Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin:
[ColonelCassad] Regarding reports that Syrsky is trying to assemble strike groups to lift the siege of the Krasnoarmeysk agglomeration. To expand the corridor and organize some kind of supply line, he needs to at least recapture Rodinskoye and occupy the Krasny Liman area, as well as attempt to push our units south of Grishino, occupy the Pokrovskaya mine, and so on.
Even so, the problem of controlling the enemy's logistics with our drones, which are burning a large number of vehicles northwest of Krasnoarmeysk and burning the remains of equipment within the agglomeration itself, remains unresolved. Of course, having assembled a force equivalent to 5-6 brigades, the enemy could attempt a breakthrough on one of the flanks (most likely to Rodinskoye).
This is entirely consistent with Syrsky's approach – recall the attempts to encircle Artemovsk from May to November 2023, where he consumed a huge number of reserves trying to break through to our group's key communications through Kleshcheyevka.
Since the enemy is withdrawing forces for similar attacks from other directions, we can expect our command to try to take advantage of this by striking at those sections of the front weakened by Syrsky. Given the current situation in Krasnoarmeysk, I don't think Syrsky will achieve anything significant with his counterattack plans. He might push back our units in some areas, but he won't change the outcome of the battle for the Krasnoarmeysk agglomeration.
All these belated counterattacks, strenuous helicopter landings, and the like are the moves of defeated players trying to turn a bad operational situation around with purely tactical methods. P.S. Meanwhile, the Russian Armed Forces today practically cleared the villages of Gnatovka and Rog near the southeastern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk. Most of the city is already under Russian control. Russian Armed Forces are also advancing in Dimitrov. The death throes of the enemy's Krasnoarmeysk group are approaching their end.