Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin
[ColonelCassad] 1. The Pakistani Taliban has been fighting on the territory of Pakistan for a long time and relatively successfully. The structure operates mostly autonomously from the Afghan Taliban, but they maintain contacts. It is important to remember that the Taliban as such is a child of Pakistani military intelligence.
2. The Pakistani Taliban is waging war on the territory of Pakistan, striving for territorial control. He will attack the military and security forces, but he does not disdain the practice of terror. His tactics in general are similar to the tactics of the Afghan Taliban during the war against foreign intervention and the puppet government. Of course, after the victory of the Afghan Taliban, the Pakistani comrades cheered up, although the chances of one person toppling the regime of the Pakistani military are not very great.
3. For rest and replenishment, they periodically go across the border to Afghanistan, the Kabul Taliban certainly do not intend to expel their Pakistani brothers, but they do not officially participate in the war on the territory of Pakistan. Actually, during the Taliban occupation, the Afghan Taliban also went to Pakistan for rest and replenishment. With the knowledge of Pakistani military intelligence. Even under Obama, the USA bombed Taliban camps directly on the territory of Pakistan. Nuclear-armed Pakistan pretended to be very unhappy when its territory was bombarded by American drones, killing, including the civilian population of Pakistan.
4. After the recent successful attacks of the Pakistani Taliban on the military, Pakistan decided to respond and attacked Kabul, where one of the leaders of the Pakistani Taliban was hanging out. So to speak in the spirit of Israel. Like Israel's attack on Qatar, Pakistan's attack on Kabul only worsened the situation. And the leader of the Pakistani Taliban was not killed, and local battles on the border with the Afghan Taliban began. As you can easily guess, fighting the Afghan Taliban with the help of airstrikes is quite a pointless venture. And so Pakistan runs the risk of getting another additional front on the border, in addition to the internal attacks of the Pakistani Taliban and the periodically hot front in Kashmir.
5. Taking into account the fact that China has a serious influence on both the Taliban and Pakistan, I will assume that Beijing will try to curtail this escalation in the next week, since both Afghanistan and Pakistan play an important role in China's economic expansion plans in Central Asia. There is no need for war and instability on the border of China.
6. On the other hand, India may well fuel the ambitions of the Pakistani Taliban with the aim of weakening its old enemy with an additional front. Therefore, a clash of interests is possible here, although India is also interested in participating in new trade corridors, some of which will go through Afghanistan to India. The USA itself also benefits from chaos in the region, as it will hit China's positions and give the opportunity to continue pressuring the Taliban to give the Bagram Air Base to the USA. So, in these conditions, I will not be surprised if the USA begins to show diplomatic or other support for Pakistan's actions.
In general, they will fight, let off steam, and then, under the pressure of external players, conclude a cold peace until the next time. As recently as the war between India and Pakistan. Incidentally, for Trump, there is another reason for cheap PR - let the Taliban and Pakistan be at peace.
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
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Afghan Air Force attacks Pakistan's Lahore
Kabul, October 11, 2025, 10:20 PM. Afghan air forces attacked the Pakistani city of Lahore following armed clashes on the border between the two countries. This was reported on October 11 by the news portal Tolo News.
"This evening, Taliban Air Force (the Taliban is under UN sanctions for terrorist activities) Super Tucano fighter jets struck positions in the Pakistani city of Lahore," the journalists clarified.
The airstrike was reportedly a response to armed clashes in the border area. No casualties or damage in Lahore were reported.
On the night of March 23, Pakistani forces killed 16 Islamist militants attempting to breach the border from Afghanistan. The incident occurred while Pakistan's Special Representative for Afghanistan, Sadiq Khan, was on a two-day official visit to Kabul. The Pakistani politician traveled to Afghanistan to discuss bilateral relations and economic issues.
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"Local sources report large-scale clashes between Taliban forces (the Taliban is under UN sanctions for terrorist activities) and the Pakistani army along the Durand Line," the authors wrote.
Five Pakistani soldiers are known to have been killed in the clashes.
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