This piece has been widely circulated on the french internet (Google found about 235 000 hits, not all related, of course), and I wanted to know what informed people would think of this.
I've actually read many interesting articles about the upcoming megacycles à la Elliott waves, announcing both a corrective trend on the short term (economical crisis looming) and on the long trend (civilitional crisis). Far fetched, but who knows? Qui vivra verra.
The Laboratoire européen d’Anticipation Politique Europe 2020 (LEAP/E2020) now estimates to over 80% the probability that the week of March 20-26, 2006 will be the beginning of the most significant political crisis the world has known since the Fall of the Iron Curtain in 1989, together with an economic and financial crisis of a scope comparable with that of 1929. This last week of March 2006 will be the turning-point of a number of critical developments, resulting in an acceleration of all the factors leading to a major crisis, disregard any American or Israeli military intervention against Iran. In case such an intervention is conducted, the probability of a major crisis to start rises up to 100%, according to LEAP/E2020.