Syria-Lebanon-Iran |
Tehran's interest-rate cuts 'economic suicide' |
2007-05-27 |
![]() "Economic suicide for banks," the Mardomsalari (Democracy) newspaper said of Tuesday's move. "The economy minister and the head of the Central Bank have to explain this decision since this decree is incomprehensible for economists," Saeed Shirkavand, economy minister in the previous reformist government, was quoted as saying. The government spokesman said Tuesday state bank interest rates were being cut to 12 percent from 14 percent and rates at private banks to 12 percent from 17 percent in a bid to create fair competition among lenders. The former head of the Tehran stock exchange, Hossein Abdo Tabrizi, said "this ad-hoc decision will not benefit the investment market at all and will only terrify investors. "They will start to worry that maybe tomorrow there will be such decisions to control and create a price ceiling for shares," he told the Kargozaran newspaper. The centrist Ham Mihan daily said that hours before the decision was announced, both Economy Minister Davoud Danesh Jafari and Central Bank chief Ebrahim Sheibani vowed rates would stay the same. "They were unaware that [the president] was pouring cold water on the economic commander of his Cabinet in order to increase the temperature of Iran's economy," the daily said. Ham Mihan's front page showed a picture of a tired looking Danesh Jafari, holding his head in his hand. "Shock on the Tehran bourse," its headline said. Masoud Nili, a prominent economist and a director of the Iranian planning organization, cast doubt on the wisdom of bringing state and private interest rates in line. "Bringing private and public bank interest rates to the same level will not lead to competition since the public banks can rely on the government's assistance, which does not exist for the private ones," he told Kargozaran. Ahmadinejad has been repeatedly criticized by the press for stoking already-high inflation in the Islamic Republic with high spending and promising lavish local investment projects on provincial tours. The Central Bank has predicted that inflation will rise to 17 percent in the year to March 2008, a 3.5 percentage point rise from the previous year. But many economists expect the number to be even higher. Money-supply growth is running at a huge 40 percent and the government is beginning to implement a gasoline rationing plan that has already seen pump prices rise by 25 percent. However, the president, elected in 2005 on a platform of distributing the country's riches more evenly, insists inflation is under control and the government is doing all it can to reduce poverty. Ham Mihan compared Danesh Jafari's present situation with that of ex-planning organization head Farhad Rahbar, who resigned after the president made a surprise move to weaken the body's power. The Economy Ministry vehemently denied its minister was planning to resign, the semi-official Mehr news agency reported. |
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Iraq |
Last Week's State Dept. Weekly Report on Iraq |
2007-01-09 |
Now a Powerpoint file. Used to be a pdf. Highlights: Iraqi Statistics Show December 2006 Was the Deadliest Month for Iraqi Civilians: But not according to everyone; read on. According to a combination of statistics released by the Iraqi Health, Interior and Defense ministries, December was the deadliest month for the country's civilians in 2006 with a death toll of 1,927 - compared with 1,846 in November and 1,315 in October. Although the US military does not release Iraqi civilian casualty numbers, the Iraqi Interior Ministry spokesman, Brigadier General Abdul Kareem Khalaf, disagreed with the released Iraqi statistics, saying that the latest figures were too high and that the civilian toll in December was about half what was being reported and was one of the lowest monthly totals of the year. Facinating. Ain't democracy wunnerful? Iraqi Army Captures Al-Qaida Terrorist Cell Leader: Iraqi Special Operations Forces with Coalition advisors captured an al-Qaida in Iraq (AQI) terrorist cell leader December 26 in al-Yusifiyah south of Baghdad. The AQI cell leader was allegedly responsible for the kidnapping of two US soldiers from a checkpoint in Yusifiyah in June as well as numerous other kidnappings, murders and violent crimes in the area. The two soldiers were later found tortured and murdered. Maliki Would Reject a Second Term: Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki said in a published report in the Wall Street Journal that he wished he could leave office before the completion of his four-year term and would not run again. I didn't want to take this position, Maliki told the Wall Street Journal in an interview published January 2. I only agreed because I thought it would serve the national interest, and I will not accept it again. Maliki said it was impossible that he would serve a second term. I wish I could be done with it even before the end of this term, he said in the interview, which was conducted December 24. I would like to serve my people from outside the circle of senior officials, maybe through the parliament, or through working directly with the people. Electricity: Baghdad has received no power from Haditha Dam since December 4, and since December 27 it has also received none from northern generating plants, reducing daily electricity service in Baghdad to five to six hours. Iran to Loan Iraq $1 Billion: Iranian Economy Minister Davoud Danesh Jafari announced that Iran will provide a $1 billion loan to Iraq for reconstruction. The Iraqis have committed to use Iranian contractors and experts for the proposed projects. The two sides reached the agreement during the visit to Iran of Iraqi Finance Minister Bayan Jabr (SCIRI). 2007 Budget: Khaled al-Attiyah, first deputy-chairman of the Iraqi parliament, announced that the general budget for 2007 is $41 billion, with security allocations of $7.5 billion. The budget has been referred to the Economic and Investment Committee in the Parliament for consideration. A final report is expected after the Eid al-Adha. Saddam Hussein Executed, Execution Taped by Cell Phone: The sentence of the Iraqi High Tribunal (IHT) against Saddam Hussein was carried out at a prison in Baghdad the monrning (sic)of December 30. The execution was recorded on a mobile phone, which was later leaked to the public. The scene was broadcast on al-Jazeera television and posted on the Internet, prompting a worldwide outcry and large protests among Iraq's minority Sunnis, who lost their preferential status when Saddam was ousted following the US-led invasion of March 2003. Iraqi authorities reported January 3 the arrests of two guards and an official who supervised Saddam Hussein's execution and said the guard force was infiltrated by outsiders who taunted the former dictator and shot the unauthorized mobile phone video. This version was received with widespread skepticism by many Iraqis, who regard Islamist Shia politicians close to the government as the lead suspects. Whaddabout the Joooos? CCCI Convicts 48 Insurgents: The Central Criminal Court of Iraq (CCCI) convicted 48 security detainees December 8-28, for various crimes including murder, kidnapping, illegal possession of special category weapons, violation of the terrorist laws, failure to renew resident identification, possessing and using a fake ID, use or attempted use of explosives and illegal border crossing. Since its organization under an amendment to Coalition Provisional Authority order 13, in April 2004, the CCCI has held 1,809 trials for Coalition-apprehended insurgents. The proceedings have resulted in the conviction of 1,569 individuals with sentences ranging up to death. Seoul Moving to Allow Companies to do Business in Iraq : South Koreas Foreign Ministry announced December 29 that South Korea is considering allowing its firms to conduct business in Iraqs northern Kurdish region given the improved security situation in the region. South Korea has prohibited its people and firms from entering or doing business in Iraq since the kidnapping and murder of a South Korean worker in May 2004. Foreign Minister Zebari Receives Russian Ambassador: Minister of Foreign Affairs Hoshyar Zebari received Vladimir Chamov, the Ambassador of the Russian Federation to Iraq December 28. A range of issues were discussed including security and political developments in Iraq and means to enhance bilateral relations between the two countries. Kidnapped Contractors Shown on Video: Four Americans and an Austrian abducted in November in southern Iraq spoke briefly and appeared uninjured in a video believed to have been recorded nearly two weeks ago and delivered January 3 to The Associated Press. The men security contractors for the Crescent Security Group based in Kuwait appeared separately on the edited video. Three of them said they were being treated well. The kidnappers were not seen or heard in the nearly two-minute video, but a title that read The National Islamic Resistance in Iraq. The Furkan Brigades was shown at the start of the video. The men were kidnapped November 16 when suspected militiamen in Iraqi police uniforms ambushed a convoy of trucks being escorted by Crescent Security on a highway near Safwan. This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the following pages. (See link) |
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Syria-Lebanon-Iran | |||
Iran faces petrol dilemma | |||
2006-03-13 | |||
![]() Davoud Danesh-Jafari said: "This means we will only have imported gasoline for six months. "Making policy for the six months after that, we should either sell [imported] gasoline at its real price or ration it from the very beginning [March]." Iran holds the world's second-largest oil reserves after Saudi Arabia but lacks the refining capacity to meet its own petrol demand, importing more than 40% of its colossal 60 to 70 million litres-per-day of consumption.
Many Iranian officials say Iran's dependence on imported petrol threatens national security.
Iran has ambitious plans to upgrade refineries over the next five years and lift daily petrol output to 120 million litres a day. Iran imports petrol from several parts of the world, including China, India and Brazil, according to Iran Daily.
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Syria-Lebanon-Iran | |
Russia: IAEA Can Still Solve Iran Dispute | |
2006-02-26 | |
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A resolution involving the International Atomic Energy Agency could avert U.N. Security Council sanctions against the Islamic republic. Still, Iran's hard-line president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, insisted his country could endure international sanctions for the sake of their nuclear program. "The Iranian people have chosen their own way and they can withstand problems and secure their own interests," he was quoted by Iranian state television as saying after talks with China's deputy foreign minister, Lu Guozheng, over the nuclear issue. Moscow is struggling to persuade Tehran to return to a moratorium on uranium enrichment and agree to shift its enrichment program to Russian territory to ease world concerns it could divert enriched uranium to a weapons program. Kiriyenko, who met Saturday with Atomic Energy Organization of Iran chief Gholamreza Aghazadeh, suggested Tehran must act to assure the world it is not seeking nuclear weapons. He stressed that Iran has the right to a peaceful nuclear program but also said that "the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction is unacceptable and the international community must be certain that it does not occur under any circumstances," ITAR-Tass reported. "It is no doubt possible to satisfy these two demands," it quoted him as saying. Kiriyenko made the comments at a news conference with Iranian Economy Minister Davoud Danesh-Jafari. Iranian media did not carry his comments. | |
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Syria-Lebanon-Iran |
Iran Warns of Oil Crisis in Case of Sanctions |
2006-01-20 |
![]() However the minister did not raise the possibility of any suspension or restriction of Iranian oil supplies in case of sanctions. Iran, the number two oil exporter in OPEC, risks being referred to the UN Security Council over what the West suspects is a covert nuclear weapons drive. The Islamic republic, OPEC’s number-two producer, insists it only want nuclear technology to generate electricity. “The conditions are not right for a Security Council referral because Iran has done nothing illegal,” Danesh-Jafari said. |
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Syria-Lebanon-Iran |
Iran issues warning on oil prices |
2006-01-16 |
Iran stepped up its defiance of international pressure over its nuclear programme yesterday by warning of soaring oil prices if it is subjected to economic sanctions. As diplomats from the US, Europe, Russia, and China prepared to meet today in London to discuss referring Tehran to the UN security council, Iran's economy minister, Davoud Danesh-Jafari, said the country's position as the world's fourth-largest oil producer meant such action would have grave consequences. "Any possible sanctions from the west could possibly, by disturbing Iran's political and economic situation, raise oil prices beyond levels the west expects," he told Iranian state radio. In a provocative move, Iran also announced plans yesterday to convene a "scientific" conference to examine the evidence supporting the Holocaust. The news comes weeks after President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad provoked a global outcry by describing the slaughter of 6 million Jews by the Nazis in the second world war as a "myth". Mr Danesh-Jafari's comments echoed fears voiced by energy market analysts after crude oil prices last week rose above $64 (£36.50) a barrel as hopes faded of a diplomatic solution to the dispute. Last week, Manouchehr Takin, of the Centre for Global Energy Studies, argued that crude prices could hit $100 a barrel if Iran stopped exporting. "Supply and demand are very tightly balanced," he said. Mr Danesh-Jafari's warning added weight to veiled threats by Iran's president on Saturday. Iran had a "cheap means" of achieving its nuclear "rights", Mr Ahmadinejad said, adding: "You [the west] need us more than we need you. All of you today need the Iranian nation." Recognising the danger, Gernot Erler, Germany's deputy foreign minister, said yesterday: "We are seeing desperate measures by Asian countries, mainly China, India and others, to get hold of energy resources, and for them Iran is a partner they can't do without." He said it was "dangerous" to put restrictions on trade relations "which could hurt one's own side more than the other side". Iran's Islamic leaders insist that they want nuclear technology to satisfy its energy needs. The west suspects the intention is to produce a nuclear weapon. But even amid the continuing rancour, some Iranian officials appeared to soften the bellicose stance. Calling for a return to negotiations, foreign minister Manouchehr Mottaki accused the west of over-reacting to Tehran's decision last week to remove UN seals and resume research at a nuclear plant in Natan, when Britain, France and Germany formally abandoned 2œ years of talks and demanded Iran's referral to the UN security council. Although Britain has ruled out military moves against Iran, two American senators yesterday said the US might undertake a strike of "last resort" to prevent Iran obtaining nuclear weapons. The Republican John McCain told CBS: "Everything else has to be exhausted, but to say under no circumstances would we exercise a military option would be crazy." Democrat Evan Bayh urged diplomacy, but said there were elements of Iran's nuclear programme which, if attacked, "would dramatically delay its development". White House spokesman David Almacy said: "The international community is determined not to let Iran develop a nuclear weapon. How we address that regime's continued non-compliance will be decided in the days and weeks ahead." The UN security council issue will be the centrepiece of today's meeting, when EU and US officials will attempt to persuade their Russian and Chinese counterparts of the need for a referral, which could lead to economic sanctions. |
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