Rantburg

Today's Front Page   View All of Sat 07/19/2025 View Fri 07/18/2025 View Thu 07/17/2025 View Wed 07/16/2025 View Tue 07/15/2025 View Mon 07/14/2025 View Sun 07/13/2025
2025-07-19 Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Iran's key nuclear facilities were not seriously damaged
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.

Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin:

[ColonelCassad] Regarding the Iranian nuclear facilities, the American mass media, citing anonymous military sources (Trump, as usual, will be furious), claim that only one of the three key Iranian nuclear facilities was seriously damaged.

We are talking about the nuclear facility in Natanz, where not only the buildings on the surface were destroyed, but also at least one was pierced by an anti-bunker bomb, which could damage at least part of the valuable equipment in the underground part of the complex.

There were no serious attempts to strike the underground complex in Isfahan. Israel and the USA destroyed or damaged part of the above-ground buildings, but anti-bunker bombs were not used there at all, so the underground part of the complex was not seriously damaged.

Several anti-bunker bombs were dropped on the facility in Fordo, which could not reach the underground part of the complex, and everything was limited to the collapse of the entrances to the complex and surface damage.

After the end of the war, Iran immediately expelled the "observers/spies" from the IAEA, completely dismantled surveillance cameras from nuclear facilities, and intensified the capture of Israeli spies.

In fact, now the USA and Israel can get information about what is actually happening in the Iranian nuclear program only through intelligence and technical intelligence channels.

If the Iranians are able to ensure sufficient secrecy, then information about the real state of Iran's nuclear project can become approximately the same as about the North Korean nuclear program. It is worth noting that it is still not known where Iran took hundreds of kilograms of enriched explosives that were not destroyed. The export of uranium was carried out even before the strikes on nuclear facilities.
The proof is in the pudding. Let’s see what Iran manages to do along this line in the next few months and years — remembering that they daren’t assume Mossad does not see all.
Posted by badanov 2025-07-19 00:00|| E-Mail|| Front Page|| ||Comments [99 views ]  Top
 File under: Govt of Iran 

#1 ...Keep in mind that Fordo might not be destroyed insofar as the structure itself is 'intact', we laid down more explosive power on the site than created by the Hiroshima bomb. There is nothing usable inside it, and I would be very leery of going in there to check.

Mike
Posted by MikeKozlowski 2025-07-19 07:12||   2025-07-19 07:12|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#2 This could be propaganda preparation for Iran conducting a nuclear test with a Russian warhead.

This story could give Russia not too plausible deniability.

Otherwise, it would be in Iran's and its allies' best interest to maximize and exaggerate the damage in order to avoid a follow up strike.
Posted by Elmerert Hupens2660 2025-07-19 08:11||   2025-07-19 08:11|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#3 Ref #1: "and I would be very leery of going in there to check."

Scotty says, don't go there.
Posted by Besoeker 2025-07-19 08:22||   2025-07-19 08:22|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#4 #2 You don't understand Muslim notion of face.
Posted by Grom the Affective 2025-07-19 10:08||   2025-07-19 10:08|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#5 ...allegory.
Posted by Procopius2k 2025-07-19 10:11||   2025-07-19 10:11|| Front Page || Comments   Top

#6 @4 This is a Russian source.
Posted by Elmerert Hupens2660 2025-07-19 10:53||   2025-07-19 10:53|| Front Page || Comments   Top

10:53 Elmerert Hupens2660
10:42 Skidmark
10:40 Procopius2k
10:30 Skidmark
10:26 swksvolFF
10:25 Procopius2k
10:23 Procopius2k
10:19 Procopius2k
10:17 swksvolFF
10:16 Procopius2k
10:15 swksvolFF
10:15 Grom the Affective
10:11 Procopius2k
10:08 Grom the Affective
10:06 Procopius2k
10:03 Skidmark
09:56 Grom the Affective
09:53 Skidmark
09:48 Skidmark
09:13 European Conservative
09:10 alanc
08:45 Mercutio
08:38 Mercutio
08:24 Besoeker
Merry-Go-Blog










Paypal:
Google
Search WWW Search rantburg.com