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Home Front: Politix
Negative Bounce for Kerry says Gallup/USA/CNN poll
2004-08-01
EFL
Posted 8/1/2004 1:20 PM Updated 8/1/2004 1:30 PM

Poll: No boost for Kerry after convention
By Susan Page, USA TODAY
WASHINGTON — The Democratic National Convention boosted voters' perceptions of John Kerry's leadership on critical issues, a USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll finds. But it failed to give him the expected bump in the head-to-head race against President Bush.
In the survey, taken Friday and Saturday, the Democratic ticket of Kerry and John Edwards trailed the Republican ticket of Bush and Dick Cheney 50% to 46% among likely voters, with independent candidate Ralph Nader at 2%.

Before the convention, the two were essentially tied, with Kerry at 47%, Bush at 46%.

Frankly, unstable results like this are usually a sign of a discontinuity of some kind in sampling, opinion elicitation methodology or something else. On the other hand, it could also be measuring something real. If so, its double plus ungood for the dems.


Posted by:mhw

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Posted by: Matt   2004-08-01 5:31:11 PM  

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