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2020-07-20 Home Front: Politix
Trump gains ground, but still trails Biden by wide margin
[AS] President Donald Trump has cut into former Vice President Joe Biden’s lead in the 2020 presidential election, but still trails the presumptive Democratic nominee by a wide margin, according to several new polls released Sunday.

Just three months ago, Trump and Biden were in a dead heat, with the Fox News poll for April showing the two candidates at 42% each among registered voters nationwide.

After states began reopening public activities in the spring, however, support for the president collapsed, with voters losing faith in his ability to handle the coronavirus crisis.

According to a new poll released Sunday by ABC News/The Washington Post, Trump led Biden in three-and-a-half months ago among registered voters by two points, 45% to 43%, on the question of which candidate is more able to handle the crisis.

Now, however, Biden holds a twenty-point edge on that issue, with 54% of registered voters saying he is more able to handle the crisis than Trump, compared to 34% who say Trump is more capable of handling the crisis.
Posted by g(r)omgoru 2020-07-20 05:34|| E-Mail|| Front Page|| [11135 views ]  Top

#1 They can vote as they will; I will vote as I must.

Separately, back when we had a landline, I was called regularly by political surveys. Since Mr. Wife talked me into being a cell phone only household, and more so since I mostly stopped answering unknown numbers, I haven’t had any — so the polls no longer include my opinion. Not because my opinion matters all that much, but because of all the people like me who no longer answer the phone.

And finally, as I understand it, while historically there are more registered Democrats than registered Republicans, the ratio is reversed among likely voters.
Posted by trailing wife 2020-07-20 07:53||   2020-07-20 07:53|| Front Page Top

#2 Most of these polls don't matter because most voters aren't paying much attention.

The next thing that will really matter is the Dem convention. If the Dems fail to prevent the obvious crazies from participating, it will devastate them.

After that is when Biden reads his nomination acceptance speech. The Dems have reason to fear that Biden will get lost multiple times during this.

If Biden does make it through his speech, the acceptance speech by the VP nominee is the next problem. A fiery pro socialism, pro riot speech would cost them 10 points.
Posted by lord garth 2020-07-20 08:28||   2020-07-20 08:28|| Front Page Top

#3 If '16 was the Flight 93 election this will be the Alamo election with Donald Trump as COL Travis. The choice is pretty stark.

As far as the polls go at this point in time I don't really know anybody who would report to an unknown voice from an equally unknown organization support for the President. The socialists openly advocate re-education and 'reporting Trump supporters' although to whom and for what remains unclear.

Is it so much of a stretch to think that with a little digital effort you could not later be identified and thus, well, God only knows what. Does anybody think the Red Guard magically disappears regardless of who is elected/re-elected?
Posted by Cesare 2020-07-20 08:44||   2020-07-20 08:44|| Front Page Top

#4 I think Illary had a 99% chance at this point.
Posted by Bright Pebbles 2020-07-20 08:56||   2020-07-20 08:56|| Front Page Top

#5 After that is when Biden reads his nomination acceptance speech. The Dems have reason to fear that Biden will get lost multiple times during this.

Biden's acceptance speech will be a deepfake job that is being engineered right now. Think Eleanor Shaw Iselin's sinister description of Johnny Iselin's speech in the 1962 version of Manchurian Candidate.
Posted by M. Murcek 2020-07-20 09:21||   2020-07-20 09:21|| Front Page Top

#6 I checked Ladbrokes yesterday; unfortunately they had Biden at 4/7 and Trump at 13/8. Real betting lines will start to matter once Labor Day gets here.
Posted by Raj 2020-07-20 09:47||   2020-07-20 09:47|| Front Page Top

#7 Wayne Allyn Root, however, says he's in big for Trump. I've been following this guy since the early 1990's, for what it's worth; he always has something interesting to say.
Posted by Raj 2020-07-20 09:54||   2020-07-20 09:54|| Front Page Top

#8 If it's a clean election, Trump wins.

It won't be a clean election.

Trump's team needs to figure out how to overcome a margin of fraud that will be way bigger than any in American history.
Posted by charger 2020-07-20 12:35||   2020-07-20 12:35|| Front Page Top

#9 /\ ...margin of fraud.

That would be the same "margin of fraud" the resulted in not one, but two terms of Obama.
Posted by Besoeker 2020-07-20 12:42||   2020-07-20 12:42|| Front Page Top

#10 The US Supreme Court might as well get ready now. This election will be one for the history books.
Posted by Clem 2020-07-20 12:48||   2020-07-20 12:48|| Front Page Top

#11 These days, every poll is a push poll.
Posted by Iblis 2020-07-20 13:47||   2020-07-20 13:47|| Front Page Top

#12 At this point neither side will accept the results. Even a huge Trump win will not convince the far left.

War is coming. Be ready.
Posted by DarthVader 2020-07-20 13:50||   2020-07-20 13:50|| Front Page Top

#13 I'm just sad these two @sshats are what we have to chose from. I know there are far better candidates on both sides, but who honestly would want to run with how candidates and their families are raked over the coals these days. Both sides are pretty screwed up.
Posted by Yosemite Sam 2020-07-20 14:39||   2020-07-20 14:39|| Front Page Top

#14 I think the polls should also post the % of voters party affiliation in the polls. Just because they said registered voters, does not mean its a balanced poll.
Posted by 49 Pan 2020-07-20 15:36||   2020-07-20 15:36|| Front Page Top

#15 ^I think, polls should be ignored.
Posted by g(r)omgoru 2020-07-20 15:37||   2020-07-20 15:37|| Front Page Top

#16 The way it is going, it's polls or target folders. Welcome to anarchy.
Posted by Alaska Paul 2020-07-20 16:48||   2020-07-20 16:48|| Front Page Top

#17 *cough*BS*cough*
Polls are so scientifically accurate because pollsters tell us they are.
Posted by AlmostAnonymous5839 2020-07-20 17:10||   2020-07-20 17:10|| Front Page Top

#18 Adults vs Registered Voters vs Likely Voters

If you are a Trump voter and receive a poll call (and mistakenly answer it). Who are are you gonna say you support in the Cancel Culture?
Posted by Frank G 2020-07-20 17:48||   2020-07-20 17:48|| Front Page Top

#19 Like a Stacy Abrams margin?
Posted by swksvolFF 2020-07-20 23:11||   2020-07-20 23:11|| Front Page Top

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