[SmallWarsCouncil] All of the risks point to profound social instability. If accurate, and I think we can already see that is the case, the threat of extremism for both state (hyper-nationalism) and non-state actors will increase overwhelming our capacity to manage it if we have a threat based strategy where we are constantly responding to threats. Any hope of success in my view is the necessity to shift more effort towards prevention. Arguably our new national security and defense strategies are largely neglecting prevention to rebuild credible deterrence. This is understandable based on years of under investing in our military, but perhaps also short sighted.
As in previous years, the 13th edition of The Global Risks Report is based on the annual Global Risks Perception Survey (GRPS)1, completed by 900 members of the World Economic Forum’s global multi-stakeholder community. Respondents are drawn from business, academia, civil society and the public. |