[Regnum] There is a 95% chance that civil war will break out in one or more European countries in the next five years. This forecast was made by David Betz, a professor at London's King's College, in an interview with Military Strategy Magazine on August 17.
“The obvious reason for the threat of civil war is the growing division of multicultural societies along identity lines,” the expert believes.
The most likely places for a civil war to break out are Britain and France, Betz said, adding that many major cities in those countries have been relegated to the status of "wild cities" and their authorities are unable to enforce the law.
Additional aggravating factors include corruption, high levels of public debt, depleted and vulnerable infrastructure, declining industry and the rise of private security firms, Betz said. Many major cities in these countries have so many migrants that they are perceived by locals as occupied, the expert said.
Vladimir Dobrynin, a columnist for Regnum, noted earlier in his article that, according to expert estimates, by 2050, more than a billion people from Africa and the Middle East will be living in Europe, despite the fact that the total population of the EU today does not even reach half of this number, and many indigenous people of the Old World seem to have already resigned themselves to this prospect.