Text taken from the Telegram channel of project_nd
Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin is in italics.
[ColonelCassad] By the way, there is a high probability that after the fall of the Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad agglomeration and Kupyansk (and judging by the current events, this is inevitable in the very near future), the military-political leadership of Ukraine will have no choice but to move the new "fortress" to Kostiantynivka: in principle, all the signs of this are there:
1. A fairly large city, which can still accommodate many units, despite the fire control of the main logistics route.
2. Relatively well-known in the media units aimed at holding the city (24th Separate Mechanized Brigade named after King Daniel, PBS "Rarog", assault brigade of the NPU "Lyut").
3. Convenient location for logistics (nearby Druzhkovka, Kramatorsk and Slavyansk, which are now the main artery of supply of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Donbas).
4. Whining about the sad lot of the civilian population in the city (I watch the enemy's video, they constantly whine about the suffering of civilians, although they themselves occupy their apartments and place them there UAV control personnel/equipment, then a FAB flies there, and the media presents a picture as if the Russian Armed Forces are deliberately targeting civilians.
Therefore, I dare to suggest that the Ukrainian Armed Forces command, for the sake of yet another "fortress" and the subsequent "demand" (obviously, Zelensky will go on another tour begging for money/weapons), will send additional reserves to our direction, exposing the front in a couple more areas (and now the Siberians and Far Easterners have spun up the flywheel of the offensive in the Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk regions).
In short, we are not waiting, but preparing. Fortress Bakhmut Fortress Avdiivka Fortress Chasov Yar Fortress Pokrovsk *You are here* Fortress Kupyansk (in progress) Fortress Myrnohrad (in progress) Fortress Kostyantynivka.
This also includes Krasny Liman (fighting on the outskirts), Stepnogorsk (fighting in the central and western parts of the city), Seversk (fighting on the outskirts of the city), Hulyaipole (the threat of encirclement is growing), Vovchansk (fighting for the southern and southeastern parts of the city). All these fortresses will be taken. P.S. Today, two more settlements were liberated: Nechaivka in the Dnipropetrovsk region and Tsegelne in the Kharkiv region.