[BEAgov] Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.
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The Atlanta Federal Reserve had estimated a much higher number and most private sector analysts also expected a higher number.
Of course some of the short term factors such as govt spending and total population of illegal immigrants which pump up the GDP in the short run are bad in the long run. We'll see what happens next quarter.
Some possibility that the data accounting ingested some bogus numbers because of the fed govt shutdown but estimating how much would be a straight wild a.. guess. |
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