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Home Front: WoT
Trump Administration Using Spy Satellites To Monitor Southern Border
2025-03-30
[ZeroHedge] The Trump administration ordered two Pentagon intelligence agencies—the NGA and NRO—to use spy satellites to monitor the U.S.-Mexico border in a broader effort to curb illegal immigration and drug trafficking., according to Reuters.

The involvement of spy agencies and troop deployments highlights the growing militarization of the southern border, where Trump declared a national emergency.

Though the extent of satellite surveillance over U.S. territory remains unclear, the NGA confirmed forming a task force for the border mission, while the NRO said it was working with the Pentagon and intelligence community to secure the border.

The Reuters report says that their role stems from Trump’s executive orders targeting illegal crossings, trafficking, and the deportation of up to 14 million undocumented immigrants.

Trump, who made immigration central to his 2016 campaign, is now expanding the use of military tools—originally designed for foreign conflict—to the U.S.-Mexico border.

While AI and drones have long been used for border surveillance, the new initiative taps battlefield-grade capabilities. AI could scan satellite imagery for people or objects of interest, sources said, much like it does overseas.

Though the full scope remains unclear, experts warned the administration must address legal limits on domestic surveillance. U.S. law bars spy agencies from targeting citizens, but immigration officials can operate within 100 miles of the border.

“If they follow the law, these agencies should only collect on the other side of the border in foreign territory,” said national security lawyer Paul Rosenzweig. “But how they implement that, and if they do, are legitimate oversight questions.”

An intelligence official insisted all surveillance is “legal and authorized” and respects Americans’ privacy. The NGA and NRO declined to detail their border operations, citing security concerns. The CIA, sources said, has no role in domestic enforcement: “Once foreign criminals are inside the United States, they are not within the purview of the CIA.”

Trump has elevated border security to a top national intelligence priority, channeling more resources to it. A recent U.S. intelligence report placed transnational crime above threats from Iran or North Korea.

Meanwhile, the National Security Council is reportedly receiving daily briefings on immigration arrests, including minors.
Related:
U.S.-Mexico border 02/24/2025 Trump directs ICE to track down 'hundreds of thousands' of migrant children who came to US without their parents
U.S.-Mexico border 02/11/2025 Migrants turning around and heading back home in ‘new trend' under Trump border crackdown
U.S.-Mexico border 01/24/2025 Progress on Hughes fire but new wild fires start

Link


Israel-Palestine-Jordan
Israeli Officials Are Upset Over Signal War Plans Leak: Report
2025-03-29
[MSN] Israeli officials are reportedly upset over the public disclosure of a highly sensitive conversation between Trump administration officials about military strikes against Houthi targets in Yemen.

Why It Matters
The conversation, which took place in a Signal group chat, became public after The Atlantic's editor-in-chief, Jeffrey Goldberg, reported that he was inadvertently invited to the chat by a user identified as Michael Waltz, President Donald Trump's national security adviser.

What To Know
The Wall Street Journal reported that Israel is frustrated over the leak because Israeli officials supplied sensitive intelligence about a Houthi target who was discussed in the Signal conversation. The intelligence came from a source in Yemen, where the strikes were carried out.

Brian Hughes, a spokesperson for the National Security Council, confirmed that the messages Goldberg reported on and which The Atlantic published screenshots of "appear to be authentic."

When asked about The Wall Street Journal's reporting, Hughes reiterated statements from the White House and Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, saying, "No classified information was included in the thread."

Hughes added, "The messages have no locations, no sources and methods, and no war plans. Foreign partners had already been notified strikes were imminent."

According to screenshots of the thread that The Atlantic published, Waltz discussed specifics about a top Houthi "missile guy" targeted in the operation, writing after the strikes that "we had positive ID of him walking into his girlfriend's building and it is now collapsed."

Hegseth, meanwhile, gave a play-by-play breakdown of the operational details before the strikes were launched, including weapons systems that would be used, details about a human target and precise attack sequencing.

"We are currently clean on OPSEC," he wrote on Signal. OPSEC refers to operational security.

In addition to Waltz, Hegseth and Goldberg, the group chat included Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, CIA Director John Ratcliffe, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard and other senior national security and White House officials.

President Donald Trump has publicly backed his administration and accused the media of going on a "witch hunt" in connection to the controversy. He, Hegseth, Waltz and other officials have also attacked Goldberg's credibility.

On Wednesday, when asked if there was any classified information in the Signal group chat, Trump told reporters that he didn't know.

"I don't know," he said. "I'm not sure. You have to ask the various people involved. I really don't know."

Rubio acknowledged the blunder over the message chain, telling reporters: "Obviously, someone made a mistake. Someone made a big mistake and added a journalist. Nothing against journalists, but you're not supposed to be on that thing."

What People Are Saying
Attorney General Pam Bondi commented on the Signal leak on Thursday, telling reporters: "It was sensitive information, not classified, and inadvertently released. And what we should be talking about is it was a very successful mission. Our world is now safer because of that mission."

Bondi also weighed in on whether administration officials will continue using Signal to conduct high-level discussions, telling Fox News' Laura Ingraham: "I think Signal's a very safe way to communicate. I don't think foreign adversaries are able to hack Signal, as far as I know."

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt wrote on X: "The Atlantic has conceded: these were NOT 'war plans.' This entire story was another hoax written by a Trump-hater who is well-known for his sensationalist spin."

Goldberg dismissed Leavitt's commentary, telling MSNBC on Wednesday: "I don't even know what that means. I mean, the plain language in the text is—what are they arguing? That an attack is different than a war?"

What Happens Next
Waltz said the administration, including SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, is investigating how Goldberg came to be included in the group chat in the first place. Trump also told reporters he wouldn't be opposed to an inspector general investigation into the breach.
Related:
Signal 03/28/2025 WSJ: Israel provided intel for US strike on Houthi official mentioned in Signal chat
Signal 03/28/2025 Passwords, other info from top Trump officials in Signal leak found floating online; lefty NPR head on Signal board; what happened to Waltz’s Venmo security?
Signal 03/27/2025 Current information on the situation on the front line on March 26 (updated)

Link


Home Front: WoT
Video: Hegseth blasts Atlantic article: 'Nobody was texting war plans'
2025-03-25
[FoxNews] Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth attempts to set the record straight on the Atlantic article.

Secretary Hegseth was responding to this story:
US cabinet officials accidentally add journalist to group chat, share war plans

[IsraelTimes] Trump adviser Mike Waltz inexplicably includes The Atlantic editor Jeffrey Goldberg in encrypted messaging chat to plan bombing campaign against Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen

Trump administration officials earlier this month accidentally added the editor of The Atlantic magazine to an encrypted group chat, in which they discussed highly sensitive plans for the military to strike Iranian-backed Iran's Houthi sock puppets
...a Zaidi Shia insurgent group operating in Yemen. They have also been referred to as the Believing Youth. Hussein Badreddin al-Houthi is said to be the spiritual leader of the group and most of the military leaders are his relatives. The legitimate Yemeni government has accused the them of having ties to the Iranian government. Honest they did. The group has managed to gain control over all of Saada Governorate and parts of Amran, Al Jawf and Hajjah Governorates. Its slogan is God is Great, Death to America™, Death to Israel, a curse on the Jews They like shooting off... ummm... missiles that they would have us believe they make at home in their basements. On the plus side, they did murder Ali Abdullah Saleh, which was the only way the country was ever going to be rid of him...
rebels in Yemen
...an area of the Arabian Peninsula sometimes mistaken for a country. It is populated by more antagonistic tribes and factions than you can keep track of...
The incident was made public on Monday, in an article by Jeffrey Goldberg, who was included in the chat. The US National Security Council confirmed the messages appeared to be authentic, and said it was investigating how Goldberg was inadvertently added.

The group, on the Signal messaging app, included Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio
...The diminutive 13-year-old Republican U.S. Senator from Florida, Secretary of State in the second Trump administration...
, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, Intelligence Director Tulsi Gabbard, Mideast envoy Steve Witkoff, and 12 other officials.

US President Donald Trump
...His ancestors didn't own any slaves...
, asked Monday about the story, was apparently unfamiliar with it, and said he was "not a big fan of The Atlantic," and that the leak must not have caused problems, because the attacks were successful.

The officials used the chat — to which Goldberg was added, for reasons unclear, on March 13 — to debate the merits of striking the Houthis and how to present the attacks to the public.

Hegseth, according to the texts, was worried that Israel would hit the Houthis first.

As part of the chat, Goldberg received, some two hours before the bombing began on March 15, a "plan [that] included precise information about weapons packages, targets, and timing."

That post, sent to the group by Hegseth at 11:44 a.m., "contained operational details of forthcoming strikes on Yemen, including information about targets, weapons the US would be deploying, and attack sequencing," Goldberg wrote.

The plans were sent to the group following a lengthy discussion between the vice president, the defense secretary, and a user identified as "S M" — presumably Trump confidant Stephen Miller — in which Vance complained about "bailing Europa
...the land mass occupying the space between the English Channel and the Urals, also known as Moslem Lebensraum...
out again" and insisted that "messaging [be] tight" and that risks to Saudi oil facilities be mitigated.

They were followed up with confirmation that the strikes had been successful, and a series of congratulatory messages, and celebratory emojis, from the various cabinet officials.

On Sunday, Goldberg exited the group, triggering a notice to the group’s creator, Waltz. No one from the group reached out to him about the situation, however, and it was not until he emailed Waltz and sent him a message on Signal that NSC Spokesman Brian Hughes reached out to Goldberg to confirm the veracity of the chat.

"This appears to be an authentic message chain, and we are reviewing how an inadvertent number was added to the chain," Hughes wrote.

"The thread is a demonstration of the deep and thoughtful policy coordination between bigwigs. The ongoing success of the Houthi operation demonstrates that there were no threats to troops or national security," he added.

National security lawyers interviewed by The Atlantic said that sharing classified information over Signal — a commercial messaging app known for its encryption, and, according to the magazine, used by national security officials for lower-level purposes such as scheduling — was unheard of and potentially illegal.

In addition, Waltz set some of the messages to disappear after one week, and others to disappear after four, raising questions about whether the messages were records that the government is obligated to preserve.

The US launched military strikes against Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthis on March 15 over the group’s attacks against Red Sea shipping, and have continued Arclight airstrike
...KABOOM!...
s against the group in the weeks since, as the Houthis have claimed to fire at American warships.
Breitbart points out:
Goldberg is the journalist who published a hoax story claiming Trump called slain U.S. veterans “suckers” and “losers.”
Related:
The Atlantic 02/28/2025 Mark Steyn: The Plot Thickens
The Atlantic 01/29/2025 Reason #3,847 No One Watches MSNBC: Holocaust Edition
The Atlantic 01/11/2025 The structure of the US 'industrial-censorship complex'

Link


Israel-Palestine-Jordan
Aiming to stymie Trump’s ‘Riviera’ vision, Arab leaders endorse $53 billion Gaza plan
2025-03-05
They’re all delusional.
[IsraelTimes] Egypt’s Sissi presents proposal that would see Gazans remain in Strip during 5-year reconstruction, but avoids difficult questions on Hamas, which US says cannot remain in power
They’re completely missing the point: even if not in power, if allowed to stay in situ the community will do it all again. But then, Egypt has persuaded itself that they won the Yom Kippur War in 1973.
Arab leaders adopted an Egyptian reconstruction plan for Gazoo
...Hellhole adjunct to Israel and Egypt's Sinai Peninsula, inhabited by Gazooks. The place was acquired in the wake of the 1967 War and then presented to Paleostinian control in 2006 by Ariel Sharon, who had entered his dotage. It is currently ruled with a rusty iron fist by Hamas with about the living conditions you'd expect. It periodically attacks the Hated Zionist Entity whenever Iran needs a ruckus created or the hard boyz get bored, getting thumped by the IDF in return. The ruling turbans then wave the bloody shirt and holler loudly about oppression and disproportionate response...
on Tuesday that would cost $53 billion and avoid displacing Paleostinians from the enclave, in contrast to US President Donald Trump
...dictatorial for repealing some (but not all) of the diktats of his predecessor, misogynistic because he likes pretty girls, homophobic because he doesn't think gender bending should be mandatory, truly a man for all seasons...
’s "Middle East Riviera" vision.

Egyptian president Abdel-Fattah al-Sissi said the proposal, welcomed in subsequent statements by Hamas
..not a terrorist organization, even though it kidnaps people, holds hostages, and tries to negotiate by executing them,...
and criticized by Israel, had been accepted at the closing of a summit he hosted in Cairo.
Only Israel’s opinion matters… And President Trump’s.
Sissi said at the summit that he was certain Trump would be able to achieve peace in the conflict that has devastated the Gaza Strip.

However,
there's more than one way to stuff a chicken...
the agreement did not address the major questions that need to be answered about Gaza’s future regarding the role of Hamas
…none…
and which countries will provide the billions of dollars needed for reconstruction.

Sissi stressed that his country’s reconstruction plan would allow Paleostinians to remain in the war-torn territory.
No running water, no electricity, no sewer system, very few livable buildings — but lots of rubble, asbestos dust, unstable tunnel remnants, leaking poo ponds, and Hamas warehouses stuffed to the rafters with necessities hoarded away from the population. Why does President al-Sisi want the Gazans to suffer in the midst of squalor instead of letting them escape into the world where they can find jobs and healthy, comfortable places to live?
He said that independent Paleostinian technocrats unaffiliated with Hamas would run the Strip after an end to the war.
Israel also refuses to allow anyone related to the Palestinian Authority — which is just the old PLO with a pretty figleaf covering — to run Gaza. How many Gazan unicorns exist who are aligned with neither the PLO nor Hamas?
The committee would be responsible for the oversight of humanitarian aid and managing the Strip’s affairs for a temporary period, in preparation for the return of the Paleostinian Authority, he said.

In a statement, Hamas said it welcomed the plan as well as the formation of the Paleostinian committee.
Uh huh.
FUTURE OF HAMAS
There appeared to be divisions among participants over the future of Hamas, which sparked the war with the October 7, 2023 onslaught on southern Israel that killed some 1,200 people and took another 251 hostages.

The UAE, which sees Hamas and other Islamists as an existential threat, wants an immediate and complete disarmament of the terror group, while other Arab countries advocate a gradual approach, a source close to the matter told Rooters.
No gradualism. No Hamsniks. Let them move to Qatar or Turkey, somewhere far from Gaza.
A source close to Saudi Arabia
...a kingdom taking up the bulk of the Arabian peninsula, largely made up of sand and oil rigs. Its primary economic activity involves exporting oil and soaking Islamic rubes on the annual haj pilgrimage. The country supports a large number of princes in whatcha might call princely splendor. Formerly dictatorial and steeped in Olde Tyme Religion, deferring to Salafist holy men on all issues, it has now done a 180 and is making a serious effort to modernize, so as not to be left in the sand by its Gulf Arab neighbors. The holy men have been shoved to the background and the nation is now still dictatorial but somewhat rational. That doesn't make them trustworthy, but it's a start...
’s royal court said the continued armed presence of Hamas in Gaza was a stumbling block because of strong objections from the United States and Israel, which would need to sign off on any plan.
Such perspicacity.
"President Trump has been clear that Hamas cannot continue to govern Gaza," White House National Security Council front man Brian Hughes said Tuesday in response to Arab leaders’ endorsement of the Egyptian plan. "While the president stands by his bold vision for a post-war Gaza, he welcomes input from our Arab partners in the region. It’s clear his proposals have driven the region to come to the table rather than allow this issue to devolve into further crisis."

Israel’s Foreign Ministry said the Egyptian plan "fails to address the realities of the situation."

"It is noteworthy that Hamas’s vicious terror assault isn’t mentioned, and there isn’t even a condemnation of this murderous terrorist entity, despite the documented atrocities," the statement said.
Precisely.
It reiterated Israel’s support for Trump’s plan to resettle Gaza’s population elsewhere, describing it as "an opportunity for the Gazooks to have free choice based on their free will," a day after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu again gave his full-throated backing to the proposal, calling it "visionary and innovative."

The Foreign Ministry statement also urged responsible regional states to "break free from past constraints and collaborate to create a future of stability and security in the region."

Egypt’s Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty blasted Israel’s rejection as "unacceptable," describing its position as "stubborn and bad boy."
Too damned bad. This is what losing the war you started looks like.
"There will be no peace neither to Israel or to the region" without establishing an independent Paleostinian state in accordance with United Nations
...a lucrative dumping ground for the relatives of dictators and party hacks...
resolutions, he said.
War it is, then. Egypt must be looking forward to being Lebanon in the next round.
He said "Israel violates all international law rules ... the international law must be imposed."
Some key elements were missing in the Egyptian education, if the Egyptian foreign minister is so deluded,
"No single state should be allowed to impose its will on the international community," Abdelatty said.
Go back and try again, dude your excellency. Joe Biden no longer lives in the White House. And if you don’t live up to your treaty obligations, America will summarily cut you off.
Paleostinians, along with the Arab world and many allies of Israel and the US, have condemned Trump’s proposal, rejecting any efforts to expel Gazooks.
That’s nice.
’PRESERVING THE HORIZON OF A TWO-STATE SOLUTION’
There’s the other fundamental error.
At Tuesday’s meeting, Sissi also reissued a call for a two-state solution.
No.
"There will be no true peace without the establishment of the Paleostinian state," Sissi said during Tuesday’s meeting. "It’s time to adopt the launching of a serious and effective political path that leads to a permanent and lasting solution to the Paleostinian cause according to the resolutions of international legitimacy."
So sorry, but the Palestinians in general have missed the boat, and then the Gazans holed it and burnt the sunken hulk.
The Egyptian plan, called "Early Recovery, Reconstruction, Development of Gaza," is based on "preserving the rights, dignity and humanity of the Paleostinian people, and on the horizon of a two-state solution."
The Palestinian state at this point is far beyond the event horizon by dint of their own efforts, both in Gaza, where they are still holding captives in inhumane conditions, and in the West Bank, where they are busily doing Hamas’s (and Iran’s bidding.
The Egyptian proposal says it is "illogical" to ignore Paleostinians’ desire to remain on their land.
Oh well. Anyway…
It also calls for the continuation of the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, and the release of Israeli hostages and Paleostinian prisoners.

The Egyptian document, reviewed by The Times of Israel, envisions a Gaza Administration Committee, made up of independent technocrats, to manage an initial six-month transitional phase. It also urges elections in all Paleostinian areas within a year, if conditions support such a move.
And now the Handwavium:
Using colorful AI images, it envisages a series of modern living spaces, agricultural zones, commercial centers and government complexes throughout the Strip. An airport and seaport would also be constructed, according to Egypt’s plan, which would continue until 2030.

The emir of Qatar
...an emirate on the east coast of the Arabian Peninsula. It sits on some really productive gas and oil deposits, which produces the highest per capita income in the world. They piss it all away on religion, financing the Moslem Brotherhood and several al-Qaeda affiliates. Home of nutbag holy manYusuf al-Qaradawi...
, Bahrain’s king, the vice president of the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia’s foreign minister attended the Cairo confab, as did UN Secretary-General António Guterres.

Any reconstruction funding would require heavy buy-in from oil-rich Gulf Arab states such as the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia, which have the billions of dollars needed. Egypt estimated the plan would cost US$ 53 billion.

PA Prime Minister Mohammed Mustafa said the reconstruction fund would seek international financing as well as oversight and likely be located in the World Bank.

In a speech at the summit, Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan said international guarantees were needed that the current temporary ceasefire would remain in place, and supported the PA’s role in governing the strip.
Israel will not accept the PA. Try again with something else.
Leaders of the UAE and Qatar did not speak during open sessions of the summit.

Guterres said he fully supported the Egyptian plan.

"I welcome and strongly endorse the Arab-led initiative to mobilize support for Gaza’s reconstruction, clearly expressed in this summit," he said. "The UN stands ready to fully cooperate in this endeavor."

Paleostinian Authority President the ineffectual Mahmoud Abbas
...aka Abu Mazen, a graduate of the prestigious unaccredited Patrice Lumumba University in Moscow with a doctorate in Holocaust Denial. While no Yasser Arafat, he has his own brand of evil, just a little more lowercase....>
, also in attendance, said he too welcomed the plan. The 89-year-old — who has been ruling since winning the last Paleostinian national elections in 2005 — said he is ready to hold presidential and parliamentary elections if circumstances allow, asserting that the PA is the only legitimate governing and military force in the West Bank and Gaza.
Wrong. The PA is not a legitimate governing force in either the West Bank or Gaza.
Abbas has repeatedly promised to hold elections and then backtracked over the years.
And that’s why. If the long-overdue elections were ever actually held, Hamas would win in the West Bank, no matter what happened in Gaza.
Trump triggered surprise and indignation when he first floated his idea last month for the United States to "take over" the Gaza Strip and turn it into the "Riviera of the Middle East" while forcing its Paleostinian residents to relocate to Egypt, Jordan and elsewhere.

Trump has since appeared to soften his stance, saying he was "not forcing" the plan, which experts have said could violate international law.

Netanyahu has embraced the Trump plan, however, saying that Israel is "committed" to it. Working groups have begun fleshing out the plan, Israeli officials told The Times of Israel.

HAMAS WON’T LET ’EXTERNAL FORCES’ DETERMINE GAZA’S FUTURE
Hamas front man Hazem Qassem said Tuesday that the terror group will only accept an Arab-led plan for postwar reconstruction of Gaza that wins the support of Paleostinians in the enclave, rejecting "external forces" determining the future of the Strip.

"Our position is clear, any plans for Gaza’s future... must be reached through national consensus, and we will facilitate the process," Qassem told Ottoman Turkish news outlet Anadolu.

Earlier, leading Hamas figure Sami Abu Zuhri
...a senior spokesman for Hamas. Zuhri gained notoriety in 2006 when he dropped his money belt containing somewhere between 640,000 and 900,000 euros, which was confiscated by Paleostinian security and customs officials at a routine border crossing from Egypt to Gaza. The news brought competing Hamas and Fatah forces to the crossing checkpoint for an epic face-making and hollering contest...
said the terror group would not disarm, and nor would other armed Paleostinian organizations. "Any talk about the resistance’s weapons is nonsense. The resistance’s weapons are a red line for Hamas and all resistance factions," Abu Zuhri said, speaking in the context of potential negotiations to end the current ceasefire.
And there it is.
AMBITIOUS FRAMEWORK, MISSING KEY SPECIFICS
The Egyptian plan doesn’t explain what Hamas’s fate would be, or how to prevent the terror group from intimidating officials or firing rockets at Israel.
Back to the drawing board.
It does call for Egypt and Jordan to train Paleostinian police, and a draft version encouraged the examination of an international force in the West Bank and Gaza.
That’s a detail, not the framework.
In the medium term, Israel and the Paleostinian Authority would negotiate final status issues.
No.
The early recovery phase would last six months and cost $3 billion, followed by a five-year reconstruction phase at a cost of $53 billion.

The plan takes its inspiration from the reconstruction of Hiroshima and Berlin, cities devastated by Allied attacks in World War II. They are now thriving, modern cities.
Before they were rebuilt, the countries had to surrender completely, disarm, and be de-Nazified for the Germans and the emperor lost his sacred status for Japan. Where is that in this plan?
Despite lacking solutions to fundamental challenges like Hamas’s role, the ambitious plan is concerned with issues like walkability, green buildings and smart cities.

It also doesn’t leave the Mediterranean resorts only to Trump’s plan. The Egyptian program also calls for resorts and tourist villages on the beach.

It plans for 120 hospitals and clinics to be constructed across the Strip.

The Cairo summit is taking place as Israel and Hamas find themselves at an impasse over the future of a fragile hostage-ceasefire deal that began on January 19.

The ceasefire’s first phase saw 33 Israeli hostages released, eight of them dead, in exchange for nearly 2,000 Paleostinian prisoners, including many convicted bully boyz serving hefty jail sentences. Five Thai nationals held hostage in the Gaza Strip were freed separately during that period.

While Israel said it backed an extension of the first phase until mid-April — including the release of the remaining 59 hostages in two batches toward the beginning and end of the Ramadan and Passover holidays that run through March and until April 19 — Hamas has accused Israel of violating the original deal and has insisted on continuing to the second stage.

Netanyahu on Monday warned Hamas that "there will be consequences that you cannot imagine" if the hostages still held by bully boyz were not released.

A senior Hamas official, Osama Hamdan, accused Israel of actively sabotaging the ceasefire, calling its push for an extension "a blatant attempt to... avoid entering into negotiations for the second phase."

Update at 11:30 a.m.ET: the full text of the proposal can be read here.
Link


Home Front: WoT
Trump admin promises to be ‘ruthlessly aggressive' in response to suspected cartel killing of US citizen
2025-03-04
[FoxNews] In response to the killing of an elderly South Texas rancher and U.S. citizen by a suspected cartel explosive, the Trump administration is promising to continue being "ruthlessly aggressive" in responding to cartel threats to Americans.

After 74-year-old U.S. citizen Antonio Céspedes Saldierna was killed in the blast, National Security Council spokesperson Brian Hughes told Fox News Digital that the administration will be relentless in working to fully secure the border.

He said that President Donald Trump’s recent designation of eight cartels – including MS-13, Venezuelan criminal group Tren de Aragua and several Mexican cartels – as foreign terrorist organizations, "makes clear his intention to treat violent cartel members exactly as they should be treated – as terrorists."

Hughes did not offer any specifics on whether the administration is considering a military response to the suspected cartel killing but noted that the "administration has proven to be ruthlessly aggressive in pursuing criminal gangs that threaten our homeland."

He said that "President Trump will stop at nothing to secure our border, protect our communities, and dismantle terrorist organizations."

As reported by local outlet KRGV-TV on Tuesday, Saldierna was driving in his truck about two hours south of the border in the Mexican state of Tamaulipas when he drove over an IED which exploded, taking his life.

His death comes after weeks of growing concerns among border leaders about an increase in cartel violence and activity just south of the U.S. border.

On Jan. 27, U.S. Border Patrol agents took fire from cartel members near Fronton, Texas.
Link


Israel-Palestine-Jordan
Washington Post: US intelligence sees Israel as likely to attack Iran by midyear, could hit Fordo and Natanz
2025-02-13
[IsraelTimes] US intelligence warns that Israel is likely to launch a preemptive attack on Iran’s nuclear program by midyear, the Washington Post reports, citing multiple intelligence reports.

The Washington Post report comes hours after the Wall Street Journal reported similar findings.

Such an attack would set back Iran’s nuclear program by weeks or months while escalating tension in the region and risking a wider conflict, according to multiple intelligence reports from the end of the Biden administration and start of the Trump administration, the newspaper reports.

Reuters could not immediately confirm the report. The White House declined to comment. The Post says the Israeli government, CIA, Defense Intelligence Agency and Office of the Director of National Intelligence declined to comment.

Brian Hughes, a spokesman for the White House National Security Council, tells the Post that US President Donald Trump “will not permit Iran to get a nuclear weapon.”

“While he prefers negotiating a resolution to American’s long-standing issues with the Iranian regime peacefully, he will not wait indefinitely if Iran isn’t willing to deal, and soon,” Hughes tells The Post.

The most comprehensive of the intelligence reports came in early January and was produced by the intelligence directorate of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and the Defense Intelligence Agency, the Post says.

It warns that Israel was likely to attempt an attack on Iran’s Fordo and Natanz nuclear facilities.

Current and former US officials familiar with the intelligence said Israel has determined its bombing of Iran in October in retaliation for a ballistic missile attack, degraded Iran’s air defenses and left the country exposed to a follow-on assault, says the Post, which did not name the officials.
The Wall Street Journal report:
An intelligence analysis produced during US president Joe Biden’s final month in office concluded that Israel is weighing major strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities this year, with Jerusalem seeking to press its advantage against Tehran after the latter’s recent setbacks, according to a report in the Wall Street Journal.

Citing officials familiar with the analysis, the newspaper says US intelligence agencies produced another report in the initial days of the Trump administration that reached the same conclusion.

Two of the US officials say that the analysis also concluded that Israel believes US President Donald Trump is more likely than Biden to join in such strikes — which according to American military officials would likely require US support and armaments — and fears it has a narrowing window to prevent Iran’s development of an atomic bomb.
Link


-Signs, Portents, and the Weather-
Rain in South California; helps with wildfire control, raises other issues
2025-01-27
[NPR] As much needed rain falls across Los Angeles and Ventura Counties and gives firefighters relief from ongoing wildfires, officials are warning residents of hazardous waste, toxic ash runoff and mudslides.

The National Weather Service has issued a flood watch beginning at 4:00 p.m. PDT on Sunday through 4:00 p.m. PDT Monday that includes areas scorched by the fires known as "burn scars."

Firefighters have made progress on the fires, with the Palisade Fire 87% contained, the Eaton Fire 95% contained and the Hughes Fire, which broke out on Wednesday morning, 92% contained.
-------------
one wildfire in San Diego is only 10% contained but that will change tomorrow; rain may lead to flow of toxic substances
Related:
Wildfire 01/25/2025 Compton Cowboys step up during Los Angeles wildfires to rescue endangered horses
Wildfire 01/25/2025 California Poll: LA Mayor's Approval Rating Plummets
Wildfire 01/25/2025 Pete Hegseth Confirmed as Defense Secretary

Link


Syria-Lebanon-Iran
IDF warns Lebanese against return to border villages as it prepares to extend stay
2025-01-26
[IsraelTimes] France’s Macron says working to maintain truce after Jerusalem says forces will remain in south beyond 60-day deadline due to Lebanese army not yet fully deploying

The Israeli army on Saturday warned residents of dozens of Lebanese villages near the border against returning until further notice, a day after Israel said its forces would remain in south Leb
...The Leb civil war, between 1975 and 1990, lasted a little over 145 years and produced 120,000 fatalities. The average length of a ceasefire was measured in seconds. Only one of those statements is an exaggeration....
beyond the Sunday deadline for their departure.

Listing the villages that cannot be entered alongside a map, IDF Arabic-language front man Avichay Adraee said: "The IDF does not intend to target you and therefore at this stage you are prohibited from returning to your homes from this line south until further notice. Anyone who moves south of this line — exposes himself to danger."

The line on the map stretches from Shebaa, less than 2 kilometers (1.5 miles) from the border in the east, to Mansouri in the west — about 10 kilometers (6 miles) from the border.

A ceasefire signed in late November that ended the 2023-2024 war between Hezbollah and Israel stipulated that Israeli forces should withdraw as the Iran-backed terror group’s weapons and fighters are removed from the south and the Lebanese army deploys. The deal, brokered by Washington and Gay Paree, set a 60-day period which ends on Sunday.

But Israel said on Friday the terms had not been fully enforced by the Lebanese state, meaning Israeli troops would stay beyond Sunday, without saying for how long.

Lebanon’s US-backed military on Saturday accused Israel of procrastinating in its withdrawal.

The ceasefire ended more than a year of hostilities that began when the Lebanese terror group started attacking Israel a day after Hamas
..not a terrorist organization, even though it kidnaps people, holds hostages, and tries to negotiate by executing them,...
’s deadly assault on the country on October 7, 2023. Incessant attacks continued until Israel launched a major campaign in Lebanon in September 2024, killing most of Hezbollah’s top leadership and crippling much of its capabilities.

The conflict uprooted tens of thousands in northern Israel and more than a million people in Lebanon.

The Israeli military says it has been seizing Hezbollah weapons and dismantling its infrastructure in south Lebanon amid the ceasefire.

The White House said on Friday that a short, temporary ceasefire extension was urgently needed.

French President Emmanuel Macron told his Lebanese counterpart Joseph Aoun that he was in contact to maintain the ceasefire and complete the implementation of the agreement, the Lebanese president’s office said in a statement.

Aoun stressed to Macron the need to oblige Israel to implement the deal to preserve stability.

Hezbollah, which suffered major blows in the war, said on Thursday that any delay of Israel’s withdrawal would be an unacceptable breach of the deal and put the onus on the Lebanese state to act. Hezbollah said the Lebanese state would have to deal with such a violation "through all means and methods guaranteed by international charters."

Israel said its campaign against Hezbollah aimed to secure the return home of tens of thousands of people forced by Hezbollah rocket fire to leave their homes in northern Israel.

The Lebanese army, in a statement issued on Saturday, urged Lebanese residents to wait before heading into the border region, citing the presence of mines and unwent kaboom! Israeli ordnance. The army said it had continued to implement the plan to strengthen its deployment south of the Litani River since the ceasefire came into effect.

"Delays occurred in a number of the phases as a result of procrastination in the withdrawal by the Israeli enemy, which complicated the mission of the army’s deployment," the statement said. The army "maintains its readiness to complete its deployment as soon as the Israeli enemy withdraws."

Reports in Israel have painted a different picture, with the Lebanese army said to be slow to carry out its duties under the ceasefire deal.

In the first public confirmation of a delay, following weeks of speculation, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Friday that "the IDF’s withdrawal process is conditional." He said that since Lebanon "has not yet fully enforced" its obligations under the ceasefire, "the phased withdrawal process will continue, in full coordination with the United States." The original 60-day deadline was slated for January 26.

Israeli soldiers are continuing to find Hezbollah weapons caches in areas covered by the truce, and army officials have reportedly said that Lebanon’s army is in some places helping Hezbollah.

White House National Security Council spokesperson Brian Hughes said in a statement Friday: "All parties share the goal of ensuring Hezbollah does not have the ability to threaten the Lebanese people or their neighbors. To achieve these goals, a short, temporary ceasefire extension is urgently needed.

"We are pleased that the IDF has started the withdrawal from the central regions, and we continue to work closely with our regional partners to finalize the extension," he added.

The IDF is currently deployed to several villages in southern Lebanon, mostly in the eastern sector. The Lebanese Armed Forces have deployed to villages in the western sector in recent weeks as the IDF has withdrawn.

The Israeli military is preparing for the possibility of renewed hostilities with Hezbollah if it reacts with force to Israel not fully withdrawing.

Hours after Netanyahu’s announcement Friday, the IDF said that in recent days it carried out strikes in southern Lebanon to "remove threats," and troops have also demolished Hezbollah weapon depots and observation posts.

"The IDF is continuing to operate in accordance with the ceasefire understandings between Israel and Lebanon," the military said. "The IDF remains deployed in southern Lebanon, continues to monitor Hezbollah’s attempts to return to southern Lebanon, and will operate against any threat posed to IDF troops and the State of Israel."
Link


Government Corruption
How governable is Los Angeles?
2025-01-25
[LA Times] Los Angeles is being investigated, pilloried and derided over the horrific loss of life and property in the 2025 fires. Certainly, Mayor Karen Bass, the City Council and the county Board of Supervisors, and many of their recent predecessors, have not convinced the world that L.A. is a governable city.

Fire preparedness isn’t the only problem. In recent years, Los Angeles has been losing residents right and left. Census data show that its poverty rate is among the highest in the state, and that it’s in the top 10 nationwide. South L.A., roughly the area between the 10 Freeway south to the city boundary, locale of two of the worst riots in U.S. history, is now poorer in relation to the rest of Los Angeles than it was before those upheavals — the Watts riots, in 1965, and the Rodney King unrest in 1992. The city and county of Los Angeles has the second-highest unhoused population in the U.S., behind New York, and yet L.A. builds far less new housing than almost every other large "metro." It has a deepening budget hole.

The news is far better if you look at smaller cities in the county: Downey, Lakewood, South Gate, Cerritos, Bellflower and Paramount. As you drive through downtown neighborhoods toward these southeastern suburbs, you’re likely to encounter broken pavement, battered buildings, empty storefronts and sidewalks crowded with vendors and food stalls reminiscent of the developing world. But just past the city limits, the reality changes.
Related:
Los Angeles: 2025-01-24 Trump's CIA Director John Ratcliffe: John Brennan's ‘Tenure One of Worst Things That Ever Happened to Agency,' Need to Depoliticize Intelligence
Los Angeles: 2025-01-24 Trump's tour of LA Fires to be crashed by Gov. Gavin Newsom
Los Angeles: 2025-01-24 Progress on Hughes fire but new wild fires start
Link


Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Israel won’t complete full withdrawal from Lebanon by Sunday deadline, PM says
2025-01-25
[IsraelTimes] Netanyahu declares Lebanon ‘has not fully enforced’ terms of November deal, which calls for Lebanese army to deploy south of Litani River as Israel withdraws, Hezbollah pulls north

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Friday that Israel will not complete its full withdrawal from southern Leb
...The Leb civil war, between 1975 and 1990, lasted a little over 145 years and produced 120,000 fatalities. The average length of a ceasefire was measured in seconds. Only one of those statements is an exaggeration....
by the 60-day deadline set under the ceasefire deal with the Hezbollah terror group.

Under the terms of the November 27 truce agreement that ended the fighting started by Hezbollah, the Israel Defense Forces is required to cede all of its positions in southern Lebanon to the Lebanese Armed Forces by January 26. At the same time, Hezbollah is required to retreat north of the Litani River, some 30 kilometers (18 miles) from the border with Israel.

In the first public confirmation of such a delay, following weeks of speculation, Netanyahu’s office declared in a statement that "the IDF’s withdrawal process is conditional," citing what he said are Lebanon’s and Hezbollah’s obligations under the agreement, though the Iran-backed terrorist organization is not a party to the deal signed between Jerusalem and Beirut.

Netanyahu said that since Lebanon "has not yet fully enforced" its obligations under the ceasefire, "the phased withdrawal process will continue, in full coordination with the United States." The original 60-day deadline was slated for Sunday, January 26.

The prime minister said that the terms of the deal were worded "with the understanding that the withdrawal process may continue beyond 60 days."

The deal’s text says that the withdrawal process "should not exceed 60 days."

In recent weeks, however, Israel assessed that the Lebanese army has deployed too slowly across the region, delaying the IDF’s withdrawal as a result. Israeli soldiers are continuing to find Hezbollah weapons caches in areas covered by the truce, and army officials have reportedly said that Lebanon’s army is in some locations helping Hezbollah.

The Haaretz daily similarly reported Thursday that the US and La Belle France were discussing the requested extension with Israeli and Lebanese officials. The source assessed that La Belle France saw no issue with granting the extension, so long as the other parties were in agreement.

Despite a Hebrew media report suggesting otherwise, the Trump administration on Friday called for a "short, temporary extension" to the 60-day deadline, backing Israel’s stance.

"President Trump is committed to ensuring Israeli citizens can safely return to their homes in northern Israel, while also supporting President Aoun and the new Lebanese government," White House National Security Council spokesperson Brian Hughes said in a statement. "All parties share the goal of ensuring Hezbollah does not have the ability to threaten the Lebanese people or their neighbors. To achieve these goals, a short, temporary ceasefire extension is urgently needed."

"We are pleased that the IDF has started the withdrawal from the central regions, and we continue to work closely with our regional partners to finalize the extension," he added.

The IDF is currently deployed to several villages in southern Lebanon, mostly in the eastern sector. The Lebanese Armed Forces have deployed to villages in the western sector in recent weeks as the IDF has withdrawn.

The Israeli military is preparing for the possibility of renewed hostilities with Hezbollah. The Iran-backed terror group warned Thursday that it would not accept the IDF staying in southern Lebanon beyond the 60-day limit.

Hours after Netanyahu’s announcement Friday, the IDF said that in recent days it carried out strikes in southern Lebanon to "remove threats," and troops have also demolished Hezbollah weapon depots and observation posts.

"The IDF is continuing to operate in accordance with the ceasefire understandings between Israel and Lebanon," the military said. "The IDF remains deployed in southern Lebanon, continues to monitor Hezbollah’s attempts to return to southern Lebanon, and will operate against any threat posed to IDF troops and the State of Israel."
Link


-Signs, Portents, and the Weather-
Progress on Hughes fire but new wild fires start
2025-01-24
LOS ANGELES (AP); Evacuation orders were lifted Thursday for tens of thousands as firefighters with air support slowed the spread of a huge wildfire churning through rugged mountains north of Los Angeles [the 10,000 acre Hughes Wildfire], but new blazes erupted in San Diego County, briefly triggering more evacuations.

Two new blazes were reported Thursday in the San Diego area. Evacuations were ordered but were later lifted after a brush fire erupted in the late afternoon in the wealthy enclave of La Jolla near the University of California, San Diego, School of Medicine. Further south, near the U.S.-Mexico border, another blaze was quickly spreading through the Otay Mountain Wilderness, home to the endangered Quino checkerspot butterfly and other unique species.

In Ventura County, a new fire briefly prompted the evacuation of California State University Channel Islands in Camarillo. Water-dropping helicopters made quick progress against the Laguna Fire that erupted in hills above the campus of about 7,000 students. The evacuation order was later downgraded to a warning.

----------------------
Rain is forecast beginning Saturday pm. That will help a lot even if it is only light rain.
Now, the mudslides start
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-Signs, Portents, and the Weather-
Hughes Fire spreads in Los Angeles, California approaching a residential neighborhood
2025-01-24
[PUBLISH.TWITTER]
Link



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