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2026-08-19 Arabia
Iran may have already lost the battle for the Strait of Hormuz
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Posted by badanov 2026-08-19 00:00|| E-Mail|| Front Page|| [230 views ]  Top
 File under: Govt of Iran 

1 Iran threatens US bases in Europe if war resumes
Posted by Grom the Reflective 2026-08-19 02:37||   2026-08-19 02:37|| Front Page Top

2 The IRGC lost this war months ago, they just refuse to realize it.
Posted by Chantry 2026-08-19 08:50||   2026-08-19 08:50|| Front Page Top

3 A 5M barrel/day deficit from the Persian Gulf isn't too horrible in the short run.

If it goes another 4 months it will start to really hurt Europe (which depends on oil for winter heat) and if it goes another 4 or so months after that it will really hurt the USA (which requires a lot of gasoline starting in late spring).

The USA is producing quite a bit more of natural gas than last year but only a little bit more of crude.
Posted by Lord Garth 2026-08-19 11:16||   2026-08-19 11:16|| Front Page Top

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