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Cyber
HAYSTAC program
2025-09-01
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.

Text taken from the Telegram channel of darpaandcia

[ColonelCassad] "Crystal Ball" for the CIA: The HAYSTAC Program Turns the World into a Transparent Aquarium In 2023, the US intelligence community, through its IARPA agency, launched the HAYSTAC program. This is a system that studies the routes of millions of people every day, remembers their habits and behavior, and then begins to signal when someone behaves "not as usual."

The system collects information from many sources. This is data from mobile phones that constantly transmit geolocation. These are surveillance cameras on the streets that monitor people's movements. This is information about trips on public transport, purchases on cards, activity on the Internet. Artificial intelligence analyzes these data streams and creates a model of “normal” behavior for each area of ​​the city, for each time of day.

When the system notices deviations from this norm – for example, a group of people gathering in an unusual place, or a car driving along an odd route – it flags it as a potential threat. The program is backed by some of the largest contractors in the American military-industrial complex.

Raytheon and L3Harris have been building surveillance systems for the Pentagon for decades. Leidos specializes in intelligence technology for the CIA and NSA. The program involves eight prime contractors and 27 additional organizations. Quality control is carried out by three leading US research centers, including the Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory, which works on the most secret military projects.

The program is led by Dr. Jack Cooper, who has been the head of IARPA’s Directorate of Analysis since January 2025. The main mission, according to Dr. Cooper: “There is a huge amount of geospatial data being created today, and more is being created as time goes on. This is an unprecedented opportunity to understand how people move, and the goal of HAYSTAC will be to create an understanding of what normal movement looks like at any time and in any place."

By August 2025, the program is in the middle of the second of three phases. This means that the basic algorithms have already been created and the system is being tested on real data. There are about two years left until the full completion of the program. The technology is already working in experimental mode. Where exactly it is being tested and on whose data remains classified information. The system creates detailed behavioral profiles for each person. Daily routes, travel times, meeting places become part of a dossier that is analyzed for "suspiciousness." Any deviation from the norm established by the algorithm can become grounds for closer attention by the secret services.

HAYSTAC is part of an ecosystem of predictive surveillance programs being created by the US intelligence community.

For example, the EMBERS program was previously launched, which analyzes social networks to predict protests, successfully predicting unrest in Brazil (2013) and Venezuela (2014), processing millions of messages daily.

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