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India-Pakistan
Rupture in the Baloch insurgency
2015-07-02
[DAWN] THE decade-old insurgency in Balochistan
...the Pak province bordering Kandahar and Uruzgun provinces in Afghanistan and Sistan Baluchistan in Iran. Its native Baloch propulation is being displaced by Pashtuns and Punjabis and they aren't happy about it...
is no longer the monolith that it had so far appeared to be. Twenty people were killed and several injured in the early hours of Tuesday during a clash between two Lion of Islam groups belonging to the banned Balochistan Liberation Army and the United Baloch Army that took place near the border of Kohlu and Dera Bugti districts. With both sides using heavy weapons, the skirmish lasted several hours. Elsewhere in the province on the same day, in the Mashkay area of Awaran district, 13 faceless myrmidons were killed in an encounter with security forces. Reportedly, among the dead are a brother and nephew of Dr Allah Nazar who heads the Baloch Liberation Front, another banned separatist group.

For several years, the unity between the various Lion of Islam groups has been a distinguishing feature of the Baloch insurgency; areas of their operations even overlapped in many places without reports of friction. That seems to have effectively come to an end with the death of veteran Baloch nationalist Khair Bux Marri in June last year when a rift between his sons Mehran and Hyrbyair -- who heads the BLA from self-exile in London -- led to the creation of the UBA with other groups also aligning themselves with one side or the other. Such a rupture was perhaps inevitable at some point: prolonged Lion of Islam movements become susceptible to internal crises stemming from differences over ideology and/or finances, which can then lead to disagreements about operational strategies. Where the security forces are concerned, the fracturing of the insurgency offers a tactical advantage for them to comprehensively crush the movement. In 2013, nature afforded them a similar opportunity when a devastating earthquake struck Awaran, a stronghold of the BLF. In its aftermath, the security forces -- under the umbrella of providing relief to earthquake victims -- managed to access parts of the very volatile district that were hitherto 'no-go areas' due to risk of bully boy attacks. However,
corruption finds a dozen alibis for its evil deeds...
in the process they also employed highly questionable tactics such as allowing unfettered leeway to the ultra right's 'charity' wings to establish a presence in the area's secular and multi-sectarian -- if deprived -- society. Extremist forces are part of the problem that bedevils Balochistan, a fact highlighted by Dr Abdul Malik on Tuesday. They can never, in any viable sense, be part of the solution.

Recent events indicate there is, at last, perhaps some realisation that a new approach is needed. There was the announcement of an amnesty for Baloch faceless myrmidons turning their backs on violence, and an initiative to hold talks with the Khan of Kalat in London is in the works as a means of reaching out to hardline separatist leaders. However,
corruption finds a dozen alibis for its evil deeds...
unless the state discards its old proxies and prejudices, and takes the long view that actually addresses legitimate Baloch grievances, the province will remain a powder keg.
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India-Pakistan
UAE releases BLA chief
2006-08-29
Baloch Liberation Army (BLA) chief Nawabzada Gazzen Marri was released by the United Arab Emirates (UAE) Government on Sunday, sources told Daily Times Monday. Marri has been acquitted of all charges levied against him by the Pakistani authorities. Sources said that as such the demand for his extradition to Pakistan was turned down by a UAE court. Marri has been detained since March 21, 2006. During his detention he was given special treatment. The second eldest son of the nawab was taken into custody by the Dubai authorities for alleged involvement in money laundering cases in the Persian Gulf. The 46-year-old BLA chief was picked up from Dubai's Dera area on the request of the Pakistan government that had lodged a formal complaint with the UAE government about the alleged involvement of Khair Bux's son in arranging finances for terrorist activities. But the prosecutor failed to prove any of the charges against him.
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India-Pakistan
Bugti’s killing is the biggest blunder since Bhutto’s execution
2006-08-27
Editorial in the Daily Times

Whatever his personality and past, Nawab Bugti’s death is bound to become part of the heroic lore of Baloch history of resistance against the state since 1947 and strengthen the separatist emotion in the province. Since much of the Baloch struggle had combined with the all-Pakistan campaign against such phenomena as military rule and the cruel centralism of One Unit, it will find resonance with most Pakistanis — especially in the smaller provinces. His death will put an end to the case building by the government before going for the kill on Saturday. The case built by the state against the rebellious ‘sardars’ was not incredible: their insurgents were blowing up public assets and carrying out attacks against state personnel, they had organised ‘farari’ camps where Baloch warriors were trained and, finally, they were recipients of large sums of money, possibly sent in by India through Afghanistan. But now all this will sound like so much unconvincing history.

Baloch nationalism is based on a number of factors recognised by the textbooks but the most significant component is tribal resistance and honour. The sardari system provided leadership to this nationalism by upholding Baloch honour. While the Baloch politician developed flexible political skills, the Baloch sardar outshone him in the eyes of the Baloch people because of his inflexibility and an implacable assertion of Baloch rights. Of course, the Bugti-Marri-Mengal triumvirate of Baloch nationalism that developed over the years had its internal tensions and there was a tacit struggle for supremacy among the three. Needless to say, only the most radical could have won. It is in this framework that Nawab Bugti’s final choice of death has to be seen. And it is here that Islamabad has erred most grievously and might have to pay a high price for it. It has let Nawab Bugti win the final battle. He will now be the all-Balochistan symbol of resistance to Islamabad. If there is external interference in Balochistan it will only be strengthened.

President Musharraf inherited a whole raft of “flaws of the state” when he was called upon to put Pakistan straight after 9/11. After almost 20 years of jihad the state had developed tolerance for many centres of power the politicians were forced to accept in the 1990s. The central problem that he faced was the lack of the writ of the state in most parts of the country, although certain territories were traditionally accepted as exempt from normal state jurisdiction. We know how he has failed to solve the problems of the Tribal Areas in the face of the Taliban and Al Qaeda threat in the context of a growing vacuum of political support. But the situation in Balochistan has been the prickliest for him to grasp politically. The province is the country’s lifeline for the gas it produces and a guarantor of its future because of the gas reserves it holds for future exploitation.

Balochistan has also been a legal grey area. Most of it is ‘B’ category, meaning that there is no police and no proper enforcement of the law of the land. It also remains the most economically backward area despite the rich natural resources it possesses. Its history of struggle against the centre sets it apart from the Tribal Areas where Islamabad is face to face with a new type of Talibanism. President Musharraf was mistaken in “discovering” that past governments had been too “soft” on Nawab Bugti and mistakenly wanted this “flaw of the state” sorted out. The PMLQ government intervened and tried the political path with Bugti, resulting in an agreed document, which was in the process of being implemented _ albeit very slowly and in the eyes of the Baloch, not at all. But the military establishment overruled the politicians and went for Mr Bugti.

At this point Nawab Bugti was provoked into taking the final plunge to put on record his reaction to “what Islamabad was doing to Balochistan”. The pressure he felt came from the increased aggression of state policy, the bringing back of the sub-tribes he had driven out of the Bugti territory and the bombing of his residence complex. But his decision to go down fighting has transformed his death into martyrdom to the cause of the Baloch. His two grandsons have died with him; so have a number of Marri tribesmen, including possibly a son of Khair Bux Marri, the most intransigent of the sardari triumvirate. This will “inspire” many youngsters among the new generation of Baloch to seek “revenge”. Sardar Ataullah Khan Mengal has already reacted in such terms. In Quetta, mobs have come out and damaged public property. But Balochistan is not a place for mass demonstrations; it is a territory of acts of revenge. How will the government tackle the Baloch backlash? Political support to the Musharraf establishment and the PMLQ government is at its lowest ebb. Balochistan will be ready to ignite at any time in the future. A pall of gloom has descended over Pakistan that will not lift in a hurry. This is the biggest blunder committed by the military since the execution of Zulfikar Ali Bhutto.
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India-Pakistan
Ghazeen to be repatriated within days: Sherpao
2006-04-19
Ghazeen Marri, the son of Nawab Khair Bux Marri, will be handed over to Pakistani authorities from the United Arab Emirates in the next few days, Interior Minister Aftab Sherpao said on Tuesday. Ghazeen Marri was arrested by the UAE authorities several days ago and faces several cases in Pakistan including for the murder of Justice Nawaz Marri, Sherpao told reporters. An Interior Ministry source said Ghazeen was arrested after the federal government banned the Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA), of which the tribal scion is considered the main financer.
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India-Pakistan
Blustering in the 21st century
2006-04-03
Every day a couple of bombs go off somewhere in Balochistan destroying a bridge, a culvert, a railway track, an electricity tower or a gas pipeline. The insurgents have become so audacious that even the chief minister’s house isn’t safe from mortar attacks anymore. Every day army convoys and outposts in Waziristan are attacked and the death toll of soldiers and local collaborators is rising. Even the interior minister has conceded that Al-Qaeda/Taliban have spread “trouble” in the neighbouring districts of Bannu, Dera Ismail Khan and Tank. So what’s the Musharraf regime doing about this?

Its strategy in Balochistan is simplistic. Since the insurgents don’t have a visible face or front, and since the Balochistan puppet provincial parliament isn’t too pushed about the issues of rights raised by the insurgents, there is no one with whom the federal government can negotiate the problem. Meanwhile, Sardar Ataullah Mengal is always ready to denounce the “army action” in Balochistan but refuses to act as a spokesman of the Baloch Liberation Army, or whatever. Nawab Khair Bux Marri is 80+ and still as silent and intransigent as ever. And Nawab Akbar Bugti, the trade unionist from Dera Bugti, is languishing in his “secret” cave hideout and giving interviews to foreigners reclaiming his rights as a Baloch “nationalist” after having spent the last thirty five years slamming Messrs Mengal and Marri. Under the circumstances, the federal government, governor, corps commander and IG-FC have jointly determined to run the show with the advice of Military Intelligence. This is based on trying to “win hearts and minds” with “development projects” and promising employment prospects (30,000 new jobs will come online, says the prime minister) and propping up political and tribal opponents of the three rebellious sardars and nawabs (thousands of Kalpar Bugtis ousted by Akbar Bugti from their homelands years ago have been encouraged to return, dig their heels in and lend a helping hand against the insurgents).

In Waziristan, too, steps are being taken to reclaim the initiative. Along with resolute military action, the government is developing plans to buy off and disarm the rebels. The US has pledged money for suitable “development projects” so that strong pro-government vested interests are created. At the same time, the government intends to call a “grand jirga” in the tribal areas consisting of elders, clerics, local councilors and government officials and entrust it with the job of identifying “anti-state elements” and persuading rebellious tribesmen not to shelter foreign militants.
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India-Pakistan
Marri’s son facing money laundering charges in Dubai
2006-04-01
Balochistan Liberation Army chief Ghazain Marri has been detained by the United Arab Emirates government in Dubai on money laundering charges, according to well-placed sources. The sources said that the second eldest son of the Nawab was taken into custody on March 22 by the Dubai authorities for his alleged involvement in money laundering cases in the Persian Gulf emirate. Sources said the 46-year-old Ghazain was picked up from Dubai’s Dera area on the request of the Pakistan government which had lodged a formal complaint to the UAE government about the alleged involvement of Khair Bux’s son in arranging finances for terrorist activities.

Pakistan authorities said that Ghazain, “has been providing bread and butter” to all those conceiving, planning and executing acts of terrorism across Balochistan. The sources said it was not clear yet whether the Pakistan authorities were seeking his extradition or trying to cut a deal with him in order to bring an end to the present upheavals in Balochistan. “It is indeed a big breakthrough for the government,” said a source close to senior government circles.

However, Ghulam Mohammad, the Balochistan National Movement president, who is known for his close links with the Marris, said he was not aware about Ghazain’s detention or arrest in the UAE or anywhere else. Raziq Bugti, adviser to the Balochistan chief minister, also expressed ignorance about this matter.
The advisor to the chief minister is always the last to know.
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India-Pakistan
Pak: One Trooper Killed, Two Injured
2006-01-19
As President Pervez Musharraf appeared on state-controlled radio and television to condemn the activities of some Baloch tribal chiefs, one security man was killed and two injured badly in Kohlu the area where Nawab Khair Bux Marri dominates the society and at present is engaged with government forces in rocket firing and armed clashes. A soldier of the Frontier Corps was killed and his two colleagues were injured, sources said yesterday. "Militants had planted a land mine between Dera Bugti and Kohlu which was exploded with a remote control device killing a soldier," sources said.

Beside planting land mine on a road linking Dera Bugti with Kohlu where normally Frontier Corps men conduct day-and-night patrolling to weed out militants, a few rockets were also fired in Kahan where the FC has established its local headquarters in a fort. Former Chief Minister of Balochistan Akhtar Mengal claimed that so far more than 50 people have lost their lives in armed clashes with the security forces.
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India-Pakistan
US turns against Musharraf
2006-01-11
By Syed Saleem Shahzad

KARACHI - Pakistani President General Pervez Musharraf seized power in a military coup in 1999 and, as commander-in-chief of the armed forces, still in effect rules as a military dictator.

Musharraf's firm grip on the affairs of state has until now served Washington's interests well, as he has been able to steer the country into the US camp as an ally in the "war on terror".

However, with the Taliban nowhere near defeated in Afghanistan and Osama bin Laden and al-Qaeda still unbroken (the two major reasons that the US solicited Pakistan's assistance in the first place), the US is looking at its allies in Islamabad in a new light:

Musharraf may be more the problem than the solution.

An indication of how things have slipped in the region is news that Afghan President Hamid Karzai has openly called for a truce with Taliban leader Mullah Omar. This was not how events were supposed to play out.

According to sources close to the power corridors in Washington who spoke to Asia Times Online, the administration of US President George W Bush is now convinced that a weaker Pakistani army is as necessary now as a powerful one was when Islamabad did a U-turn on its support for the Taliban soon after September 11, 2001.

This realization has taken root over the past few months, and developments since last November have been enough to set alarm bells ringing among the military leadership of Pakistan.

Goings-on in Balochistan
Rebellious tribesmen in the restive but resource-rich province of Balochistan have for decades challenged the writ of the central government in Islamabad. The Baloch insurgents have traditionally received weapons via Kandahar in Afghanistan, and via sea smuggling routes.

The Pakistani army has engaged in a number of operations in Balochistan over the years, and the most recent is continuing. The involvement of the military is highly unpopular not only among Balochis, but also among many segments of Pakistani society.

What is new in Balochistan, and which is causing concern in Islamabad, is the emergence of two sons of insurgent tribal chief Nawab Khair Bux Muri as organizers of a strong financial network to fund the insurgency.

"The whole operation of financing the Baloch insurgency is directed from Qatar, although this is a very unlikely place. One of the sons of Khair Bux Muri - Gazn Muri - has been shuttling between Qatar and the UAE [United Arab Emirates] and is the main financial link between the insurgents in Balochistan, where command is in the hands of a brother, Balaach Muri," a top Pakistani security official told Asia Times Online.

"The real question, though, is not the transmission of money, but from where Gazn Muri is getting this kind of huge money. The answer lies in the activities of another brother, Harbayar Muri, who is based in London."

Although the official would not spell it out in as many words, he was questioning how Harbayar Muri could raise funds in Britain, where there is a negligible Balochi expatriate community. It was a clear hint at the involvement of Western intelligence agencies, which have strong centers of operations in Qatar-UAE and London.

Political maneuvering
The US is also making some backroom political moves in relation to Pakistan's interests in the region.

According to a contact who spoke to Asia Times Online, a person close to the US Central Intelligence Agency paid a low-profile visit to New Delhi in the third week of December and briefed strategic planners on Washington's plan to try to curtail the role of the Pakistani army, while at the same time renewing support for democratic forces in Pakistan.

India's cold shoulder on the diplomatic front toward Pakistan and a policy statement against the military operation in Balochistan was an immediate outcome. Islamabad promptly responded by accusing India of meddling in Balochistan, charges that Delhi strenuously denied.

The same person then visited Islamabad and held high-level meetings with political personalities. On his return to the US he stopped over in Dubai in the UAE and held detailed meetings with former Pakistani premier Benazir Bhutto, who lives there.

A sudden upsurge in the activities in Pakistan of the Alliance for the Restoration of Democracy - which Bhutto supports - followed.

Musharraf's mystique
The US first made contact with Musharraf in a meaningful way when he was still Corps Commander Mangla and he approached the Americans through a Pakistani mediator. Musharraf had no particular request, but the move was seen as "unusual and meaningful".

The US concluded first that he was ambitious and only wanted power, and that he had a flawed, "split" vision.

US officials noted that to build a constituency in the Pakistani Army, Musharraf embraced the Kashmir issue and enthusiastically supported the liberation movement there.

Last year's earthquake in Kashmir, in which the extensive jihadi influence in Pakistan-administered Kashmir was made clear (they played a significant part in relief operations), convinced the Americans that the Pakistani army would never back out from its strategic activities in Kashmir through supporting the armed struggle in the Indian-administered part of the Valley.

Musharraf, who derives much of his legitimacy from the army, simply cannot afford to abandon this cause. The militancy will continue.

In this regard, the US noted the ill-fated Pakistani army venture into Kargil in Kashmir in 1999, which was conceived by Musharraf shortly before he took power. Pakistan believed that India would respond to the aggression by going to the peace table, but instead it launched its troops in a full-out assault, quite ready to go to all-out war. Pakistan pulled back its troops from the ill-conceived operation.

On the domestic front, the Musharraf administration in essence facilitated the formation of the the six-party alliance, the Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal (MMA), which made impressive political gains in the general elections of 2002.

The aim was to scare the Americans by pointing to the emergence of Islamic fundamentalism in order to garner US support for Musharraf's uniform.

Similarly, the sweeping defeat of the MMA in local elections late last year amid widespread claims of fraud was to show the Americans that Musharraf had the ability to outwit fundamentalism. In this game, Musharraf's split vision does not allow him to visualize what kind of a message he is really passing on to Washington.

According to Asia Times Online information, Washington has now decided that the best outcome would be for a new man to replace Musharraf, 64, as chief of army staff, and at the same time to encourage liberal democratic forces to take over parliament.

As for Musharraf, the ideal way out for him is to become a civilian constitutional head of the country.
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India-Pakistan
Mazari asks Musharraf to hold talks with Bugti, Marri and Mengal
2006-01-06
Sardar Sherbaz Mazari has called upon President Gen Pervez Musharraf to invite rebellious tribal chiefs to talks to find a solution to the Balochistan problem. Mr Mazari, who along with his son Sher Ali Mazari played a major role in effecting a rapprochement between the government and Nawab Akbar Bugti following clashes in March last year, was talking to Daily Times at his DHA residence on Thursday. He said the Balochistan situation today had “some semblance” to the situation in 1971 that led to the break up of the country, and urged Gen Musharraf to reach out to the “rebellious ones”.

“I think the best way [for Musharraf] is to be more flexible and understanding and try to sort it out in a responsible manner. Gen Musharraf, who claims himself to be the president, must sort it out with understanding and sympathy,” said Mr Mazari, who is related to both Nawab Akbar Bugti and Nawab Khair Bux Marri, whom the government accuses of sponsoring acts of sabotage in Balochistan. Asked if he thought the Mengal, Marri and Bugti tribal chiefs would accept an invitation to talks, he said: “There are two or three sardars who really matter. They are Bugti, Marri and Mengal. Believe you me our culture is such that if someone treats them with respect and dignity and makes an offer, I am sure they can’t say no,” Mr Mazari said.
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India-Pakistan
Balochistan: second war of independence
2005-12-26
by B.Raman, Camp Bangalore

Apparently in reprisal for what has been projected as firing of rockets by unidentified elements at a helicopter carrying Maj. Gen. Shujaat Zamir Dar, the Inspector-General of the Frontier Corps, and at a public meeting addressed by President Pervez Musharraf at Kohlu during his visit to Balochistan last week, the Pakistan Army has launched since December 18, 2005, a military-cum-para-military operation in the Kohlu area of Balochistan, which is the stronghold of the Marri tribe.

2.The reprisal attacks have involved the use of at least three Brigades-strength of the Army and the Frontier Corps and about eight helicopters .At a time when the Pakistan Army has been complaining to the UN and the international community about the shortage of helicopters for quake relief in Pakistan-Occupied Kashmir (POK) and the North-West Frontier Province (NWFP), it has diverted eight of its own helicopters, which were being used for quake relief in the POK, to Balochistan for being armed and used as helicopter gunships. In addition to the use of helicopters, there have been at least two air strikes on suspected strongholds of the Marri tribe.

3. While details of the casualties suffered by the Marris are not yet available, reports from reliable sources in Quetta say that at least 60 members of the Marri tribe have been killed.

4. The members of the Marri, Mengal and Bugti tribes have been in the forefront of the revived indepedence struggle, which has been going on in Balochistan for nearly two years now. The first War of Independence of the Balochs launched immediately after the liberation of Bangladesh in 1971, was ruthlessly crushed by the late Zulfiquar Ali Bhutto, then in power, with the help of the Pakistan Army and the Air Force. The first War of Independence was fought largely by the Marri tribe led by Khair Bux Marri and the Mengal tribe led by Ataullah Khan Mengal. The Bugti tribe, led by Akbar Khan Bugti, did not join the first War of Independence.

5. Taking advantage of the lack of unity among the various tribes, the Pakistani Army and Air Force managed to crush the post-1971 uprising after killing hundreds of Baloch youth through air strikes. The survivors led by Khair Bux Marri and Ataullah Khan Mengal crossed over into Afghanistan and took shelter there. They returned to Pakistan after the overthrow of President Najibullah and the capture of power by the Afghan Mujahideen in April, 1992. The returnees gave up their uprising and returned to the national mainstream.

6.The civilian Governments headed by Benazir Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif made overtures to the Baloch nationalists and managed to persuade them to give up resort to violence, despite continuing differences between Islamabad and the Baloch nationalists over questions such as genuine political autonomy for Balochistan, larger allocation of central tax revenue and development funds for Balochistan and payment of inadequate royalty for the gas found in Balochistan and taken to Punjab to sustain its economy.

7. The return of the Army to power under the dictatorship of President-General Pervez Musharraf on October 12, 1999, led to a gradual deterioration of the situation in the province. Amongst the reasons for this were: the traditional grievances of the Balochs over the lack of political autonomy, inadequate royalty payment for gas and lack of economic development; the construction of the Gwadar port by the Army with Chinese assistance without the involvement of the Baloch people and their Government in Quetta in the decision-making relating to the port; the award of all major contracts relating to the construction of the port to companies based in Karachi and Lahore ; and the re-settlement of a large number of ex-servicemen from Punjab and other parts of Pakistan in the Gwadar and the surrounding areas on the Mekran coast in order to assure the security of the new port. The fact that Pakistan's nuclear-testing site was located at Chagai in Balochistan also aggravated the grievances due to fears of long-term environmental and health damage.

8. This led to an organisation calling itself the Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA) launching a second War of Independence. For the last two years, the province has been in a state of increasing ferment due to the revived independence struggle. The BLA has been successfully indulging in tactics such as attacks on gas pipelines, electricity transmission lines, posts of the Pakistan Army and the Frontier Corps etc.

9, In response to the growing instability in the province, Musharraf decided to create more cantonments in the province. This aggravated the feelings of anger of the Baloch nationalists, who saw this as the prelude to a determined military attempt to suppress them.

10. Whereas the first Baloch War of Independence was triggered off largely by political grievances, the second War of Independence has been triggered off by a mix of political, economic and social grievances. Since the construction of the Gwadar port with Chinese assistance has been one of the important causes of the current uprising, part of the Baloch anger is also turned against the Chinese, who are perceived as collaborating with the Pakistan Army in its attempts to subjugate the Balochs.

11. There were some incidents of violence such as explosions directed against the Chinese engineers and other personnel working in the Gwadar project. While there is reason to believe that these incidents were the work of the Uighur nationalists fighting for the independence of Xinjiang, the Pakistan Army projected them as due to the activities of the BLA. The Army allowed the Chinese intelligence to post its officers in Gwadar to ensure the security of its nationals. It also allowed the Chinese intelligence to open a monitoring station at Gwadar to collect technical intelligence about the movements and activities of the Uighur and Baloch naionalists. The TECHINT thus collected by the Chinese is shared with Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI).This has added to the anger of the nationalists against the Chinese, but they have not so far specifically targeted the Chinese.

12. The political situation in the province has been further complicated by the re-settlement of a large number of Taliban leaders and fighters and the leaders and members of Gulbuddin Heckmatyar's Hizbe Islami in the Pashtun majority areas of Balochistan and in Quetta by the ISI. The Taliban and the Hizbe Islami remnants operating from the Pashtun majority areas of Balochistan have been mainly active against the American and Afghan troops in Afghan territory. They do not pose any threat to the Pakistani Army.

13. For the last one year, the Pakistan Army has strengthened its military and para-military deployment in the province. In March last, it initially started a military operation in the Bugti area, where the gas production fields, which supply gas to the Punjab, are located. The operation ended in a stalemate resulting in what was described as a gentlemen's agreement between Nawab Akbar Khan Bugti, the leader of the tribe, and the Army to maintain peace and vacate each other's trenches.

14. Fearing that the launching of a full-scale military operation in Balochistan might result in an East Pakistan-like situation in the province, a group of pro-Musharraf political leaders headed by Chaudhry Shujjaat Hussain of the ruling Pakistan Muslim League (Qaide Azam) set up a parliamentary committee to enter into a dialogue with Bugti and reach a political compromise. This did not lead to any satisfactory compromise. While those negotiating on behalf of this committee were prepared to recommend to Musharraf to increase the royalty payments for the gas and to pay compensation to the Bugti tribe for the damages suffered by it in the military operation; they were not prepared to concede the demands relating to the Gwadar port.

15. Unlike during the first War of Independence when the lack of tribal unity enabled the Army to prevail, this time it has been confronted by a united front put up by all the three tribes. But the Army feels each tribe has joined the front for its own reasons----the Bugti tribe because of its interest in getting more royalty for the gas and the Marri and the Mengal tribes because of their feelings for independence and their resentment over the Gwadar port. The leaders of the three tribes do not seem to have worked out so far a common programme of action and a consensus on what they desire for Balochistan---greater autonomy or total independence.

16. In the meanwhile, a group of Baloch youths, who believe that their objective should not be anything short of independence, has constituted the BLA and taken up the fight in its hands. The Pakistan Army has launched a campaign to eradicate these youth fighting for independence. It is calculating that if it does so, the tribal elders would be more amenable to reason and reach a political compromise and give up their demands relating to Gwadar.

17. If the Baloch elders and youth are not alert to the machinations of Musharraf and fall into the Army trap to prevail over them once again through a policy of divide and rule, they will be repeating their historic blunder of the 1970s. They should draw inspiration from the Bangladesh struggle for independence and unite not only among themselves, but also with the Sindhi nationalists, the Shias of Gilgit and Baltistan and the people of the POK, who had seen how the Pakistan Army treated them as an expendable commodity after the recent quake in order to achieve their common objectives. Their strength will be in their unity. Disunity will be fatal.

18. The second Baloch War of Independence poses a moral dilemma for India. The Balochs had stood by Mahatma Gandhi and the Congress Party during the independence struggle against the British. They had opposed the partition of India and the creation of Pakistan. If India had to be partitioned, they would have preferred an independent Balochistan. The Balochs were the closest to Gandhi's heart.

19. Due to reasons of realpolitik, we let them down during their first War of Independence. The same realpolitik would dictate painful inaction by us now too. But that does not mean we should hesitate to draw the attention of the international community to the ruthless massacre of the Baloch nationalists by the Pakistan army. We owe our moral support to them. The struggle for an independent Balochistan is part of the unfinished agenda of the Partition.

(The writer is Additional Secretary (retd), Cabinet Secretariat, Govt. of India, and, presently, Director, Institute for Topical Studies, Chennai. E-mail: itschen36@gmail.com)
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India-Pakistan
Baluchi Leader Slams Army Blitz
2005-12-19
Karachi, 19 Dec. (AKI) - Nationalist leaders in Pakistan's rugged Baluchistan province insist that there is no separatist movement there but one may emerge if the Pakistani military continues its major offensive there. The Pakistani forces on Sunday night began raids against those involved in rocket attacks last week during a visit by president Pervez Musharraf. "There is no separatist movement in Baluchistan but if the so-called military operations continue, a genuine separatist movement will arise,” said Baluch nationalist leader Hasil Bazenjo told Adnkronos International (AKI).
Kind of like there were no terrorists in Iraq until Bush invaded?
Baluchistan, a south-western province that is rich in reserves of natural gas, has been rocked by violence for most of this year. Tribal groups there have been demanding more political autonomy and a greater share of the area's resources.

On 14 December rockets were fired near the paramilitary camp in Kohlu, a town about 220 kilometres east of the provincial capital Quetta. The attack occured as Pakistani president Pervez Musharraf was visiting the area to seek the support of local leaders to build a controversial dam. The separatist group known as the Baluch Liberation Amry claimed responsibility for that attack. A day later, a commander of the Frontier Corps was also injured when shots were fired at his helicopter.
Commanders really don't like being shot at, so....
Since Sunday, the Pakistani security forces, backed by helicopter gunships, have been carrying out a major operation against the tribal rebels in Baluchistan and there are unconfirmed reports of casualties.

Speaking to AKI, Bazenjo, the son of the former governor of Baluchistan province, the late Ghous Bux Bazinjo who was once regarded as the leader of the communist movement in Pakistan, alleged that there were no grounds for the raid conducted by the Pakistani military establishment. "The visit to Kohlu district was not on the schedule of president Musharraf. So why did he suddenly plan to visit Kohlu?" asked Bazenjo. "Secondly, when he visited Quetta, the entire city was sealed off. Why was there no security arrangements made in Kohlu district and why wasn't the area sealed like in Quetta?

"And last but not the least, what on earth brought Musharraf to a place like Kohlu to address a public meeting instead of holding congregations in any big city in Baluchistan province?” he said, in his interview with AKI.
"Who does he think he is, president of all Pakistan?"
Bazenjo also dismissed the reports that the commander of a paramilitary force in the area, had been injured the day after the Musharraf attacks, and argued that the federal security forces had begun targeting 'separatists' two weeks earlier. "The operation began almost 15 days before that incident in places like Qalat and Chaghai [in Baluchistan]," he said. "The government termed it a search operation against illegal weapons but the fact was that the army never landed on the ground. The helicopters only fired upon certain targets. What kind of a search was that?" Bazenjo said.
Sounds like part two of a "Search" and "Destroy" kind of search
"Now the operation has spread into four areas including Kohlu, Mohmand, Chaghai and Qalat," he added.

The Pakistani government has said that it is looking to arrest a member of the Baluchistan assembly, Nawabzada Balaach Marri, the son of nationalist leader Nawab Khair Bux Marri. Both father and son and the entire Marri tribe went into exile in Afghanistan after the government ruled by the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) conducted an operation in the mid-1970s against insurgents in the Baluchistan province. Balaach was educated in Moscow and the entire tribe only returned to Pakistan when the mujahadeen seized power in Kabul in the early 1990s.

"Is it rational to arrest a single person after the government conducted operations in all Baluch-speaking areas?" said Bazenjo.
Gotta start some place
"This government does not have any concrete base," said Bazinjo. "They created ghosts like Osama Bin Laden to terrify the West and secure support for their military dictatorships. The operation in Baluchistan is another ploy to appease the capitalist class of Punjab to muster support in order to prolong his [president Musharraf's] tenure in power" concluded Hasil Bazenjo.
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Afghanistan/South Asia
India monitoring Baluchistan festivities
2005-03-30
India is keeping a close watch on a dramatic spurt in violence in Pakistan's largest province of Balochistan, an area of strategic importance to Islamabad as well as Taliban remnants still active in neighbouring Afghanistan.

Policy makers and Pakistan watchers say while it may be an exaggeration to compare the insurgent activity in Balochistan with the events that led to East Pakistan's secession in 1970-71, the situation is serious and could trigger more turbulence in a region where the proposed Iran-India gas pipeline is to be located.

"While Pakistan has more than enough capability to deal with the problem in Balochistan militarily, the situation could certainly threaten the stability of the country, if not unity," G. Parthasarathy, a former envoy to Pakistan, told IANS.

"As far as India is concerned, the violence in Balochistan has serious implications for the proposed gas pipeline as it has to pass a couple of hundred kilometres through Balochistan. If they (Pakistan) cannot protect their own gas fields, how are they going to guarantee the security of the pipeline?"

With insurgent groups routinely carrying out attacks on gas and other state-run installations and Islamabad threatening a vicious crackdown (which some believe is already under way), allegations of a "foreign hand" are already being aired.

For once India, Pakistan's favourite whipping boy, is not the chief suspect. The needle of suspicion is directed at Iran, which along with Afghanistan shares a border with Balochistan and is now in the US line of fire over its nuclear programme. Tehran denies any involvement in the steadily escalating violence.

Balochistan, one of Pakistan's four provinces, the others being Punjab, Sindh and North West Frontier Province, accounts for 43 percent of Pakistan's land area but just six percent of the population. It is a mineral rich, feudal region where tribal chieftains, called Sardars, still hold sway, maintaining private armies to back up their clout. It is also the poorest of Pakistani provinces and saw insurgency and counter-insurgency in the 1970s, claiming hundreds of lives.

The latest violence has been blamed on three militant groups: Baloch National Army, Baloch Liberation Army and People's Liberation Army. Of this, the Baloch Liberation Army is reportedly the strongest. All three are linked to Sardars known as Baloch nationalists. Their strength is not known but Pakistani media has reported their number could run into hundreds. Weapons possessed by the groups range from the ubiquitous assault rifles to rocket launchers.

Violence last year reportedly claimed some 650 lives, including that of nearly 30 security personnel and three Chinese engineers. But the clashes have shown a sharp upswing this year. The immediate trigger was the Jan 2 gang rape of a local doctor, the culprits being a Pakistan Army captain and three soldiers.

The incident set aflame passions in a region where large numbers have over the years passionately believed that Islamabad discriminates against Balochistan in favour of the dominant Punjab. The central government in turn accuses a few but influential Baloch leaders of trying to preserve their fiefdoms by levelling reckless allegations against the Punjabi-dominated establishment despite rising Pakistani investment in the province, including building of new cantonments and highways. Baloch leaders say the benefits accruing from most new projects invariably go to outsiders, particularly Punjabis.

Whatever the truth, since the start of this year, militants have stepped up attacks on state-run installations, inflicting heavy losses on the economy. Their activities have affected gas supplies to the rest of Pakistan. The main trouble spots have been Sui, Pirokh and Loti. Violence has also been reported from the coastal town of Gawadar, where a new port is under construction. A clash between Pakistani security forces and militants on March 17 left some 60 people dead, including an undetermined number of Hindus.

Pakistani parliamentarian Sherry Rehman has described the situation in Balochistan as "alarming". One Baloch leader, Nawab Khair Bux, has openly advocated armed struggle. Another, Nawab Akbar Bugti, is calling natural resources in Balochistan as "Baloch assets", not national assets.

Pakistan cannot afford to let the violence continue. For one, it is a province where Al Qaeda's elusive chief Osama bin Laden is known to come and go, thanks to its porous border with Afghanistan and because of Islamabad's tenuous control over large tracts. The killings and disaffection can only strengthen bin Laden's hands. Secondly, the unrest will put a question mark on Islamabad's ability to deliver gas from Iran to India, a project vital for its own economy. Third, some Baloch politicians are defiantly threatening to accept help from foreign countries including India.

With the A.Q. Khan scandal and the unresolved Kashmir dispute still plaguing him, President Pervez Musharraf cannot afford to let Balochistan burn.
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