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| Sarah Hoyt: Why Iran? Why Now? | ||
| 2026-08-09 | ||
| [AccordingToHoyt] Why go to war with Iran now? When we have so many problems to solve — still — at home, and with the midterms looming? If you just said "Because Israel" go and sit down. No, sit ALL THE WAY DOWN. And stay there, quietly, while the adults talk. You’ve been sold a fable by people who would love to split up that alliance in order to destroy both countries piecemeal. And yes, a lot of the people in this country you trust are in the pay of those people or alternately truly vulnerable to manipulation. Yes, Israel is at war and has been at war. Not out of some desire of being a local hegemon — after all, they gave back a lot of territory in the early 2000s in the hope of buying peace for their people for all the good it did them
However, our war with Iran has nothing to do with Israel except insofar as Israel has provided able support in it, taking down the "Hamas fighters" Iran would have sent against us when we moved against Iran. And if you think that Trump just up one morning and decided to go to war with Iran because he’s just that crazy, you have the president completely wrong. He had a public persona that is a little unpredictable. This I think is intentional just as I think Reagan’s "the bombing will now begin" was "accidentally open mike." If you believe that, I have some bridges to sell you. They might be underwater, but great property. Trump’s philosophy of government is "Make money, not war." And I don’t mean making money for himself, though setting the US as the leader of the economic world definitely will end up in his children and grandchildren being richer. And ours too, think on. What I mean is that he uses money the way other presidents used war. He makes it profitable to be on good terms with the US, rather than beating people into not hurting us. By and large, it works. Until you come to something like Iran. An "Islamic Republic" established with heavy propping by the USSR and still used as a proxy by Russia (and China. And every bad actor who wanted to use them.) None of which would be an immediate problem, necessitating war. The world is full of crazy little countries, armed to the teeth and with evil intentions towards everyone starting with their own people. Except for three things: 1- Iran’s evil intent is real and proactive. They declared war on us (And yes, Israel, but remember Israel is "little Satan" to our "Big Satan.") They’re not just squatting on their territory, murdering their own people and muttering "touch me and you’ll die." They actively want to eliminate us. (And Israel, but honestly, mostly us.) They believe a final, massive war, will bring about their end times and paradise for the faithful. And they are, yes, sincerely religious. At least the leadership. 2-They either had a nuke, or were very close to having one, and as we have learned through their bombing every one and their cousins, they actually and for real had delivery means. To the US? who knows? And anyway, with a nuke and open borders, there are many means of delivery. 3- Pallets of cash given to them by Obama, which greatly accelerated the nuclear program. Which we supposedly have maybe thoroughly degraded. Maybe. Apparently the terrain and capacity of the Iranians.... it’s difficult to ascertain that, or to be sure they won’t be up to their games next week absent thorough regime change. In other words, our war with Iran right now is very simple: Because the enemy gets a vote. And so do others who would love to be the enemy if we give them an opening and who are now at BEST "adversaries". Because if we give in to the "peace at all costs" people we’ll likely go back in a year or two. And if two who knows who’ll be in charge or what they’ll use "war time emergency" to do. Remember the covidiocy? Now imagine that we have Kamala, or G-d forbid AOC in charge when Iran hits NYC or Chicago, or Denver, or any of our big cities. Or three or four of them. Imagine millions dead, and the US suddenly on a war footing. Imagine what a "Democratic socialist" would do in an environment 10 times what the post 9/11 fervor was, when speaking out against war is political and perhaps physical suicide. Or, you know, you don’t have to imagine. Go and study the unvarnished presidencies of Woodrow Wilson or FDR and you’ll KNOW. Beyond the fact that China is running out of time to make with aggression. Their demographics don’t support a long wait to go to war with us. They must do it soon. But to do it now would be suicide. To do it after Iran hits us with a nuke and we’re in disarray (particularly, if G-d forbid we have a Democrat in charge.)... golden opportunity. (And don’t tell me there’s no chance of a democrat in 2028. The right is riven by discord being sown by enemies domestic and foreign, and a lot of duckies on the right fall for it every single time.) THAT is why we are at war with Iran now. And why Trump is doing it (he said he couldn’t risk a president he couldn’t be sure of facing this, remember?) right now, regardless of political price. Because undoing the damage that Obama wrought is essential if we are to thrive or even — just — to survive as a nation. Is it ideal? Well, no. Do I like it? Well, no. Is it possible the president is misinformed on Iran’s capabilities? Sure is. Heinlein, who is my guide for US politics before I was born, said that the US had the worst intelligence services possible, and I’ve seen nothing since I’ve been an American to doubt it. It’s entirely possible they are either lying or think that Iran has more capacity than it does. The thing is... It’s also possible they think it has less. Can you be sure? No? Neither can Trump. So to be on the safe side and avoid the end game scenario for our enemies, he HAS to make sure Iran is put down and put down for good. Yes, I do hear some of you bleating "no more wars". Stop bleating. "No more wars" is a hope for the future, when the world is redeemed, by whatever means you believe (religiously) that the world will be redeemed. (And if you are not religious, you know better. The only way to have "no more wars" is to allow the kind of social engineering that always ends in communism and mass graves.) It is neither a strategy nor a political philosophy. "No more wars" can’t be a political philosophy BECAUSE THE ENEMY GETS A VOTE. And a lot of places become enemies when you lay down your weapons and announce your intention to never fight again. Announcing "No more wars" is the same as announcing "I’m ready to be assisted into dying." And there’s no dignity in that, whatever Canada says. (MAID is a lie. There is no dignity in letting yourself be killed.) No more wars in which we have no interest involved? Sure. I’m glad we didn’t directly involve ourselves between Russia and the Ukraine for instance. It is a big problem for Europe potentially, so Europe should deal with it. I was deeply opposed to the Balkan war under Clinton for that reason. And the war in Somalia. The wars I oppose are those in which the democrats use our army for things we have no interest in, or sometimes against our interests. I don’t want to use the r word, but yes, it’s retarded. DEEPLY retarded. And that’s an insult to every mentally handicapped person or living organism ever. But Iran isn’t one of those cases. They mean us ill and MIGHT have the means to make it so. (Why Obama isn’t being tried for treason... yes, I know why. Bad precedent, but still.) They declared war on us and caused the deaths of countless Americans already. And want to cause more. That’s casus belli if there’s ever been one. Now, I oppose turning this into an endless war, with our troops stationed there forever. I say we hit them hard, we hit them terminally, and we get heck out of dodge. And use economic and other means to control what comes after, rather than our people in harm’s way. In that, my philosophy is pretty congruent with Trump’s, I think. But it not "No war." You can imagine Whirled Peas all you want. The rest of the world has no obligation to play along. And if they imagine a nuke in our cities and have the means to do it, we’ll go to war under much worse conditions. Now, Mr. President, can we make it quick and decisive? And get the heck out of dodge fast? Thank you for your attention to this matter. | ||
| Posted by:Grom the Reflective |