...Arabic for
students...
Pakistain (TTP). The Pak version of the Taliban, which numbers about 4,000 fighters, broadly cooperated with the Afghan Taliban during our 20-year war, but their real target is replacing the Pak government.
If Pakistain thought that the Afghans were going to sit by meekly while the Paks bombed them, they underestimated the situation. Afghanistan, bolstered by billions of dollars donated by Joe
The Big GuyBiden
...46th president of the U.S. Former Senator-for-Life from Delaware, an example of the kind of top-notch Washington intellect to be found in the World's Greatest Deliberative Body....'s arm-a-terrorist program, has launched attacks at several Pak border installations.
BREAKING:
The Afghan Taliban announce that they have launched attacks against Pakistan at 7 points along the border.
Source: Afghan Defense Ministry pic.twitter.com/ASmBmWgI81
— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) October 11, 2025
The Afghan Taliban announce that they have launched attacks against Pakistan at 7 points along the border.
Source: Afghan Defense Ministry pic.twitter.com/ASmBmWgI81
— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) October 11, 2025
Here, Afghan reinforcements in U.S.-manufactured up-armored HMMWVs move reinforcements to the front lines.
BREAKING:
The Afghan Taliban send large Humvee convoys toward the border with Pakistan as reinforcements after intense fighting breaks out between the 2 countries
🇦🇫🇵🇰🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/paCBEe8RPD
— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) October 11, 2025
The Afghan Taliban send large Humvee convoys toward the border with Pakistan as reinforcements after intense fighting breaks out between the 2 countries
🇦🇫🇵🇰🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/paCBEe8RPD
— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) October 11, 2025
They are supported by artillery manned by U.S.-trained gun crews.
In 2012 I helped field and train the 201st Corps on their new D-30s.
So an American trained Afghans on a Russian howitzer that ended up with the Taliban who are now firing them into Pakistan. https://t.co/FNuTZFpal3
— Preston Stewart (@prestonstew_) October 11, 2025
So an American trained Afghans on a Russian howitzer that ended up with the Taliban who are now firing them into Pakistan. https://t.co/FNuTZFpal3
— Preston Stewart (@prestonstew_) October 11, 2025
They also have a tiny bit of air support provided by the U.S.
Video reportedly of Afghan Super-Tucano aircraft bombing the Pakistani city of Lahore tonight.
Afghanistan A-29 Super Tucano aircraft were provided by the US before Taliban takeover. The aircraft can be armed with two 500-pound bombs, twin .50-caliber machine guns & rockets. pic.twitter.com/zuo67C3I1n
— Mehdi H. (@mhmiranusa) October 11, 2025
Afghanistan A-29 Super Tucano aircraft were provided by the US before Taliban takeover. The aircraft can be armed with two 500-pound bombs, twin .50-caliber machine guns & rockets. pic.twitter.com/zuo67C3I1n
— Mehdi H. (@mhmiranusa) October 11, 2025
Things don't look to be going particularly well for the Pakistanis as the first images of prisoners emerge.
First footage of captured Pakistani army Prisoner of War by Afghan forces. pic.twitter.com/LvBB9e87n0
— Λｖｅｎｇｅr 🇮🇳 𝕏 (@TheAvenger82) October 12, 2025
This war is another of those caused by a British civil servant drawing arbitrary lines on a map. In this case, Sir Mortimer Durand drew the eponymous Durand Line in 1893, separating India and Pakistain. As a result, a lot of what would otherwise be Afghans found themselves in the British Indian Empire. The line held as the northern border of Pakistain when the totally non-
The Soviet invasion of Afghanistan (1979—1989) made things a lot more interesting as the U.S. and Saudi Arabia
...a kingdom taking up the bulk of the Arabian peninsula, largely made up of sand and oil rigs. Its primary economic activity involves exporting oil and soaking Islamic rubes on the annual haj pilgrimage. The country supports a large number of princes in whatcha might call princely splendor. Formerly dictatorial and steeped in Olde Tyme Religion, deferring to Salafist holy men on all issues, it has now done a 180 and is making a serious effort to modernize, so as not to be left in the sand by its Gulf Arab neighbors. The holy men have been shoved to the background and the nation is now still dictatorial but somewhat rational. That doesn't make them trustworthy, but it's a start...
funneled arms and training to the mujahideen via Pakistain’s ISI intelligence service. The primary recipients of that aid were the Pashtun tribes. These became the Afghan Taliban
...mindless ferocity in a turban...
in 1994. They were armed and sheltered by Pakistain as a way of keeping Afghanistan in Pakistain’s orbit and countering Indian influence
Like so many great ideas, this turned out to have flaws.
The TTP, formed in 2007, immediately turned against Islamabad, demanding Sharia governance and autonomy for the Pashtun tribal areas. They used familiar tactics: suicide kabooms, school massacres, and ambushes. During our two decades in Afghanistan, the TTP provided sanctuaries for their Afghan brethren where they could rearm and regroup under the protection of Pakistain. Now, Pakistain is about to be devoured by the monster it created and nurtured.
After the Abbey Gate tragedy, Pakistain’s victory turned to ashes. Where Pakistain thought it had evicted the U.S. from the area and permanently stopped Indian inroads, it was faced by a TTP, using Afghanistan as a sanctuary, unleashing unending violence on the Pak border. Since 2021, there have been over 2,500 TTP attacks, mostly using abandoned U.S. weapons.
As the overall objective appears to be to pry the Pashtun border regions away from Pakistain, Pakistain has ordered the deportation of over 4 million Aghans living in the Durand Line region. Over 800,000 have left.
The pace of attacks and reprisals has escalated over the last year. Pakistain retaliated with border strikes, most significantly in March and December 2024, but that isn’t to say that the TTP hasn’t had some notable successes.
The latest round kicked off with the air raids, which appear to be a Temu knockoff version of Israel’s evisceration of the high commands of Hezbollah and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Like most things Pak, the execution wasn’t exemplary.
It is early yet, but one can see how this could turn out to be a self-own on the scale of Putin's invasion of Ukraine.
As you can see, the stakes for Pakistain are immense. The orange and brown areas represent areas that could be lost to Afghanistan or independence if the TTP is successful.
Pakistan's going to have a fun time trying to maintain control of their border territories pic.twitter.com/sK7h8QdMRP
— Intelschizo (@Schizointel) October 11, 2025
Pakistan is unlikely to receive much help from the Muslim world, as Afghanistan is also Muslim and arguably more so than Pakistan. Saudi Arabia joined a mutual defense pact with Pakistan in September, but Saudi Arabia's military is not capable of projecting measurable power, and the Saudi experience in Yemen doesn't leave one with the feeling that Saudi involvement would do more than create targets and hostages for the TTP.
China probably can't let this crisis go to waste and will find a way to meddle in it.
The wild card here is Trump's desire to reoccupy Bagram air base in Afghanistan (see Trump Drops Bombshell: U.S. Trying to Reclaim Key Asset From Taliban – RedState). The issue seems to be dead, but if it is still kicking, then peace between Afghanistan and Pakistan is vital, as Bagram is not sustainable without Pakistani logistics support.
As the Afghans are more warlike and capable than the Pakistanis and are at parity in armaments, things don't look good if Pakistan tries to impose a military solution on the problem.