Event: Bin Laden confirmed dead
Group:
Narrative: Is Osama no longer with us? Is he "pushing up daisy cutters," as Mark Steyn put it? Are his earthly remains decomposing at the bottom of a cave somewhere in Tora Bora? It sure seems that way, given that there has been no recent video of him, and no audio statement referring to anything that has happened in the last year with any specificity.
Window: 0 Months (6/20/2004)
Probability 75% entered by Mike on 9/24/2003
Probability 50% entered by tu3031 on 9/25/2003
Probability 75% entered by Fred on 9/25/2003
Probability 30% entered by Shipman on 9/26/2003
Probability 80% entered by Steve White on 9/27/2003
Probability 80% entered by R. McLeod on 10/1/2003
Probability 25% entered by Paul Moloney on 2/5/2004
Probability 100% entered by Anonymous on 3/24/2004
Probability 10% entered by Aris Katsaris on 4/16/2004
Probability 50% entered by BigEd on 6/8/2004
Overall opinion is Possible (58%)
Current opinion is Possible (58%)