

19 Ukrainian military reportedly is in Kapitolovka and Oskil

That's south of the big reservoir cutting off the last escape route (south then east) for the Russians.
Posted by Snash Shairt9621 2022-09-09 15:31||   2022-09-09 15:31|| Front Page Top

20 Wow. liveuamap is usually pretty conservative with their sourcing. If true, the Russians in Izyum are truly screwed, barring some sort of hasty counterattack to relieve them. For those following along at home, look at 49.188178,37.3247409 on your favorite mapper. Those towns are straight east of Izyum right on the only remaining route in or out.

(It's kind of trippy to follow this on Google Maps and have it bring up things like 'Discount Supermarket' on the outskirts of Izyum. Closes soon! The click-through advises: "Information about this place may be outdated. Always pay attention to real-world conditions, which may be rapidly changing." No shit.)
Posted by Nero 2022-09-09 15:42||   2022-09-09 15:42|| Front Page Top

21 Kharkiv Oblast, Ukrainian forces captured a Russian 1L261 Zoopark-1 counter-battery radar system

Russians in real panic to get out of Dodge when something as valuable as this is left intact.
Posted by Snash Shairt9621 2022-09-09 16:22||   2022-09-09 16:22|| Front Page Top

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