Event: Sadr proves a tough nut to crack
Group: Sadr and his goons
Narrative: Two months from now, Sadr is still alive and free, and his forces still waging war against the coalition.
Window: 0 Months (6/9/2004)
Probability 70% entered by Aris Katsaris on 4/10/2004
Probability 80% entered by mturner on 4/10/2004
Probability 40% entered by Steve from Relto on 4/12/2004
Probability 30% entered by Laurence of the Rats on 4/14/2004
Overall opinion is Possible (55%)
Current opinion is Possible (50%)