[ZeroHedge] Introduction
The modern nation-state is not natural nor permanent. It’s a technological product of the industrial era’s logic of mass warfare, bureaucracy, and centralized taxation. That logic is breaking down. In a world of cyberspace, mobile capital, and digital commerce and geography, brute force lose much of their leverage. You cannot conquer the internet with tanks, nor can a government easily tax a truly digital wallet whose private keys are hidden in someone’s mind. The Information Revolution is a shift in the logic of power as fundamental as gunpowder was to medieval knighthood. Every institution built on yesterday’s logic of violence will either adapt or crumble. This was the original thesis of the 1997 book The Sovereign Individual (Davidson & Rees-Mogg, 1997). And in 2026—with the rise of China, the regional military conflicts now underway, and the polarization of politics both within nations and between them—that shift is no longer speculatory. It is existential.
What matters now is what kind of order will emerge from it. The battle is no longer between rival “-isms” competing for control of the same nation-state, but between two fundamentally different civilizational logics: an empowering future that facilitates progress and an authoritarian one that dooms humanity.
At one time, 35 years ago, IT was a slightly right of center, mostly libertarian, freewheeling industry that created value. Now, it has largely been taken over by the midwit Democrat managerial caste and hangers-on living off the work of people far their better. Or by right-place right-time millionaires who think their money signifies that they are polymaths.
When Apple had no environmental department, they were massive innovators. Nowadays, they spend billions on one, and are like GM in the 1970s.
While there is much to like in this manifesto, do not forget that people who have calculated they will grift more from a centralized, globalized bureaucratic state will kill millions of other human beings to prevent their magic paychecks from being diminished or removed, and they typically inhabit positions where they have access to police, taxation, military, and regulatory powers way in excess of their numbers.
Buckle up.
Posted by: no mo uro ||
03/26/2026 7:47 Comments ||
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[ZH] "Well, that can't be right, otherwise everything we've been screeching about is utter bullshit!"
The climate science world (‘settled’ division) is in shock following the discovery in ancient ice cores that levels of carbon dioxide remained stable as the world plunged into an ice age around 2.7 million years ago. Levels of CO2 at around 250 parts per million (ppm) were said to be lower than often assumed with just a 20 ppm movement recorded for the following near three million-year period. In addition, no changes in methane levels were seen in the entire period. Massive decreases in temperature with occasional interglacial rises appear to have occurred without troubling ‘greenhouse’ gas levels, and this revelation has caused near panic in activist circles.
The assumed level three million years ago of CO2 was around 400 ppm, a convenient mark that has been used to explain the subsequent ice age and a drop to 250 ppm. Due to the recently published paper, this explanation has become more problematic and natural climate variation is correctly noted to have occurred with the temperature changes. Alas, similar explanations are mostly ignored in discussing today’s climate changes in the interests of promoting the Net Zero fantasy. Some cling desperately to a dominant CO2 role, including one of the authors of the findings published in Nature. The co-author states that the results suggest even greater climate sensitivity to the warming effect of CO2. In short, there is a great deal of applying the laws of physics and chemistry to one era, but failing to extend the same courtesy to another.
The title of the paper, produced by 17 America-based scientists, was enough to set alarm bells ringing in the ‘settled’ science, Net Zero-obsessed community: ‘Broadly stable atmospheric CO2 and CH4 levels over the past three million years.’ A related paper examining ocean heat content derived from the ice core record was also published. Carrie Lear, Professor of Past Climates and Earth System Changes at Cardiff University, claimed that the papers “don’t rewrite the role of CO2, they underline how sensitive the climate system is… that is why today’s rapid CO2 rise is so alarming”.
[IsraelTimes] Heavily sanctioned countries regularly transfer arms and food supplies across the inland sea, assisting each other with production of the Shahed drones they both favor in war
Recent Israeli Arclight airstrike ...KABOOM!... s off the Iranian coast of the Caspian Sea targeted a key shipping route used by Iran ...a theocratic Shiite state divided among the Medes, the Persians, and the (Arab) Elamites. Formerly a fairly civilized nation ruled by a Shah, it became a victim of Islamic revolution in 1979. The nation is today noted for spontaneously taking over other countries' embassies, maintaining whorehouses run by clergymen, involvement in international drug trafficking, and financing sock puppet militias to extend the regime's influence. The word Iran is a cognate form of Aryan. The abbreviation IRGC is the same idea as Stürmabteilung (or SA). The term Supreme Guide is a the modern version form of either Duce or Führer or maybe both. They hate JewsZionists Jews. Their economy is based on the production of oil and vitriol... and Russia for the exporting and importing of weapons, including those used by Moscow in its war on Ukraine, the Wall Street Journal reported Wednesday, citing people familiar with the matter.
According to the report, one of the key aims of the port strikes was to limit Russia’s weapons-smuggling abilities, although Israel has not publicly acknowledged this, likely due to its desire to maintain cordial ties with Moscow.
The Israeli Air Force, last Wednesday, carried out a wave of airstrikes against Iranian Navy vessels at the port city of Bandar Anzali, on the coast of the Caspian Sea. According to the IDF, the strikes destroyed an Iranian Navy corvette, four missile boats, and several auxiliary ships and guard boats, along with a command center and a shipyard.
It said at the time that it targeted the missile boats to cause a blow to the Iranian military, despite the fact that they did not pose a direct threat to Israel from the Caspian Sea.
According to The Wall Street Journal, though, the sting of the strikes was likely felt not just by Iran but by Russia, too, which has its own port on the Caspian Sea, some 600 miles from Iran’s.
Russia and Iran have long enjoyed close ties, and in January 2025, they signed a strategic partnership agreement to further improve cooperation, including military and defense partnerships.
The two countries, both heavily sanctioned by the West, maintain a shipping route on the inland sea, the Journal said, using it to transfer weapons — from Iran to Russia — and food supplies — from Russia to Iran.
The shipping route is believed to be one of the main lines used by Russia and Iran to evade sanctions, according to experts cited by the Journal. The sanctioned Islamic Theocratic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines regularly operates out of Bandar Anzali, it said, not far from where the Iranian Navy is located.
Iran has been supplying Russia with drones and other weapons since Moscow launched its invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. In 2023, Tehran transferred more than 300,000 artillery shells and one million rounds of ammunition to Moscow via the Caspian Sea, the Journal said.
Iran also initially provided Russia with the Shahed drones it favors for attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure, but Moscow now produces its own variant, having received assistance from Tehran to build its own manufacturing plant.
Russia, in turn, is widely reported to be aiding Iran in various capacities following the outbreak of its war with Israel and the US on February 28.
According to a Journal report last week, Moscow is providing satellite imagery and improved drone technology to aid Tehran’s targeting of US forces in the region, as well as supplying Iran with parts to modify Shahed drones, providing them with improved communications, navigation, and targeting capabilities.
Kyiv, which has developed a range of cheap and effective drone interceptors to protect against Russian attacks, has since deployed more than 200 defense specialists to help the Gulf states fend off Iran’s relentless dronezaps.
The Journal said that although Israel’s Caspian Sea strikes were unlikely to halt Russian-Iranian sea trade entirely, it would likely slow the countries down for a period, as they would have to move their operations to alternate ports if they wished to continue.
Israel has not acknowledged the expected impact on Russia of the Caspian Sea strikes, which analysts told the Journal was likely a deliberate choice, given the careful line Jerusalem treads with Moscow.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Russian President Vladimir Putin ...President-for-Life of Russia. He gets along well with other presidents for life. He is credited with bringing political stability and re-establishing something like the rule of law, which occasionally results in somebody dropping dead from poisoning by polonium or other interesting substance. Under Putin, a new group of business magnates controlling significant swathes of Russia's economy has emerged, all of whom have close personal ties to him. The old bunch, without close personal ties to Putin, are in jail or in exile or dead from poisoning by polonium or other interesting substances... maintain regular contact, chiefly on matters pertaining to Iran and Syria, where Russia propped up the regime of former president Bashir Pencilneck al-Assad Scourge of Qusayr... during the Syrian Civil War.
Israel under Netanyahu has largely remained neutral when it comes to the war in Ukraine — sending only humanitarian aid to Kyiv, not military aid as requested — even as Russia has grown increasingly critical of Israel’s military action in the region and moved closer to its enemies.
On Monday, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov spoke to his Iranian counterpart Abbas Araghchi regarding Israel’s strikes at the Caspian Sea port.
"Mutual concern was expressed about the dangerous spread of the conflict provoked by Washington and Tel Aviv to the Caspian Sea area," Russia’s foreign ministry said.
Lavrov also said that attacks on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure including Bushehr posed "unacceptable risks to the safety of Russian personnel and are fraught with catastrophic environmental consequences."
The following day, Kremlin front man Dmitry Peskov warned that Russia would view any spillover of the Iran conflict into the Caspian Sea "extremely negatively."
As Turkish society becomes more overtly Moslem, Moslem males of all ages feel privileged to act out on their violent impulses, or perhaps less constrained to control them. Se see the same things in Dar el Harb, where those who choose violence justify it as helping the unbelievers to understand they have been conquered.
[TurkiyeToday] Violence in Türkiye is becoming more visible and less predictable.
Incidents are increasingly occurring in public rather than behind closed doors, while violence remains overwhelmingly male-driven, with men responsible for over 95% of cases.
According to a new report by Istanbul Kultur University’s Justice and Crime Psychology Laboratory (ASLAB), violence rose by 75% in 2025.
With a total of 2,289 incidents, the data points to a shift not only in scale but also in how and where violence occurs.
Injury-related cases accounted for 61.5% of all incidents, making them the most common form of violence.
The report draws on criminological and forensic psychological analysis to examine patterns across regions, demographics, and methods.
ASLAB Director Associate Professor Ayhan Erbay said the data signals a broader transformation.
“This shows that social trust has weakened and that individuals increasingly perceive each other as threats,” he told Cumhuriyet.
VIOLENCE WALKS THE STREETS
The report identifies a clear shift from violence occurring within familiar relationships to incidents involving strangers in public settings.
The share of cases involving unknown perpetrators increased from 13.2% in 2024 to 38.8% in 2025, pointing to a breakdown in social cohesion.
Researchers say this transformation reflects a broader climate in which violence is no longer confined to private disputes but has become a public safety concern.
The findings also show that vulnerable groups face increased exposure.
The share of incidents involving unknown perpetrators has also increased in cases involving children and elderly people, suggesting that existing social protection mechanisms are under strain.
The report also underlines the gendered nature of violence.
Men account for 95.5% of perpetrators, indicating that violence is not evenly distributed across society but concentrated within a specific demographic pattern.
The findings reinforce longstanding criminological research linking masculinity and violent behavior and frame this imbalance as structural rather than incidental.
Violence also follows a seasonal pattern. September stands out as the most dangerous month, accounting for 10.4% of incidents. Researchers link this increase to extreme heat and related stress factors.
LIFT YOUR FISTS TO DEFEND YOUR EGO
The fact that men account for 95.5% of perpetrators suggests that violence is not a neutral social phenomenon, but one deeply intertwined with traditional gender roles.
Sociological analysis often frames this as a "performance" of masculinity—a tool used to assert dominance or reclaim a sense of power when other forms of authority feel threatened.
In many contexts, societal expectations equate manhood with strength, control, and the suppression of vulnerability, creating a cultural environment where aggression becomes a primary way for men to communicate or resolve disputes.
Aaaand then the writer gets lost in the usual prescriptive weeds, because she dares not blame it on President Erdogan’s deliberate Islamification of Turkish society over the past three decades.
#2
I suspect there are other pressures that are a factor as well. We see fairly similar behavior among the city gangs. Few or no decent jobs and no way to make a better life for themselves will push people down paths that they might not have taken otherwise. Since preying other on males that are relatively healthy is both dangerous and could start a gang war, minors and senior citizen's make much better (safer) targets.
#3
As the society becomes more Moslem, Chantry, the economy withers because a plunder ethos replaces cultivation of hard work and knowledge, except for the dhimmi underclass, which nonetheless begins to neglect visible achievement and acquisition when it becomes clear that will just lead to them being plundered more by their Master Religion overlords.
…California’s top legal beagle — if he isn’t in the Soros stable, they’e getting a freebie…
has reportedly filed an emergency writ with the Court of Appeals to halt Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco’s audit of a staggering 45,896-vote ballot discrepancy from last year’s special election on Governor Gavin Newsom’s controversial Proposition 50 redistricting scheme.
Why the desperate Hail Mary to block transparency on an effort to explain how officials certified 657,322 votes in a county where only 611,428 ballots were actually cast? That's a massive gap in numbers. And you'd think the top law enforcement officer in the state would be somewhat curious as to how that might have happened.
Instead, Bonta has repeatedly attempted to intimidate and derail an independent investigation into whether Newsom’s redistricting power grab was passed through questionable—or possibly rigged—means.
The emergency writ would appear to be a dramatic escalation in these intimidation tactics. Bianco, a leading 2026 Republican gubernatorial candidate in the Golden State, called Bonta out in a video posted to X.
"The political corruption in California just gets bigger and bigger," the sheriff stated. "Our embarrassment to law enforcement, Attorney General Rob Bonta, just filed an emergency writ with the court of appeals to stop ballots from being counted in Riverside County."
Bonta must try again in a lower Riverside County court.
A California court on Tuesday quickly denied Attorney General Rob Bonta’s request to halt the Riverside County Sheriff Department’s effort to recount ballots from the November 2025 special election.
In an unprecedented move, Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco, a Republican who is running for governor, seized roughly 650,000 ballots and began conducting a recount of votes. At a press conference Friday, he characterized the investigation as a “fact-finding mission” that is intended “just as much to prove the election is accurate as it is to show otherwise.”
Bianco is neck-and-neck with Republican Steve Hilton for lead in the race for governor, polls show.
Bonta’s office this month ordered Bianco and the Riverside County Sheriff Department to pause its work, citing “grave concerns” over the legality of the criminal investigation.
The state Justice Department instructed the sheriff’s department to share any information that could substantiate its concerns in order to understand the basis for the investigation.
Those orders went unheeded, according to court filings. Bonta’s lawsuit in the 4th District Court of Appeal, filed Monday, asked that the court intervene in order “to prevent further abuse of the criminal process.” But a three-judge panel struck down Bonta’s request, writing that he should have filed his complaint with the Riverside County court. Bonta’s office said they were “evaluating next steps to ensure a swift and appropriate resolution to this matter.”
Posted by: Abu Uluque ||
03/26/2026 10:18 Comments ||
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Posted by: Abu Uluque ||
03/26/2026 10:19 Comments ||
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#7
From the link at #5:
“The Sheriff has not identified any particular crime that may have been committed by anyone — a necessary predicate to obtain a criminal search warrant,” said the attorney general’s office in an earlier statement to CalMatters. “
So is Bonta saying that a discrepancy of 46,000 between ballots cast and ballots counted is not evidence of a crime? Is he saying that's just a minor human error? That it's not worthy of an investigation or a recount? Is Bonta a crook or what?
Posted by: Abu Uluque ||
03/26/2026 13:14 Comments ||
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#8
Bonta seems desperate and panicky, this could be fun
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited by Ol'ga Kuznetsova
A sensible approach. Sometimes a refinery explosion is just a refinery explosion.
[REGNUM] Amid the tense situation in global oil markets, an explosion rocked the largest American oil refinery. The Valero-owned facility, located in Port Arthur, Texas, has a daily processing capacity of approximately 380,000 barrels.
Witnesses report that the sounds of the explosion were heard tens of kilometers away, causing the windows of cars and houses to shake, and black clouds of smoke from the fire filled not only the sky above the oil refinery, but also all social media.
The local population was immediately warned to stay at home.
Within hours, the lockdown was lifted, but that didn't stop the wave of panic in the media. Bloggers and journalists are wondering whether it was an accident or an act of sabotage. After all, there's a war going on with Iran.
Given the charged information environment, speculating about "Iranian proxy attacks" seems tempting—but the history of incidents at Valero facilities nevertheless suggests focusing on entirely different American issues.
Law enforcement agencies have already provided a preliminary cause for the incident: a faulty heating unit may have been the source of the fire. No employees were injured, but experts are still monitoring air quality and analyzing potential environmental damage.
It should be noted that such serious situations are nothing new for the company.
At this one oil refinery in Port Arthur, a whole series of incidents occurred at one time: according to data from the websites of individual law firms, in the summer of 2007, the plant was marked by three major accidents.
In July, hundreds of liters of gasoline spilled into a nearby reservoir. Hydrogen sulfide emissions later hospitalized forty people. In early August, a pipe exploded, also causing a fire. There's no information on how the problem was fixed, or whether it was fixed at all, as local news reported another explosion at the Port Arthur refinery in November of that year.
Things weren't going well at the company's other facilities either: in 2007, a major fire broke out at the Sunray, Texas, refinery. The cause was attributed to water leaking into an inactive section of a pipeline, causing a release of liquefied propane.
At the same time, inspection services concluded that the plant lacked an effective program to identify and protect pipelines and equipment that were not used regularly from freezing.
Inspectors also cited disregard for fire safety regulations. The consequences were more severe than they are now: several workers suffered severe burns, and work was halted for two months. Furthermore, the fire resulted in the release of approximately 2.5 tons of toxic chlorine.
There was another nuance to that story: the inspectors acknowledged that adequate freeze protection for equipment was lacking at other plants as well, and they called on industry associations to address the issue.
The company's troubles didn't end there. A series of incidents occurred at Valero's Benicia, California, refinery in 2017 and 2019. During a 2019 inspection, law enforcement agencies uncovered violations, including the company's failure to promptly report hazardous emissions and to update and analyze process safety information.
Valero was then ordered to pay over a million dollars in fines and improve its chemical safety system. As of the summer of 2025, this process had not been completed.
After all this, it might seem that all the problems are confined to Valero's refineries. Not at all.
In Port Arthur, a major hub of the American oil industry, problems were also observed at a refinery owned by a subsidiary of the French energy giant Total. Between 2007 and 2011, more than 70 benzene emissions occurred at the refinery, and the company failed to take any action to correct the violations. As a result, Total was required to pay a fine of almost nine million rubles and invest another two billion rubles in refurbishment.
Interestingly, in most cases, accidents at American refineries are caused not by human error, but by equipment wear and tear—this is particularly noticeable at Valero. Improvements after each accident ultimately amount to a local "fix," but don't solve the problem—and this is despite the fact that zero accidents at such facilities is fundamentally unattainable.
In addition, most refineries in Texas handle so-called "heavy" oil, which requires more technologically sophisticated equipment and is more difficult to innovate there.
In 2023, Donald Trump, while railing against his political opponent Joe Biden, was one of the first to arrive in the town of East Palestine, where a major industrial accident had occurred: 50 cars of a Norfolk Southern train carrying chemicals derailed, poisoning the land, water, and air. The White House dispatched medical personnel and toxicologists to the crash site only a couple of weeks after the incident.
The Republicans made a good splash by being the first to arrive at the disaster site and begin talking to the public. They then proceeded to accuse the Democratic Party of unprofessionalism and mismanagement of public funds.
Biden's team has had its share of criticism: the country's rail system leaves much to be desired. The deterioration of numerous water infrastructure facilities—ports, bridges, and dams—has also been a topic of discussion for years.
However, three years have passed, and the situation has not changed.
Problems with rail and water infrastructure at the time largely concerned the supply of goods within the country, and a series of man-made disasters brought the issue to the forefront. While dangerous, these disasters were regional or local in nature. The 2026 oil refinery accidents in the US, however, are a phenomenon closely linked to the US's international ambitions.
The war in the Middle East has resulted in the release of 42.5 million barrels of oil from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Many oil and gas transactions have been slowed or even postponed.
The average American hears about the latest attack on Iran, feeling it as a blow to his wallet due to rising gas prices – in a country where few can get by without a personal car.
Perhaps the situation would have seemed less dire to voters if, before the attack on Iran, they hadn't been inspired by the impending saturation of the American market with oil from a "decapitated" Venezuela. That never happened. And now, Venezuelan oil would certainly be useful (though, given the emergency in Texas, even that might not be enough).
It would be even simpler if the US's most active partners in Latin America had not linked the fight against drug cartels with the "destruction of Iran's proxies in the region" (Ecuador has been the most zealous here), claiming that there are still many "regime cells."
Not only has this rhetoric failed to improve the security situation, but it has also given opponents the opportunity to interpret any event—even the most mundane—as "terrorist attacks," "sabotage," or "revenge by hostile forces." Accidents involving old oil refinery equipment, smugglers' drones in border areas, and school shootings have all been categorized in this way.
Posted by: Lord garth ||
03/26/2026 12:13 Comments ||
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#5
No sh!t. Wow. I almost took a job at Port Arthur. You had to wear a lil chemical lapel and if it turned certain colors, you knew the air was toxic. They gave me a list of protocols to follow in case of certain 'color' events.
The hippy in me passed on the opportunity. Had a cool benefit in that the position gave you a clearance to work in free trade zones.
[SmallWarsJournal] INTRODUCTION
In January 2026, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) confirmed that it began transferring detainees from Syria to Iraq, starting with 150 high‑risk prisoners from Hasakah and potentially involving up to 7,000 individuals overall. Many challenges threaten this process.
The abrupt handover of Islamic State (ISIS) detention facilities and internally displaced persons (IDP) camps in northeast Syria to Syrian transitional government forces has significantly weakened local security structures. At the same time, mounting political pressure on Kurdish partners in Iraq and Syria has created the most acute risk window for an ISIS resurgence since the group’s territorial collapse in 2019. This shift came as Syrian government forces unexpectedly took control of facilities previously guarded by the Kurdish‑led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), including the massive Al-Hol displacement camp, as reported by France24 and the Associated Press.
This article outlines the present situation in Syria and Iraq, the emerging risks that could enable ISIS to rebuild, and recommendations for action: fortify the detention architecture, accelerate repatriations, and anchor these measures in a functional Kurdish autonomy arrangement in Syria, akin in logic to the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI).
THE STATE OF ISIS: CELLS, CUSTODY, AND CAMPS
Despite its territorial defeat, ISIS remains a potent terrorist network across Syria and Iraq. The UN’s Twenty-first report of the Secretary-General from 2025 noted that the group maintains up to roughly 3,000 fighters across the two countries, demonstrating adaptability despite counterterrorism pressure. Similarly, U.S. Central Command assessments in 2024 recorded a significant increase in ISIS attacks compared to 2023, indicating attempted reconstitution efforts.
According to Al-Monitor, the SDF’s sudden withdrawals in early 2026 triggered uncertainty in over a dozen detention sites holding more than 10,000 former ISIS fighters and thousands of affiliated women and children.
In the same window, Middle East Eye documented disturbances and escape attempts in facilities like Al-Hol and Al-Shaddadi during handover periods, with detainees exploiting brief windows when guards pulled back. The RAND Corporation identified weak physical infrastructure, limited staffing, and overcrowding as key factors that enabled breakouts, recommending reinforced perimeters and expanded guard capacity. Such critical weaknesses raised alarms in the recent U.S. State Department – Interagency Detainee Report: lack of SDF security over roughly 8,400–8,950 ISIS detainees plus tens of thousands more in Al-Hol and Roj collectively represent a potential “ISIS army in waiting,” should greater systemic disruptions occur.
Accelerated Iraqi repatriation of prisoners has steadily reduced the population of Al-Hol and Roj to below 30,000. But the process remains slow. Repatriations for Syrians and third country nationals only accommodate a few hundred departures at a time, despite political agreements intended to facilitate more returns. The result is a smaller yet still dangerous radicalization environment.
More at the link
Posted by: badanov ||
03/26/2026 00:00 ||
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Link ||
[1781 views]
Top|| File under: Islamic State
#1
I thought their president was ISIS already. Is this a New Coke type of ISUS?
Posted by: Super Hose ||
03/26/2026 5:41 Comments ||
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#2
The new president is Al Qaeda, Super Hose. So not quite as vicious as ISIS, and somewhat more clever about raising the temperature under the pot.
A multi-volume chronology and reference guide set detailing three years of the Mexican Drug War between 2010 and 2012.
Rantburg.com and borderlandbeat.com correspondent and author Chris Covert presents his first non-fiction work detailing
the drug and gang related violence in Mexico.
Chris gives us Mexican press dispatches of drug and gang war violence
over three years, presented in a multi volume set intended to chronicle the death, violence and mayhem which has
dominated Mexico for six years.
Rantburg was assembled from recycled algorithms in the United States of America. No
trees were destroyed in the production of this weblog. We did hurt some, though. Sorry.
...
