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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Ukraine's Long-Expected Offensive: Why It Won't Beat Putin
2023-05-14
[19FortyFive] Ukraine has a complex reality it must face: U.S., UK, and EU senior leaders have voiced over the past few days strong support for Ukraine and their widely reported upcoming offensive. Reading some of the off-headline comments they’ve made, however, exposes the growing realization in the West that the hope of Zelensky accomplishing his stated objectives of driving Russia entirely out of Ukraine has a low probability of success.

A change in Western policy, therefore, is urgently needed — before Kyiv suffers more combat losses that are unlikely to alter the fact that the war will most likely end with a negotiated settlement.

RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN UKRAINE WAR
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