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India-Pakistan
Pakistan’s West Asia Miscalculation: From Mediator to Mistrusted
2026-04-11
[PJMedia] On April 8, Pakistain's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said that the United States and Iran
...a theocratic Shiite state divided among the Medes, the Persians, and the (Arab) Elamites. Formerly a fairly civilized nation ruled by a Shah, it became a victim of Islamic revolution in 1979. The nation is today noted for spontaneously taking over other countries' embassies, maintaining whorehouses run by clergymen, involvement in international drug trafficking, and financing sock puppet militias to extend the regime's influence. The word Iran is a cognate form of Aryan. The abbreviation IRGC is the same idea as Stürmabteilung (or SA). The term Supreme Guide is a the modern version form of either Duce or Führer or maybe both. They hate Jews Zionists Jews. Their economy is based on the production of oil and vitriol...
(as well as their allies) had agreed to a ceasefire "everywhere" following mediation by his government.

Sharif said that the two-week truce (which Trump and Tehran had announced earlier) would lead to talks in Pakistain’s capital.

On April 7, however, Pakistain abstained from voting on a United Nations
...boodling on the grand scale...
Security Council resolution that called for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, distancing itself from an Arab-backed initiative in a significant diplomatic signal.

The resolution was submitted by Bahrain alongside Jordan, Kuwait, Qatar
...an emirate on the east coast of the Arabian Peninsula. It sits on some really productive gas and oil deposits, which produces the highest per capita income in the world. They piss it all away on religion, financing the Moslem Brotherhood and several al-Qaeda affiliates. Home of nutbag holy manYusuf al-Qaradawi...
, Saudi Arabia
...a kingdom taking up the bulk of the Arabian peninsula, largely made up of sand and oil rigs. Its primary economic activity involves exporting oil and soaking Islamic rubes on the annual haj pilgrimage. The country supports a large number of princes in whatcha might call princely splendor. Formerly dictatorial and steeped in Olde Tyme Religion, deferring to Salafist holy men on all issues, it has now done a 180 and is making a serious effort to modernize, so as not to be left in the sand by its Gulf Arab neighbors. The holy men have been shoved to the background and the nation is now still dictatorial but somewhat rational. That doesn't make them trustworthy, but it's a start...
, and the United Arab Emirates, and supported by the United States. It called for de-escalation and the immediate reopening of the Strait of Hormuz — a strategic maritime chokepoint through which a substantial portion of global oil shipments passes.

If Paks voted in favor of the UN resolution, then Iran would have been incensed. Now that they have abstained, Saudis and other Arab states are obviously displeased. Pakistain's government basically does not have the courage or efficiency to vote against it.

The UN Security Council thus failed to adopt the resolution which would boost security in the Strait of Hormuz.

So can Pakistain really function as a key intermediary given its record as a negotiator and policy maker within the wider region?

Pakistain’s bid to sell itself as a neutral mediator in the West Asia crisis has ended in strategic failure. It has exposed Islamabad as diplomatically overextended, economically fragile, and increasingly untrusted by every major nation it has tried to court. At a time when Pakistain is already crushed by multiple challenges: deepening domestic pressures, public debt (Rs80.52 trillion by the close of fiscal year 2025), external debt and liabilities at $138 billion, petrol prices soaring to Rs458 per liter, LNG costs rising by 38%, and electricity tariffs climbing under the weight of global energy shocks. Its leadership appears to have calculated that geopolitical maneuvering could compensate for economic weakness. Instead, the opposite has happened. What was presented as clever diplomacy has turned into a spectacular collapse of credibility.

The strategy took shape in early 2026 as Washington and Tehran moved closer to direct confrontation. Pak officials inserted themselves as intermediaries, offering Islamabad as a back channel between rival powers. For a brief period, the arrangement seemed useful. But Pakistain’s habit of trying to stay useful to all sides, without committing to any, soon caught up with it. The result has been a cascading loss of confidence from Washington, Riyadh, Abu Dhabi, Doha, Beijing, and Tehran.

The Gulf was the first to signal that the game was up. That reality is now visible across the board as Gulf states are increasingly unwilling to indulge Pakistain’s contradictions. The United Arab Emirates has stepped back from major commitments. Qatar has imposed measures that directly affect the labor mobility on which Pakistain depends for remittance inflows. Saudi Arabia, despite headline-level defense understandings, has found Pakistain reluctant to translate rhetoric into meaningful strategic reliability when regional tensions rose. The message from the Gulf is unmistakable: Pakistain wants the protection of partnership without the burdens of consistency.

China, too, has begun to lose patience. For years, Beijing treated Pakistain as its flagship South Asian partner, but that confidence is now visibly eroding. Chinese officials increasingly suspect Islamabad of quietly leaning toward Washington in search of IMF relief and security, even while continuing to seek Chinese economic support. That frustration has already produced material consequences, including pressure for the repayment of $220 million owed to United Energy Petroleum. Even more damaging was the failure of the Chinese-mediated Urumqi talks earlier this month. They were supposed to ease tensions along the Pakistain-Afghanistan border
...also known as Pashtunistan, home of ignorance, poverty, and automatic weapons...
but instead ended in renewed accusations with no breakthrough. From Beijing’s perspective, Pakistain is no longer a stabilizing asset. It is a liability that cannot even manage disorder on its own frontier.

Iran’s rupture with Pakistain is the most serious of all. Tehran now sees Islamabad not as an honest broker but rather as a compromised channel that acts in alignment with American interests. Reports cited by Iranian-American scholar Vali Nasr suggest that Pakistain-hosted back-channel contacts may have been used in ways that exposed Iranian officials. The most explosive case involves former Iranian Foreign Minister Kamal Kharrazi, who was maimed in a strike (in which his wife was killed), an incident Iranian authorities reportedly connect to his role in Pakistain-facilitated talks.

The United States, meanwhile, has shown no intention of defending Pakistain once its utility declined. Washington used the channel when it suited its immediate purposes, then stepped back without cost. That, in itself, is telling. For American policymakers, Pakistain is not a trusted ally or a serious regional pillar. Rather, Pakistain is a disposable tactical instrument, useful in narrow moments, and easily abandoned when circumstances change.

All of this feeds directly back into Pakistain’s domestic crisis. Gulf remittance pathways are under strain, Chinese financing is slowing, energy costs remain punishing, and inflationary pressure is intensifying. Households are squeezed by rising fuel and electricity costs, outages are becoming harder to manage, and public frustration is deepening. Islamabad’s leaders appear to have believed that by keeping one foot in every camp they could maximize leverage, extract concessions, and avoid hard choices. Instead, they have reproduced an old Pak habit: seeking rents from geopolitical instability while avoiding the strategic discipline that lasting credibility requires.

That pattern is not new. For decades, Pakistain has tried to convert its geography into diplomatic currency, shifting between patrons, security frameworks, and rival power centers in the hope of remaining indispensable to all. During the Cold War, the anti-Soviet jihad period, and again in the post-9/11 order, this strategy often delivered short-term inflows of money, weapons, and political relevance. But it also entrenched a deeper reputation: a state skilled at transactional positioning, yet repeatedly unable to inspire durable trust. What once worked in a more forgiving international system is no longer working in a far harsher regional environment, where major powers are less willing to subsidize ambiguity and far quicker to punish duplicity.

That is what makes the current moment more serious than a routine diplomatic setback. In a region being reshaped by war, energy insecurity, and hard strategic realignment, the old Pak method of hedging, extracting, and recalibrating after the fact is colliding with a new reality. The room for double games has narrowed. The tolerance for tactical ambiguity has diminished. Partners now want reliability, not improvisation; commitments, not balancing acts; strategic clarity, not permanent maneuvering.
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