Wall Street modeled Starlink as immune because satellites hop frequencies and move constantly. SpaceX patched SOFTWARE against Russian jamming in Ukraine.
This is HARDWARE.
Murmansk-BN. Krasukha-4. Delivered via IL-76 transports. 5,000 kilometer jamming range.
Two months ago, Chinese researchers published exactly how to black out Starlink over Taiwan: 935 coordinated ground-based jammers blanketing Ku-band frequencies.
Tehran was the field test.
40,000 terminals. Near-total degradation. Regime now executing anyone caught with a dish as “enemies of God.”
This is not about Iranian protests.
This is the authoritarian electronic warfare axis proving concept for Taiwan.
The $280 billion satellite communications market is repricing a risk that consensus said didn’t exist.
Russia supplied the hardware.
— Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ (@shanaka86) January 11, 2026
China published the playbook.
Iran just proved it works.
Starlink: 80% packet loss.
Expert monitoring Iranian internet for 20 years: “I have never seen such a thing in my life.”
The “LEO satellites are unjammable” consensus?
Dead.
Wall Street… https://t.co/nxVpXHE2GC pic.twitter.com/Jd9S7y0dOG
| A technical point raised by another tweet — herewith the text of the thing because it refused to embed for me: |
@shanaka86
Iran just ran the most sophisticated electronic warfare campaign ever deployed against a commercial satellite constellation.
They succeeded.
And it didn't matter.
Here's the physics they missed:
The regime spent $300 million on Russian Krasukha-4 jammers. Achieved 30-80% packet loss nationwide. Made video calls impossible. Made streaming unwatchable. Made commercial internet useless.
On January 8, Crown Prince Pahlavi said: "8 PM tonight. Chant together. Wherever you are."
At 8 PM, neighborhoods across Tehran erupted simultaneously. 31 provinces. 185 cities. The most coordinated uprising in 45 years.
The generals optimized for the wrong variable.
Netflix requires 5-25 megabits per second of continuous throughput.
Revolution requires 1.3 kilobits. Once.
A single protest instruction compresses to less storage than one pixel of video. It doesn't need real-time delivery. It can queue, retry, relay through whatever windows the jamming leaves open.
TCP/IP guarantees eventual delivery. At 80% packet loss, messages take 5 attempts instead of 1.
The message still arrives.
Iran built a $300 million system to deny Netflix.
They couldn't deny revolution.
This is the hard floor of the digital age: the bandwidth required for coordination is 10,000x smaller than the bandwidth required for commerce.
Autocracy has a throughput problem that physics cannot solve.
The night they tried to kill the sky, they discovered the sky had already won.
Read the full deep dive story how it happened..
https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaanslemperera/p/the-night-they-tried-to-kill-the