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Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Assad Inner Circle Takes Hard Line in Syria Conflict
2012-12-28
[An Nahar] The Syrian vice president's criticism of leader Bashir al-Assad has highlighted the cracks in the regime's highest ranks, pitting supporters of compromise against the president's hardline inner circle.

Assad's closest aides believe the regime should keep fighting and that they can still win a war against rebels which has left more than 44,000 dead in almost two years.

"Power has become increasingly concentrated in the hands of just a few people in Assad's clan, which has grown autistic and seems to have chosen to just keep going," Gay Paree-based expert Karim Bitar told AFP.

Assad's circle includes his brother Maher, 44, who heads the army's elite Fourth Division and his wife Asma, an analyst told AFP on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the subject.

The group also includes Assad's notorious businessmen uncle Mohammed Makhluf, 80, cousin Rami Makhluf, 43, and Damascus
...The place where Pencilneck hangs his brass hat...
security chief, Hazem Makhluf, 41.

Like Assad, all are members of the minority Alawite community, except his wife, who is a Sunni Moslem.

Presidential affairs minister since 2009, Mansur Azzam, 52, and former al-Jazeera journalist Luna al-Shibl are also close to Assad. Both are members of the Druze community.

Alawite Hussam Sukkar, a security advisor to the president, is also key, as are two Sunni veterans: National Security director Ali Mamluk and Political Security chief Rostom Ghazali.

"This is the group that takes the decisions," the analyst said. "Bashar, who runs the show, only listens to people who owe him, for the most part, for their rise."

But several high-level officials, members of the state apparatus and part of the army command, understand -- like Vice President Faruq al-Sharaa -- "that neither the rebels nor the army can secure an all-out victory," said Bitar.

"As such, they are hoping for a negotiated solution, which would prevent them all being swept away should Assad fall,."

In an interview published in a pro-Damascus Lebanese daily, Sharaa, who for 22 years served as foreign minister, said he favors a negotiated solution to the conflict, rather than the president's strategy of crushing the revolt militarily.

Assad "does not hide his desire to press on militarily until the final victory (and he believes that) after this, political dialogue will actually still be possible," Sharaa told Beirut-based al-Akhbar.

Experts say that out of those who share Sharaa's views, two women stand out.

One of them is Buthaina Shaaban, a 59-year-old Alawite who was close to Assad's father Hafez, and worked as his translator before becoming minister of expatriate affairs. In 2008, Shaaban became Bashir al-Assad's advisor.

The other is Najah al-Attar, a 79-year-old Sunni, who was minister of culture from 1976 to 2000, and was then appointed vice president along with Sharaa in 2006.

"It seems this group has been totally excluded from decision-making, because they think the war should end with no winner or loser," said a former minister who took a distance from the regime when the revolt broke out in March 2011.

Assad's clique, the minister added on condition of anonymity, "treats them like cowards."

The journalist who interviewed the vice president for al-Akhbar said "Sharaa is not in the decision-making circle, and communicates infrequently with the president."

On Sunday, Information Minister Omran al-Zohbi played down Sharaa's assessment. "It is one opinion among 23 million opinions in Syria, which is a state led by institutions and leaders who will give the final opinion," he said.

After 50 years in power, differences have emerged even among Alawites, as young members of this offshoot of Shiite Islam are killed daily in battle.
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Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Amid U.N. Inquiry Into Killing, Leading Syrian Leaves Country
2005-10-30
During a United Nations investigation into the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri that threatens the power of President Bashar al-Assad, a first cousin who is one of the most powerful businessmen in Syria has left the country.
"Hello? Syrian Airlines? I'd like to book a flight!"
"Where to, sir?"
"Don't care!"
While it remains unclear why the president's cousin, Rami Makhluf, left - his allies say he is in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, shacking up with Michael Jackson working on the expansion of his business empire - many people with close connections to the ruling Baath Party say his departure underscores the investigation's threat to the Assad family's grip on power. Already, the United Nations has implicated important Syrians in the killing of Mr. Hariri in February, and the Syrian government has since been searching for a formula to satisfy its international critics without undermining its authority at home.
It's something like juggling guilletines...
On Saturday, Mr. Assad announced that he would create a judicial commission to investigate the assassination. Syrian officials hope the move will at least buy them time with the United Nations Security Council, which is scheduled Monday to consider ordering economic penalties until Syria cooperates fully with United Nations investigators.
I'm sure somebody'll try and delay things until they finish the investigation, somewhere around 2099...
In Syria, a country of about 18 million people, political and economic power is held by a small circle of people, most with family ties to President Assad. Detlev Mehlis, the German prosecutor investigating on behalf of the Security Council, identified two of the most powerful members of that circle as suspects in the killing - Mr. Assad's brother Maher, who controls the presidential guard, and his brother-in-law, Asef Shawkat, head of military intelligence. Should the Security Council demand that the two be turned over for trial, President Assad would most probably have to resist or face turmoil in a system that is not governed by strong institutions, but instead by individuals, several experts said.
It's called a government of men, not of laws. It's had many eloquent apologists, including Lin Yu Tang. It still doesn't work.
In this environment, Mr. Makhluf's departure has been seen as a sign that those at the core of the country's power structure recognize their vulnerability, and fear that a showdown with the Security Council could spell disaster for them. "I think that this is the most important challenge facing Syria in its recent history," said Fayez Sara, a Syrian political analyst and writer. "And if the Syrian government or authorities do not handle the issue well, it can in fact lead to a crisis."
Like I say, gone by 9-11-06...
Pessimist ...
The Makhluf family is at the center of the power structure. It controls a business empire including a bank, the duty-free zones at the border and most of Syria's cellphone service. President Assad's mother is a Makhluf and her brother, Muhammad, is Rami Makhluf's father. "Most notoriously, the family of Bashar's mother, the Makhlufs, has leveraged its connections to amass a commercial empire, the value of which is estimated to exceed $3 billion," wrote Flynt Leverett, a former C.I.A. Middle East analyst, in his recent book "Inheriting Syria: Bashar's Trial by Fire."

One well-connected analyst said Mr. Makhluf was asked by the president to leave the country. That could not be independently confirmed. The analyst said that the general public resents the tremendous wealth controlled by the president's family, and that by asking Mr. Makhluf to go, Mr. Assad was signaling his willingness to clean up corruption. When he first came to office, Mr. Assad focused on opening up the economy, but did nothing to break up the vast economic fortunes of those who are in power, not just the Makhlufs, experts said. "They want people to believe that he has left by orders of the president because there is so much grumbling about the wealth he has acquired," the well-connected analyst said. "It is one of the steps taken to try to restore credibility with the Syrian people."
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