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2025-07-19 Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Iran's key nuclear facilities were not seriously damaged
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.

Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin:

[ColonelCassad] Regarding the Iranian nuclear facilities, the American mass media, citing anonymous military sources (Trump, as usual, will be furious), claim that only one of the three key Iranian nuclear facilities was seriously damaged.

We are talking about the nuclear facility in Natanz, where not only the buildings on the surface were destroyed, but also at least one was pierced by an anti-bunker bomb, which could damage at least part of the valuable equipment in the underground part of the complex.

There were no serious attempts to strike the underground complex in Isfahan. Israel and the USA destroyed or damaged part of the above-ground buildings, but anti-bunker bombs were not used there at all, so the underground part of the complex was not seriously damaged.

Several anti-bunker bombs were dropped on the facility in Fordo, which could not reach the underground part of the complex, and everything was limited to the collapse of the entrances to the complex and surface damage.

After the end of the war, Iran immediately expelled the "observers/spies" from the IAEA, completely dismantled surveillance cameras from nuclear facilities, and intensified the capture of Israeli spies.

In fact, now the USA and Israel can get information about what is actually happening in the Iranian nuclear program only through intelligence and technical intelligence channels.

If the Iranians are able to ensure sufficient secrecy, then information about the real state of Iran's nuclear project can become approximately the same as about the North Korean nuclear program. It is worth noting that it is still not known where Iran took hundreds of kilograms of enriched explosives that were not destroyed. The export of uranium was carried out even before the strikes on nuclear facilities.
The proof is in the pudding. Let’s see what Iran manages to do along this line in the next few months and years — remembering that they daren’t assume Mossad does not see all.
Posted by badanov 2025-07-19 00:00|| E-Mail|| Front Page|| ||Comments [180 views ]  Top
 File under: Govt of Iran 

#1 ...Keep in mind that Fordo might not be destroyed insofar as the structure itself is 'intact', we laid down more explosive power on the site than created by the Hiroshima bomb. There is nothing usable inside it, and I would be very leery of going in there to check.

Mike
Posted by MikeKozlowski 2025-07-19 07:12||   2025-07-19 07:12|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#2 This could be propaganda preparation for Iran conducting a nuclear test with a Russian warhead.

This story could give Russia not too plausible deniability.

Otherwise, it would be in Iran's and its allies' best interest to maximize and exaggerate the damage in order to avoid a follow up strike.
Posted by Elmerert Hupens2660 2025-07-19 08:11||   2025-07-19 08:11|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#3 Ref #1: "and I would be very leery of going in there to check."

Scotty says, don't go there.
Posted by Besoeker 2025-07-19 08:22||   2025-07-19 08:22|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#4 #2 You don't understand Muslim notion of face.
Posted by Grom the Affective 2025-07-19 10:08||   2025-07-19 10:08|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#5 ...allegory.
Posted by Procopius2k 2025-07-19 10:11||   2025-07-19 10:11|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#6 @4 This is a Russian source.
Posted by Elmerert Hupens2660 2025-07-19 10:53||   2025-07-19 10:53|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#7 ^And?
Posted by Grom the Affective 2025-07-19 11:03||   2025-07-19 11:03|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#8 Whatever the damage, it costs money to repair, and I don't see Trump delivering pallets of cash to pay for it. Unless some District Court judge rules that he has to...
Posted by Glenmore 2025-07-19 15:16||   2025-07-19 15:16|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#9 @7 This isn't Muslim face saving boastfulness.

This could be propagandistic preparation of an Iranian nuclear test using a Russian warhead.

Medvedev did talk publicly about Russia or others giving nuclear weapons to Iran but backpedaled.

The claim that Iranian nuclear assets were not 'seriously damaged' would give Russia deniability.
Posted by Elmerert Hupens2660 2025-07-19 17:21||   2025-07-19 17:21|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#10 The claim that Iranian nuclear assets were not 'seriously damaged' would give Russia deniability.

BZZZZZT. Not. Isotopes and residuals from any test would expose the source of the fissile material. Try again
Posted by Frank G 2025-07-19 19:39||   2025-07-19 19:39|| Front Page || Comments   Top

20:23 DarthVader
19:46 SteveS
19:39 Frank G
19:10 SteveS
19:02 Oregon Dave
18:42 KBK
18:24 no mo uro
17:21 Elmerert Hupens2660
16:43 DarthVader
16:41 DarthVader
16:24 Angstrom
16:18 Regular joe
16:04 Regular joe
15:53 Glenmore
15:52 Glenmore
15:47 Glenmore
15:45 Glenmore
15:40 Glenmore
15:34 Glenmore
15:30 Glenmore
15:25 Glenmore
15:19 Glenmore
15:16 Glenmore
15:06 Glenmore
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