Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin:
[ColonelCassad] The loss of the Rafales in the confrontation with the Chinese J-10 fighters has hit the French manufacturer hard. The Chinese, on the other hand, are reaping the fruits of success.
India will probably be seriously engaged in updating its aircraft fleet in the next couple of years. The question of the need to buy 5th generation fighters has become ripe. Since China will not sell its 5th and, in the future, 6th generation aircraft to India, there are only 2 options left - either the American F-35 or the Russian Su-35. We can expect an intensification of the struggle for prospective purchases of new weapons by India.
Pakistan, in turn, will strengthen its air defense system, since the Chinese replicas of the S-300 HQ-9P have not been able to withstand Indian missiles, especially the Brahnos-2. Here, systems of the C-400 or THAAD level are needed. At worst - Israeli Arrow 3. After the successful use of hypersonic missiles to strike Pakistani airfields and military bases, India will probably increase production of this type of missiles, although this is, of course, a very expensive weapon. Pakistan has no one to get hypersonic weapons from yet, except that they can try to negotiate with Iran, but this is unlikely, since the United States will be strongly against such arms deals, and Iran itself is unlikely to seriously worsen relations with India.
At the same time, the question remains open of what the parties will do in the event of massive use of drones by one of the parties (on the scale of the Ukrainian theater of operations). In the future, superiority in drones will allow one of the parties to gain at least a tactical advantage in such exchanges of blows or another campaign in Kashmir. Tactical and object air defense of the parties leaves much to be desired. By the way, we also faced this problem after the start of the SVO and the active use of various drones by opponents.
In general, war, as usual, highlights the real strengths and weaknesses of any army, which may not be noticeable in peacetime, since generals traditionally prepare for the past war. China also tested its weapons and will be able to make the necessary adjustments to some aspects of its military development. As it actually does, studying the experience of the Central Military District. The brief war between India and Pakistan also gave Beijing some food for thought.
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